Global Markets Overview January 27, 2015 Research Department Athens General Index 30-days chart 450,000 900 400,000 350,000 300,000 850 290 400,000 285 350,000 280 250,000 200,000 200,000 150,000 150,000 8,000 830 7,000 790 270 5,000 770 265 4,000 750 260 710 255 2,000 100,000 250 50,000 50,000 245 1,000 0 240 0 750 ASE Turnover FTSE-20 Turnover ASE Index Athens General Index 52-wk chart 500,000 1,150 400,000 1,050 300,000 950 FTSE-ASE Mid Cap Index 52-wk chart 450 400 500,000 1,200 25,000 1,100 20,000 300,000 850 100,000 750 100,000 0 650 0 300 900 10,000 800 5,000 200 FTSE-20 Turnover Market Cap to 2013e GDP: 0* 1,000 15,000 250 ASE Index 50,093.3 30,000 350 400,000 200,000 ATHEX Market Cap (€mn): 1,300 35,000 600,000 200,000 ASE Turnover 650 FTSE-MID 40 Index 40,000 700,000 1,250 670 FTSE-MID 40 Turnover 1,350 600,000 690 FTSE-20 Index FTSE-ASE Large Cap Index 52-wk chart 700,000 730 3,000 100,000 0 810 6,000 275 300,000 250,000 800 Athens FTSE-ASE Mid Cap 30-days chart Athens FTSE-ASE Large Cap 30-days chart 450,000 0 700 FTSE-20 Index FTSE-MID 40 Turnover FTSE-MID 40 Index 27.6% Athex Statistics as of: 24/1/15 Athens Stock Exchange - Valuation Ratios Athens Stock Exchange - Statistics Price to Earnings (x) Price to Book Value (x) Dividend Yield (Gross) (%) Last Price % 1d % 1m % 3m % 6m % ytd % 52w 52w low 52w high 2013a* LTM ** 2014e 2015e 2013a* 2013a 2014e 2015e Athens General Index 813.55 -3.20 -4.65 -15.14 -33.02 -1.53 -29.83 756.80 1,379.42 20.0 N/A 12.3 7.9 1.2 0.7 0.7 1.0 3.2 3.6 FTSE-ASE Large Cap 251.77 -5.60 -8.66 -19.71 -35.58 -4.94 -33.88 240.84 445.52 12.0 N/A 12.7 7.8 1.4 0.8 0.7 1.2 3.4 3.6 FTSE-ASE Mid Cap 798.86 1.32 3.50 -8.07 -28.38 3.34 -29.21 696.63 1,317.40 0.6 N/A N/A 13.4 0.8 0.6 N/A 0.8 0.6 0.7 Indexes 2014e 2015e Sector Indexes 83.27 -13.26 -17.60 -38.90 -49.53 -13.42 -53.09 81.04 213.44 1.2 N/A 14.0 5.3 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.0 N/A N/A Telecoms 2,491.08 0.11 -4.74 -0.11 -16.59 -0.55 -11.53 2,196.55 3,633.39 16.5 839.1 12.4 10.7 2.5 1.8 1.7 0.0 N/A N/A Oil-Gas 1,790.59 0.21 0.15 -0.78 -30.07 -1.34 -35.23 1,608.57 3,236.15 N/A N/A 9.4 6.3 1.3 0.8 0.8 3.3 5.9 9.0 Industrials 2,037.26 1.33 4.75 -9.09 -37.62 4.26 -35.89 1,816.11 3,724.87 30.4 71.9 18.7 8.7 1.5 0.9 1.0 1.6 3.2 4.3 Construction - Materials Banks 2,230.22 0.53 -2.42 -2.31 -29.93 2.07 -15.48 2,028.51 3,482.98 N/A N/A 15.7 9.4 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.8 2.5 Technology 718.83 -0.41 1.29 -6.68 -26.10 -1.00 -18.02 622.75 1,134.79 N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.5 N/A N/A 0.5 N/A N/A Commerce 5,054.29 -1.64 6.78 3.50 -21.25 11.02 -18.67 3,847.16 7,649.84 30.3 9.6 12.8 10.5 1.7 1.5 1.3 0.0 2.5 2.3 Food & Beverage 5,405.98 -2.94 -9.01 -13.22 -17.98 -7.72 -27.38 5,066.70 7,813.07 62.5 23.9 16.5 15.5 2.5 1.6 1.5 1.6 2.7 2.8 135.62 -3.38 2.40 -15.04 -31.87 -6.04 -40.29 116.58 287.11 N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.7 0.3 N/A 0.0 N/A N/A Financial Services 1,053.86 -2.84 6.25 -18.01 -44.95 5.22 -36.36 900.30 2,207.51 N/A N/A 14.2 12.3 1.2 1.8 1.7 0.3 5.0 4.5 Personal & Household 5,054.29 -1.64 6.78 3.50 -21.25 11.02 -18.67 3,847.16 7,649.84 30.3 9.6 12.8 10.5 1.7 1.5 1.3 0.0 2.5 2.3 Basic Resources 2,303.93 2.28 12.68 -0.77 -21.53 19.49 -12.87 1,753.11 3,356.44 N/A N/A 11.0 6.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.0 N/A N/A Retail 4,032.41 5.64 5.48 4.50 -10.50 6.06 19.14 3,090.34 4,836.94 4.6 12.2 11.7 10.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 0.0 2.3 2.9 Real Estate 2,390.10 4.29 1.02 -10.30 -19.33 4.74 1.10 2,188.74 3,111.71 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Travelling - Leisure 1,490.63 -4.38 -8.46 -8.55 -29.26 -2.77 -12.51 1,369.61 2,304.69 24.0 20.1 13.0 10.5 2.3 1.9 1.8 5.4 6.7 7.8 Utilities 2,151.13 2.91 -3.48 -6.05 -46.66 2.51 -38.31 1,791.08 4,471.04 N/A N/A 6.8 6.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.8 4.5 4.4 Settl. Price Premium/ Discount (%) % 1d Open Interest ∆ Open Interest Days to expire Aggregate Open Interest * 251.00 -0.31 -3.46 46,979 -3,352 24 47,811 0.413 0.24 -11.18 35,992 1,063 52 35,992 1.29 1.57 -8.51 18,846 1,464 52 18,846 0.801 0.12 -13.50 20,522 3,543 52 20,527 Health Futures (March 2015 expiration for stock futures) FTSE-20 February 2015 ALPHA BANK A.E. NATL BANK GREECE PIRAEUS BANK MYTILINEOS HLDGS 5.55 -0.18 2.78 3,459 -88 52 3,469 PUBLIC POWER COR 5.70 -2.06 2.70 4,345 26 52 4,345 HELLENIC TELECOM 8.84 -2.32 -1.56 5,809 367 52 5,809 OPAP SA 8.28 -0.84 -5.69 1,232 -314 52 1,232 Real GDP YoY Real GDP QoQ * 2013 P/E and P/Book ratios are calculated using the price of the index at 31.12.13 ** Last 12 months (Trailing 12 months) * Open interest for all expiration dates Government Bonds, Spreads & CDS Last Yield Greece France Spain Italy Portugal United States 6m, net Source: Bloomberg CDS * Spread ** 2Yr Bond N/A - - - 1,809 - 10.250 -0.40 6.17 -1.09 1,271 1,023.8 9.128 0.03 3.21 -0.62 1,052 874.1 -0.1510 0.00 -0.18 -0.05 - - 2Yr Bond 5Yr Bond 0.0120 -0.01 -0.29 -0.01 18 - 10Yr Bond 0.3870 -0.01 -0.76 -0.15 42 - 5Yr Bond 0.094 -0.01 -0.44 -0.08 49 8.2 10Yr Bond 0.573 -0.01 -0.98 -0.25 92 18.6 5Yr Bond 0.778 0.01 -0.33 -0.10 75 76.6 10Yr Bond 1.389 0.01 -1.15 -0.22 122 100.2 5Yr Bond 0.733 0.01 -0.51 -0.22 100 72.1 10Yr Bond 1.508 0.01 -1.21 -0.38 151 112.1 5Yr Bond 1.432 0.00 -0.81 -0.02 163 142.0 10Yr Bond 2.392 0.02 -1.25 -0.30 225 200.5 5Yr Bond 1.3289 -0.01 -0.34 -0.32 - - 10Yr Bond 1.8086 -0.02 -0.66 -0.36 - - 30Yr Bond 2.3829 -0.01 -0.86 -0.37 - - * Generic CDS Intraday Prices. Due to liquidity reasons, pricing sources may vary ** vs German Bund, in bps Macroeconomic Snapshots / Credit Ratings ytd, net 5Yr Bond 10Yr Bond Germany 1d, net (%) Eurozone 0.80 30/9/2014 Greece 1.60 30/9/2014 Germany 1.20 30/9/2014 France 0.40 30/9/2014 Spain 1.60 30/9/2014 Italy -0.50 