Daily Calls February 6, 2015 Market Outlook Domestic Indices Indices Close Change Change% 28850.97 -32.14 -0.11 8711.70 -12.00 -0.14 8751.30 -25.05 -0.29 S&PBSE 500 11203.24 S&PBSE Midcap 10603.57 -48.99 -137.81 -0.44 -1.28 S&PBSE Smallcap 11283.14 -149.26 -1.31 S&P BSE Sensex CNX Nifty Nifty future Sensex: We said, "Watch if the December top provides some support..." Initially holding the December top of 28822, the index was up 395 points. However, the support proved temporary. Reversing 526 points in late trade, the index finished 32 points lower. Except IT, most sectors ended flat to negative. Power, realty and consumer durables lost 2%+ while the A/D ratio worsened to 1:3. The action formed a Bear candle with a large upper shadow, comprising a late sell-off from higher levels. Support at the December top was broken but not closed below. Watch if bulls make another attempt today. Failure to respect the December top as a support could lead to further slippage testing the 50% retracement level to the post January 14 rally. Exhibit 1: Sensex – Daily Candlestick Chart Global Indices Indices Close 17884.88 Dow Jones Nasdaq 4765.10 6865.93 FTSE DAX 10905.41 24770.12 Hang Seng Nikkei 17646.09 8726.00 SGX Nifty * Asian Market at 7:30 am.IST Change 211.86 48.40 5.91 -5.91 -0.63 134.94 -23.00 Change% 1.20 1.03 0.09 -0.05 0.00 0.77 -0.26 Market Breadth 22 119 Unchg NSE BSE 852 Decline 304 Advance 0 1874 1023 500 1000 1500 2000 Recommendations for the day 1. Sell Nifty Feb Future in range of 8780-8785 2. Buy TCS above 2570.00 3. Buy Glenmark in range of 740.00-741.00 4. Sell Reliance Infra below 473.00 5. Sell Bank of India below 250.00 *All recommendations are of February Future Source: ASA, ICICIdirect.com Research ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research Exhibit 2: Nifty Future – Daily Candlestick Chart CNX Nifty (Cash Levels) Technical Picture Nifty Trend Intraday Down Trend Reversal Short Term Rangebound 8780 Support 8670-8640 8600 Resistance 8745-8780 8900 20 Days EMA 8657 200 days EMA 7862 Nifty Future Recommendations CMP : 8751.30 Comment : Future premium decreased from 53 points to 40.Late the sell-off, NF now testing retracement levels marked. Reverse if holds around 8700 Action : Sell in the range of 8780-8785 Targets : 8750/8730/Lower Stop-loss : 8800.00 Source: ASA, ICICIdirect.com Research ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research Page 2 Trend Scanner Global Currencies Spot Positive Trends Candlestick Patterns Close Prev.close % Chg Rupee (|) 61.739 61.754 0.02 Scrip Name Close % Change 10-day SMA Delivery (%) Dollar Index 93.604 93.569 0.04 Infosys Ltd 2193.80 2.38 2157.44 68.21 Euro 1.147 1.148 -0.08 Kajaria Ceramics Ltd 750.40 4.49 724.90 68.35 British Pound 1.533 1.533 0.01 Shree Cement Ltd 11001.85 2.93 10914.12 61.10 Japanese Yen 117.380 117.530 0.12 Gateway Distriparks Ltd 393.30 3.51 386.19 70.10 Australian ($) 0.783 0.780 0.37 Swiss Franc 0.923 0.921 -0.26 Closing Yield (%) Previous Yield (%) India 10 year 7.70 7.70 US 10 Year 1.82 1.82 EURO 10 Year 0.36 0.37 GBP 10 Year 1.54 1.53 JPY 10 Year 0.38 0.36 Commodities US Dollar Close Prev. Close %Chg Gold/ounce 1265.65 1264.82 0.01 Copper /ton 5743.5 5732.75 -0.15 57.23 56.57 1.24 Brent Crude/barrel Bearish Engulfing Scrip Name Close Scrip Name Shree Cement 10980.0 Jindal Saw Jubilant FoodWorks BPCL HCL Technologies Scrip Name Close % Change 10-day SMA Delivery (%) Bank of India 249.45 -2.96 276.44 23.21 Reliance Infrastructure Ltd 469.80 -5.62 489.89 25.48 Jindal Steel & Power Ltd 146.30 -4.88 154.92 41.56 Overbought Stocks Glenmark TCS Jindal Steel & Power 145.5 Bank of India 247.8 2553.0 Reliance Infra 466.5 1075.2 ONGC Evening Star Stocks falling for 5 days & stochastic oversold Stocks hitting 52 week high Scrip Name Scrip Name Dabur India United Phosphorus Stochastic 26.0 743.5 Scrip Name LTP Stochastic 266.25 85.25 Bata India 1366 12.82 HCL Tech 417.4 