Morning Coffee with GEPL Capital

Equity | F&O | DP | Commodities | Mutual Funds | Insurance | Bonds | IPOs | WMS | LAS | Currency Derivatives | NRI Services
Morning Coffee with GEPL Capital
Date: February 2, 2015
Market Update
Indices
Bulk Deals
Prev. Close
Abs. Change
Change(%)
29,182.95
(498.82)
(1.7)%
8,808.90
(143.45)
(1.6)%
Indian Markets
Sensex
Nifty
BSE
17,164.95
(251.90)
(1.4)%
Nasdaq
4,635.24
(48.17)
(1.0)%
FTSE
6,749.40
(61.20)
(0.9)%
Emerging Markets ( as of 08:30 am)
HangSeng
24,346.05
(161.00)
(0.7)%
Nikkei
17,579.78
(94.61)
(0.5)%
8833.00
(46.00)
(0.52)%
SGX Nifty
BSE Sectoral
Indices
Prev. Close
Abs. Change
Change(%)
19985.9
(245.19)
(1.2)%
Banks
22715.52
(737.58)
(3.1)%
Capital Goods
17095.72
(122.41)
(0.7)%
Comm & Teck
6136.48
(10.53)
(0.2)%
Con. Durables
10655.36
(200.93)
(1.9)%
8275.45
(45.95)
(0.6)%
Healthcare
15666.51
(83.30)
(0.5)%
IT
11178.71
22.27
0.2%
Metals
10190.2
(85.85)
(0.8)%
Oil & Gas
10143.2
(65.26)
(0.6)%
Power
2224.52
19.33
0.9%
Realty
1811.36
38.55
2.2%
Prev. Close
Abs. Change
Midcap
10738.59
Smallcap
11329.26
Auto
FMCG
By
Capitalisation
BM Purpose
BHARATFORG
Quarterly Results
CERA
Quarterly Results
CUMMINSIND
Quarterly Results
GICHSGFIN
Quarterly Results
UPL
Quarterly Results
REPCOHOME
Quarterly Results
Price
BHAGERIA TRADE
INVEST PRIVATE
LIMITED
Buy
196,000
125.93
BHAGYAREKHA
CAPITAL MARKET
PVT LTD
Sell
22,436
94.38
Client Name
30-Jan-15
BHAGERIA
30-Jan-15
ALFAVIO
For more Bulk Deals Click Here
NSE
Date
Scrip Name
Client Name
Buy/
Sell
Quantity
Price
30-Jan-15
Housing Development and I
ILLUMINATI TRADING
PRIVATE LIMITED
Buy
3712121
107.05
30-Jan-15
Unitech Ltd
ADROIT SHARE &
STOCK BROKER PVT.
LTD.
Sell
13243972
18.54
For more Bulk Deals Click Here
Event Update
Release Date
Event
Bloomberg
Consensus
3-Feb-15
RBI cash reserve ratio
-
4.00%
Change(%)
3-Feb-15
RBI Repurchase &
Reverse Repo ratio
-
7.75%/6.75%
(32.49)
(0.3)%
9-Feb-15
GDP
-
5.30%
(49.49)
(0.4)%
9-Feb-15
GDP Annual estimate
YoY
-
-
Board Meetings
Script Name
Quantity
Scrip Name
Developed Markets
DJIA
Buy /
Sell
Date
Corporate Actions
Ex Date
Purpose
TORNTPHARM
2-Feb –15
Interium Dividend
Rs 5.00
03-Feb-15
GANDHITUBE
2-Feb –15
Interium Dividend
Rs 7.50
03-Feb-15
POLYMED
2-Feb –15
Interium Dividend
Rs 5.00
03-Feb-15
For more Corporate Actions Click Here
Fund Flows
Latest
MTD
YTD
Flls
(771.55)
10606.30
111013.10
MFs
(37.60)
(7881.80)
15250.50
GEPL Capital Pvt Ltd
Record
Date
Script Name
For more Board Meetings Click Here
( Rs in crore)
Previous Value
-
Equity | F&O | DP | Commodities | Mutual Funds | Insurance | Bonds | IPOs | WMS | LAS | Currency Derivatives | NRI Services
Morning Coffee with GEPL Capital
Date: February 2, 2015
Market Summary
Indian market closed in the red on Friday with Sensex shredding 499 points to close at 29183 and Nifty losing 143 point to close at
8809. The market beat on Friday led by a drag in financial stocks like Bank of Baroda, ICICI Bank, oriental Bank of Commerce, after
reporting disappointing set of Q3FY15 earnings. Bank Nifty was down by 3.34%. CNX auto was down by 1.31%. CNX energy was down
by 0.40%. CNX finance was down by 3.16%. CNX FMCG was down by 0.60%. CNX PSU bank was down by 5.88%. CNX media were
down by 1.45%. CNX metal down by 1.07%. CNX pharma was down by 0.50%. CNX IT was up by 0.01%. HCL tech announces 1:1
bonus issues and also Tech Mahindra announces 1:1 bonus & stock split of equity share of the existing face value of Rs. 10 per share to
Rs. 5 per share.
Corporate News
 PVR net profit jumps 127% in Q3 FY15. Successful performance of Bang Bang, Haider, Happy New Year and PK at box office push
up the profit.
 Indoco Remedies Q3 net up 53% at Rs 22 crore. Company's net revenues in the December quarter grew by 13%
 Berger Paints' Q3 profit decline marginally to Rs 82 crore. Company had posted consolidated net profit of Rs 82.28 crore during the
October-December quarter of last fiscal
 Shoppers Stop Q3 net soars 2.8 times to Rs 14 cr. The company's turnover grew 10 per cent.. IFCI net profit slips 6% to Rs 134 cr in
Q3.
Economic News
 Economic growth of FY14 revised to 6.9% by base year change. The government also revised its GDP for FY13 to 5.1% from 4.5%
earlier
 Govt revises 2013-14 GDP growth to 6.9%. New measurement of GDP includes under-represented economic sectors as well as
items such as smartphones and LED TV sets.
 Govt's fiscal bonanza from crude price slump estimated at Rs 45,000 cr this fiscal. This includes Rs 30,000 crore from the dip in petroleum subsidy and Rs 15,000 crore gain from four excise duty hikes.
Global News
 European air safety body asks 'extreme caution' in Pakistan airspace. The European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) "recommends all
operators to exercise extreme caution" when flying over the country.
 Russian central bank makes surprise interest rate cut. Following the decision, the rouble extended losses to trade as much as 4 percent on the day against the dollar
Fundamental Call Summary
Release Date
Stock Name
Reco. Price
Target Price
Potential Upside
Rating
27-Nov-14
VIP Industries Ltd
123
136
10%
BUY
23-Jan-14
Transportation Corp.
of India Ltd
284
341
20%
BUY
For entire fundamental list please click here
GEPL Capital Pvt Ltd
Equity | F&O | DP | Commodities | Mutual Funds | Insurance | Bonds | IPOs | WMS | LAS | Currency Derivatives | NRI Services
Morning Coffee with GEPL Capital
Date: February 02, 2015
Technical Snapshot
Market Activity
30-January
Close
Points
%
BSE
29182
(498)
(1.68)
NSE
8808
(143)
(1.60)
8887
(98)
(1.10)
20000
(667)
(3.23)
Nifty Futures
Bank Nifty Futures
Nifty Trend
Support Nifty
Resistance Nifty
8000 (Up)
8825
8910
7900 (DOWN)
8800
8950
Sensex
Support
Resistance
29182
28800
29400
Key Highlights:
Nifty Futures breaches the support of 8900. The next support for the index is placed at 8810.







