February 1, 2015 NYSE: KORS MICHAEL KORS HOLDINGS LTD BUY A+ A A- HOLD B+ B Annual Dividend Rate NA B- C+ C Annual Dividend Yield NA SELL C- D+ D Beta 2.00 Sector: Consumer Goods & Svcs KORS BUSINESS DESCRIPTION Michael Kors Holdings Limited is engaged in the design, marketing, distribution, and retailing of branded women's apparel and accessories, and men's apparel. The company operates in three segments: Retail, Wholesale, and Licensing. STOCK PERFORMANCE (%) 3 Mo. Price Change -5.91 Weekly Price: (US$) D- E+ E E- F Market Capitalization $14.9 Billion BUY RATING SINCE TARGET PRICE 52-Week Range $65.10-$101.04 Sub-Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods SMA (50) SMA (100) 12/17/2013 $83.77 Price as of 1/29/2015 $72.53 Source: S&P 1 Year 2 Years 100 95 90 85 TARGET TARGET TARGETPRICE PRICE$83.77 $83.77 PRICE $83.77 TARGET 80 75 1 Yr. -7.89 3 Yr (Ann) 34.44 Last Qtr 42.72 41.96 40.84 12 Mo. 49.34 56.47 54.47 3 Yr CAGR NA NA NA RETURN ON EQUITY (%) KORS Q2 2014 34.98 Q2 2013 36.20 Q2 2012 32.02 Ind Avg 23.12 22.08 21.57 S&P 500 14.59 13.97 13.23 70 65 60 GROWTH (%) Revenues Net Income EPS 55 50 Rating History HOLD BUY Volume in Millions 75 50 25 2013 2014 2015 0 COMPUSTAT for Price and Volume, TheStreet Ratings, Inc. for Rating History P/E COMPARISON RECOMMENDATION We rate MICHAEL KORS HOLDINGS LTD (KORS) a BUY. This is driven by several positive factors, which we believe should have a greater impact than any weaknesses, and should give investors a better performance opportunity than most stocks we cover. The company's strengths can be seen in multiple areas, such as its robust revenue growth, largely solid financial position with reasonable debt levels by most measures, impressive record of earnings per share growth, compelling growth in net income and expanding profit margins. We feel these strengths outweigh the fact that the company shows weak operating cash flow. 19.09 30.41 19.08 KORS Ind Avg S&P 500 HIGHLIGHTS The revenue growth came in higher than the industry average of 17.0%. Since the same quarter one year prior, revenues rose by 42.7%. Growth in the company's revenue appears to have helped boost the earnings per share. EPS ANALYSIS¹ ($) 2012 2013 Q2 1.00 Q1 0.91 Q4 0.78 Q3 1.11 Q2 0.71 Q1 0.61 Q4 0.50 Q3 0.64 Q2 0.49 Q1 0.34 KORS has no debt to speak of therefore resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of zero, which we consider to be a relatively favorable sign. Along with this, the company maintains a quick ratio of 4.17, which clearly demonstrates the ability to cover short-term cash needs. MICHAEL KORS HOLDINGS LTD has improved earnings per share by 40.8% in the most recent quarter compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company has demonstrated a pattern of positive earnings per share growth over the past two years. We feel that this trend should continue. During the past fiscal year, MICHAEL KORS HOLDINGS LTD increased its bottom line by earning $3.21 versus $1.97 in the prior year. This year, the market expects an improvement in earnings ($4.18 versus $3.21). 2014 NA = not available NM = not meaningful 1 Compustat fiscal year convention is used for all fundamental data items. The net income growth from the same quarter one year ago has significantly exceeded that of the S&P 500 and the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry. The net income increased by 42.0% when compared to the same quarter one year prior, rising from $145.81 million to $206.99 million. The gross profit margin for MICHAEL KORS HOLDINGS LTD is rather high; currently it is at 61.05%. It has increased from the same quarter the previous year. Along with this, the net profit margin of 19.59% is above that of the industry average. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved. Report Date: February 1, 2015 PAGE 1 February 1, 2015 NYSE: KORS MICHAEL KORS HOLDINGS LTD Sector: Consumer Goods & Svcs Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods Source: S&P Annual Dividend Rate NA Annual Dividend Yield NA PEER GROUP ANALYSIS 50% REVENUE GROWTH AND EBITDA MARGIN* KORS V FA Price as of 1/29/2015 $72.53 INDUSTRY ANALYSIS The textiles, apparel, and luxury goods industry includes very well-known brands such as Nike (NKE), Coach (COH), Luxottica Group (LUX), Ralph Lauren (RL), Fossil (FOSL), Under Armour (UA), HanesBrands (HBI), Columbia Sportswear (COLM), Crocs (CROX), and Movado Group (MOV). R VO FA LE AB -10% UN Revenue Growth (TTM) LE LULU LUX 15% 32.5% EBITDA Margin (TTM) Companies with higher EBITDA margins and revenue growth rates are outperforming companies with lower EBITDA margins and revenue growth rates. Companies for this scatter plot have a market capitalization between $5.1 Billion and $30.8 Billion. Companies with NA or NM values do not appear. *EBITDA – Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization. 50% REVENUE GROWTH AND EARNINGS YIELD KORS PEER GROUP: Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods Recent Ticker Company Name Price ($) KORS MICHAEL KORS HOLDINGS LTD 72.53 PVH PVH CORP 112.94 LULU LULULEMON ATHLETICA INC 67.19 GIL GILDAN ACTIVEWEAR INC 58.57 FOSL FOSSIL GROUP INC 99.99 VFC VF CORP 71.39 LUX LUXOTTICA GROUP SPA 60.06 UA UNDER ARMOUR INC 72.80 HBI HANESBRANDS INC 116.07 COH COACH INC 38.94 RL RALPH LAUREN CORP 170.03 Market Cap ($M) 14,935 9,312 8,880 7,174 5,108 30,831 28,929 12,814 11,594 10,731 10,444 Price/ Earnings 19.09 26.95 41.22 20.06 14.62 24.37 38.75 86.15 29.31 19.09 20.49 Net Sales TTM ($M) 3,905.44 8,233.36 1,715.72 2,359.99 3,507.27 11,993.40 9,711.80 2,871.93 5,324.75 4,494.04 7,584.00 Net Income TTM ($M) 785.39 350.04 237.87 359.55 371.10 1,293.07 749.24 184.50 404.52 568.62 753.00 The peer group comparison is based on Major Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods companies of comparable size. V FA AB OR LE UA HBI R VO FA LULU PVH GIL VFC RL FOSL LE AB -10% UN Revenue Growth (TTM) 52-Week Range $65.10-$101.04 While textiles may have once been a large portion of this industry group, that segment is down to a few players such as Unifi (UFI), Culp (CFI), Crown Crafts (CRWS), and Hallwood Group (HWG). Most of the industry is focused on brands for shoes, clothing, eyewear, and wrist watches. Companies in the group tend to own a variety of proprietary brands in order to design, develop, market, and distribute products targeted to specific consumer segments. HBI FOSL RL GIL VFC PVH Market Capitalization $14.9 Billion The companies in the textiles, apparel, and luxury goods industry sell their products through multiline retailers and over the internet. Some of the larger players in this industry group cross over into the specialty retailer category with exclusively branded stores of their own such as Nike, Coach, Fossil, and Ralph Lauren. AB OR UA Beta 2.00 LUX 1% COH 7% Earnings Yield (TTM) Companies that exhibit both a high earnings yield and high revenue growth are generally more attractive than companies with low revenue growth and low earnings yield. Companies for this scatter plot have revenue growth rates between -9.8% and 49.3%. Companies with NA or NM values do not appear. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved. Report Date: February 1, 2015 PAGE 2 February 1, 2015 NYSE: KORS MICHAEL KORS HOLDINGS LTD Sector: Consumer Goods & Svcs Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods Source: S&P Annual Dividend Rate NA Annual Dividend Yield NA COMPANY DESCRIPTION Michael Kors Holdings Limited is engaged in the design, marketing, distribution, and retailing of branded women's apparel and accessories, and men's apparel. The company operates in three segments: Retail, Wholesale, and Licensing. The Retail segment is involved in the sale of women's apparel; accessories, which include handbags and small leather goods, such as wallets; footwear; and licensed products comprising watches, fragrances, and eyewear. This segment operates 176 company-owned retail stores and 176 locations operated through its licensing partners. The Wholesale segment sells accessories, which include handbags and small leather goods, footwear, and women's and men's apparel to department stores and specialty shops in North America and Europe. The Licensing segment licenses its trademarks on products, such as fragrances, cosmetics, eyewear, leather goods, jewelry, watches, coats, men's suits, swimwear, furs, and ties, as well as licenses rights to third parties to sell the company's