88.09 Hindustan Unilever 908.5 17.08 Lupin Thomas Cook 191.5 19.5 355.9 LTP 1965.85 1588.7 Ramco system 526.9 Tata Chemical 465.35 Wipro FII -27.4 1970.8 JP Associates Note: For Candlestick pattern description refer towards the end of the report. Oversold Stocks LTP 79.0 Bearish Continuation pattern 746.2 Piercing Line Godrej CP Close 1440.0 Stocks rising for 5 days & stochastic overbought Institutional Activity Cash Segment (| Cr) 5-Feb-15 Bearish Candlestick Formations Bullish Engulfing Bullish Continuation pattern Negative Trends Global Treasury Yields Bullish Candlestick Formations 637.5 DII 325.6 4-Feb-15 -83.8 -72.4 3-Feb-15 -264.4 -137.3 2-Feb-15 -630.0 -224.1 30-Jan-15 -771.6 -37.6 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research Page 3 Stock recommendations for the day Exhibit 3: TCS (TCS) Daily Candlestick Chart Price trading in upward rising channel signalling continuation of positive trend in the short term TCS (TCS) February Future CMP 2568.25 Comment : Price trading in upward rising channel and MACD in uptrend forming higher high in daily charts Action : Buy above 2570.00 Targets : 2600/2615/Higher Stop-loss : 2552.00 MACD in uptrend taking support at its signal line in the daily chart Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research Page 4 Exhibit 4: Glenmark (GLEPHA) Daily Candlestick Chart Trend line breakout and price close above 21 day EMA indicating further upsides in coming sessions Glenmark (GLEPHA) February Future CMP 743.65 Comment : Short term trendline breakout and price above 21 day EMA and RSI in up trend forming higher high in daily chart Action : Buy in the range of 740.00-741.00 Targets : 752/758/Higher Stop-loss : 734.00 RSI in up trend forming higher high in daily chart supports the bullish bias in price Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research Page 5 Exhibit 5: Reliance Infrastructure (BSES) Daily Candlestick Chart Price facing resistance at 50 day EMA and rising support line breached signalling continuation of profit booking in the coming sessions Reliance Infra (BSES) February Future CMP 473.20 Comment : Price facing resistance at 50 day EMA and rising support line breached and RSI generated bearish crossover in the daily chart Action : Sell below 473.00 Targets : 466/462/Lower Stop-loss : 477.00 Bearish crossover of the RSI below its nine period’s average indicating selling pressure Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research Page 6 Exhibit 6: Bank of India (BANIND) Weekly Candlestick Chart Short term trendline joining major lows is breached signalling continuation of profit booking in the coming sessions Bank of India (BANIND) February Future CMP 250.50 Comment : Short term trendline joining major lows is breached and MACD giving sell signal in the weekly chart Action : Sell below 250.00 Targets : 245/243/Lower Stop-loss : 252.50 MACD in sell mode moving below signal line indicating further downsides in the coming sessions Source: Bloomberg, ICICIdirect.com Research ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research Page 7 Previous Day’s Performance Scrip Nifty Lupin Tata Chemical LIC Housing Finance Product Future Future Future Future Strategy Sell Buy Buy Sell Recommended Price in the range of 8825-8830 In range of 1586-1588 In range of 471-472 below 457 Targets 8795/8775/1610/1622/+ 479/483/+ 449.5/445.5/- SL 8845.00 1575.00 467.50 461.20 Gain/Loss %* Comment (17 points) 2.10 1.50 -0.90 Stoploss triggered Target 2 almost achieved Target 1 achieved Stoploss triggered * Return Opportunity Nifty Points gained for the day: -17 points Gains over last 201 days: 540 points Stock profits: Avg 0.90% per trade (Cum. Profits over last 201 days:279.25%) Strike Rate for the day: 2/3 (Cum strike rate over 201 days: 266/443 NOTE: The follow-up and performance review table of the strategies indicates the profit opportunity that was available in the strategies. Individual profits may vary, depending upon the entry and exit price and stop losses ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research Page 8 Support and Resistance Table (Cash Levels) SCRIP SENSEX NIFTY ACC CLOSE S1 S2 S3 R1 R2 R3 TREND 28850.97 28774.7 28643.55 28566.35 29036.95 29168.1 29245.35 Neutral 8711.7 8689.45 8650.75 8628.65 8766.85 8805.55 8827.65 Neutral +ve 1504.55 1505.85 1495.1 1484.35 1527.35 1535.75 1544.15 ADANI ENTER. 