1. No category

29 de diciembre de 2015
www.monex.com.mx
Kaleidoscopio
@monexanalisis
Elaborado por: Juan Francisco Caudillo
IPyC 43,392 puntos (-0.0%)
IPC (43,396.16, 43,643.08, 43,298.89, 43,391.78, -4.37891)
465
460
455
450
445
440
435
430
425
420
415
410
405
400
395
390
x100
D)
88.6%
E)
78.6%
88.6%
C)
Relative Strength Index (48.8492)
65
C)
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
MACD (-82.5321)
50
40
30
20
10
-10
-20
-30
-40
-50
-60
-70
x10
2015
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016
Feb
Mar
FEMSA UBD 162.6 (-1.0%)
FEMSAUBD (165.010, 165.260, 162.000, 162.580, -1.58000)
170
165
160
38.2%
155
150
61.8%
145
78.6%
140
135
130
125
120
Relative Strength Index (52.4459)
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
5
MACD (0.43792)
4
3
2
1
0
-1
2015
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016
Feb
Mar
AMX L 12.5 (+2.5%)
AMXL (12.2600, 12.5600, 12.2300, 12.5400, +0.30000)
16.0
15.5
15.0
14.5
14.0
13.5
13.0
12.5
12.0
11.5
Relative Strength Index (47.2521)
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
MACD (-0.12844)
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
-0.3
2015
Feb
Mar
Fuente: Metastock
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016
Feb
Mar
MONEX Grupo Financiero / Kaleidoscopio
1
WALMEX * 44.2 pesos (-1.4%)
WALMEX* (45.0100, 45.1800, 43.3000, 44.2200, -0.62000)
48
47
46
45
44
43
42
41
40
39
38
37
36
35
34
33
32
31
30
29
28
27
50.0%
78.6%
100.0%
80
Relative Strength Index (52.7034)
75
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
MACD (0.03705)
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
2015
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016
Feb
Mar
GFNORTE O 94.5 pesos (+0.5%)
GFNORTEO (94.0400, 94.7400, 94.0400, 94.4900, +0.45000)
127.2%
95
100.0%
90
85
80
75
100.0%
Relative Strength Index (57.7043)
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
MACD (1.07502)
2015
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
-2.0
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016
Feb
Mar
GMEXICO B 37.5 pesos (+0.2%)
GMEXICOB (37.5000, 38.0500, 37.2300, 37.4500, +0.07000)
51
50
49
48
47
46
45
44
43
42
41
40
39
38
37
36
35
34
0.0%
61.8%
100.0%
127.2%
Relative Strength Index (48.1701)
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
MACD (-0.01426)
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
2015
Feb
Mar
Fuente: Metastock
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016
Feb
Mar
MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
2
Kaleidoscopio Internacional
BOVESPA 43,654 puntos (-0.3%)
B) IBV (43,781.17, 44,041.53, 43,523.30, 43,653.97, -110.371)
590
580
570
560
550
540
530
520
510
500
490
480
470
460
450
440
430
420
x100
A)
127.2%
C)
Relative Strength Index (41.4675)
65
C)?
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
MACD (-687.234)
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
x100
Dec
2015
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016
Feb
Mar
EDC* 210.2 pesos (+0.1%)
B)
0.0%
EDC* (211.550, 211.800, 209.000, 210.200, +0.20999)
500
450
400
350
300
00.0%
A)
250
200
61.8%
150
C)
Relative Strength Index (47.1184)
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
MACD (-3.14232)
2015
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
-25
-30
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016
Feb
Mar
EDZ* 765.5 pesos (-0.5%)
EDZ* (770.000, 770.000, 754.410, 765.500, -3.59985)
61.8%
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
00.0%
x10
Relative Strength Index (51.8456)
85
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
MACD (12.1148)
50
0
-50
2015
Feb
Mar
Fuente: Metastock
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016
Feb
Mar
MONEX Grupo Financiero / Kaleidoscopio
3
Indicadores Técnicos
