Global Markets Overview February 2, 2015 Research Department Athens General Index 30-days chart 450,000 900 400,000 Athens FTSE-ASE Mid Cap 30-days chart Athens FTSE-ASE Large Cap 30-days chart 450,000 290 8,000 400,000 280 7,000 350,000 270 300,000 300,000 260 250,000 250,000 250 200,000 200,000 240 150,000 150,000 230 100,000 350,000 850 800 750 100,000 50,000 0 710 50,000 210 1,000 690 0 200 0 FTSE-MID 40 Turnover 400,000 1,050 300,000 950 700,000 450 600,000 400 500,000 350 40,000 1,300 35,000 1,200 30,000 400,000 300 300,000 250 15,000 900 10,000 800 700 200,000 200 100,000 750 100,000 150 5,000 0 650 0 100 0 FTSE-20 Turnover ASE Index 43,152.0 1,000 20,000 850 ATHEX Market Cap (€mn): 1,100 25,000 200,000 ASE Turnover FTSE-MID 40 Index FTSE-ASE Mid Cap Index 52-wk chart FTSE-ASE Large Cap Index 52-wk chart 1,150 670 FTSE-20 Index 1,350 500,000 750 730 Athens General Index 52-wk chart 1,250 770 4,000 2,000 FTSE-20 Turnover 600,000 790 5,000 220 ASE Index 700,000 810 6,000 3,000 700 ASE Turnover 830 Market Cap to 2013e GDP: 0* 600 FTSE-20 Index FTSE-MID 40 Turnover FTSE-MID 40 Index 23.7% Athex Statistics as of: 30/1/15 Athens Stock Exchange - Valuation Ratios Athens Stock Exchange - Statistics Price to Earnings (x) Price to Book Value (x) Dividend Yield (Gross) (%) Last Price % 1d % 1m % 3m % 6m % ytd % 52w 52w low 52w high 2013a* LTM ** 2014e 2015e 2013a* 2013a 2014e 2015e Athens General Index 721.93 -1.59 -13.67 -21.17 -37.92 -12.62 -38.66 708.61 1,379.42 20.0 N/A 10.9 7.0 1.2 0.6 0.6 1.0 3.6 4.0 FTSE-ASE Large Cap 215.63 -1.48 -19.53 -27.95 -42.10 -18.59 -44.03 209.48 445.52 12.0 N/A 10.8 6.7 1.4 0.7 0.6 1.2 4.1 4.1 FTSE-ASE Mid Cap 730.08 -1.52 -9.29 -11.66 -33.72 -5.56 -34.87 696.63 1,317.40 0.6 N/A N/A 12.8 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.9 Indexes 2014e 2015e Sector Indexes 59.93 -1.59 -38.82 -51.61 -61.30 -37.69 -66.60 53.22 213.44 1.2 N/A 10.1 3.9 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 N/A N/A Telecoms 2,014.88 -3.68 -21.71 -18.76 -27.81 -19.56 -32.22 1,995.61 3,633.39 16.5 678.7 10.0 8.7 2.5 1.5 1.3 0.0 N/A N/A Oil-Gas 1,727.23 0.22 -4.97 -2.52 -28.60 -4.83 -39.12 1,608.57 3,236.15 N/A N/A 9.0 6.0 1.3 0.8 0.7 3.3 6.2 8.9 Industrials 1,967.96 -2.32 -1.65 -4.46 -37.70 0.71 -38.49 1,816.11 3,724.87 30.4 69.3 18.1 8.5 1.5 0.8 0.9 1.6 3.4 4.3 Construction - Materials 2,122.34 -1.17 -3.20 -1.14 -30.11 -2.86 -22.70 2,028.51 3,482.98 N/A N/A 15.1 9.2 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.9 2.5 Banks Technology 665.80 -2.49 -10.32 -6.88 -30.66 -8.30 -23.59 622.75 1,134.79 N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.5 N/A N/A 0.5 N/A N/A Commerce 4,436.16 -5.28 -2.28 -7.07 -30.15 -2.56 -29.98 3,847.16 7,649.84 30.3 8.4 11.3 9.4 1.7 1.3 1.2 0.0 2.8 2.6 Food & Beverage 5,386.27 -1.61 -5.50 -15.57 -16.25 -8.05 -26.54 5,066.70 7,553.58 62.5 23.8 16.7 15.4 2.5 1.6 1.5 1.6 2.7 2.9 122.13 -0.65 -16.31 -23.15 -37.17 -15.39 -48.78 115.79 287.11 N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.7 0.3 N/A 0.0 N/A N/A 5.0 Health Financial Services 976.27 -5.50 -4.20 -14.79 -45.81 -2.53 -42.88 900.30 2,207.51 N/A N/A 13.2 11.7 1.2 1.7 1.6 0.3 5.4 Personal & Household 4,436.16 -5.28 -2.28 -7.07 -30.15 -2.56 -29.98 3,847.16 7,649.84 30.3 8.4 11.3 9.4 1.7 1.3 1.2 0.0 2.8 2.6 Basic Resources 2,071.59 -4.13 5.31 -6.57 -26.36 7.44 -23.07 1,753.11 3,356.44 N/A N/A 9.4 6.2 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.0 N/A N/A Retail 3,809.65 -5.54 -0.19 1.31 -14.22 0.20 20.80 3,121.12 4,836.94 4.6 N/A N/A N/A 1.3 N/A N/A 0.0 N/A N/A Real Estate 2,237.83 -0.71 -1.36 -11.46 -23.58 -1.93 -8.13 2,181.63 3,111.71 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Travelling - Leisure 1,345.06 2.11 -16.04 -18.28 -33.56 -12.27 -19.63 1,238.26 2,304.69 24.0 18.1 11.6 9.5 2.3 1.7 1.6 5.4 7.5 8.8 Utilities 1,926.99 1.29 -10.24 -13.95 -51.50 -8.17 -45.98 1,711.47 4,471.04 N/A N/A 6.0 5.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.8 5.1 5.6 Settl. Price Premium/ Discount (%) % 1d Open Interest ∆ Open Interest Days to expire Aggregate Open Interest * 208.75 -3.19 -4.24 47,233 834 18 48,500 Futures (March 2015 expiration for stock futures) FTSE-20 February 2015 ALPHA BANK A.E. 0.324 0.00 0.93 40,916 6,554 46 40,916 0.91 -1.73 -2.68 23,964 -3,873 46 24,014 0.521 0.58 -0.95 28,803 -5,882 46 28,808 MYTILINEOS HLDGS 5.07 0.80 -5.59 3,532 6 46 3,532 PUBLIC POWER COR 4.64 -3.33 -0.22 4,390 21 46 4,390 HELLENIC TELECOM 7.37 0.68 -3.79 5,201 2 46 5,211 OPAP SA 7.36 -1.87 2.22 1,162 -150 46 1,162 Real GDP YoY Real GDP QoQ NATL BANK GREECE PIRAEUS BANK * 2013 P/E and P/Book ratios are calculated using the price of the index at 31.12.13 ** Last 12 months (Trailing 12 months) * Open interest for all expiration dates Government Bonds, Spreads & CDS Last Yield Greece Germany France Spain Italy Portugal United States 1d, net 6m, net Source: Bloomberg CDS * Spread ** 2Yr Bond N/A - - - 3,082 - 5Yr Bond 15.156 0.15 10.81 3.81 1,732 1,519.7 10Yr Bond 11.216 0.04 5.11 1.47 1,398 1,090.4 2Yr Bond -0.1820 0.00 -0.20 -0.08 - - 5Yr Bond -0.0410 0.01 -0.33 -0.06 18 - 10Yr Bond 0.3120 0.01 -0.82 -0.23 42 - 5Yr Bond 0.051 0.00 -0.47 -0.13 46 9.2 10Yr Bond 0.542 0.01 -0.97 -0.28 86 23.0 5Yr Bond 0.826 -0.01 -0.34 -0.05 86 86.7 10Yr Bond 1.395 -0.03 -1.17 -0.22 