products in geographical regions, such as Korea, the Philippines, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Australia, the Middle East, Russia, Turkey, China, Hong Kong, Macau Taiwan, Latin America and the Caribbean, and India. The company sells its products under the names of MICHAEL KORS, MICHAEL MICHAEL KORS, and various other related trademarks and logos. Michael Kors Holdings Limited was founded in 1981 and is based in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong. MICHAEL KORS HOLDINGS LTD Tower 6, 19th Floor, Unit 1902, The Gateway, Harbo Tsim Sha Tsui VGB Phone: 852 3928 5563 http://www.michaelkors.com Employees: 9000 Beta 2.00 Market Capitalization $14.9 Billion 52-Week Range $65.10-$101.04 Price as of 1/29/2015 $72.53 STOCK-AT-A-GLANCE Below is a summary of the major fundamental and technical factors we consider when determining our overall recommendation of KORS shares. It is provided in order to give you a deeper understanding of our rating methodology as well as to paint a more complete picture of a stock's strengths and weaknesses. It is important to note, however, that these factors only tell part of the story. To gain an even more comprehensive understanding of our stance on the stock, these factors must be assessed in combination with the stock’s valuation. Please refer to our Valuation section on page 5 for further information. FACTOR SCORE 5.0 Growth out of 5 stars weak Measures the growth of both the company's income statement and cash flow. On this factor, KORS has a growth score better than 90% of the stocks we rate. strong 2.5 Total Return out of 5 stars weak Measures the historical price movement of the stock. The stock performance of this company has beaten 40% of the companies we cover. strong 3.5 Efficiency out of 5 stars weak Measures the strength and historic growth of a company's return on invested capital. The company has generated more income per dollar of capital than 60% of the companies we review. strong 2.5 Price volatility out of 5 stars weak Measures the volatility of the company's stock price historically. The stock is less volatile than 40% of the stocks we monitor. strong 5.0 Solvency out of 5 stars weak Measures the solvency of the company based on several ratios. The company is more solvent than 90% of the companies we analyze. strong 0.5 Income out of 5 stars weak Measures dividend yield and payouts to shareholders. This company pays no dividends. strong THESTREET RATINGS RESEARCH METHODOLOGY TheStreet Ratings' stock model projects a stock's total return potential over a 12-month period including both price appreciation and dividends. Our Buy, Hold or Sell ratings designate how we expect these stocks to perform against a general benchmark of the equities market and interest rates. While our model is quantitative, it utilizes both subjective and objective elements. For instance, subjective elements include expected equities market returns, future interest rates, implied industry outlook and forecasted company earnings. Objective elements include volatility of past operating revenues, financial strength, and company cash flows. Our model gauges the relationship between risk and reward in several ways, including: the pricing drawdown as compared to potential profit volatility, i.e.how much one is willing to risk in order to earn profits; the level of acceptable volatility for highly performing stocks; the current valuation as compared to projected earnings growth; and the financial strength of the underlying company as compared to its stock's valuation as compared to projected earnings growth; and the financial strength of the underlying company as compared to its stock's performance. These and many more derived observations are then combined, ranked, weighted, and scenario-tested to create a more complete analysis. The result is a systematic and disciplined method of selecting stocks. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved. Report Date: February 1, 2015 PAGE 3 February 1, 2015 NYSE: KORS MICHAEL KORS HOLDINGS LTD Sector: Consumer Goods & Svcs Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods Source: S&P Annual Dividend Rate NA Annual Dividend Yield NA Consensus EPS Estimates² ($) IBES consensus estimates are provided by Thomson Financial 1.34 4.18 E 4.88 E Q3 FY14 2015(E) 2016(E) Beta 2.00 Market Capitalization $14.9 Billion 52-Week Range $65.10-$101.04 Price as of 1/29/2015 $72.53 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS MICHAEL KORS HOLDINGS LTD's gross profit margin for the second quarter of its fiscal year 2014 is essentially unchanged when compared to the same period a year ago. The company has grown sales and net income significantly, outpacing the average growth rates of competitors within its industry. MICHAEL KORS HOLDINGS LTD is extremely liquid. Currently, the Quick Ratio is 4.17 which clearly shows the ability to cover any short-term cash needs. The company's liquidity has increased from the same period last year. At the same time, stockholders' equity ("net worth") has greatly increased by 61.95% from the same quarter last year. Overall, the key liquidity measurements indicate that the company is very unlikely to face financial difficulties in the near future. STOCKS TO BUY: TheStreet Quant Ratings has identified a handful of stocks that can potentially TRIPLE in the next 12-months. To learn more visit www.TheStreetRatings.com. INCOME STATEMENT Net Sales ($mil) EBITDA ($mil) EBIT ($mil) Net Income ($mil) Q2 FY14 1,056.61 339.62 305.56 206.99 Q2 FY13 740.30 239.52 221.46 145.81 Q2 FY14 1,012.39 2,689.43 0.00 2,245.13 Q2 FY13 618.84 1,707.77 0.00 1,386.30 Q2 FY14 61.05% 32.14% 28.92% 1.45 29.20% 34.98% Q2 FY13 60.77% 32.35% 29.91% 1.53 29.39% 36.20% Q2 FY14 6.55 0.00 NA NA Q2 FY13 6.17 0.00 NA NA Q2 FY14 206 0.00 1.00 10.91 NA 4,065,850 Q2 FY13 204 0.00 0.71 6.80 NA 3,430,569 BALANCE SHEET Cash & Equiv. ($mil) Total Assets ($mil) Total Debt ($mil) Equity ($mil) PROFITABILITY Gross Profit Margin EBITDA Margin Operating Margin Sales Turnover Return on Assets Return on Equity DEBT Current Ratio Debt/Capital Interest Expense Interest Coverage SHARE DATA Shares outstanding (mil) Div / share EPS Book value / share Institutional Own % Avg Daily Volume 2 Sum of quarterly figures may not match annual estimates due to use of median consensus estimates. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved. Report Date: February 1, 2015 PAGE 4 February 1, 2015 NYSE: KORS MICHAEL KORS HOLDINGS LTD Sector: Consumer Goods & Svcs Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods Source: S&P Annual Dividend Rate NA Annual Dividend Yield NA RATINGS HISTORY Our rating for MICHAEL KORS HOLDINGS LTD has not changed since 12/17/2013. As of 1/29/2015, the stock was trading at a price of $72.53 which is 28.2% below its 52-week high of $101.04 and 11.4% above its 52-week low of $65.10. 2 Year Chart HOLD: $61.67 BUY: $82.91 $100 2013 Beta 2.00 Market Capitalization $14.9 Billion 1 2 3 premium 2014 MOST RECENT RATINGS CHANGES Date Price Action 12/17/13 $82.91 Upgrade 2/14/13 $61.67 Initiated Price reflects the closing price as of the date listed, if available RATINGS DEFINITIONS & DISTRIBUTION OF THESTREET RATINGS (as of 1/29/2015) 47.87% Buy - We believe that this stock has the opportunity to appreciate and produce a total return of more than 10% over the next 12 months. 29.29% Hold - We do not believe this stock offers conclusive evidence to warrant the purchase or sale of shares at this time and that its likelihood of positive total return is roughly in balance with the risk of loss. 22.83% Sell - We believe that this stock is likely to decline by more than 10% over the next 12 months, with the risk involved too great to compensate for any possible returns. TheStreet Ratings 14 Wall Street, 15th Floor New York, NY 10005 www.thestreet.com Research Contact: 212-321-5381 Sales Contact: 866-321-8726 5 1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 premium 4 5 Price/Sales 1 2 premium 3 4 5 Price to Earnings/Growth 4 5 discount 1 2 3 premium 4 5 discount KORS 0.64 Peers 4.31 • Discount. The PEG ratio is the stock’s P/E divided by the consensus estimate of long-term earnings growth. Faster growth can justify higher price multiples. • KORS trades at a significant discount to its peers. Earnings Growth 1 2 3 4 lower 5 higher KORS 54.47 Peers 85.60 • Lower. Elevated earnings growth rates can lead to capital appreciation and justify higher price-to-earnings ratios. • However, KORS is expected to significantly trail its peers on the basis of its earnings growth rate. Sales Growth discount KORS 3.82 Peers 2.82 • Premium. In the absence of P/E and P/B multiples, the price-to-sales ratio can display the value investors are placing on each dollar of sales. • KORS is trading at a significant premium to its industry. 