622.85 610.65 602.80 594.90 627.20 635.50 643.75 -ve ADANI POWER 47.45 46.15 45.55 44.90 47.80 48.65 49.45 -ve 1750.60 1734.05 1722.80 1711.55 1758.55 1770.80 1783.05 107.25 106.20 104.45 103.40 109.70 111.40 112.50 ADITYA BIRLA ALLAHABAD BANK ANDHRA BANK -ve Neutral 86.60 84.50 83.75 82.95 87.25 88.65 90.00 1294.65 1278.15 1270.25 1262.35 1299.85 1310.70 1321.60 -ve APOLLO TYRES 226.85 223.95 221.10 218.20 227.75 229.65 231.55 -ve ARVIND 287.55 279.35 274.90 270.40 289.70 294.90 300.05 -ve 62.45 61.25 60.60 60.00 62.75 63.50 64.30 -ve APOLLO HOSPITALS ASHOK LEYLAND ASIAN PAINTS -ve 810.85 812.95 808.35 803.75 822.15 828.80 835.45 AUROBINDO PHARMA 1150.85 1128.00 1114.75 1101.55 1156.85 1171.30 1185.75 -ve BAJAJ AUTO 2245.30 2241.05 2233.55 2220.70 2256.05 2263.50 2276.40 Neutral BOB 177.55 173.30 171.80 170.35 178.55 181.20 183.80 -ve BOI 249.45 244.40 242.35 240.30 251.00 254.35 257.65 -ve BATA INDIA 1360.70 1351.90 1340.85 1327.95 1374.05 1385.15 1398.00 Neutral BHARAT FORGE 1088.05 1082.00 1074.25 1065.50 1097.45 1105.20 1113.95 Neutral 750.00 749.30 736.85 724.40 774.20 779.65 785.05 BPCL +ve +ve BHARTI AIRTEL 364.70 359.20 356.10 353.05 365.10 368.10 371.05 -ve BIOCON 420.30 413.30 411.55 409.80 421.20 425.20 429.15 -ve CAIRNS INDIA 247.00 245.05 240.95 236.85 247.25 248.35 249.50 -ve CANARA BANK 429.55 418.55 408.75 398.95 433.40 440.85 448.30 -ve Neutral CENTURY TEXT. 525.00 522.55 518.15 509.75 531.35 535.75 544.15 CESC 672.25 655.65 648.85 642.10 676.05 686.25 696.45 59.70 59.45 58.95 58.55 60.45 60.95 61.40 CIPLA 662.40 654.25 648.55 642.85 663.90 668.75 673.55 -ve COAL INDIA 369.90 370.15 367.95 365.80 374.50 377.55 380.65 +ve +ve CHAMBAL FERT. COLGATE PALM. -ve Neutral 1857.70 1851.30 1832.55 1813.80 1888.80 1900.60 1912.45 CROMPTON GREAVES 161.75 157.80 154.35 150.90 163.15 165.85 168.55 -ve DABUR INDIA 267.90 266.35 264.80 262.80 269.45 271.00 273.00 Neutral 77.85 75.40 74.65 73.95 78.25 79.70 81.15 DISH TV ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research -ve Page 9 SCRIP DIVI'S LAB. CLOSE S1 S2 S3 R1 R2 R3 TREND 1622.00 1609.65 1594.20 1578.70 1622.15 1628.40 1634.65 169.40 166.95 163.45 159.95 170.00 171.55 173.10 -ve 3072.05 3057.15 3046.40 3035.60 3074.05 3082.50 3090.95 -ve EXIDE IND. 191.65 189.30 187.55 185.75 192.25 193.70 195.15 -ve FEDERAL BANK 137.05 133.45 132.40 131.40 136.90 138.60 140.30 -ve FUTURE RETAIL 139.95 140.25 137.70 135.15 145.35 147.80 150.25 +ve GAIL 423.90 419.30 415.30 411.25 425.00 427.85 430.70 -ve 5598.20 5476.85 5454.10 5431.35 5593.30 5651.55 5709.80 -ve 742.10 742.55 737.85 733.15 752.00 760.15 768.25 18.10 16.95 16.60 16.25 18.20 18.85 19.50 1078.45 1071.20 1055.30 1039.45 1102.95 1119.00 1135.05 DLF DR.REDDY'S LAB. GLAXO SMITH.C.H. GLENMARK PHARMA. GMR INFRA. GODREJ CONSUMER GODREJ IND. GRASIM HAVELL'S INDIA -ve +ve -ve +ve 305.35 300.70 295.50 290.30 306.10 308.80 311.50 3887.50 3849.90 3834.35 3818.80 3887.55 3906.40 3925.25 -ve -ve 249.00 244.85 242.00 239.15 249.70 252.10 254.55 -ve HCL TECH 1972.65 1959.75 1936.25 1912.80 2006.70 2012.80 2018.90 +ve HDFC BANK 1076.50 1078.20 1072.60 1066.95 1089.40 1095.95 1102.50 +ve HDFC 1246.45 1247.65 1226.70 1205.75 1289.60 1297.30 1305.05 +ve HERO MOTO 2847.30 2843.00 2831.30 2819.60 2866.40 2894.90 2923.40 +ve HEXAWARE TECH. 233.20 228.80 226.80 224.80 234.30 237.05 239.80 HINDALCO 148.05 145.25 143.30 141.35 148.80 150.60 152.40 -ve HIND. UNILEVER 909.05 909.55 904.90 900.25 918.85 925.35 931.85 +ve HPCL 605.30 