30/9/2014 Portugal 1.10 30/9/2014 US 2.70 30/9/2014 0.20 Debt to Budget Balance to GDP GDP 90.90 -4.10 30/9/2014 31/12/2013 31/3/2014 174.90 -12.20 30/9/2014 31/12/2013 0.70 31/12/2013 76.90 0.10 30/9/2014 31/12/2013 0.10 31/12/2013 93.40 -4.10 30/9/2014 31/12/2013 1.00 31/12/2013 92.10 -6.80 30/9/2014 31/12/2013 0.49 31/12/2013 132.60 -2.80 30/9/2014 31/12/2013 -0.10 31/12/2013 128.00 -4.90 30/9/2014 31/12/2013 0.30 31/12/2013 71.80 -2.80 30/9/2014 31/12/2013 5.00 30/9/2014 CPI YoY CPI MoM -0.20 -0.10 Retail UnemploySales ment Rate (monthly) YoY 1.50 11.50 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 30/11/2014 30/11/2014 0.50 25.30 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 31/10/2014 -2.60 31/10/2014 0.20 -0.50 -0.80 6.50 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 30/11/2014 31/12/2014 0.10 0.00 S&P Caa1 B B STABLE STABLE NEG Aaa AAAu Fitch AAA STABLE STABLE STABLE 0.70 9.90 Aa1 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 30/11/2014 30/9/2014 NEG NEG STABLE 0.50 23.90 Baa2 BBB 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 30/11/2014 30/11/2014 -1.00 0.00 0.10 Moody's -0.60 -2.32 13.40 Baa2 30/11/2014 STABLE 0.20 13.90 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 30/11/2014 30/11/2014 0.80 0.00 3.20 5.60 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 -0.37 31/12/2014 AA BBB+ POS STABLE STABLE 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 30/11/2014 -0.36 0.00 AAu Ba1 BBBu BBB+ NEG STABLE BBu BB+ STABLE STABLE POS Aaa AA+u AAA STABLE STABLE STABLE Definitions: *- : watch list negative, WR: rating withdrawn Notes: GDP refers to quarterly data (Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4). All other macro indicators involve monthly data Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures Global Markets Overview January 27, 2015 Research Department DAX Index 30-days chart 12,000,000 11,000 10,800 10,000,000 S&P 500 Index 30-days chart Dow Jones Index 30-days chart 16,000,000 10,400 6,000,000 12,000,000 10,200 10,000,000 10,000 8,000,000 9,800 4,000,000 DAX Turnover 2,000,000 16,600 10,000,000 9,000 0 16,400 0 Dow Jones Turnover 10,500 10,000 7,000,000 6,000,000 9,500 5,000,000 9,000 4,000,000 8,500 3,000,000 8,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 7,500 0 7,000 FTSE MIB INDEX IRISH OVERALL INDEX 1,980 1,960 1,940 S&P 500 Turnover S&P 500 Index S&P 500 Index 52-week chart 18,000 140,000,000 17,500 120,000,000 16,000,000 17,000 2,100 2,050 2,000 1,950 1,900 1,850 1,800 1,750 1,700 1,650 1,600 1,550 1,500 100,000,000 16,500 12,000,000 80,000,000 16,000 8,000,000 15,500 4,000,000 60,000,000 15,000 40,000,000 14,500 20,000,000 14,000 0 Dow Jones Turnover 0 S&P 500 Turnover Dow Jones Index S&P 500 Index WORLD INDEXES - Valuation Ratios WORLD INDEXES - Statistics PSI All-Share Index GR 30,000,000 Dow Jones Index 20,000,000 DAX Index IBEX 35 INDEX 2,000 2,060 Dow Jones Index 52-week chart 8,000,000 FTSE 100 INDEX 2,020 40,000,000 9,200 11,000 CAC 40 INDEX 2,040 50,000,000 20,000,000 DAX Index 52-week chart DAX INDEX 60,000,000 16,800 9,000,000 Athex Composite Share Pr 17,400 4,000,000 10,000,000 Europe 70,000,000 17,000 DAX Index DAX Turnover 80,000,000 17,600 6,000,000 9,400 0 2,080 17,800 17,200 9,600 2,000,000 2,100 90,000,000 14,000,000 10,600 8,000,000 100,000,000 18,000 Price to Earnings (x) Price to Book (x) Dividend Yield (%) % 6m % ytd % 52w 52w Low 52w High 2013a* LTM ** 2014e 2015e 2013a* 2014e 2015e 2013a 2014e 2015e 24/1/2015 -33.02 -1.53 -29.83 756.80 1,379.42 20.0 N/A 12.3 7.9 1.2 0.7 0.7 1.0 3.2 3.6 1.40 26/1/2015 11.97 10.12 15.50 8,354.97 10,807.57 18.2 18.6 14.0 12.7 1.8 1.7 1.6 2.8 2.9 3.2 4,675.13 0.74 26/1/2015 7.96 9.42 12.80 3,789.11 4,678.83 25.6 18.7 15.0 13.3 1.5 1.4 1.4 3.1 3.4 3.6 UK 6,852.40 0.29 26/1/2015 0.90 4.36 4.61 6,072.68 6,904.86 16.7 19.6 15.1 13.5 2.0 1.7 1.7 3.6 4.2 4.2 4.0 Country Last Price % 1d Greece 813.55 -3.20 Germany 10,798.33 France Last Upd Spain 10,696.10 1.08 26/1/2015 -1.76 4.05 9.61 9,370.50 11,249.40 16.5 22.3 15.2 13.0 1.4 1.4 1.3 4.4 3.6 Portugal 2,362.66 1.33 26/1/2015 -15.97 11.01 -14.27 2,053.74 3,170.54 N/A N/A 13.4 9.1 1.3 1.0 0.9 3.1 3.9 4.4 Italy 20,756.72 1.15 26/1/2015 -1.46 9.18 7.70 17,555.77 22,590.18 180.9 N/A 14.6 12.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.9 3.7 4.2 Ireland 5,591.52 0.25 26/1/2015 18.54 7.02 20.49 4,275.26 5,632.06 52.4 36.9 18.2 15.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.9 1.9 Sweden 1,554.70 1.19 26/1/2015 10.72 6.16 18.03 1,246.56 1,554.70 17.0 17.3 15.8 14.7 2.3 2.3 2.1 3.9 4.0 4.3 Luxembourg 1,574.01 1.01 26/1/2015 0.11 3.53 10.53 1,353.57 1,593.00 56.0 20.1 18.1 14.5 1.1 1.2 1.1 4.8 2.8 3.1 AUSTRIAN TRADED ATX INDX Austria 2,252.14 1.10 26/1/2015 -5.13 4.26 -13.54 1,980.53 2,692.64 24.7 N/A 13.0 10.7 1.0 0.9 0.8 2.8 3.5 4.1 OMX COPENHAGEN 20 INDEX Denmark 815.19 1.58 26/1/2015 9.87 9.51 30.46 618.14 815.24 19.7 22.7 17.8 15.6 2.5 2.8 2.6 1.8 2.1 2.6 Switzerland 8,296.45 1.66 26/1/2015 -3.21 -7.65 2.02 7,852.83 9,292.44 18.4 19.1 16.1 14.8 2.6 2.4 2.3 3.0 3.5 3.9 OMX STOCKHOLM 30 INDEX LUXEMBOURG LuxX INDEX SWISS MARKET INDEX Emerging Europe BIST 100 INDEX SOFIX INDEX WSE WIG INDEX BUCHAREST BET INDEX Turkey 91,412.94 0.75 26/1/2015 8.54 6.64 41.57 60,753.53 91,585.11 9.9 11.1 11.3 9.8 1.3 1.5 1.3 2.7 2.6 3.0 Bulgaria 498.61 0.26 26/1/2015 -8.51 -4.50 -8.79 486.61 625.40 7.0 7.6 N/A N/A 0.7 N/A N/A 5.3 N/A N/A Poland 51,516.62 -0.32 26/1/2015 -0.18 0.20 2.95 48,765.47 55,687.59 17.5 16.7 13.3 11.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 3.7 3.8 4.0 Romania 6,999.10 -0.82 26/1/2015 0.64 -1.18 7.97 6,110.93 7,309.05 11.9 9.6 8.7 8.