136 108.3 5Yr Bond 0.788 0.01 -0.50 -0.16 108 82.9 10Yr Bond 1.554 -0.04 -1.20 -0.34 166 124.2 5Yr Bond 1.655 0.00 -0.59 0.20 177 169.6 10Yr Bond 2.640 0.03 -0.93 -0.05 260 232.8 5Yr Bond 1.1821 0.03 -0.48 -0.47 - - 10Yr Bond 1.6684 0.03 -0.82 -0.50 - - 30Yr Bond 2.2490 0.03 -1.03 -0.50 - - * Generic CDS Intraday Prices. Due to liquidity reasons, pricing sources may vary ** vs German Bund, in bps Macroeconomic Snapshots / Credit Ratings ytd, net (%) Eurozone 0.80 30/9/2014 Greece 1.60 30/9/2014 Germany 1.20 30/9/2014 France 0.40 30/9/2014 Spain 2.00 31/12/2014 Italy -0.50 30/9/2014 Portugal 1.10 30/9/2014 US 2.50 31/12/2014 0.20 Debt to Budget Balance to GDP GDP CPI YoY 90.90 -4.10 -0.60 30/9/2014 31/12/2013 31/3/2014 31/1/2015 174.90 -12.20 30/9/2014 31/12/2013 0.70 31/12/2013 0.10 -2.60 Caa1 *- B STABLE WR NEG Aaa AAAu AAA -0.30 31/1/2015 -4.10 92.10 -6.80 31/12/2014 31/12/2013 0.70 31/12/2013 132.60 -2.80 30/9/2014 31/12/2013 -0.10 31/12/2013 128.00 -4.90 30/9/2014 31/12/2013 0.30 31/12/2013 71.80 -2.80 31/12/2014 31/12/2013 2.60 31/12/2014 0.10 -0.50 4.00 6.50 31/1/2015 31/12/2014 -1.00 31/1/2015 STABLE STABLE STABLE 1.50 9.90 Aa1 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 30/9/2014 NEG NEG STABLE 5.40 23.70 Baa2 BBB 31/1/2015 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 -1.40 0.00 0.10 B Fitch 25.30 0.10 31/12/2013 11.40 31/12/2014 S&P 31/10/2014 31/12/2013 93.40 1.50 31/1/2015 30/11/2014 Moody's -1.60 76.90 1.00 -1.60 Retail UnemploySales ment Rate (monthly) YoY 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 30/11/2014 30/9/2014 31/12/2013 30/9/2014 31/12/2013 CPI MoM -0.60 -2.32 12.90 Baa2 31/12/2014 STABLE 1.20 13.40 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 0.80 0.00 3.20 5.60 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 -0.37 31/12/2014 AA BBB+ POS STABLE STABLE 31/12/2014 31/12/2014 30/11/2014 -0.36 0.00 AAu Ba1 BBBu BBB+ NEG STABLE BBu BB+ STABLE STABLE POS Aaa AA+u AAA STABLE STABLE STABLE Definitions: *- : watch list negative, WR: rating withdrawn Notes: GDP refers to quarterly data (Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4). All other macro indicators involve monthly data Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures Global Markets Overview February 2, 2015 Research Department DAX Index 30-days chart 12,000,000 11,000 10,800 10,000,000 S&P 500 Index 30-days chart Dow Jones Index 30-days chart 16,000,000 10,400 6,000,000 12,000,000 10,200 10,000,000 10,000 8,000,000 9,800 4,000,000 DAX Turnover 2,000,000 16,600 10,000,000 9,000 0 16,400 0 Dow Jones Turnover 10,500 10,000 7,000,000 6,000,000 9,500 5,000,000 9,000 4,000,000 8,500 3,000,000 8,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 7,500 0 7,000 FTSE MIB INDEX 1,980 1,960 1,940 S&P 500 Turnover S&P 500 Index S&P 500 Index 52-week chart 18,000 140,000,000 17,500 120,000,000 16,000,000 17,000 2,100 2,050 2,000 1,950 1,900 1,850 1,800 1,750 1,700 1,650 1,600 1,550 1,500 100,000,000 16,500 12,000,000 80,000,000 16,000 8,000,000 15,500 4,000,000 60,000,000 15,000 40,000,000 14,500 20,000,000 14,000 0 Dow Jones Turnover 0 S&P 500 Turnover Dow Jones Index S&P 500 Index WORLD INDEXES - Valuation Ratios WORLD INDEXES - Statistics PSI All-Share Index GR 30,000,000 Dow Jones Index 20,000,000 DAX Index IBEX 35 INDEX 2,000 2,060 Dow Jones Index 52-week chart 8,000,000 FTSE 100 INDEX 2,020 40,000,000 9,200 11,000 CAC 40 INDEX 2,040 50,000,000 20,000,000 DAX Index 52-week chart DAX INDEX 60,000,000 16,800 9,000,000 Athex Composite Share Pr 17,400 4,000,000 10,000,000 Europe 70,000,000 17,000 DAX Index DAX Turnover 80,000,000 17,600 6,000,000 9,400 0 2,080 17,800 17,200 9,600 2,000,000 2,100 90,000,000 14,000,000 10,600 8,000,000 100,000,000 18,000 Price to Earnings (x) Price to Book (x) Dividend Yield (%) % 6m % ytd % 52w 52w Low 52w High 2013a* LTM ** 2014e 2015e 2013a* 2014e 2015e 2013a 2014e 2015e -1.59 30/1/2015 -37.92 -12.62 -38.66 708.61 1,379.42 20.0 N/A 10.9 7.0 1.2 0.6 0.6 1.0 3.6 4.0 10,694.32 -0.41 30/1/2015 16.12 9.06 14.91 8,354.97 10,810.57 18.2 17.6 13.8 12.6 1.8 1.7 1.6 2.8 3.0 3.2 France 4,604.25 -0.59 30/1/2015 9.55 7.76 10.53 3,789.11 4,679.26 25.6 18.2 14.9 13.2 1.5 1.4 1.3 3.1 3.4 3.7 UK 6,749.40 -0.90 30/1/2015 1.05 2.79 3.67 6,072.68 6,904.86 16.7 19.5 15.1 13.4 2.0 1.7 1.7 3.6 4.0 4.3 Country Last Price % 1d Greece 721.93 Germany Last Upd Spain 10,403.30 -0.99 30/1/2015 -1.05 1.20 4.87 9,370.50 11,249.40 16.5 21.6 14.8 12.7 1.4 1.4 1.3 4.4 3.7 4.1 Portugal 2,274.01 -1.31 30/1/2015 -10.99 6.84 -17.75 2,053.74 3,170.54 N/A N/A 13.0 8.8 1.3 1.0 0.9 3.1 3.7 4.6 Italy 20,503.38 -0.44 30/1/2015 0.69 7.84 5.59 17,555.77 22,590.18 180.9 N/A 14.6 12.