6th Feb 2015 – Friday ShareKhan Pre - Market Action Trading Ideas: Long/Short Ideas identified on basis of Fundamental Trigger/News/Events Watch List: List of stocks identified for trading with positive and negative bias for the day News/ Updates: Important News & Events (Both Domestic & Global) to keep you updated on all the happenings in markets. Index Ideas: Nifty and Bank Nifty view for the day. Currency: View on Currencies/ Important News and Updates Commodity: View on Gold/ Silver/Metals Trading Ideas Indian Hotels – (CMP 122.5 ) Indian Hotels has decided to sell its majority stake in inoperative and unprofitable subsidiaries Action to be taken: Long Indian Hotels Stop loss : 118.4 Target : 128-130 Tata Motors – (CMP 589 ) Tata Motors Q3 PAT @ 3581 cr down 26 pct , misses estimates Action to be taken: Short Tata motors Stop loss : 596 Target : 580-570 News Update • Petronet in race to build LNG terminal in Bangladesh • The government is considering scrapping a dividend distribution tax in its annual budget this month • Dairy major Kwality set to enter FMCG sector • Max Life sees 14% growth in new premiums •Pfizer to acquire Hospira at enterprise value of $17 bn, gets access to biosimilars News Update • HDFC Bank raises Rs 9,800 cr via QIP, ADR • BHEL commissions 270 MW thermal unit in Maharashtra • Kirloskar Oil signs MoU with Germany-based MTU for supply of gen-sets • SKS Microfinance completes securitisation worth Rs 83 cr Results Result to be declared today : Expected Profit After Tax Scrip Name PAT exp (Crs.) Selan 10 Va Tech Wabag 26 Sun Tv 199 Apollo Tyres 183 Technocraft Ind 20 IDBI 228 Watch List Stocks With +ve Bias CMP Stocks With -ve Bias CMP Jubfoods 1432 Bank of Baroda 178 Bata India 1361 BPCL 750 Stock for Investment Stocks for Investment Stocks CMP L&T 1688 ABIRLANUVO 1761 SBIN 291 INFY 2143 ULTRATECH 3097 Actionable Ideas Actionable Stock Idea – Buy Greaves Cotton(CMP 144) Greaves Cotton Ltd (GCL)’s revenues for Q3FY2015 grew by a modest 1.8% year on year (YoY) to Rs431 crore. While its engine division revenues rose by 5% YoY, the sales of the loss-making construction equipment division fell by 69% YoY which is in the process of being wound up. The EBITDA margins for the quarter expanded by 75BPS YoY given the lower contribution of the lossmaking division. At PAT level, the company took an exceptional hit of Rs40.7 crore (Rs30.6 crore adjusted for tax) related to liquidation of the construction division assets. Adjusted net profits were down 17.5% YoY to Rs32.3 crore. In 2FY2015 GCL took a strategic decision to exit the loss-making construction equipment division which had prompted us to upgrade our margin estimates for FY2016-17. However, given the management’s commentary we expect the trail impact of the construction equipment division to persist in FY2016 albeit at lower levels. Hence, we have tampered our profitability improvement expectation and reduced earnings estimates for FY2016 and FY2017 by 9.5% and 5.0% respectively. We roll-over the valuation multiple to FY2017 and reiterate our Buy rating on the stock with a revised price target of Rs165 (earlier Rs155) discounting FY2017E EPS 18x. Global Update Global Indices and news •US stocks climbed on Thursday as energy shares bounced with oil prices, while news Pfizer would buy Hospira in a massive deal further boosted the market. Some euro zone concerns eased as well. Greece proposed a bridging program until the end of May to allow time for debt talks, vowing to do everything in its power to avoid default. •Asian equities were mixed on Friday ahead of the closely-watched US jobs report while apprehension about Greece's bailout program also weighed on sentiment. •Key data to watch in US today is Employment situation Index Close Prev Close Change % Change Dow Jones 17884 17673 211 1.20% S&P 500 2063 2042 21 1.03% FTSE 6866 6860 6 0.09% Index View Technical view – Nifty – 8711 For today’s trading sessions we expect nifty to trade with Positive bias Short Term Target for Nifty is 9040 Crucial Support area for Nifty is 8689 Intraday levels: Support 8690 - 8670 All levels are spot levels Resistance 8750 - 8800 Technical view Bank Nifty- 19051 For today’s trading sessions we expect Bank Nifty to trade with positive bias Crucial Support for Bank Nifty is at 19000 Intraday levels: Support 18770 – 18520 All levels are spot levels Resistance 19450 – 20000 Derivative Update Future’s Activity Nifty Nifty CoC OI PCR(OI) INDIA VIX Current Previous % change 8751.3 8776.35 -0.29% 7.54% 9.58% -21.26% 25624600 26019950 -1.52% 0.89 0.86 3.49% 2.84% 20.62 20.05 Around 3.95 lakh shares were reduced in OI. Option’s Activity Strike 9000 C 8900 C 8800 C Most active index call option Curr. IV Curr. OI % Chg. OI % Chg. IV 16.95% 5082500 -5.44% 0.83% 17.26% 3288275 2.78% 2.30% 17.53% 2773975 9.65% 0.00% Strike 8600 P 8700 P Most active index Put option Curr. IV Curr. OI % Chg. OI % Chg. IV 18.52% 2698900 6.12% 0.15% 17.90% 2722825 7.02% 0.21% 8800-8900 CE has added huge no of shares in OI & 9000 CE has seen marginal reduction in OI whereas PE 8700-8600 strike has added shares in OI in yesterday’s trade. Securities in Ban For Trade Date 6-Feb-2015 1. IBREALEST FII : INDEX FUTURES INDEX OPTIONS STOCK FUTURES STOCK OPTIONS -575.50 +731.10 +274.93 +60.37 5-DAY VWAP Lower Range 8830 8655 SGX Nifty -17.00 points at 8724.00 (FEB Fut) Higher Range 8900 Currency Update Technical Overview Product Prvs Close Trend Action USDINR 61.97 Bullish Buy 61.54 62.16 EURINR 70.59 Bullish Buy 69.84 71.13 GBPINR 94.15 Bullish Buy 92.24 96.24 JPYINR 52.79 Bullish Buy 52.34 52.98 Support Resistance Commodity Update Technical Overview Product Prvs Close Trend Action GOLD 27301 Bearish Sell 27120 27560 SILVER 37859 Bearish Sell 37300 38530 CRUDE 3187 Bullish Buy 3022 3290 COPPER 355.50 Bullish Buy 351 359 Support Resistance Thank You ! Disclaimer The views expressed herein are solely of the analyst, Any review, retransmission, or any other use is prohibited. The information contained herein is from publicly available data or other sources believed to be reliable. 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