607.85 599.80 591.75 623.95 630.40 636.85 +ve HINDUSTAN ZINC 173.90 170.55 169.60 168.60 173.80 175.40 177.00 -ve HDIL 105.70 102.95 100.35 97.80 106.20 107.80 109.45 -ve ICICI BANK 335.60 330.45 328.70 326.95 336.75 339.90 343.00 -ve -ve IDBI -ve 65.75 64.15 63.75 63.30 66.20 67.20 68.25 IDEA CELLULAR 154.25 152.95 151.95 150.95 154.40 155.10 155.85 -ve NSE INFRA DEV FINANC 166.70 164.00 162.60 161.25 167.25 168.90 170.55 -ve NSE IND.FIN.CORP.OF INDUSIND BANK INDIA CEMENTS 37.75 37.00 36.55 36.10 38.00 38.50 39.00 865.40 866.00 857.90 849.80 882.15 887.45 892.70 -ve +ve 96.25 91.40 89.95 88.50 97.55 100.65 103.75 -ve INDRAPRASTHA GAS 461.95 455.80 451.90 447.95 464.55 468.90 473.30 -ve IOC 334.65 332.25 328.20 325.60 340.25 344.25 346.90 Neutral IOB 50.25 47.90 47.50 47.05 51.15 52.80 54.40 ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research -ve Page 10 SCRIP IB REAL ESTATE CLOSE S1 S2 S3 R1 R2 R3 TREND 76.95 74.60 73.35 72.10 77.70 79.25 80.80 2193.80 2190.55 2172.55 2154.55 2226.55 2235.10 2243.65 IRB INFRA. 254.50 244.95 240.90 236.85 256.15 261.75 267.35 -ve ITC +ve INFOSYS -ve +ve 368.90 368.55 366.45 364.35 372.75 374.05 375.35 JAIPRAKASH ASS. 26.50 25.20 24.60 23.95 26.75 27.50 28.25 -ve J.P.POWER VENT. 11.55 11.20 11.05 10.90 11.65 11.85 12.10 -ve JAIN IRRIGATION 69.55 67.05 65.80 64.50 70.00 71.50 72.95 -ve JINDAL ST&POW 146.30 142.40 140.10 137.75 147.35 149.80 152.25 -ve JSW ENERGY 104.65 101.60 99.60 97.55 105.45 107.35 109.25 -ve NSE JSW STEEL 976.50 965.15 959.65 954.10 979.55 986.75 993.90 -ve JUBILANT FOOD 1431.95 1417.30 1387.15 1357.00 1477.65 1492.40 1507.20 KARNATAKA BANK 133.60 131.00 129.90 128.80 134.15 135.70 137.25 KOTAK MAH.BANK 1287.90 1281.45 1273.30 1262.45 1297.75 1305.90 1316.75 L&T 1682.40 1669.00 1656.55 1644.10 1684.95 1692.95 1700.90 459.95 459.30 454.30 449.30 469.30 474.90 480.50 NSE LUPIN 1578.30 1567.70 1554.95 1541.55 1593.10 1605.80 1619.25 Neutral M&M 1179.70 1164.90 1159.70 1154.55 1184.90 1194.90 1204.90 -ve MARUTI SUZUKI 3522.70 3488.15 3467.25 3446.40 3532.65 3554.90 3577.15 -ve 211.55 209.45 208.00 206.60 212.10 213.45 214.80 -ve LIC HOUSING MCLEOD RUSSEL M&M FIN.SERV. MRF NSE NHPC +ve -ve Neutral -ve +ve 256.00 251.85 248.55 245.25 257.05 259.70 262.30 -ve 39729.10 39496.75 39209.25 38921.75 39805.75 39960.25 40114.75 -ve 20.05 19.90 19.70 19.55 20.25 20.40 20.60 NMDC 138.25 136.95 136.10 135.25 138.50 139.30 140.10 NSE NTPC 140.15 138.45 137.90 137.40 140.45 141.45 142.50 -ve ONGC 356.65 350.95 347.35 343.75 358.20 361.80 365.40 -ve OBC 248.35 240.40 238.25 236.10 250.15 255.00 259.90 -ve PETRONET LNG 184.15 182.45 180.65 178.90 186.00 187.75 189.55 Neutral POWER FINANCE 279.50 275.60 272.35 269.05 280.55 283.05 285.50 -ve POWER GRID 143.65 141.95 141.10 140.25 144.05 145.10 146.15 -ve 93.85 92.15 91.40 90.65 94.05 95.00 96.00 -ve PNB 171.40 169.35 166.45 164.90 175.15 178.00 179.60 RANBAXY 736.25 730.25 725.60 720.95 736.50 739.65 742.80 -ve 72.25 69.40 68.95 68.55 73.05 74.90 76.70 -ve 463.75 453.05 448.80 444.55 467.25 474.35 481.45 -ve POWER TRADING RCOM REL. CAPITAL ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research Neutral -ve Neutral Page 11 SCRIP CLOSE S1 S2 S3 R1 R2 R3 TREND RELIANCE INFRA. 469.80 457.15 453.45 449.75 474.20 482.75 491.25 -ve RELIANCE 923.70 914.25 909.75 905.30 925.40 930.95 936.55 -ve 60.65 59.05 58.60 58.15 61.20 62.25 63.30 -ve 321.50 314.95 312.40 309.85 323.50 327.80 332.05 74.00 73.55 73.00 72.70 74.70 75.25 75.55 RELIANCE POWER REC SAIL SESA GOA -ve Neutral 207.80 204.35 201.90 199.40 208.90 211.15 213.45 SHRIRAM TRANS. 