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.9 3.7 4.3 Ireland 5,471.52 -0.49 30/1/2015 18.56 4.73 17.61 4,275.26 5,639.89 52.4 36.5 17.8 15.5 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.6 2.0 1.9 Sweden 1,573.62 0.21 30/1/2015 15.59 7.45 20.63 1,246.56 1,582.10 17.0 16.9 16.1 15.0 2.3 2.3 2.2 3.9 3.9 4.2 Luxembourg 1,584.36 1.15 30/1/2015 3.48 4.21 10.67 1,353.57 1,608.63 56.0 20.2 18.3 14.5 1.1 1.1 1.1 4.8 2.8 3.1 AUSTRIAN TRADED ATX INDX Austria 2,191.11 0.18 30/1/2015 -3.93 1.44 -14.40 1,980.53 2,692.17 24.7 N/A 12.9 10.5 1.0 0.9 0.8 2.8 3.6 4.2 OMX COPENHAGEN 20 INDEX Denmark 810.94 -0.54 30/1/2015 12.07 8.93 25.30 636.54 824.93 19.7 22.4 17.6 15.4 2.5 2.8 2.6 1.8 2.2 2.6 Switzerland 8,385.13 -0.60 30/1/2015 -0.30 -6.66 2.37 7,852.83 9,292.44 18.4 19.5 16.3 15.0 2.6 2.4 2.3 3.0 3.5 3.8 IRISH OVERALL INDEX OMX STOCKHOLM 30 INDEX LUXEMBOURG LuxX INDEX SWISS MARKET INDEX Emerging Europe BIST 100 INDEX SOFIX INDEX WSE WIG INDEX BUCHAREST BET INDEX Turkey 88,945.82 0.44 30/1/2015 8.35 3.76 43.79 60,848.52 91,805.74 9.9 11.7 11.0 9.5 1.3 1.4 1.3 2.7 2.7 3.1 Bulgaria 500.49 0.42 30/1/2015 -8.03 -4.14 -8.47 486.61 625.40 7.0 7.6 N/A N/A 0.7 N/A N/A 5.3 N/A N/A Poland 52,102.39 0.12 30/1/2015 3.40 1.33 2.50 48,765.47 55,687.59 17.5 16.9 13.5 11.5 1.3 1.3 1.2 3.7 3.7 4.0 Romania 7,033.17 0.32 30/1/2015 1.34 -0.70 10.26 6,110.93 7,309.05 11.9 9.7 8.9 8.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 2.8 4.1 4.8 -6.20 -1.54 44,904.83 62,304.88 29.8 15.1 10.5 8.9 1.1 1.1 1.0 4.0 4.5 5.2 18.85 14.12 1,182.89 1,706.29 6.7 8.2 5.3 4.6 0.8 0.5 0.4 3.9 5.5 6.5 BRIC BRAZIL IBOVESPA INDEX MICEX INDEX S&P BSE SENSEX INDEX Brazil 46,907.68 -1.79 Russia 1,659.89 0.74 30/1/2015 -16.09 9:17:18 πµ 20.73 India 29,000.29 -0.63 9:02:20 πµ 13.81 5.46 41.37 19,963.12 29,844.16 16.7 20.3 18.5 15.8 2.6 2.9 2.6 1.5 1.4 1.6 China 3,128.30 -2.56 9:01:36 πµ 43.15 -3.29 53.87 1,974.38 3,406.79 10.3 15.0 11.9 10.5 1.4 1.6 1.4 3.0 2.5 2.8 DOW JONES INDUS. AVG US 17,164.95 -1.45 30/1/2015 4.07 -3.69 9.34 15,340.69 18,103.45 15.7 15.5 15.9 14.3 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.1 2.4 2.6 NASDAQ COMPOSITE INDEX US 4,635.24 -1.03 31/1/2015 6.49 -2.13 12.95 3,946.03 4,814.95 27 33 19.7 16.9 3.3 3.3 3.0 1.2 1.2 1.2 S&P 500 INDEX US 1,994.99 -1.30 30/1/2015 3.63 -3.10 11.92 1,737.92 2,093.55 17.2 17.6 16.7 14.8 2.6 2.5 2.3 1.9 2.1 2.3 1.7 SHANGHAI SE COMPOSITE US Asia, Pacific NIKKEI 225 HANG SENG INDEX Japan 17,558.04 -0.66 8:28:01 πµ 13.11 0.61 17.72 13,885.11 18,030.83 22.2 20.3 18.9 16.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.3 1.5 Hong Kong 24,415.96 -0.37 9:02:18 πµ -0.47 3.44 10.80 21,137.61 25,362.98 10.9 10.3 11.4 10.2 1.4 1.3 1.2 3.3 3.5 3.8 Singapore 3,410.73 0.58 9:02:18 πµ 1.98 1.35 12.67 2,953.01 3,432.62 13.6 13.8 13.9 12.6 1.4 1.3 1.2 3.3 3.4 3.6 Australia 5,625.34 0.66 8:06:29 πµ 1.24 3.96 8.39 5,052.20 5,679.50 19.8 19.4 16.0 14.8 2.0 1.9 1.8 4.3 4.6 4.9 Straits Times Index STI S&P/ASX 200 INDEX Volatility & Risk Indexes * 2013 P/E and P/Book ratios are calculated using the price of the index at 31.12.13 VDAX VIX VXN DAX 21.21 6.91 30/1/2015 20.99 8.88 19.83 10.80 24.09 S&P 500 20.97 11.78 30/1/2015 23.14 9.22 13.91 10.28 31.06 30/1/2015 Nasdaq 100 21.59 10.83 25.09 9.93 13.81 9.66 31.17 MARKIT ITRX EUROPE 12/19 (Generic) Europe 59.94 - 7:11:46 πµ -10.57 -4.72 -28.52 51.78 86.56 MARKIT ITRX EUR XOVER 12/19 (Generic) Europe 323.92 - 7:11:46 πµ 18.45 -6.37 0.14 218.43 429.90 % 6m % ytd % 52w 52w Low 52w High 9:16:00 πµ -50.99 -8.98 -52.66 - - COMMODITIES Energy Dated BFO Crude Oil Spot Px ($/bbl) Exchange Last Price % 1d - 50.75 -0.04 Last Upd ** Last 12 months (Trailing 12 months) Currencies Price % 1d % 6m % ytd EUR / US Dollar 1.1299 0.10 -15.79 -6.62 -16.41 1.1098 1.3994 EUR/Japanese Yen 132.94 0.31 -3.32 -8.32 -2.79 130.15 149.80 -5.78 -3.38 -9.46 0.7405 0.8403 -13.73 -12.70 -13.87 0.7813 1.2262 -3.96 1.3754 1.5587 % 52w 52wLow 52wHigh WTI Crude Futr-Generic 1st month ($/bbl) NYM 47.21 -2.14 9:17:17 πµ -51.77 -11.38 -51.57 43.58 107.73 EUR / British Pound 0.7503 -0.15 Brent Crude Futr-Generic 1st month ($/bbl) ICE 51.90 -2.06 9:07:19 πµ -50.50 -9.47 -51.22 45.19 115.71 EUR / Swiss Franc 1.0498 1.15 Natural Gas Futr-Generic 1st month ($/bbl) NYM 2.66 -1.23 9:16:51 πµ -30.02 -8.00 -46.23 2.64 6.49 EUR / Canadian Dollar 1.4402 0.28 EUR / Australian Dollar 1.4514 -0.18 0.91 -2.06 -5.75 1.3798 1.5538 EUR / Turkish Lira 2.7552 -0.12 -3.76 -2.62 -10.36 2.6045 3.1300 3m Precious Metals Exchange Last Price % 1d Last Upd % 6m % ytd % 52w 52w Low 52w High GOLD SPOT $/OZ - 1,279.16 -0.36 9:17:18 πµ -1.10 7.96 2.78 1131.24 1392.22 SILVER SPOT $/OZ - 17.12 -0.81 9:17:03 πµ -15.80 9.00 -10.75 14.29 22.18 PLATINUM SPOT $/OZ - 1,233.25 -0.63 9:17:13 πµ -15.77 2.09 -10.59 1177.15 1521.38 PALLADIUM SPOT $/OZ - 773.70 0.16 9:16:34 πµ -10.50 -3.01 9.90 696.80 912.00 Base Metals Money Market Rates 1w -1.65 6m 9m 12m -0.0240 0.0010 0.0540 0.1320 0.2020 0.2700 US 0.1351 0.1713 0.2531 0.3574 0.5508 0.6209 Japan 0.0436 0.0729 0.1043 0.1421 0.3543 0.2661 Europe 1m 2.48 Exchange Last Price % 1d Last Upd % 6m % ytd % 52w 52w Low 52w High LME ALUMINUM 3MO ($) / MT LME 1,864.00 2.47 30/1/2015 -7.81 0.62 7.81 1671.25 2119.50 LME COPPER LME 5,495.00 1.85 30/1/2015 -22.88 -12.78 -22.55 5339.50 7220.00 LME 1,859.50 -0.03 30/1/2015 -17.72 0.08 -12.04 1743.00 2307.00 Latest Rate Last Update Next Update LME 15,165.00 1.78 30/1/2015 -20.02 0.10 9.81 13723.00 21625.00 Europe ECB 0.05 22/1/2015 5/3/2015 Exchange Last Price % 1d Last Upd % 6m % ytd % 52w 52w Low 52w High UK BoE 0.50 8/1/2015 5/2/2015 CBT 368.50 -0.41 9:06:51 πµ 4.54 -7.18 -15.09 318.25 519.50 US Fed 0.25 28/1/2015 18/3/2015 Japan BoJ 0.10 22/1/2014 * LME LEAD LME NICKEL 3MO ($) / MT 3MO ($) / MT 3MO ($) / MT Agriculture Corn Futr-Generic 1st month ($/bu.) Wheat Futr - Generic 1st month ($/bu.) CBT 502.00 -0.15 9:07:13 πµ -6.04 -14.88 -9.67 466.25 735.00 Soybean Futr - Generic 1st month ($/bu.) CBT 959.00 -0.21 9:06:06 πµ -21.07 -5.91 -25.24 904.00 1536.75 Sugar Futr - Generic 1st month ($/lb.) NYB 14.79 -0.40 30/1/2015 -11.06 1.86 -1.33 13.32 18.47 Coffee Futr - Generic 1st month ($/lb.) NYB 161.90 1.19 30/1/2015 -11.29 -2.82 34.92 125.00 225.50 Live Cattle Futr - Generic 1st month ($/lb.) CME 154.85 0.86 30/1/2015 Lean Hogs Futr - Generic 1st month ($/lb.) CME 67.48 -1.57 Source: Bloomberg -3.13 -6.55 8.93 135.40 171.98 30/1/2015 -43.37 -16.90 -21.88 67.35 133.90 Interest Rates * As of 4/4/2013, the BOJ has shifted its monetary policy focus to a targeted monetary base via Japanese government bond (JGB) purchases. Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures Global Markets Overview February 2, 2015 Research Department Bonds, Spreads, CDS 10 Yr Bond Yields 5 Yr Bond Yields Greece, Germany, Ireland, Portugal, Spain Germany, Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Greece 16 12 15 11 14 10 13 12 9 11 8 10 9 7 8 6 7 5 6 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 3/2/14 28/4/14 21/7/14 Greece Germany Ireland 13/10/14 Portugal -1 3/2/14 5/1/15 Spain 28/4/14 Italy Greek Spreads, 10 Yr Bonds (5 Yr n/a) Germany 35835 -3 1,650 13/10/14 Portugal Spain 5/1/15 Italy Greece Greek CDS, 5 Yr & 10 Yr Bonds (CMAN pricing) 66257 1,850 1,550 1,750 1,450 1,650 1,350 21/7/14 Ireland 1,550 1,250 1,450 1,150 1,350 1,050 1,250 950 1,150 850 750 1,050 650 950 550 28/11/14 850 8/12/14 18/12/14 28/12/14 Greek 10Yr Spread 7/1/15 17/1/15 27/1/15 14/1/15 Greek 5Yr Spread 20/1/15 23/1/15 Greek 5Yr CDS Spreads and CDS, 10 Yr Bonds - Ireland, Portugal, Italy, Spain (CBIL pricing for CDS) 300 17/1/15 26/1/15 29/1/15 Greek 10Yr CDS Spreads and CDS, 5 Yr Bonds Ireland, Portugal, Italy, Spain (CBIL pricing for CDS) 220 280 200 260 180 240 220 160 200 140 180 523 160 120 140 100 725.1 702.1 120 80 100 60 80 60 40 40 20 390.16 20 0 22/12/14 Irish Spread Portugese CDS Italian Spread Source: Bloomberg 0 22/12/14 Irish CDS Spanish Spread Italian CDS Portugese Spread Spanish CDS Irish Spread (6Yr) Portugese CDS Italian Spread Irish CDS Spanish Spread Italian CDS Portugese Spread Spanish CDS Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures Global Markets Overview February 2, 2015 Research Department Currencies Euro / US Dollar 1.1299 0.10% 1.40 1.38 1.36 1.34 1.32 1.30 1.28 1.26 1.24 1.22 1.20 1.18 1.16 1.14 1.12 1.10 3/2/14 3/4/14 3/6/14 Euro / Japanese Yen 132.94 3/8/14 3/10/14 3/12/14 Euro / British Pound 0.31% 0.7503 -0.15% 0.85 150 ###### -3.00 145 0.84 0.83 0.82 0.81 0.80 140 0.79 0.78 0.77 135 0.76 0.75 130 3/2/14 3/4/14 3/6/14 3/8/14 3/10/14 0.74 3/2/14 3/12/14 3/4/14 3/6/14 3/8/14 3/10/14 3/12/14 Commodities, (Precious) Metals Dated BFO Crude Oil Spot Px ($/bbl) 50.75 Gold, Spot ($/OZ) -0.04% 120 1,279.16 -0.36% 1,450 110 1,400 100 1,350 90 1,300 80 - 1,250 70 1,200 60 1,150 50 40 3/2/14 3/4/14 3/6/14 3/8/14 3/10/14 Aluminum (3MO Future) ($/MT) 1,864.00 1,100 3/2/14 3/12/14 3/6/14 3/8/14 Copper (3MO Future) ($/MT) 2.47% 2,150 3/4/14 7,400 2,100 7,200 2,050 7,000 2,000 6,800 1,950 6,600 3/10/14 3/12/14 5,495.00 1.85% 702.1 6,400 1,900 6,200 1,850 6,000 363.8 1,800 390.2 5,800 1,750 5,600 1,700 1,650 3/2/14 Source: Bloomberg 5,400 28/4/14 21/7/14 13/10/14 5/1/15 5,200 3/2/14 28/4/14 21/7/14 13/10/14 5/1/15 Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures Global Markets Overview February 2, 2015 Research Department Macroeconomic Calendar Regions included: EC, Greece, Germany, France, Portugal, Italy, Spain, Ireland, United Kingdom, US, China, Japan Date Time 02/01/2015 03:00 02/01/2015 03:00 02/02/2015 03:35 02/02/2015 03:45 02/02/2015 07:00 02/02/2015 08:00 02/02/2015 10:00 02/02/2015 10:15 02/02/2015 10:45 02/02/2015 10:50 02/02/2015 10:55 02/02/2015 11:00 02/02/2015 11:00 02/02/2015 11:30 02/02/2015 15:30 02/02/2015 15:30 02/02/2015 15:30 02/02/2015 15:30 02/02/2015 15:30 02/02/2015 15:30 02/02/2015 16:45 02/02/2015 17:00 02/02/2015 17:00 02/02/2015 17:00 02/02/2015 19:00 02/02/2015 19:00 02/01/2015 02/08 02/03/2015 01:50 02/03/2015 01:50 02/03/2015 11:00 02/03/2015 11:30 02/03/2015 12:00 02/03/2015 12:00 02/03/2015 12:00 02/03/2015 12:00 02/03/2015 12:00 02/03/2015 12:00 02/03/2015 16:45 02/03/2015 17:00 02/03/2015 17:00 02/03/2015 02/03/2015 02/04/2015 02:01 02/04/2015 03:30 02/04/2015 03:30 02/04/2015 03:35 02/04/2015 03:35 02/04/2015 03:45 02/04/2015 03:45 02/04/2015 08:00 02/04/2015 08:00 02/04/2015 10:15 02/04/2015 10:15 02/04/2015 10:45 02/04/2015 10:45 02/04/2015 10:50 02/04/2015 10:50 02/04/2015 10:55 02/04/2015 10:55 02/04/2015 11:00 02/04/2015 11:00 02/04/2015 11:30 02/04/2015 11:30 02/04/2015 11:30 02/04/2015 11:30 02/04/2015 12:00 02/04/2015 12:00 02/04/2015 13:00 02/04/2015 13:00 02/04/2015 13:00 02/04/2015 13:00 02/04/2015 14:00 02/04/2015 15:15 02/04/2015 16:45 02/04/2015 16:45 02/04/2015 17:00 02/05/2015 01:50 02/05/2015 01:50 02/05/2015 01:50 02/05/2015 01:50 02/05/2015 03:00 02/05/2015 09:00 02/05/2015 09:00 02/05/2015 09:45 02/05/2015 10:30 02/05/2015 11:00 02/05/2015 11:00 02/05/2015 11:10 Source: Bloomberg Event CH CH JN CH JN IR SP SP IT FR GE GR EC UK US US US US US US US US US US IT IT IR JN JN IT UK EC EC IT IT IT IT US US US US US UK JN JN JN JN CH CH IR IR SP SP IT