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 2.8 4.2 4.9 -2.86 1.84 44,904.83 62,304.88 29.8 15.4 10.7 9.0 1.1 1.1 1.0 4.0 4.4 5.1 17.99 11.47 1,182.89 1,700.77 6.7 8.8 5.3 4.7 0.8 0.5 0.4 3.9 5.5 6.3 BRIC BRAZIL IBOVESPA INDEX MICEX INDEX S&P BSE SENSEX INDEX Brazil 48,576.55 -0.41 Russia 1,647.81 0.33 26/1/2015 -15.99 9:23:13 πµ 18.68 India 29,314.75 0.12 9:08:13 πµ 12.20 6.60 38.71 19,963.12 29,456.63 16.7 20.4 18.6 15.9 2.6 2.9 2.6 1.5 1.4 1.5 China 3,352.96 -0.89 9:07:35 πµ 57.67 3.66 64.90 1,974.38 3,406.79 10.3 16.1 12.8 11.3 1.4 1.7 1.5 3.0 2.3 2.6 DOW JONES INDUS. AVG US 17,678.70 0.03 26/1/2015 4.23 -0.81 11.62 15,340.69 18,103.45 15.7 15.9 16.0 14.5 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.1 2.3 2.5 NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX US 4,771.76 0.29 12:16:00 πµ 7.24 0.75 16.85 3,946.03 4,814.95 27 36 20.3 17.4 3.3 3.4 3.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 S&P 500 INDEX US 2,057.09 0.26 26/1/2015 3.98 -0.09 15.47 1,737.92 2,093.55 17.2 18.2 17.1 15.1 2.6 2.6 2.4 1.9 2.1 2.2 SHANGHAI SE COMPOSITE US Asia, Pacific NIKKEI 225 HANG SENG INDEX Japan 17,768.30 1.72 8:28:01 πµ 14.95 1.82 18.41 13,885.11 18,030.83 22.2 21.5 19.2 16.9 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.3 1.5 1.7 Hong Kong 24,767.11 -0.57 9:08:12 πµ 2.28 4.92 12.70 21,137.61 25,362.98 10.9 10.5 11.5 10.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 3.3 3.5 3.8 Singapore 3,423.98 0.75 9:08:13 πµ 2.20 1.75 12.54 2,953.01 3,426.91 13.6 13.9 14.0 12.7 1.4 1.3 1.2 3.3 3.3 3.6 Australia 5,547.23 0.83 8:04:11 πµ -0.65 2.52 5.84 5,052.20 5,679.50 19.8 19.2 15.8 14.5 2.0 1.9 1.8 4.3 4.7 4.9 Straits Times Index STI S&P/ASX 200 INDEX Volatility & Risk Indexes * 2013 P/E and P/Book ratios are calculated using the price of the index at 31.12.13 VDAX VIX VXN DAX 19.07 -2.75 26/1/2015 32.98 -2.10 33.26 10.80 24.09 S&P 500 15.52 -6.84 26/1/2015 22.30 -19.17 -10.91 10.28 31.06 26/1/2015 Nasdaq 100 16.97 -0.53 27.02 -13.59 -10.07 9.66 31.17 MARKIT ITRX EUROPE 12/19 (Generic) Europe 52.07 - 9:23:13 πµ -15.10 -17.24 -37.84 51.78 86.56 MARKIT ITRX EUR XOVER 12/19 (Generic) Europe 291.35 - 9:23:13 πµ 17.01 -15.79 -7.24 218.43 429.90 % 6m % ytd % 52w 52w Low 52w High COMMODITIES Energy Currencies Price % 1d % 6m % ytd EUR / US Dollar 1.1242 -0.34 -16.36 -7.09 -17.82 1.1098 - EUR/Japanese Yen 132.65 -0.66 -3.09 -8.52 -5.26 130.15 149.80 44.20 107.73 EUR / British Pound 0.7452 -0.29 -5.81 -4.04 -9.64 0.7405 0.8403 -55.13 45.19 115.71 EUR / Swiss Franc 1.0158 0.27 -16.39 -15.53 -17.05 0.7813 1.2300 -39.03 2.77 6.49 EUR / Canadian Dollar 1.4032 0.11 -3.36 -0.16 -7.54 1.3754 1.5587 % ytd % 52w 52w Low 52w High EUR / Australian Dollar 1.4183 -0.33 -0.73 -4.29 -9.46 1.3798 1.5676 -1.91 8.22 2.00 1131.24 1392.22 EUR / Turkish Lira 2.6470 -0.16 -6.35 -6.44 -15.63 2.6045 3.1668 0.20 9:22:51 πµ -13.42 14.35 -8.84 14.29 22.18 0.15 9:22:14 πµ -15.20 3.81 -11.18 1177.15 1521.38 3m 778.60 -0.29 9:22:10 πµ -11.56 -2.40 7.75 696.80 912.00 Exchange Last Price % 1d - 45.12 -0.29 9:22:00 πµ -57.70 -19.08 -58.41 - NYM 44.94 -0.47 9:22:59 πµ -55.98 -15.64 -53.05 Brent Crude Futr-Generic 1st month ($/bbl) ICE 47.87 -0.60 9:13:07 πµ -55.84 -16.50 Natural Gas Futr-Generic 1st month ($/bbl) NYM 2.96 2.57 9:19:35 πµ -21.85 2.28 Precious Metals Exchange Last Price % 1d Last Upd % 6m GOLD SPOT $/OZ - 1,282.24 0.07 9:23:03 πµ SILVER SPOT $/OZ - 17.96 PLATINUM SPOT $/OZ - 1,254.05 PALLADIUM SPOT $/OZ - Dated BFO Crude Oil Spot Px ($/bbl) WTI Crude Futr-Generic 1st month ($/bbl) Base Metals ** Last 12 months (Trailing 12 months) Last Upd Money Market Rates 1w 1.3994 6m 9m 12m -0.0230 0.0010 0.0530 0.1370 0.2060 0.2750 US 0.1344 0.1678 0.2561 0.3539 0.5508 0.6219 Japan 0.0450 0.0721 0.0971 0.1421 0.3543 0.2726 Europe 1m % 52w 52wLow 52wHigh Exchange Last Price % 1d Last Upd % 6m % ytd % 52w 52w Low 52w High LME ALUMINUM 3MO ($) / MT LME 1,879.00 2.62 26/1/2015 -5.91 1.43 6.64 1671.25 2119.50 LME COPPER LME 5,580.00 1.10 26/1/2015 -21.68 -11.43 -22.28 5339.50 7220.00 LME 1,870.00 1.33 26/1/2015 -17.51 0.65 -13.71 1743.00 2307.00 Latest Rate Last Update Next Update LME 14,750.00 2.79 26/1/2015 -23.18 -2.64 1.79 13650.00 21625.00 Europe ECB 0.05 22/1/2015 5/3/2015 Exchange Last Price % 1d Last Upd % 6m % ytd % 52w 52w Low 52w High UK BoE 0.50 8/1/2015 5/2/2015 CBT 383.00 -0.26 9:11:39 πµ 5.51 -3.53 -11.29 318.25 519.50 US Fed 0.25 17/12/2014 28/1/2015 Japan BoJ 0.10 22/1/2014 * LME LEAD LME NICKEL 3MO ($) / MT 3MO ($) / MT 3MO ($) / MT Agriculture Corn Futr-Generic 1st month ($/bu.) Wheat Futr - Generic 1st month ($/bu.) CBT 519.25 -0.24 9:12:00 πµ -3.49 -11.95 -7.85 466.25 735.00 Soybean Futr - Generic 1st month ($/bu.) CBT 980.50 -0.31 9:11:34 πµ -19.12 -3.80 -23.86 904.00 1536.75 Sugar Futr - Generic 1st month ($/lb.) NYB 15.35 1.19 Coffee Futr - Generic 1st month ($/lb.) NYB 161.85 -0.37 Live Cattle Futr - Generic 1st month ($/lb.) CME 149.83 -0.35 Lean Hogs Futr - Generic 1st month ($/lb.) CME 70.83 2.20 Source: Bloomberg 26/1/2015 -10.44 26/1/2015 -9.66 26/1/2015 -5.83 26/1/2015 -42.71 5.72 1.59 13.32 18.47 -2.85 41.48 113.15 225.50 -9.58 4.48 135.40 171.98 -12.78 -18.00 68.85 133.90 Interest Rates * As of 4/4/2013, the BOJ has shifted its monetary policy focus to a targeted monetary base via Japanese government bond (JGB) purchases. Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures Global Markets Overview January 27, 2015 Research Department Bonds, Spreads, CDS 10 Yr Bond Yields 5 Yr Bond Yields Greece, Germany, Ireland, Portugal, Spain Germany, Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Greece 13 11 12 10 11 9 10 8 9 7 8 7 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 28/1/2014 21/4/2014 Greece 13/7/2014 Germany Ireland 4/10/2014 Portugal -1 27/1/2014 26/12/2014 Spain Greek Spreads, 10 Yr Bonds (5 Yr n/a) Germany 35835 -3 1,250 20/4/2014 Italy 12/7/2014 Ireland Portugal 3/10/2014 Spain 25/12/2014 Italy Greece Greek CDS, 5 Yr & 10 Yr Bonds (CMAN pricing) 66257 1,600 1,200 1,550 1,150 1,500 1,450 1,100 1,400 1,050 1,350 1,000 1,300 950 1,250 900 1,200 850 1,150 800 1,100 750 1,050 700 1,000 650 950 600 900 550 24/11/2014 850 4/12/2014 14/12/2014 24/12/2014 Greek 10Yr Spread 3/1/2015 13/1/2015 23/1/2015 8/1/2015 Greek 5Yr Spread 11/1/2015 14/1/2015 17/1/2015 Greek 5Yr CDS Spreads and CDS, 10 Yr Bonds - Ireland, Portugal, Italy, Spain (CBIL pricing for CDS) 300 20/1/2015 23/1/2015 26/1/2015 Greek 10Yr CDS Spreads and CDS, 5 Yr Bonds Ireland, Portugal, Italy, Spain (CBIL pricing for CDS) 220 280 200 260 180 240 220 160 200 140 180 523 160 120 140 100 725.1 702.1 120 80 100 60 80 60 40 40 20 390.16 20 0 16/12/2014 26/12/2014 Irish Spread Portugese CDS Italian Spread Source: Bloomberg 5/1/2015 Irish CDS Spanish Spread Italian CDS 15/1/2015 Portugese Spread Spanish CDS 25/1/2015 0 16/12/2014 26/12/2014 Irish Spread (6Yr) Portugese CDS Italian Spread 5/1/2015 Irish CDS Spanish Spread Italian CDS 15/1/2015 25/1/2015 Portugese Spread Spanish CDS Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures Global Markets Overview January 27, 2015 Research Department Currencies Euro / US Dollar 1.1242 -0.34% 1.40 1.38 1.36 1.34 1.32 1.30 1.28 1.26 1.24 1.22 1.20 1.18 1.16 1.14 1.12 1.10 27/1/2014 27/2/2014 27/3/2014 27/4/2014 27/5/2014 Euro / Japanese Yen 132.65 27/6/2014 27/7/2014 27/8/2014 27/9/2014 27/10/2014 27/11/2014 27/12/2014 Euro / British Pound -0.66% 0.7452 27/1/2015 -0.29% 0.85 150 ###### -3.00 145 0.84 0.83 0.82 0.81 0.80 140 0.79 0.78 0.77 135 0.76 0.75 130 27/1/2014 27/3/2014 27/5/2014 27/7/2014 27/9/2014 27/11/2014 27/1/2015 0.74 27/1/2014 27/3/2014 27/5/2014 27/7/2014 27/9/2014 27/11/2014 27/1/2015 Commodities, (Precious) Metals Dated BFO Crude Oil Spot Px ($/bbl) 45.12 Gold, Spot ($/OZ) -0.29% 120 1,282.24 0.07% 1,450 110 1,400 100 1,350 90 1,300 80 - 1,250 70 1,200 60 1,150 50 40 27/1/2014 27/3/2014 27/5/2014 27/7/2014 27/9/2014 Aluminum (3MO Future) ($/MT) 1,879.00 27/11/2014 27/1/2015 1,100 27/1/2014 27/5/2014 7,400 2,100 27/7/2014 27/9/2014 Copper (3MO Future) ($/MT) 2.62% 2,150 27/3/2014 27/11/2014 5,580.00 27/1/2015 1.10% 702.1 7,200 2,050 7,000 2,000 6,800 1,950 6,600 1,900 6,400 1,850 6,200 363.8 1,800 6,000 1,750 5,800 1,700 1,650 27/1/2014 Source: Bloomberg 390.2 5,600 20/4/2014 12/7/2014 3/10/2014 25/12/2014 5,400 27/1/2014 20/4/2014 12/7/2014 3/10/2014 25/12/2014 Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures Global Markets Overview January 27, 2015 Research Department Macroeconomic Calendar Regions included: EC, Greece, Germany, France, Portugal, Italy, Spain, Ireland, United Kingdom, US, China, Japan Date Time 01/26/2015 01:50 01/26/2015 01:50 01/26/2015 01:50 01/26/2015 01:50 01/26/2015 10:00 01/26/2015 10:00 01/26/2015 11:00 01/26/2015 11:00 01/26/2015 11:00 01/26/2015 17:30 01/27/2015 01:50 01/27/2015 03:30 01/27/2015 04:00 01/27/2015 07:00 01/27/2015 10:00 01/27/2015 10:00 01/27/2015 11:30 01/27/2015 11:30 01/27/2015 11:30 01/27/2015 11:30 01/27/2015 11:30 01/27/2015 15:30 01/27/2015 15:30 01/27/2015 15:30 01/27/2015 15:30 01/27/2015 16:00 01/27/2015 16:00 01/27/2015 16:00 01/27/2015 16:00 01/27/2015 16:00 01/27/2015 16:00 01/27/2015 16:45 01/27/2015 16:45 01/27/2015 17:00 01/27/2015 17:00 01/27/2015 17:00 01/27/2015 17:00 01/27/2015 19:00 01/27/2015 19:00 01/28/2015 01/31 01/28/2015 03:45 01/28/2015 04:00 01/28/2015 09:00 01/28/2015 09:00 01/28/2015 09:00 01/28/2015 09:45 01/28/2015 13:00 01/28/2015 13:00 01/28/2015 13:00 01/28/2015 13:00 01/28/2015 14:00 01/28/2015 21:00 01/28/2015 21:00 01/29/2015 01:50 01/29/2015 01:50 01/29/2015 01:50 01/29/2015 01:50 01/29/2015 01:50 01/29/2015 01:50 01/29/2015 01:50 01/29/2015 01:50 01/29/2015 09:00 01/29/2015 09:00 01/29/2015 10:00 01/29/2015 10:00 01/29/2015 10:00 01/29/2015 10:00 01/29/2015 10:55 01/29/2015 10:55 01/29/2015 11:00 01/29/2015 11:00 01/29/2015 11:00 01/29/2015 11:00 01/29/2015 11:00 01/29/2015 11:00 01/29/2015 11:00 01/29/2015 11:00 01/29/2015 11:00 01/29/2015 11:00 01/29/2015 11:30 01/29/2015 11:30 01/29/2015 11:30 01/29/2015 11:30 01/29/2015 12:00 01/29/2015 12:00 01/29/2015 12:00 01/29/2015 12:00 01/29/2015 12:00 Source: Bloomberg Event JN JN JN JN SP SP GE GE GE US JN CH CH JN SP SP UK UK UK UK UK US US US US US US US US US US US US US US US US FR FR CH CH CH GE GE GE FR IR IR IR IR US US US JN JN JN JN JN JN JN JN UK UK GE GE SP SP GE GE EC EC GE GE GE GE GE GE IT IT PO PO GE GE IT IT IT EC EC 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) 10) 11) 12) 13) 14) 15) 16) 17) 18) 19) 20) 21) 22) 23) 24) 25) 26) 27) 28) 29) 30) 31) 32) 33) 34) 35) 36) 37) 38) 39) 40) 41) 42) 43) 44) 45) 46) 47) 48) 49) 50) 51) 52) 53) 54) 55) 56) 57) 58) 59) 60) 61) 62) 63) 64) 65) 66) 67) 68) 69) 70) 71) 72) 73) 74) 75) 76) 77) 78) 79) 80) 81) 82) 83) 84) 85) 86) 87) 88) Trade Balance Trade Balance Adjusted Exports YoY Imports YoY PPI MoM PPI YoY IFO Business Climate IFO Current Assessment IFO Expectations Dallas Fed Manf. Activity PPI Services YoY Industrial Profits YoY Conference Board China December Leading Economic Index Small Business Confidence Total Mortgage Lending YoY House Mortgage Approvals YoY BBA Loans for House Purchase Index of Services MoM Index of Services 3M/3M GDP QoQ GDP YoY Durable Goods Orders Durables Ex Transportation Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air S&P/CS 20 City MoM SA S&P/CS Composite-20 YoY S&P/CaseShiller 20-City Index NSA S&P/Case-Shiller US HPI MoM S&P/Case-Shiller US HPI YoY S&P/Case-Shiller US HPI NSA Markit US Composite PMI Markit US Services PMI New Home Sales MoM New Home Sales Consumer Confidence Index Richmond Fed Manufact. Index Total Jobseekers Jobseekers Net Change Leading Index Westpac-MNI Consumer Sentiment Bloomberg Jan. China Economic Survey Import Price Index MoM Import Price Index YoY GfK Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Property Prices MoM Property Prices YoY Retail