1157.15 1159.70 1147.80 1135.85 1183.55 1194.50 1205.45 SIEMENS 1094.00 1081.35 1072.55 1063.75 1094.05 1100.40 1106.75 290.80 289.55 287.40 284.65 293.85 296.00 298.75 Neutral SUN PHARMA 959.55 955.45 951.75 945.55 962.90 966.65 972.80 Neutral SUN TV 404.70 395.25 393.25 391.20 407.05 412.95 418.85 -ve SYNDICATE BANK 113.85 111.20 110.15 109.05 114.45 116.05 117.65 -ve TATA CHEMICALS 462.45 455.10 450.00 444.90 464.00 468.45 472.90 -ve TATA MOTOR DVR 356.40 357.15 354.35 351.50 362.85 364.90 366.95 +ve TATA MOTORS 589.20 579.85 575.20 570.60 590.30 595.50 600.75 -ve 83.30 80.05 78.90 77.75 84.45 86.65 88.80 -ve 154.75 152.25 150.85 149.50 155.40 156.95 158.55 -ve TCS 2552.40 2553.40 2535.20 2517.05 2589.75 2608.30 2626.90 +ve TECH MAHINDRA 2867.75 2869.50 2855.50 2841.50 2897.45 2918.70 2939.90 +ve TATA STEEL 379.25 373.95 370.85 367.80 381.30 385.00 388.70 -ve TITAN IND. 417.80 410.15 405.90 401.65 419.40 424.05 428.70 -ve UCO BANK 68.40 66.70 66.20 65.65 69.05 70.20 71.40 -ve 3064.10 3033.45 3018.85 3004.30 3067.90 3085.10 3102.35 -ve UBI 193.35 189.30 187.40 185.50 194.60 197.25 199.95 -ve UNITED BREW. 953.45 917.15 909.70 902.25 956.00 975.45 994.90 -ve UNITED PHOSPH. 417.95 413.05 407.45 401.85 419.25 422.35 425.40 -ve 17.50 16.15 15.75 15.35 17.65 18.40 19.20 -ve VOLTAS 262.85 256.85 251.40 245.95 264.90 268.95 273.00 -ve WIPRO 638.25 636.15 630.60 625.05 647.25 651.10 654.95 +ve NSE YES BANK 807.85 808.75 800.50 792.25 825.25 832.80 840.40 +ve ZEE 360.65 357.30 353.80 350.30 361.60 363.75 365.90 -ve SBI TATA POWER TATA GLOBAL BEV. ULTRATECH CEMENT UNITECH ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research -ve +ve -ve Page 12 NOTES: • • • • • • • Please execute the recommendation within the levels provided in the report Once the recommendation is executed, it is advisable to keep strict stop loss as provided in the report Avoid entering into the recommendation in the first 5 minutes of trade If the recommendation opens near the target levels due to gap up/gap down opening, then the recommendation is considered not initiated The recommendations are valid only for the day and should be squared off by the end of the day Only stocks in derivatives segment have been considered for daily trading Medium to long-term prospects of a stock does not have any bearing on the daily view Trading Portfolio allocation • • • • It is recommended to spread out the trading corpus in a proportionate manner between the various technical research products. Please avoid allocating the entire trading corpus to a single stock or a single product segment Within each product segment it is advisable to allocate equal amount to each recommendation. For example: The ‘Daily Calls’ product carries 3 to 4 intraday recommendations. It is advisable to allocate equal amount to each recommendation ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research Page 13 Recommended Trading Portfolio allocation Products Allocations Product wise Max allocation allocation in 1 stock Return Objective Number of Calls Frontline Stocks Mid-cap stocks Duration Daily Calls 8% 2-3% 3-4 Stocks 0.50-1% 2-3% Intraday Short term Delivery 6% 3-5% 7-10 p.m 4-5% 7-10% Opportunity based Weekly Calls 8% 3-5% 1-2 Stocks 5-7% 7-10% 1 Week Weekly Technical 8% 3-5% 1-2 Stocks 5-7% 7-10% 1 Week Monthly Call 15% 5% 2-3 Stocks 7-10% 10-15% 1 Month Monthly Technical 15% 2-4% 5-8 Stocks 7-10% 10-15% 1 Month Techno Funda 15% 5-10% 1-2 Stocks 10% and above 15% and above 6 Months Technical Breakout 15% 5-10% 1-2 Stocks 10% and above 15% and above 3-6 Months Cash in Hand 10% - - - - - 100% ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research Page 14 Candlesticks Glossary: Candlestick patterns describe the market sentiment for the specified period. Some of the formations suggest reversal of sentiment (trend) and, therefore, are important for a chart reader. By themselves, the patterns do not carry any price target but only an indication of change in market behaviour. More importance needs to be given to the placement of the pattern within larger trend Bullish Engulfing Line: A potential bottom reversal pattern. This pattern typically appears at the culmination of a decline or downtrend. The market falls, and a black candle forms (ideally a small