Nifty Futures opened weak and remained in the firm grip of bears for the entire session to conclude at 8887, losing 98 points.
The level of 8900 has now been breached marginally but now the index has support placed at 8810.
The index can still scale higher till the time it trades above 8810. On the higher side 8930 — 8950 range may be tested.
In case of extreme bullishness a retest of 9029 is also a possibility if 8810 is not breached in coming sessions.
Only a breach of 8810 would imply weakness, below which the index can swiftly decline till 8700 to 8670 range in coming days.
The intraday support levels for Nifty Futures are placed at 8825 and 8800 whereas the resistance levels are placed at 8910 and 8950.
Amongst the sectoral indices the BSE Power and Realty indices were the outperformers whereas BSE Bankex index was the laggard.
Stocks view for the day:
Stock
View
Segment
Lot Size Duration
CMP
Support
Resistance
NTPC
Bullish
Canara Bank
Bearish
Futures
2000 One Day
144
141
148
Futures
1000 One Day
445
436
452
Current Calls:
Sr.
No
Date
Action
Company
Product
Reco. Price
Stop Loss
1
30-Jan–15
Buy
R Com
2
28-Jan–15
Buy
Bombay Dyeing
3
24-Dec–14
Buy
4
11-Dec–14
Buy
Target
CMP Time Frame Remarks
Short Term
81.60
78
87
79.6 1 Week
Short Term
78.75
66
103
81.1 4 Weeks
Opto Circuit
Short Term
26.10
21.90
34
24.1 4 Weeks
SREINFRA
Short Term
50.1
44.4
62
46.0 4 Weeks
Reco. Price
Stop Loss
Target 1
Target 2
19
10
32
40
Options Recommendations:
Sr.
No
1
Date
Action
Company
27-Jan–15
Buy
LT 1750 CE
GEPL Capital Pvt Ltd
CMP Remarks
14 Stop loss triggered at 10
Equity | F&O | DP | Commodities | Mutual Funds | Insurance | Bonds | IPOs | WMS | LAS | Currency Derivatives | NRI Services
Morning Coffee with GEPL Capital
Date: February 02, 2015
Derivatives Snapshot
Current
Nifty Spot
Nifty
Futures
Nifty Futures
Prem. / Disc
Nifty Futures
Basis
Nifty Futures
OI
Nifty Futures
Change in OI
Nifty Futures
Volume ( in cr.)
Highest Total OI
Call Strike
Highest Total
OI Put Strike
Nifty OI
PCR
NSE
VIX
8808.90
8872.65
63.75
58.60
25504975
758725
1.47
9000
8000
0.95
20.17
Previous
8952.35
8986.30
33.95
49.75
24746250
4320300
1.30
9000
8000
1.09
19.43
Change
(143.45)
(113.65)
29.80
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
0.74
% Chg
(1.60)
(1.26)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
3.81
Snapshot:



Nifty February Futures ended @ 8872.65 down by 113.65 points with premium of 63.75 points.


Nifty 9000 call saw addition of 18.20 lakh shares in OI, and Nifty 9000 put saw addition of 6.70 lakh shares.
Nifty futures Open interest increased by 7.59 lakh shares with February series total open interest stands at 2.55 crore shares.
Nifty 9000 call has highest OI, whereas 8000 put holds the highest OI indicating 9150 to 8650 range for the week and Bank Nifty
21000 call has highest OI and 20000 put has highest OI indicating 19000 to 21000 range for the week.
India VIX ended at 20.17 up by 3.81% against the previous close of 19.43.
FII Derivatives Statistics:
Securities in Ban for Trade :
Buy (Rs. in Cr.)
Sell (Rs. in Cr.)
Net Buy / Sell (Rs. in Cr.)
INDEX FUTURES
2091.21
2019.13
72.09
1
-
5
-
INDEX OPTIONS
16203.52
14885.59
1317.93
2
-
6
-
STOCK FUTURES
3226.68
4835.14
(1608.46)
3
-
7
-
STOCK OPTIONS
2388.56
2249.57
138.98
4
-
8
-
Open Interest Summary:
Sr. No. Stock Name
Sr. No.
Y Axis
Long Build Up (+ +)
Short Build Up (- +)
Stock
Price %
OI %
Stock
Price %
OI %
BANKBARODA
(11.01)
23.76
ANDHRABANK
1.21
29.03
ALBK
(5.48)
17.18
IBREALEST
6.19
20.54
TCS
(2.33)
15.93
HCLTECH
8.77
14.20
SBIN
(5.28)
14.20
ADANIENT
7.40
13.29
UNIONBANK
(3.19)
13.96
JPASSOCIAT
9.11
10.93
X Axis
0
Long Unwinding (- -)
Stock
Short Covering (+ -)
Price %
OI %
Stock
Price %
OI %
ACC
(1.61)
(4.09)
BPCL
1.98
(9.41)
DIVISLAB
(2.33)
(3.45)
HINDPETRO
3.10
(4.70)
VOLTAS
(2.79)
(3.35)
SKSMICRO
2.20
(2.96)
SUNTV
(1.30)
(2.99)
BOSCHLTD
0.96
(2.77)
TITAN
(2.21)
(2.57)
LUPIN
1.76
(1.11)
Long Build Up: When price of a particular stock/Index future rises along with the rise in Open Interest.
Short Build Up: When Price of a particular stock/Index future falls with the rise in Open Interest.
Short Covering: When price of a particular stock/Index future rises with the fall in Open Interest.
Long Unwinding: When price of a particular stock/Index future falls along with the fall in Open Interest.
GEPL Capital Pvt Ltd
Stock Name
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Morning Coffee with GEPL Capital
Date: February 2, 2015
Debt Market Snapshot
Forex Rates
Prev. Close
Abs. Change
Change(%)
USD/INR
61.40
0.47
0.76
EUR/INR
70.23
0.57
0.81
GBP/INR
93.43
0.08
0.09
JPY/INR
52.63
0.55
1.05
Government Security Market:

The Inter-bank call money rate traded in the range of 6.25% 8.05%on Friday ended at 7.95%.

Total Borrowings From RBI's Repo with banks taking Rs. 118510
mn on Friday Vs Rs. 159000 mn on Thursday.

The benchmark 8.40% GOI 2024 closed at 7.6910% on Friday Vs
7.7107% on Thursday .
Particulars
Latest
Previous
Chg (bps)
5 Year GOI Bond
7.64%
7.67%
0.03
10 Year GOI Bond
7.69%
7.71%
0.02
15-Year GOI Bond
7.78%
7.80%
0-02
Call Money (WAR)
7.83%
7.72%
(0.11)
CBLO (WAR)
7.72%
7.60%
(0.12)
US 10 Year
1.75%
1.72%
(0.03)
Bonds in Secondary Market:
Crude Oil (in $/bl)
48.24
44..45
(3.79)
Bonds
Inflation (Monthly)
0.11%
0.11%
-
GEPL Capital Pvt Ltd
Global Debt Market:
U.S. Treasury 10-year notes are posting the biggest gain to start the
year in more than a quarter-century as investors snap up the highest
yields among Group of Seven nations as central banks worldwide seek
to avoid deflation .
10 Year Benchmark Technical View:
10 year (8.40% GOI 2024) yield likely to move in the range of 7.67% 7.71% level on Monday.
7.22 REC 2022 ( Tax Free)
Coupon
Maturity
Face Value
7.22
19/12/22
1000
Equity | F&O | DP | Commodities | Mutual Funds | Insurance | Bonds | IPOs | WMS | LAS | Currency Derivatives | NRI Services
Morning Coffee with GEPL Capital
Date: February 02, 2015
GEPL CAPITAL Pvt Ltd
Reg. Office: D-21/22 Dhanraj mahal, CSM Marg, Colaba, Mumbai 400001
Disclaimer:
This report has been prepared by GEPL Capital Private Limited ("GEPL Capital"). GEPL Capital is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Board of India. This report does
not constitute a prospectus, offering circular or offering memorandum and is not an offer or invitation to buy or sell any securities, nor shall part, or all, of this presentation form
the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision in relation to any securities. This report is for distribution only under such circumstances as
may be permitted by applicable law. Nothing in this report constitutes a representation that any investment strategy, recommendation or any other content contained herein is
suitable or appropriate to a recipient’s individual circumstances or otherwise constitutes a personal recommendation. All investments involve risks and investors should exercise prudence in making their investment decisions. The report should not be regarded by the recipients as a substitute for the exercise of their own judgment.
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Capital as a result of using different assumptions and criteria. GEPL Capital is under no obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. The securities
described herein may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. Options, derivative products and futures are not suitable for all investors,
and trading in these instruments is considered risky. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Foreign currency rates of exchange may adversely affect
the value, price or income of any security or related instrument mentioned in this report.
Any prices stated in this report are for information purposes only and do not represent valuations for individual securities or other instruments. There is no representation that
any transaction can or could have been effected at those prices and any prices do not necessarily reflect GEPL Capital’s internal books and records or theoretical modelbased valuations and may be based on certain assumptions. Different assumptions, by GEPL Capital or any other source may yield substantially different results. GEPL
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