IT FR FR GE GE EC EC UK UK UK UK EC EC PO IR IR IR US US US US US JN JN JN JN JN GE GE FR GE UK EC GE 1) 2) 3) 4) 5) 6) 7) 8) 9) 10) 11) 12) 13) 14) 15) 16) 17) 18) 19) 20) 21) 22) 23) 24) 25) 26) 27) 28) 29) 30) 31) 32) 33) 34) 35) 36) 37) 38) 39) 40) 41) 42) 43) 44) 45) 46) 47) 48) 49) 50) 51) 52) 53) 54) 55) 56) 57) 58) 59) 60) 61) 62) 63) 64) 65) 66) 67) 68) 69) 70) 71) 72) 73) 74) 75) 76) 77) 78) 79) 80) 81) 82) 83) 84) 85) 86) 87) 88) Manufacturing PMI Non-manufacturing PMI Markit/JMMA Japan Manufacturing PMI HSBC China Manufacturing PMI Vehicle Sales YoY Investec Manufacturing PMI Ireland Unemployment MoM Net ('000s) Markit Spain Manufacturing PMI Markit/ADACI Italy Manufacturing PMI Markit France Manufacturing PMI Markit/BME Germany Manufacturing PMI Markit Greece Manufacturing PMI Markit Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Markit UK PMI Manufacturing SA Personal Income Personal Spending PCE Deflator MoM PCE Deflator YoY PCE Core MoM PCE Core YoY Markit US Manufacturing PMI Construction Spending MoM ISM Manufacturing ISM Prices Paid New Car Registrations YoY Budget Balance Consumer Confidence Index Monetary Base YoY Monetary Base End of period Istat Releases the New Inflation Baskets Markit/CIPS UK Construction PMI PPI MoM PPI YoY CPI NIC incl. tobacco MoM CPI NIC incl. tobacco YoY CPI EU Harmonized MoM CPI EU Harmonized YoY ISM New York Factory Orders IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Wards Domestic Vehicle Sales Wards Total Vehicle Sales BRC Shop Price Index YoY Labor Cash Earnings YoY Real Cash Earnings YoY Markit Japan Services PMI Markit/JMMA Japan Composite PMI HSBC China Composite PMI HSBC China Services PMI Investec Services PMI Ireland Investec Composite PMI Ireland Markit Spain Services PMI Markit Spain Composite PMI Markit/ADACI Italy Services PMI Markit/ADACI Italy Composite PMI Markit France Services PMI Markit France Composite PMI Markit Germany Services PMI Markit/BME Germany Composite PMI Markit Eurozone Services PMI Markit Eurozone Composite PMI Official Reserves Changes Markit/CIPS UK Services PMI Markit/CIPS UK Composite PMI Lloyds Business Barometer Retail Sales MoM Retail Sales YoY Unemployment Rate Live Register Level SA (000's) Live Register Monthly Change Unemployment Rate MBA Mortgage Applications ADP Employment Change Markit US Composite PMI Markit US Services PMI ISM Non-Manf. Composite Japan Buying Foreign Bonds Japan Buying Foreign Stocks Foreign Buying Japan Bonds Foreign Buying Japan Stocks Bloomberg Feb. Japan Economic Survey Factory Orders MoM Factory Orders WDA YoY Survey of Industrial Investment Markit Germany Construction PMI New Car Registrations YoY ECB Publishes Economic Bulletin Markit Germany Retail PMI Survey Actual Prior Revised Jan Jan Jan F Jan F Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan F Jan F Jan Jan F Jan Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec Jan F Dec Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan 50.2 --49.8 --88 54.1 48.8 49.5 51 -51 52.7 0.20% -0.20% -0.30% 0.80% 0.00% 1.30% 53.7 0.70% 54.5 39.8 ------ 49.8 53.7 52.2 49.7 -18.90% 55.1 ------------------------ 50.1 54.1 52.1 49.8 -8.80% 56.9 -64.4 53.8 48.4 49.5 51 49.4 51 52.5 0.40% 0.60% -0.20% 1.20% 0.00% 1.40% 53.7 -0.30% 55.5 38.5 2.35% 5.1B 90.5 38.20% ¥275.9T ----------------------55.1 ------- Jan Dec Dec Jan P Jan P Jan P Jan P Jan Dec Feb Jan Jan Jan Dec Dec Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan F Jan F Jan F Jan F Jan F Jan F Jan Jan Jan Jan Dec Dec 4Q Jan Jan Jan Jan 30 Jan Jan F Jan F Jan Jan 30 Jan 30 Jan 30 Jan 30 57 -0.70% -2.50% -0.20% -0.30% -2.40% -0.40% --2.20% 51.4 13.50M 16.60M -1.60% 1.60% -------54.4 54.6 50 50.1 49.5 49.5 52.7 52.6 52.3 52.2 -56.3 55.5 -0.00% 2.00% -----225K -54.1 56.5 ----- --------------------------------------------------- 57.6 -0.30% -1.60% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% -0.10% 70.8 -0.70% 51.5 13.46M 16.80M -1.70% -1.50% -4.30% 51.7 51.9 51.4 53.4 62.6 61 54.3 54.3 49.4 49.4 49.5 49.5 52.7 52.6 52.3 52.2 -$1664M 55.8 55.2 45 0.60% 1.50% 13.10% 363.9 -3.3K 10.60% -3.20% 241K 54.2 54 56.2 ¥45.6B ¥382.1B ¥237.5B ¥466.9B -------------0.10% -2.70% ------------------------------56.5 ----- Dec Dec 1.50% 0.70% --- -2.40% -0.40% --- Jan Jan --- --- 50.5 8.70% --- -- -- 51.7 -- Jan Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures Global Markets Overview February 2, 2015 Research Department Economic Events Calendar 02/02/2015 10:00 02/02/2015 15:00 02/02/2015 18:30 02/02/2015 02/02/2015 02/03/2015 11:00 02/03/2015 11:00 02/04/2015 13:00 02/04/2015 18:00 02/04/2015 18:00 02/04/2015 19:45 02/05/2015 03:30 02/05/2015 11:00 02/05/2015 13:00 02/05/2015 13:30 02/05/2015 18:00 02/05/2015 02/06/2015 12:00 02/06/2015 16:00 02/06/2015 19:45 02/06/2015 02/08/2015 02/10 02/09/2015 03:30 02/09/2015 13:00 02/10/2015 11:00 02/10/2015 11:00 02/10/2015 15:20 02/10/2015 17:00 02/11/2015 15:00 02/11/2015 18:00 02/12/2015 02/13/2015 15:30 02/13/2015 20:30 02/13/2015 02/16/2015 16:00 02/17/2015 10:00 02/18/2015 05:00 02/20/2015 15:30 02/25/2015 19:00 02/25/2015 02/26/2015 20:00 02/27/2015 03/06/2015 12:00 03/08/2015 03/10 HU PO EC US GR PO IT PO EC PO US JN EC PO GE PO EC IT GE US EC GR JN PO PO PO US PO US PO EC US US PO EC EC JN US FR PO GE EC