black candle). Next, a white real body wraps around the prior session’s black body. Low of the pattern becomes short term support for prices Piercing Line: Potential bottom reversal pattern. A black body forms in the downtrend. The market continues moving south on the next session’s open but that session culminates in a white real body that closes (e.g. pierces) than half way or more into the prior black body. Lowest low between two candles is referred to as technical support for prices Hammer: A candlestick line which, during a downtrend, has a very long lower shadow and small real body (black or white) at the top end of the session’s range. There should be no, or a very small, upper shadow. Pattern suggests buying support during declines and needs confirmation in terms of sustainability of prices above head of the Hammer in following session Bearish Engulfing Line: Potential top reversal signal. This two candlestick pattern emerges during a rally. A black candle real body wraps around a white real body (classically a small white candle) Highest high between two candles becomes resistance level for prices for future reference Dark Cloud cover: A dark cloud cover forms a top reversal pattern. The first session should be a strong, white real body. The second session’s price opens over the prior session’s high (or above the prior session’s close). By the end of the second session, it closes near the low of the session and should fall well into the prior session’s white body. Pattern suggests that market has a poor chance of rising immediately Shooting Star: A single candlestick line during a rally in which there is a small real body (white or black) at the bottom end of the session's range and a very long upper shadow. The candle line should also have little or no lower shadow. Pattern suggest the trouble for prices overhead. ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research Page 15 Pankaj Pandey Head – Research [email protected] ICICIdirect.com Research Desk, ICICI Securities Limited, 1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre, Road No 7, MIDC Andheri (East) Mumbai – 400 093 [email protected] ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research Page 16 Disclaimer ANALYST CERTIFICATION We /I, Dharmesh Shah, Dipesh Daga, Nitin Kunte, Pabitro Mukherjee Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. Terms & conditions and other disclosures: ICICI Securities Limited (ICICI Securities) is a full-service, integrated investment banking and is, inter alia, engaged in the business of stock brokering and distribution of financial products. ICICI Securities is a whollyowned subsidiary of ICICI Bank which is India’s largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of housing finance, asset management, life insurance, general insurance, venture capital fund management, etc. (“associates”), the details in respect of which are available on www.icicibank.com. ICICI Securities is one of the leading merchant bankers/ underwriters of securities and participate in virtually all securities trading markets in India. We and our associates might have investment banking and other business relationship with a significant percentage of companies covered by our Investment Research Department. ICICI Securities generally prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts and their relatives from maintaining a financial interest in the securities or derivatives of any companies that the analysts cover. The information and opinions in this report have been prepared by ICICI Securities and are subject to change without any notice. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and meant solely for the selected recipient and may not be altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ICICI Securities. While we would endeavour to update the information herein on a reasonable basis, ICICI Securities is under no obligation to update or keep the information current. Also, there may be regulatory, compliance or other reasons that may prevent ICICI Securities from doing so. Non-rated securities indicate that rating on a particular security has been suspended temporarily and such suspension is in compliance with applicable regulations and/or ICICI Securities policies, in circumstances where ICICI Securities might be acting in an advisory capacity to this company, or in certain other circumstances. This report is based on information obtained from public sources and sources believed to be reliable, but no independent verification has been made nor is its accuracy or completeness guaranteed. This report and information herein is solely for informational purpose and shall not be used or considered as an offer document or solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments. Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive this report at the same time. ICICI Securities will not treat recipients as customers by virtue of their receiving this report. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to your specific circumstances. The securities discussed and opinions expressed in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their own investment objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient. This may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. The recipient should independently evaluate the investment risks. The value and return on investment may vary because of changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates or any other reason. ICICI Securities accepts no liabilities whatsoever for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of the use of this report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Document to understand the risks associated before investing in the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. ICICI Securities or its associates might have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company or might have been mandated by the subject company for any other assignment in the past twelve months. ICICI Securities or its associates might have received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report during the period preceding twelve months from the date of this report for services in respect of managing or co-managing public offerings, corporate finance, investment banking or merchant banking, brokerage services or other advisory service in a merger or specific transaction. ICICI Securities or its associates might have received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the companies mentioned in the report in the past twelve months. ICICI Securities encourages independence in research report preparation and strives to minimize conflict in preparation of research report. ICICI Securities or its analysts did not receive any compensation or other benefits from the companies mentioned in the report or third party in connection with preparation of the research report. Accordingly, neither ICICI Securities nor Research Analysts have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report. It is confirmed that Dharmesh Shah, Dipesh Daga, Nitin Kunte, Pabitro Mukherjee Research Analysts of this report have not received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report in the preceding twelve months. Compensation of our Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions. ICICI Securities or its subsidiaries collectively or Research Analysts do not own 1% or more of the equity securities of the Company mentioned in the report as of the last day of the month preceding the publication of the research report. Since associates of ICICI Securities are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial ownership in various companies including the subject company/companies mentioned in this report. ICICI Securities Ltd. | Retail Equity Research Page 17
© Copyright 2024