Sales Volume MoM Retail Sales Volume YoY MBA Mortgage Applications FOMC Rate Decision (Upper Bound) FOMC Rate Decision (Lower Bound) Japan Buying Foreign Bonds Japan Buying Foreign Stocks Foreign Buying Japan Bonds Foreign Buying Japan Stocks Retail Trade YoY Retail Sales MoM Large Retailers' Sales Loans & Discounts Corp YoY Nationwide House PX MoM Nationwide House Px NSA YoY CPI Saxony YoY CPI Saxony MoM Retail Sales YoY Retail Sales SA YoY Unemployment Change (000's) Unemployment Rate M3 Money Supply YoY M3 3-month average CPI Brandenburg MoM CPI Brandenburg YoY CPI Hesse MoM CPI Hesse YoY CPI Bavaria MoM CPI Bavaria YoY Hourly Wages MoM Hourly Wages YoY Consumer Confidence Index Economic Climate Indicator CPI North Rhine Westphalia MoM CPI North Rhine Westphalia YoY Consumer Confidence Index Business Confidence Economic Sentiment Business Climate Indicator Industrial Confidence Survey Actual Prior Revised Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Jan Jan Jan Jan Dec Dec -¥735.2B -¥743.1B 11.2 2 -0.90% -3.50% 106.5 110.8 102.5 3 3.50% -- -¥660.7B -¥712.1B 12.9 1.9 -1.10% -3.70% 106.7 111.7 102 -4.4 3.60% -8.00% -¥891.9B -¥925.0B 4.9 -1.7 -1.10% -1.50% 105.5 110 101.1 4.1 3.60% -4.20% -¥893.5B -¥832.5B --1.6 -1.20% --109.8 101.3 3.5 --- Jan Nov Nov Dec Nov Nov 4Q A 4Q A Dec Dec Dec Dec Nov Nov Nov Nov Nov Nov Jan P Jan P Dec Dec Jan Jan Dec Dec Dec Jan ---36500 0.30% 0.90% 0.60% 2.80% 0.30% 0.60% 0.90% 1.00% 0.60% 4.30% 172.96 0.70% 4.65% --53.8 2.70% 450K 95.5 5 3503.7k 15.5 --- 46.3 ---------------------------- 46.7 17.70% 18.00% 36717 0.30% 0.70% 0.70% 2.60% -0.70% -0.40% 0.00% 0.20% 0.76% 4.50% 173.36 0.65% 4.64% 167.11 53.5 53.3 -1.60% 438K 92.6 7 3488.3k 27.4 99.17 112.5 ---------0.90% -0.70% -0.50% -0.20% ----------------- Dec Dec Feb Jan Dec Dec Dec Dec Jan 23 Jan 28 Jan 28 Jan 23 Jan 23 Jan 23 Jan 23 Dec Dec Dec Dec Jan Jan Jan Jan Dec Dec Jan Jan Dec Dec Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Dec Dec Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan -1.50% -3.40% 9.1 91 -----0.25% -----0.90% 0.30% 0.50% -0.30% 6.60% ---2.50% -10K 6.50% 3.50% 3.10% ------------100 98 -0.12 -4.5 ----------------------------------------------- -0.80% -2.10% 9 90 0.50% 16.20% 0.20% 4.70% 14.20% 0.25% 0.00% -¥397.2B ¥657.4B -¥233.7B -¥577.4B 0.40% -0.30% 1.20% 2.88% 0.20% 7.20% 0.50% 0.20% 0.50% 1.90% -27K 6.50% 3.10% 2.70% 0.00% 0.30% -0.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.30% 0.10% 1.10% -22.3 0.3 -0.10% 0.10% 99.7 97.5 87.6 0.04 -5.2 ---------------0.50% -0.20% 1.10% ----------------0.10% 0.20% ------------ Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures Global Markets Overview January 27, 2015 Research Department Economic Events Calendar 01/27/2015 09:00 01/27/2015 10:00 01/27/2015 11:00 01/27/2015 13:00 01/27/2015 15:30 01/27/2015 16:00 01/27/2015 17:00 01/27/2015 19:00 01/27/2015 01/27/2015 01/26/2015 01/27 01/25/2015 01/28 01/28/2015 10:30 01/28/2015 13:30 01/28/2015 18:00 01/28/2015 21:00 01/28/2015 21:00 01/29/2015 10:30 01/29/2015 11:30 01/29/2015 13:00 01/29/2015 16:00 01/29/2015 18:00 01/29/2015 01/30 01/30/2015 11:00 01/30/2015 11:00 01/30/2015 12:00 01/30/2015 13:00 01/30/2015 13:00 01/30/2015 14:45 02/03/2015 11:00 02/04/2015 13:00 02/04/2015 18:00 02/04/2015 19:45 02/05/2015 11:00 02/06/2015 12:00 02/06/2015 19:45 02/06/2015 02/08/2015 02/10 02/09/2015 03:30 02/10/2015 11:00 02/10/2015 15:20 02/11/2015 07:00 02/12/2015 02/13/2015 15:30 EC EC PO IT IT BE PO FR IT EC EC US EC SP PO US US EC PO PO IT PO EC EC EC PO PO PO PO PO PO EC US EC IT US EC GR JN PO US US EC US Regions included: EC, Greece, Germany, France, Portugal, Italy, Spain, Ireland, United Kingdom, US, China, Japan 1) Germany's Schaeuble, Italy's Padoan Speak to EU Committee 2) EU Finance Ministers Meet in Brussels 3) Former BESA President Rui Guerra Speaks in Parliament 4) Dty Finance Minister Testifies on Govt Forthcoming Tax Decre 5) Italy Debt Agency Head, Bank of Italy's Speak at Rome Event 6) EU Finance Ministers Discuss Ukraine 7) Escom Chairman Helder Bataglia Speaks in Parliament 8) Total Jobseekers 9) Finmeccanica Holds Board Meeting on Business Plan 10) EU's Malmstroem Speaks at EU-China Conference in Brussels 11) EU's Stylianides Visits Ukraine Jan. 26-27 12) U.S. Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew Travels to Europe 13) ALDE Anti-Terrorism Conference in Brussels 14) Bank of Spain Governor Linde Speaks at an Event 15) Espirito Santo Compliance Officer Speaks in Parliament 16) FOMC Meet to Discuss Interest Rates 17) FOMC Rate Decision (Upper Bound) 18) EU Foreign Ministers Hold Meeting on Ukraine in Brussels 19) Portugal Releases Consumer, Business Confidence Report 20) Portugal Releases Monthly Employment, Unemployment Estimates 21) Italian Parliament, Regional Delegates Vote on New President 22) Former Novo Banco Board Member Honorio Speaks in Parliament 23) EU Justice, Interior Ministers Hold Meeting in Latvia 24) NATO's Stoltenberg Holds Press Conference in Brussels 25) EU's Katainen Speaks on EU Investment Program in Frankfurt 26) Portuguese Prime Minister Speaks at Debate in Parliament 27) Portugal Releases December Retail Sales, Employment Report 28) Portugal Reports Industrial Production Index 29) Portuguese Vice Premier Portas Speaks at Awards Event 30) Fitch Ratings Holds Lisbon Credit Conference 31) Portugal Reports Fourth-Quarter Unemployment Rate 32) EU's Hill Speaks at Long-Term Financing Conference in Brussels 33) Fed's Mester Speaks on Economy and Banking in Columbus 34) EU Publishes Economic Forecasts 35) Bank of Italy Report on Balance-Sheet Aggregates 36) Fed's Lockhart Speaks on U.S. Economy in Naples, Florida 37) U.S.'s Biden Meets With EU Officials in Brussels 38) Merkel to Make Two-Day Trip to U.S. and Canada 39) BOJ Board Member Morimoto Speaks in Chiba 40) ECB's Costa, Praet