3 KORS 22.91 Peers 28.29 • Discount. The P/CF ratio, a stock’s price divided by the company's cash flow from operations, is useful for comparing companies with different capital requirements or financing structures. • KORS is trading at a discount to its peers. discount KORS 6.65 Peers 6.82 • Average. A lower price-to-book ratio makes a stock more attractive to investors seeking stocks with lower market values per dollar of equity on the balance sheet. • KORS is trading at a valuation on par with its peers. 2 premium discount KORS 14.86 Peers 29.29 • Discount. A lower price-to-projected earnings ratio than its peers can signify a less expensive stock or lower future growth expectations. • KORS is trading at a significant discount to its peers. Price/Book 1 Price/CashFlow discount premium To Buy Hold 4 KORS 19.09 Peers 30.41 • Discount. A lower P/E ratio than its peers can signify a less expensive stock or lower growth expectations. • KORS is trading at a significant discount to its peers. Price/Projected Earnings From Hold -- Price as of 1/29/2015 $72.53 VALUATION BUY. The current P/E ratio indicates a significant discount compared to an average of 30.41 for the Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods industry and a value on par with the S&P 500 average of 19.08. For additional comparison, its price-to-book ratio of 6.65 indicates a significant premium versus the S&P 500 average of 2.69 and a discount versus the industry average of 6.82. The price-to-sales ratio is well above both the S&P 500 average and the industry average, indicating a premium. Upon assessment of these and other key valuation criteria, MICHAEL KORS HOLDINGS LTD proves to trade at a discount to investment alternatives within the industry. Price/Earnings $75 52-Week Range $65.10-$101.04 1 2 3 lower 4 5 higher KORS 49.34 Peers 13.07 • Higher. A sales growth rate that exceeds the industry implies that a company is gaining market share. • KORS has a sales growth rate that significantly exceeds its peers. DISCLAIMER: The opinions and information contained herein have been obtained or derived from sources believed to be reliable, but TheStreet Ratings cannot guarantee its accuracy and completeness, and that of the opinions based thereon. Data is provided via the COMPUSTAT® Xpressfeed product from Standard &Poor's, a division of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., as well as other third-party data providers. TheStreet Ratings is a division of TheStreet, Inc., which is a publisher. This research report contains opinions and is provided for informational purposes only. You should not rely solely upon the research herein for purposes of transacting securities or other investments, and you are encouraged to conduct your own research and due diligence, and to seek the advice of a qualified securities professional, before you make any investment. None of the information contained in this report constitutes, or is intended to constitute a recommendation by TheStreet Ratings of any particular security or trading strategy or a determination by TheStreet Ratings that any security or trading strategy is suitable for any specific person. To the extent any of the information contained herein may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person. Your use of this report is governed by TheStreet, Inc.'s Terms of Use found at http://www.thestreet.com/static/about/terms-of-use.html. This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Neither TheStreet Ratings nor any other party guarantees its accuracy or makes warranties regarding results from its usage. Redistribution is prohibited without the express written consent of TheStreet Ratings. Copyright(c) 2006-2015. All rights reserved. Report Date: February 1, 2015 PAGE 5
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