IT US Regions included: EC, Greece, Germany, France, Portugal, Italy, Spain, Ireland, United Kingdom, US, China, Japan 1) Matolcsy Host a Meeting for European Central Bankers 2) Portuguese Economy Minister Lima Holds Press Conference 3) ECB Governing Council Member Nowotny Speaks on Monetary Policy 4) U.S. President Obama to Release Fiscal 2016 Budget 5) Yanis Meets With U.K. and France Fiance Ministers 6) Fitch Ratings Holds Lisbon Credit Conference 7) Istat Releases the New Inflation Baskets 8) Portugal Reports Fourth-Quarter Unemployment Rate 9) EU's Hill Speaks at Long-Term Financing Conference in Brussels 10) Former Novo Banco Board Member Rato Speaks in Parliament 11) Fed's Mester Speaks on Economy and Banking in Columbus 12) BOJ's Iwata Gives a Speech and Hold a Press Conference 13) EU Publishes Economic Forecasts 14) Portugal Releases Industrial Sales, Employment Report 15) Peter Praet Gives a Speech 16) Espirito Santo Board Member dos Santos Speaks in Parliament 17) NATO Defense Ministers Hold Meeting in Brussels 18) Bank of Italy Report on Balance-Sheet Aggregates 19) Country Leaders and Reps Show for Munich Security Conference 20) Fed's Lockhart Speaks on U.S. Economy in Naples, Florida 21) U.S.'s Biden Meets With EU Officials in Brussels 22) Merkel to Make Two-Day Trip to U.S. and Canada 23) BOJ Board Member Morimoto Speaks in Chiba 24) Portugal Reports International Trade Figures for December 25) ECB's Costa, Praet Speak on Financial Stability in Lisbon 26) Novo Banco CEO Stock da Cunha Speaks in Parliament 27) Fed's Lacker to Speak on Economy in Raleigh, North Carolina 28) Construction Entrepreneur Guilherme Speaks in Parliament 29) Fed's Fisher Speaks to Economists in New York 30) Former Tranquilidade CEO Brito e Cunha Speaks in Parliament 31) EU Leaders Hold Summit in Brussels 32) Revisions of Producer Price Index 33) Fed's Fisher Speaks at Luncheon in San Antonio 34) Bank of Portugal Releases Data on Banks 35) Euro-Area Finance Ministers Meet in Brussels 36) EU Finance Ministers Hold Meeting in Brussels 37) Bank of Japan Policy Statement/Kuroda Press Conference 38) Revisions of Consumer Price Index 39) Total Jobseekers 40) Portugal Releases Year-to-Date Budget Report 41) Fed's Lockhart Speaks on U.S. Outlook At Banking Conference 42) EU-Brazil Summit in Brussels 43) Bank of Italy Report on Balance-Sheet Aggregates 44) NABE 2015 Policy Conference UK UK UK FR FR FR US US CH CH CH JN US US CH GR UK JN JN SP SP SP FR FR JN UK UK UK GE US US JN US US IT GR UK GE US JN IT IR US JN Regions included: EC, Greece, Germany, France, Portugal, Italy, Spain, Ireland, United Kingdom, US, China, Japan 1) U.K. Sells GBP500 Mln 28-Day Bills; Yield 0.303% 2) U.K. Sells GBP1.5 Bln 182-Day Bills; Yield 0.4277% 3) U.K. Sells GBP1 Bln 92-Day Bills; Yield 0.3423% 4) France to Sell Up to EUR3.5 Bln 91-Day Bills 5) France to Sell Up to EUR1.6 Bln 154-Day Bills 6) France to Sell Up to EUR1.5 Bln 336-Day Bills 7) U.S. to Sell USD26 Bln 3-Month Bills 8) U.S. to Sell USD26 Bln 6-Month Bills 9) China Development Bank to Sell CNY6 Bln 5-Year Bonds (1503) 10) China Development Bank to Sell CNY5 Bln 7-Year Bonds (1504) 11) China Development Bank to Sell CNY7 Bln 10-Year Bonds (1505) 12) Japan to Sell 10-Year Bonds 13) U.S. to Sell USD25 Bln 52-Week Bills 14) U.S. to Sell 4-Week Bills 15) China to Sell CNY20 Bln 5-Year Bonds (1503) 16) Greece to Sell EUR625 Mln 182-Day Bills 17) U.K. to Sell 2024 I/L Bonds 18) Japan to Sell 3-Month Bill 19) Japan to Sell 30-Year Bonds 20) Spain to Sell 0.55% I/L 2019 Bonds 21) Spain to Sell 6% 2029 Bonds 22) Spain to Sell 5.15% 2044 Bonds 23) France to Sell 0.5% 2025 Bonds 24) France to Sell 6% 2025 Bonds 25) Japan to Sell 6-Month Bill 26) U.K. to Sell GBP500 Mln 28-Day Bills 27) U.K. to Sell GBP1 Bln 91-Day Bills 28) U.K. to Sell GBP1.5 Bln 182-Day Bills 29) Germany to Sell EUR2 Bln 182-Day Bills (DE0001119386) 30) U.S. to Sell 3-Month Bills 31) U.S. to Sell 6-Month Bills 32) Japan Auction for Enhanced-Liquidity 33) U.S. to Sell 4-Week Bills 34) U.S. to Sell 3-Year Notes 35) Italy to Sell Bills 36) Greece to Sell 13-Week Bills 37) U.K. to Sell 3.5% 2045 Bonds 38) Germany to Sell EUR5 Bln Bonds (DE0001137495) 39) U.S. to Sell 10-Year Notes 40) Japan to Sell 3-Month Bill 41) Italy to Sell Bonds 42) Ireland to Sell Bonds 43) U.S. to Sell 30-Year Bonds 44) Japan to Sell 5-Year Bonds Government Auctions / Buyouts Calendar 01/30/2015 13:00 01/30/2015 13:00 01/30/2015 13:00 02/02/2015 15:50 02/02/2015 15:50 02/02/2015 15:50 02/02/2015 18:30 02/02/2015 18:30 02/03/2015 04:30 02/03/2015 05:00 02/03/2015 05:00 02/03/2015 05:45 02/03/2015 18:30 02/03/2015 18:30 02/04/2015 05:00 02/04/2015 12:00 02/04/2015 12:30 02/05/2015 05:35 02/05/2015 05:45 02/05/2015 11:30 02/05/2015 11:30 02/05/2015 11:30 02/05/2015 11:50 02/05/2015 11:50 02/06/2015 05:35 02/06/2015 13:00 02/06/2015 13:00 02/06/2015 13:00 02/09/2015 12:30 02/09/2015 18:30 02/09/2015 18:30 02/10/2015 10:00 02/10/2015 18:30 02/10/2015 20:00 02/11/2015 12:00 02/11/2015 12:00 02/11/2015 12:30 02/11/2015 12:30 02/11/2015 20:00 02/12/2015 05:35 02/12/2015 12:00 02/12/2015 12:30 02/12/2015 20:00 02/13/2015 05:45 Source: Bloomberg Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures Global Markets Overview February 2, 2015 Research