FX Daily Commentary - The Bank of East Asia

th
6 February, 2015
FX Daily Commentary
Customer Services Hotline: (852) 2845 4580
Headlines
• The DJIA rose 211.86 pts to 17,884.88 and the Nasdaq rose 48.39 pts to 4,765.10 ;
• US 10 yrs and 30 yrs Treasury Bond yields closed at 1.81% and 2.42% respectively;
• Bank of England kept interest rate unchanged at 0.5%;
• Canada December Trade Deficit at 650 million CAD, better than forecast;
• US December Trade Deficit at 46.56 billion USD, much worse than forecast of -38 billion ;
• EUR rose against Swiss Franc strongly on Thursday, gaining more than 1% as traders
speculated that the SNB was again buying EUR/CHF;
• Gold fell almost 1% as uncertainty in Greece after the ECB said it would not accept Greece
seeking for relief on debt from euro zone lenders ;
Market Focus
CA UNEMPLOYMENT (EXPECT 6.7%)
US UNEMPLOYMENT (EXPECT 5.6%) / NON FARM PAYROLLS (EXPECT 234K)
FX Chart
EUR/USD DAILY
Daily QEUR=EBS
9/10/2014 - 2/13/2015 (HKG)
161.8% 1.34797
Cndl, QEUR=EBS, Trade Price
2/5/2015, 1.13430, 1.14580, 1.13040, 1.14460
3MA, QEUR=EBS, Trade Price(Last), 10, 50, 100, Simple
2/5/2015, 1.13322, 1.19389, 1.22772
Price
1.32
1.29
1.26
100.0% 1.257
1.23
61.8% 1.20077
1.2
50.0% 1.1834
38.2% 1.16603
1.17
23.6% 1.14454
1.14
0.0%
.12345
1.1098
MACD, QEUR=EBS, Trade Price(Last), 12, 26, 9, Exponential
2/5/2015, -0.01709, -0.01990
Value
-0.02
.12345
RSI, QEUR=EBS, Trade Price(Last), 14, Exponential
2/5/2015, 50.444
Value
StochS, QEUR=EBS, Trade Price, 5, 3, Simple, 3
2/5/2015, 58.701, 59.758
Value
.123
.123
15
22
29
September 2014
06
13
20
October 2014
27
03
10
17
24
November 2014
01
08
15
22
December 2014
29
05
12
19
January 2015
26
02
09
Feb 15
Source provided by REUTERS
Greece debts issues still dominated EUR on Thursday. USD softens as positioning before Friday’s
important jobs data. EUR/USD had tested the 1.15 earlier this week but met solid selling on the top, still
consolidating from multi years’ low hit in January. Daily’s Stochastic show divergence suggested the pair
lack of upward momentum, but a disappoint US job data may give a hand. A break of weekly high 1.1534
may expose for the 38.2% retracement at 1.1660.
For any enquiries, please contact FX-Margin Section at (852) 2211 1688
th
Previous Daily Range (5 February, 2015)
EUR/USD
USD/JPY
GBP/USD
USD/CHF
AUD/USD
NZD/USD
USD/CAD
EUR/JPY
EUR/GBP
USD/CNH
Last
1.1475
117.50
1.5328
0.9228
0.7806
0.7398
1.2435
134.83
0.7485
6.2440
High
1.1498
117.60
1.5344
0.9312
0.7825
0.7414
1.2585
135.13
0.7510
6.2655
Low
1.1304
117.02
1.5170
0.9210
0.7733
0.7341
1.2394
132.57
0.7450
6.2436
Technical Composite Page
EUR/USD
USD/JPY
GBP/USD
USD/CHF
AUD/USD
NZD/USD
USD/CAD
EUR/JPY
EUR/GBP
Resistance (3)
1.1540
118.50
1.5463
0.9361
0.7995
0.7474
1.2775
136.68
0.7574
Resistance (2)
1.1534
118.00
1.5426
0.9347
0.7942
0.7450
1.2645
135.81
0.7565
Resistance (1)
1.1499
117.67
1.5365
0.9310
0.7907
0.7428
1.2591
135.35
0.7526
Support (1)
1.1418
117.25
1.5283
0.9187
0.7781
0.7341
1.2389
133.91
0.7436
Support (2)
1.1391
117.02
1.5251
0.9168
0.7723
0.7275
1.2353
133.43
0.7406
Support (3)
1.1332
116.87
1.5215
0.9154
0.7720
0.7251
1.2314
132.73
0.7391
9-day RSI
49
45
64
51
32
42
56
47
38
10-day MA
1.1362
117.71
1.5158
0.9173
0.7822
0.7354
1.2520
133.76
0.7496
50-day MA
1.1920
118.78
1.5381
0.9564
0.8115
0.7664
1.1881
144.61
0.7752
Due to the fluctuation of interest rate market, we will make appropriate adjustment if necessary.
Economic Calendar
February
Monday
2
Tuesday
3
US
US
ISM Mfg Index
Construction spending
9
AU
AU
EU
US
4
RBA Meeting
Trade balance
PPI
Factory orders
10
JP
Current a/c
16
JP
23
UK
UK
GER
GER
EU
JP
AU
EU
US
US
UK
US
US
19
Unemployment
Building Permits
PPI
25
GDP
CPI
UK
AU
CA
US
US
NZ
US
For any enquiries, please contact FX-Margin Section at (852) 2211 1688
CA
US
US
UK
CA
US
US
Trade balance
Unemployment
Unemployment
Non-farm Payroll
13
Machinery Orders
Unemployment
Industrial production
Retail Sales
Jobless Claims
EU
EU
HK holiday
20
PPI
Jobless Claims
26
New home sales
Friday
6
BOE Meeting
Retail sales
Trade balance
Jobless Claims
12
18
CPI
PPI
ZEW index
Thursday
5
Unemployment
Retail sales
ISM Non Mfg Index
11
24
IFO index
Existing home sales
NZ
EU
US
Industrial production
Wholesale Inventories
17
GDP
GER
US
UK
US
Wednesday
GER
UK
GDP
Industrial production
HK holiday
PPI
Retail sales
27
CPI
CPI
Jobless Claims
JP
UK
US
Retail sales
GDP
GDP
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