Speak on Financial Stability in Lisbon 41) Fed's Lacker to Speak on Economy in Raleigh, North Carolina 42) Fed's Fisher Speaks to Economists in New York 43) EU Leaders Hold Summit in Brussels 44) Revisions of Producer Price Index GE FR FR FR US US US JN SP SP IT IT IT CH IT GE US US CH JN JN IT IT IT IR US US UK UK UK US US JN US US CH GR UK JN JN FR JN UK UK Regions included: EC, Greece, Germany, France, Portugal, Italy, Spain, Ireland, United Kingdom, US, China, Japan 1) Germany Sells EUR1.4525 Bln 364-Day Bills; Yield -0.1725% 2) France Sells EUR3.593 Bln 84-Day Bills; Yield -0.122% 3) France to Sell Up to EUR1.9 Bln 133-Day Bills 4) France Sells EUR1.898 Bln 343-Day Bills; Yield -0.12% 5) U.S. Sells USD24 Bln 3-Month Bills; High Yld 0.020% 6) U.S. Sells USD24 Bln 6-Month Bills; High Yld 0.075% 7) U.S. Sells USD30 Bln 4-Week Bills; High Yld 0.020% 8) Japan Auction for Enhanced-Liquidity 9) Spain to Sell 3-Month Bills 10) Spain to Sell 9-Month Bills 11) Italy to Sell Up to EUR2 Bln Zero 2016 Bonds 12) Italy to Sell Up to EUR1 Bln 1.7% 2018 Bonds 13) Italy to Sell Up to EUR1 Bln 2.55% 2041 Bonds 14) China to Sell CNY20 Bln 10-Year Bonds (1429) 15) Italy to Sell Bills 16) Germany to Sell EUR2 Bln 2.5% 2046 Bonds (DE0001102341) 17) U.S. to Sell USD15 Bln 2-Year Floating Rate Notes 18) U.S. to Sell USD26 Bln 2-Year Notes 19) China Development Bank to Sell CNY4Bln 1-Year Bonds(1502) 20) Japan to Sell 3-Month Bill 21) Japan to Sell 2-Year Bonds 22) Italy to Sell Up to EUR3 Bln 1.05% 2019 Bonds 23) Italy to Sell Up to EUR3.5 Bln 2.5% 2024 Bonds 24) Italy to Sell Up to EUR1.75 Bln Floating 2020 Bonds 25) Ireland to Sell EUR500 Mln 183-Day Bills 26) U.S. to Sell USD35 Bln 5-Year Notes 27) U.S. to Sell USD29 Bln 7-Year Notes 28) U.K. to Sell GBP500 Mln 28-Day Bills 29) U.K. to Sell GBP1.5 Bln 182-Day Bills 30) U.K. to Sell GBP1 Bln 92-Day Bills 31) U.S. to Sell 3-Month Bills 32) U.S. to Sell 6-Month Bills 33) Japan to Sell 10-Year Bonds 34) U.S. to Sell 52-Week Bills 35) U.S. to Sell 4-Week Bills 36) China to Sell 5-Year Bonds 37) Greece to Sell 26-Week Bills 38) U.K. to Sell 2024 I/L Bonds 39) Japan to Sell 3-Month Bill 40) Japan to Sell 30-Year Bonds 41) France to Sell Bonds 42) Japan to Sell 6-Month Bill 43) U.K. to Sell 1-Month Bills 44) U.K. to Sell 3-Month Bills Government Auctions / Buyouts Calendar 01/26/2015 12:30 01/26/2015 15:50 01/26/2015 15:50 01/26/2015 15:50 01/26/2015 18:30 01/26/2015 18:30 01/26/2015 20:00 01/27/2015 10:00 01/27/2015 11:30 01/27/2015 11:30 01/27/2015 12:00 01/27/2015 12:00 01/27/2015 12:00 01/28/2015 05:00 01/28/2015 12:00 01/28/2015 12:30 01/28/2015 18:30 01/28/2015 20:00 01/29/2015 05:00 01/29/2015 05:35 01/29/2015 05:45 01/29/2015 12:00 01/29/2015 12:00 01/29/2015 12:00 01/29/2015 12:30 01/29/2015 18:30 01/29/2015 20:00 01/30/2015 13:00 01/30/2015 13:00 01/30/2015 13:00 02/02/2015 18:30 02/02/2015 18:30 02/03/2015 05:45 02/03/2015 18:30 02/03/2015 18:30 02/04/2015 05:00 02/04/2015 12:00 02/04/2015 12:30 02/05/2015 05:35 02/05/2015 05:45 02/05/2015 11:50 02/06/2015 05:35 02/06/2015 13:00 02/06/2015 13:00 Source: Bloomberg Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures Global Markets Overview January 27, 2015 Research Department Earnings Releases Calendar Global - Top Events Primary Exchange New York New York New York NASDAQ GS New York NASDAQ GS EN Amsterdam Xetra Stockholm NASDAQ GS New York New York New York SIX Swiss Ex New York New York New York New York New York New York New York New York New York New York New York New York New York NASDAQ GS New York New York NASDAQ GS NASDAQ GS NASDAQ GS NASDAQ GS New York New York BM&FBOVESPA MICEX Main SIX Swiss Ex Stockholm Stockholm Stockholm New York New York New York New York New York New York Stockholm NASDAQ GS NASDAQ GS NASDAQ GS New York EN Amsterdam New York New York New York New York Korea SE New York Tokyo Tokyo Helsinki SIX Swiss Ex Xetra London New York New York New York New York New York New York New York New York Company Name MeadWestvaco Corp DR Horton Inc Norfolk Southern Corp Seagate Technology PLC United Technologies Corp Microsoft Corp Koninklijke Philips NV Siemens AG Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson American Airlines Group Inc Bristol-Myers Squibb Co Corning Inc Polaris Industries Inc Novartis AG Prologis Inc Peabody Energy Corp Danaher Corp EI du Pont de Nemours & Co Lockheed Martin Corp Dover Corp Pfizer Inc Procter & Gamble Co/The Caterpillar Inc 3M Co Freeport-McMoRan Inc AK Steel Holding Corp Freescale Semiconductor Ltd Apple Inc AT&T Inc United States Steel Corp Amgen Inc Electronic Arts Inc Yahoo! Inc Illumina Inc Juniper Networks Inc VMware Inc (C) Petroleo Brasileiro SA (C) Gazprom OAO Roche Holding AG Nordea Bank AB Electrolux AB Hennes & Mauritz AB Hess Corp AmerisourceBergen Corp ADT Corp/The Anthem Inc Boeing Co/The Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc SKF AB QUALCOMM Inc Qorvo Inc Facebook Inc Alliant Techsystems Inc Unibail-Rodamco SE Albemarle Corp Core Laboratories NV Las Vegas Sands Corp DHT Holdings Inc (C) SK Hynix Inc Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV (C) Nomura Holdings Inc (C) Toshiba Corp Nokia OYJ Givaudan SA Infineon Technologies AG Royal Dutch Shell PLC Abbott Laboratories Air Products & Chemicals Inc Baxter International Inc Colgate-Palmolive Co Dow Chemical Co/The Helmerich & Payne Inc Hershey Co/The Kate Spade & Co Bloomberg Ticker MWV US DHI US NSC US STX US UTX US MSFT US PHIA NA SIE GR ERICB SS AAL US BMY US GLW US PII US NOVN VX PLD US BTU US DHR US DD US LMT US DOV US PFE US PG US CAT US MMM US FCX US AKS US FSL US AAPL US T US X US AMGN US EA US YHOO US ILMN US JNPR US VMW US PETR4 BZ GAZP RM ROG VX NDA SS ELUXB SS HMB SS HES US ABC US ADT US ANTM US BA US RYAM US SKFB SS QCOM US QRVO US FB US ATK US UL NA ALB US CLB US LVS US DHT US 000660 