Department Earnings Releases Calendar Global - Top Events Primary Exchange New York Korea SE London Stockholm Natl India Copenhagen Soc.Bol SIBE NASDAQ GS New York New York New York New York New York New York New York NASDAQ GS New York New York New York New York Natl India Soc.Bol SIBE SIX Swiss Ex Dublin New York New York New York New York NASDAQ GS Tokyo SIX Swiss Ex London London New York Soc.Bol SIBE New York New York New York New York New York New York NASDAQ GS New York EN Paris NASDAQ GS New York Copenhagen Hong Kong New York Toronto Tokyo Tokyo Tokyo Oslo SIX Swiss Ex London New York New York NASDAQ GS New York New York New York New York London NASDAQ GS New York New York New York EN Paris NASDAQ GS New York New York New York NASDAQ GS Company Name Eastman Chemical Co (C) Hyundai Glovis Co Ltd BT Group PLC Svenska Cellulosa AB SCA (P) ICICI Bank Ltd Novo Nordisk A/S Banco Popular Espanol SA Mattel Inc Eli Lilly & Co CONSOL Energy Inc Ingersoll-Rand PLC Altria Group Inc Simon Property Group Inc Tyson Foods Inc AbbVie Inc PACCAR Inc MasterCard Inc Chevron Corp Franklin Resources Inc Berry Plastics Group Inc (C) ICICI Bank Ltd CaixaBank SA Julius Baer Group Ltd Ryanair Holdings PLC Sysco Corp Exxon Mobil Corp Anadarko Petroleum Corp Cliffs Natural Resources Inc Advent Software Inc (C) Sharp Corp/Japan ams AG BG Group PLC BP PLC Archer-Daniels-Midland Co Banco Santander SA Eaton Corp PLC Emerson Electric Co LyondellBasell Industries NV HCA Holdings Inc United Parcel Service Inc Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc Gilead Sciences Inc Walt Disney Co/The LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SA Wynn Resorts Ltd Forest City Enterprises Inc Danske Bank A/S Lenovo Group Ltd National Oilwell Varco Inc PrairieSky Royalty Ltd (C) Sony Corp (C) Mazda Motor Corp (C) Toyota Motor Corp Marine Harvest ASA Syngenta AG Sky PLC Boston Scientific Corp Merck & Co Inc Cognizant Technology Solutions Corp Spectra Energy Corp General Motors Co Marathon Petroleum Corp Whirlpool Corp GlaxoSmithKline PLC Twenty-First Century Fox Inc Under Armour Inc Weatherford International PLC Noble Corp plc Vinci SA Keurig Green Mountain Inc Prudential Financial Inc Yum! Brands Inc Brookdale Senior Living Inc NXP Semiconductors NV Bloomberg Ticker EMN US 086280 KS BT/A LN SCAB SS ICICIBC IN NOVOB DC POP SM MAT US LLY US CNX US IR US MO US SPG US TSN US ABBV US PCAR US MA US CVX US BEN US BERY US ICICIBC IN CABK SM BAER VX RYA ID SYY US XOM US APC US CLF US ADVS US 6753 JP AMS SW BG/ LN BP/ LN ADM US SAN SM ETN US EMR US LYB US HCA US UPS US CMG US GILD US DIS US MC FP WYNN US FCE/A US DANSKE DC 992 HK NOV US PSK CN 6758 JP 7261 JP 7203 JP MHG NO SYNN VX SKY LN BSX US MRK US CTSH US SE US GM US MPC US WHR US GSK LN FOXA US UA US WFT US NE US DG FP GMCR US PRU US YUM US BKD US NXPI US Date 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 30/1/15 2/2/15 2/2/15 2/2/15 2/2/15 2/2/15 2/2/15 2/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 3/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 4/2/15 C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C E C C C E C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C Time Period 0:08 7:09 9:00 9:00 10:36 Bef-mkt Bef-mkt 13:00 13:25 13:45 14:00 14:00 14:00 14:30 14:47 15:00 15:00 15:30 15:30 15:30 Q4 2014 Y 2014 Q3 2015 Y 2014 Q3 2015 Y 2014 Y 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q1 2015 Q3 2015 Y 2014 Y 2014 Q3 2015 Q2 2015 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q3 2015 Y 2014 Y 2014 Y 2014 Q4 2014 Y 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Y 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Y 2014 Q3 2015 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2015 Q3 2015 Y 2014 Y 2014 S1 2015 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Y 2014 Q2 2015 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Y 2014 Q1 2015 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 Q4 2014 8:00 9:00 Bef-mkt 15:00 Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Aft-mkt 6:30 8:15 9:00 9:00 Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt 14:45 23:00 23:05 23:15 Aft-mkt Aft-mkt 8:00 8:00 8:00 8:00 8:00 9:00 Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt Bef-mkt 13:00 14:00 23:00 23:15 Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Aft-mkt Actual 1.64 14300 0.081 10.891 4.99 10.207 0.156 0.52 0.75 0.25 0.79 0.66 2.47 0.77 0.89 1.11 0.72 1.85 0.91 0.27 0.114 2.683 0.035 EPS (local currency) Estimate Surprise Guidance 1.528 7.33% 15023.3 -4.82% 0.078 3.85% 10.631 2.45% 4.969 0.42% 10.071 1.35% 0.138 13.04% 0.913 -43.04% 0.733 2.32% 0.198 26.26% 0.686 15.16% 0.65 0.664 -0.60% 2.465 0.20% 0.727 5.91% 0.856 3.97% 1.095 1.37% 0.674 6.82% 1.643 12.60% 0.934 -2.57% 0.245 10.20% 0.125 2.69 0.02 0.408 1.339 0.859 0.117 0.357 7.327 1.416 1.082 0.627 0.955 0.486 1.2 0.725 2.166 1.29 1.25 3.788 2.212 1.068 6.814 1.418 12.103 0.021 1.598 0.3 37.957 65.176 165.728 4.095 18.692 0.292 0.214 0.857 0.639 0.334 0.83 1.377 3.186 0.936 0.415 0.389 0.315 0.482 3.526 0.891 2.382 0.662 -0.645 1.324 -8.80% -0.26% 75% 1.2 1.25 0.21 0.63 1.084 0.385 0.855 1.31 Currency USD KRW GBp SEK INR DKK EUR USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD INR EUR CHF EUR USD USD USD USD USD JPY CHF GBp