KS FCAU US 8604 JP 6502 JP NOK1V FH GIVN VX IFX GR RDSA LN ABT US APD US BAX US CL US DOW US HP US HSY US KATE US Date 26/1/2015 26/1/2015 26/1/2015 26/1/2015 26/1/2015 26/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 27/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 29/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 28/1/2015 29/1/2015 29/1/2015 29/1/2015 29/1/2015 29/1/2015 29/1/2015 29/1/2015 29/1/2015 29/1/2015 29/1/2015 29/1/2015 29/1/2015 29/1/2015 29/1/2015 C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C T C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C Time Period 12:55 14:00 15:00 15:00 23:05 23:11 8:00 8:08 8:30 Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt 13:00 13:00 13:25 14:00 14:00 14:00 14:30 14:30 15:00 15:30 23:00 23:30 Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Y 2014 Q1 2015 Y 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Y 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q3 2015 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q3 2014 Q3 2014 Y 2014 Y 2014 Y 2014 Y 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2015 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Y 2014 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2014 Q3 2015 Y 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Y 2014 Q4 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2015 Y 2014 Y 2014 Q1 2015 Y 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 22:59 8:00 8:00 9:00 9:00 Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt 13:00 14:30 15:00 16:00 23:00 23:00 0:00 Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Aft-mkt 8:00 8:00 8:00 8:00 8:30 9:00 Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Actual 0.46 0.39 1.64 1.35 1.88 0.77 1.625 1.3 4.8 5.23 EPS (local currency) Estimate Surprise Guidance 0.444 3.60% 0.29 0.344 13.37% 1.638 0.12% 1.348 0.15% 1.622 15.91% 0.748 2.94% 1.151 41.18% 1.578 -17.62% 4.454 7.77% 1.512 0.404 0.384 1.943 5.226 0.08% 0.468 -0.359 1.123 0.707 0.708 2.847 0.946 0.529 1.134 1.548 1.796 0.352 0.077 0.075 0.322 2.596 0.547 0.835 2.054 0.925 0.9 0.294 0.792 0.308 1.065 0.383 14.706 0.841 10.407 12.037 0.243 0.972 0.491 1.744 2.072 0.607 11.005 1.254 1.166 0.483 2.842 10.862 1.02 1.541 0.781 0.068 5373.32 0.206 15.118 8.502 0.274 67.572 0.099 3.609 0.678 1.491 1.309 0.743 0.695 1.541 1.064 0.238 1.24 10.782 1.545 0.69 1.475 1.315 Currency USD USD USD USD USD USD EUR EUR SEK USD USD USD USD CHF USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD BRL RUB CHF SEK SEK SEK USD USD USD USD USD USD SEK USD USD USD USD EUR USD USD USD USD KRW USD JPY JPY EUR CHF EUR GBp USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD (*) Reported Value, (^) GAAP Value, (T) Tentative, (C) Confirmed Date, (E) Estimated Date Source: Bloomberg Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures Global Markets Overview January 27, 2015 Research Department GREEK MARKET - Corporate Actions General Meetings Company GM Date Time Livanis Publishing Organizatio 29/1/15 11.00 Compucon Computer Applications 30/1/15 12.00 Balkan Real Estate SA 3/2/15 15.00 Kleemann Hellas SA 4/2/15 14.00 MLS Multimedia SA 11/2/15 15.00 Alco Hellas SA 13/2/15 12.00 AGM: Annual General Meeting, EGM: Extra-ordinary General Meeting, Rep: Repetitive Meeting Type EGM EGM EGM EGM EGM EGM Comments Dividends Company Interim Div 2014 X-Div Date Remaining Div 2014 X-Div Date Total Div 2014 (gross* ) X-Div Date Capital X-Div Return 2014 Date Notes 0.15 € To be proposed at the 26/6/14 GM 0.20 € To be proposed at the 17/6/14 GM 0.03 € Approved by the 3/6/14 GM 1.50 € Approved by the 29/5/14 GM Approved by the 29/12/14GM 0.125 € 0.2017€ (gross) interim div. + 0.0283€ (net) distribution of tax free reserves (0.23€ total, 0.21€ net) 0.17 21/01/15 20/1/15 0.025 € Nexans Hellas SA Hellenic Exchanges - Athens St Elve SA Alpha Trust Mutual Fund Manage Folli Follie SA OPAP SA 0.2300 € 12/01/15 GEKE SA Thrace Plastics Co SA * The abovementioned dividend amounts are subject to a 25% withholding tax (Law 3943/2011) (1) 0.65€ from retained earnings & reserves + 0.15€ interim dividend 2014. Net amount equals to 0.5461€+0.1250€=0.672€ Rights Issue / Bonus Issue - (Reverse) Splits Company Compucon Computer Applications Ilyda SA Alco Hellas SA Kekrops SA Compucon Computer Applications Lamda Development SA JUMBO SA Kathimerini Publishing SA Kathimerini Publishing SA Terms 9 new / 4 old at 1.82€ 1 new / 100 old at 0.90€ Rev. Split: 1 new / 5 old 3 new / 1 old at 0.40€ Rev. Split: 1 new / 11 old 0.79469... new / 1 old at 4.25€ Bonus shares: 1 new / 22 old 8 new / 1 old at 0.33€ Rev. Split: 2 new / 10 old New Rights Exercise Trading shares Period Period trading day 13/10/14 15/10/14 16/10 - 30/10/2014 16/10 - 24/10/2014 18/11/14 Cease of trading: 1/9/2014 5/9/14 5/8/14 11/8 - 25/8/2014 11/8 - 19/8/2014 29/8/14 2/7/14 4/7/14 8/7/14 23/6/14 25/6/14 27/6 - 11/7/2014 27/6 - 7/7/2014 22/7/2014 5/3/14 7/3/14 - 11/3/2014 6/3/14 10/3 - 24/3/2014 4/3/14 10/3 - 18/3/2014 28/3/14 4/3/14 10/3/14 ExDate Record Date Comments & Notes Approved by the 6/5 GM Adjusted start share price 0.751€ Adjusted start share price 0.418€ Approved by the 12/2 GM Adjusted price €4.46 after the split, €0.788 after the increase Mergers Company (1) Elval - Hellenic Aluminium Ind Absorbed Company (2) ETEM SA Exchange Terms (1/1) 1/1 Bold Colors indicate a new addition (stays bold for a couple of days) or a current action / event Exchange Terms (1/2) 1/6 Absorbed Company Cease Trading Day 02/12/14 New Shares Start Trading Day 5/12/14 Comments Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures Global Markets Overview January 27, 2015 Research Department Bonds, Spreads, CDS 10 Yr Bond Yields 5 Yr Bond Yields Greece, Germany, Ireland, Portugal, Spain Germany, Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Greece 13 11 