GBp USD EUR USD USD USD USD USD USD USD USD EUR USD USD DKK HKD USD CAD JPY JPY JPY NOK CHF GBp USD USD USD USD USD USD USD GBp USD USD USD USD EUR USD USD USD USD USD (*) Reported Value, (^) GAAP Value, (T) Tentative, (C) Confirmed Date, (E) Estimated Date Source: Bloomberg Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures Global Markets Overview February 2, 2015 Research Department GREEK MARKET - Corporate Actions General Meetings Company GM Date Time Balkan Real Estate SA 3/2/15 15.00 Kleemann Hellas SA 4/2/15 14.00 MLS Multimedia SA 11/2/15 15.00 Alco Hellas SA 13/2/15 12.00 Bank of Greece 26/2/15 12.00 AGM: Annual General Meeting, EGM: Extra-ordinary General Meeting, Rep: Repetitive Meeting Type EGM EGM EGM EGM AGM Comments Dividends Company Interim Div 2014 X-Div Date Remaining Div 2014 X-Div Date Total Div 2014 (gross* ) X-Div Date Capital X-Div Return Date Notes 0.15 € To be proposed at the 26/6/14 GM 0.20 € To be proposed at the 17/6/14 GM 0.03 € Approved by the 3/6/14 GM 1.50 € Approved by the 29/5/14 GM Approved by the 29/12/14GM 0.125 € 0.09 € 2/2/15 0.2017€ (gross) interim div. + 0.0283€ (net) distribution of tax free reserves (0.23€ total, 0.21€ net) 0.17 21/01/15 20/1/15 0.025 € Nexans Hellas SA Hellenic Exchanges - Athens St Elve SA Alpha Trust Mutual Fund Manage Folli Follie SA Loulis Mills SA OPAP SA 0.2300 € 12/01/15 GEKE SA Thrace Plastics Co SA * The abovementioned dividend amounts are subject to a 25% withholding tax (Law 3943/2011) (1) 0.65€ from retained earnings & reserves + 0.15€ interim dividend 2014. Net amount equals to 0.5461€+0.1250€=0.672€ Rights Issue / Bonus Issue - (Reverse) Splits Company Compucon Computer Applications Ilyda SA Alco Hellas SA Kekrops SA Compucon Computer Applications Lamda Development SA JUMBO SA Kathimerini Publishing SA Kathimerini Publishing SA Terms 9 new / 4 old at 1.82€ 1 new / 100 old at 0.90€ Rev. Split: 1 new / 5 old 3 new / 1 old at 0.40€ Rev. Split: 1 new / 11 old 0.79469... new / 1 old at 4.25€ Bonus shares: 1 new / 22 old 8 new / 1 old at 0.33€ Rev. Split: 2 new / 10 old New Rights Exercise Trading shares Period Period trading day 13/10/14 15/10/14 16/10 - 30/10/2014 16/10 - 24/10/2014 18/11/14 5/9/14 Cease of trading: 1/9/2014 11/8 - 25/8/2014 11/8 - 19/8/2014 5/8/14 29/8/14 2/7/14 4/7/14 8/7/14 27/6 - 11/7/2014 23/6/14 25/6/14 27/6 - 7/7/2014 22/7/2014 - 11/3/2014 5/3/14 7/3/14 6/3/14 10/3 - 24/3/2014 4/3/14 10/3 - 18/3/2014 28/3/14 4/3/14 10/3/14 ExDate Record Date Comments & Notes Approved by the 6/5 GM Adjusted start share price 0.751€ Adjusted start share price 0.418€ Approved by the 12/2 GM Adjusted price €4.46 after the split, €0.788 after the increase Mergers Company (1) Elval - Hellenic Aluminium Ind Absorbed Company (2) ETEM SA Exchange Terms (1/1) 1/1 Exchange Terms (1/2) 1/6 Absorbed Company Cease Trading Day 02/12/14 New Shares Start Trading Day 5/12/14 Comments Financial Calendar Company FY 2014 Results Fourlis Holdings SA 24/2/15 Hellenic Telecommunications Or 26/2/15 Mytilineos Holdings SA 18/3/15 Bmkt: Before market opens, Amkt: After market closes, ND: Non distribution (of dividend) Bold Colors indicate a new addition (stays bold for a couple of days) or a current action / event Time of Releases Amkt Bmkt Amkt Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures Global Markets Overview February 2, 2015 Research Department Bonds, Spreads, CDS 10 Yr Bond Yields 5 Yr Bond Yields Greece, Germany, Ireland, Portugal, Spain Germany, Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Greece 16 12 15 11 14 10 13 12 9 11 8 10 9 7 8 6 7 5 6 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 3/2/14 28/4/14 21/7/14 Greece Germany Ireland 13/10/14 Portugal -1 3/2/14 5/1/15 Spain 28/4/14 Italy Greek Spreads, 10 Yr Bonds (5 Yr n/a) Germany 35835 -3 1,650 13/10/14 Portugal Spain 5/1/15 Italy Greece Greek CDS, 5 Yr & 10 Yr Bonds (CMAN pricing) 66257 1,850 1,550 1,750 1,450 1,650 1,350 21/7/14 Ireland 1,550 1,250 1,450 1,150 1,350 1,050 1,250 950 1,150 850 750 1,050 650 950 550 28/11/14 850 8/12/14 18/12/14 28/12/14 Greek 10Yr Spread 7/1/15 17/1/15 27/1/15 14/1/15 Greek 5Yr Spread 20/1/15 23/1/15 Greek 5Yr CDS Spreads and CDS, 10 Yr Bonds - Ireland, Portugal, Italy, Spain (CBIL pricing for CDS) 300 17/1/15 26/1/15 29/1/15 Greek 10Yr CDS Spreads and CDS, 5 Yr Bonds Ireland, Portugal, Italy, Spain (CBIL pricing for CDS) 220 280 200 260 180 240 220 160 200 140 180 523 160 120 140 100 725.1 702.1 120 80 100 60 80 60 40 40 20 390.16 20 0 22/12/14 Irish Spread Portugese CDS Italian Spread Source: Bloomberg 0 22/12/14 Irish CDS Spanish Spread Italian CDS Portugese Spread Spanish CDS Irish Spread (6Yr) Portugese CDS Italian Spread Irish CDS Spanish Spread Italian CDS Portugese Spread Spanish CDS Please refer to the last pages of this report for important disclosures OTHER IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES - The present research report has been published for the first time today/ or on the…./…./…… - The above research material is provided to investors exclusively for information purposes and is not to be used or considered as an offer, advice or invitation to sell or buy or subscribe for any financial instrument mentioned in the present report. 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