12 10 11 9 10 8 9 7 8 7 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 28/1/2014 21/4/2014 Greece 13/7/2014 Germany Ireland 4/10/2014 Portugal -1 27/1/2014 26/12/2014 Spain Greek Spreads, 10 Yr Bonds (5 Yr n/a) Germany 35835 -3 1,250 20/4/2014 Italy 12/7/2014 Ireland Portugal 3/10/2014 Spain 25/12/2014 Italy Greece Greek CDS, 5 Yr & 10 Yr Bonds (CMAN pricing) 66257 1,600 1,200 1,550 1,150 1,500 1,450 1,100 1,400 1,050 1,350 1,000 1,300 950 1,250 900 1,200 850 1,150 800 1,100 750 1,050 700 1,000 650 950 600 900 550 24/11/2014 850 4/12/2014 14/12/2014 24/12/2014 Greek 10Yr Spread 3/1/2015 13/1/2015 23/1/2015 8/1/2015 Greek 5Yr Spread 11/1/2015 14/1/2015 17/1/2015 Greek 5Yr CDS Spreads and CDS, 10 Yr Bonds - Ireland, Portugal, Italy, Spain (CBIL pricing for CDS) 300 20/1/2015 23/1/2015 26/1/2015 Greek 10Yr CDS Spreads and CDS, 5 Yr Bonds Ireland, Portugal, Italy, Spain (CBIL pricing for CDS) 220 280 200 260 180 240 220 160 200 140 180 523 160 120 140 100 725.1 702.1 120 80 100 60 80 60 40 40 20 390.16 20 0 16/12/2014 26/12/2014 Irish Spread Portugese CDS Italian Spread Source: Bloomberg 5/1/2015 Irish CDS Spanish Spread Italian CDS 15/1/2015 Portugese Spread Spanish CDS 25/1/2015 0 16/12/2014 26/12/2014 Irish Spread (6Yr) Portugese CDS Italian Spread 5/1/2015 Irish CDS Spanish Spread Italian CDS 15/1/2015 25/1/2015 Portugese Spread Spanish CDS Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures OTHER IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES - The present research report has been published for the first time today/ or on the…./…./…… - The above research material is provided to investors exclusively for information purposes and is not to be used or considered as an offer, advice or invitation to sell or buy or subscribe for any financial instrument mentioned in the present report. Prelium Investment Services SA shall not treat recipients as its customers by virtue of receipt of this report. Investors should not in any case rely exclusively upon information contained in this report in order to form any investment decision, but they should at their own and on an independent basis analyze, evaluate and assess the appropriateness and the value of any particular investment, using the statements and recommendations of this report only as one of the factors which could effect their investment decisions The investments or services contained or referred to in this report may not be suitable for all investors and it is recommended that the investors, apart from the independent evaluation of particular investment and strategies, should consult an independent investment advisor if they are in doubt about such investments or investment services. Securities or the other financial instruments referred to in the research report are subject to investment risks, including the possible loss of the principal capital invested. - The clients of Prelium Investment Services SA may already have or may have in the future a position or engage in transactions in any of the financial instruments mentioned herein or any related investment. - Although the information or opinions herein was obtained or compiled form sources that are deemed reliable, the accuracy, completeness or correctness of those information or opinions can not be guaranteed. In producing the research reports, members of Prelium Investment Services SA Research Department may have received assistance from the subject company (-ies), referred to in this report. Any such assistance may include access to sites of the issuers, visits to certain operations of the subject company (-ies), meetings with management, employees or other parties associated with the subject company (-ies), and handing by them of historical data regarding the subject company (-ies) (financial statements and other financial data), as well as of all publicly available information regarding strategy and financial targets. Prelium Investment Services SA research personnel are prohibited from accepting payment or reimbursement of travel expenses from site visits to subject companies. It should be presumed that the author of this report, in most cases, has had discussions with the subject company (-ies) to ensure factual accuracy prior to publication. All opinions and estimates in this report reflect the personal views and judgments of the author and are given in good faith. In addition, those opinions and estimates apply as of the date of the issuance of this report but are subject to changes without any prior notice. Prices and availability of financial instruments are also subject to changes without prior notice. It should be assumed that any prices quoted in this report are the closing prices of the last session of the Athens Stock Exchange, unless otherwise indicated. Although Prelium Investment Services SA does not set a predetermined frequency for publications, it is in the intention of Prelium Investment Services SA to provide research coverage of the subject company (-ies), including in response to any news affecting these issuers, unless there is lack of news and capacity. Prelium Investment Services SA does not accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this document or its contents or in respect of any errors or omissions thereto. PRELIUM SECURITIES & INVESTMENT SERVICES S.A. Member of the Athens Stock Exchange, Member of the Athens Derivatives Exchange Head Office: S. Davaki 1 & Kifisias Ave., 115 26 Athens, Greece, Tel. +30 210 36 77 000, Fax +30 210 69 26 403 e-mail [email protected], www.prelium.com INSTITUTIONAL SALES RESEARCH DEPARTMENT Babis Angeletopoulos, [email protected] Emi Moundrou, [email protected] FOREIGN MARKETS ASSET MANAGEMENT Ioanna Karamani, [email protected] Konstantinos Asimakopoulos, [email protected] DERIVATIVES Andreas Nikolopoulos, [email protected]
© Copyright 2024