Ultimo
Precio
Soporte
Resistencia
43,392
104.0
34.5
59.2
12.5
247.7
46.6
9.3
49.7
367.1
162.6
156.3
72.5
33.0
31.6
94.5
88.8
37.5
241.1
3.6
56.1
72.0
39.9
123.2
13.0
40.4
212.1
39.2
17.9
80.6
175.6
203.7
30.0
38.1
10.9
96.8
44.2
40,000
88.0
30.0
53.0
12.5
225.0
40.0
8.5
44.0
300.0
145.0
130.0
65.0
28.0
30.0
80.0
80.0
35.0
215.0
3.0
50.0
65.0
35.0
110.0
11.5
38.0
200.0
38.0
17.5
75.0
175.0
175.0
26.0
35.0
83.0
83.0
38.0
44,000
105.0
36.0
62.0
14.0
270.0
50.0
10.3
54.0
385.0
170.0
165.0
80.0
35.0
35.0
97.0
93.0
40.0
262.0
5.0
62.0
82.0
42.0
135.0
14.0
44.0
240.0
44.0
21.0
88.0
235.0
220.0
33.0
42.5
105.0
105.0
47.5
-7.8%
-15.4%
-13.0%
-10.4%
-0.3%
-9.2%
-14.1%
-8.7%
-11.4%
-18.3%
-10.8%
-16.8%
-10.3%
-15.2%
-4.9%
-15.3%
-9.9%
-6.5%
-10.8%
-16.4%
-10.9%
-9.7%
-12.2%
-10.7%
-11.8%
-6.0%
-5.7%
-3.1%
-2.2%
-6.9%
-0.3%
-14.1%
-13.3%
-8.1%
660.1%
-14.3%
-14.1%
1.4%
0.9%
4.4%
4.8%
11.6%
9.0%
7.4%
10.6%
8.7%
4.9%
4.6%
5.5%
10.4%
6.0%
10.9%
2.7%
4.8%
6.8%
8.7%
39.3%
10.5%
13.9%
5.3%
9.6%
7.4%
8.8%
13.1%
12.2%
17.3%
9.2%
33.8%
8.0%
10.0%
11.6%
861.5%
8.4%
7.4%
Dow Jones (EUA)
S&P (EUA)
Nasdaq Comp (EUA)
UKX (RU)
DAX (Alemania)
CAC (Francia)
IBEX (España)
FTSEMIB (Italia)
NKY (Japón)
HSI (China)
IBOV (Brasil)
IPSA (Chile)
Principales Divisas
17,721
2,078
4,691
6,315
10,860
4,701
9,670
21,661
18,982
22,000
43,654
3,665
15,000
1,800
4,000
5,500
9,000
4,000
8,800
19,000
15,500
19,000
40,000
3,300
18,000
2,115
4,750
6,500
11,350
5,000
10,500
22,800
20,000
23,300
50,000
4,000
-15.4%
-13.4%
-14.7%
-12.9%
-17.1%
-14.9%
-9.0%
-12.3%
-18.3%
-13.6%
-8.4%
-10.0%
1.6%
1.8%
1.3%
2.9%
4.5%
6.4%
8.6%
5.3%
5.4%
5.9%
14.5%
9.2%
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
1.0
0.4
0.3
0.4
1.7
0.9
51
52
51
61
50
44
41
47
46
53
39
55
17,462
2,043
4,596
6,067
10,511
4,610
9,610
21,175
18,917
21,832
44,352
3,619
1.5%
1.7%
2.0%
3.9%
3.2%
1.9%
0.6%
2.2%
0.3%
0.8%
-1.6%
1.2%
17,588
2,061
4,629
6,203
10,820
4,751
9,975
21,809
19,399
22,075
45,705
3,669
0.8%
0.9%
1.3%
1.8%
0.4%
-1.1%
-3.2%
-0.7%
-2.2%
-0.3%
-4.7%
-0.1%
17,144
2,025
4,474
6,254
10,475
4,719
10,106
22,018
19,014
22,301
46,683
3,755
3.3%
2.5%
4.6%
1.0%
3.5%
-0.4%
-4.5%
-1.6%
-0.2%
-1.4%
-6.9%
-2.5%
17,539
2,061
4,471
6,552
11,017
4,876
10,696
22,613
19,507
24,295
49,938
3,854
1.0%
0.8%
4.7%
-3.8%
-1.4%
-3.7%
-10.6%
-4.4%
-2.8%
-10.4%
-14.4%
-5.2%
MXN (Peso-Dólar)
EUR (Euro-Dólar)
GBP (Libra-Dólar)
JPY (Yen-Dólar)
BRL (Real B.-Dólar)
ETFs (pesos)
17.25
1.09
1.48
120.46
3.86
16.25
1.05
1.45
118.00
3.70
17.30
1.15
1.60
125.00
4.05
-5.8%
-4.0%
-2.2%
-2.0%
-4.2%
0.3%
5.2%
7.9%
3.8%
4.8%
0.0
1.3
3.6
1.8
1.1
66
54
33
34
46
17.17
1.09
1.49
121.07
3.92
0.5%
0.1%
-0.5%
-0.5%
-1.5%
16.91
1.08
1.50
122.05
3.83
2.0%
1.0%
-1.5%
-1.3%
0.9%
16.77
1.11
1.53
121.28
3.80
2.8%
-1.1%
-3.0%
-0.7%
1.8%
16.15
1.10
1.53
121.61
3.47
6.4%
-1.0%
-3.4%
-1.0%
10.3%
NAFTRAC (IPyC)
43.4
ANGEL (200% IPyC)
24.2
DIABLO (-100% IPyC)
14.1
EDC* (300% Emergentes)
210.2
EDZ* (-300% Emergentes)
765.5
FAS* (300% Financ. EUA)
527.0
FAZ* (-300 Financ. EUA)
675.0
GLD* (Oro)
1,759.0
SLV* (Plata)
227.4
DIA* (Dow Jones)
3,018.1
SPY* (S&P)
3,563.0
QQQ* (Nasdaq)
1,972.5
EWZ* (Brasil)
369.6
EWJ* (Japón)
213.2
EWG* (Alemania)
465.2
EWU* (Inglaterra)
282.6
EWP* (España)
490.0
ERUS* (Rusia)
191.9
Fuente: Monex con base en Bloomberg
38.0
22.0
14.0
150.0
600.0
410.0
630.0
1,700.0
230.0
2,500.0
3,000.0
1,500.0
330.0
175.0
380.0
245.0
475.0
180.0
46.0
27.0
16.5
270.0
1,200.0
600.0
900.0
2,200.0
280.0
3,050.0
3,600.0
1,900.0
480.0
220.0
500.0
325.0
600.0
225.0
-12.4%
-9.1%
-0.4%
-28.6%
-21.6%
-22.2%
-6.7%
-3.4%
1.1%
-17.2%
-15.8%
-24.0%
-10.7%
-17.9%
-18.3%
-13.3%
-3.1%
-6.2%
6.0%
11.6%
17.4%
28.4%
56.8%
13.8%
33.3%
25.1%
23.1%
1.1%
1.0%
-3.7%
29.9%
3.2%
7.5%
15.0%
22.4%
17.2%
0.5
1.3
40.7
1.0
2.6
0.6
5.0
7.5
20.2
0.1
0.1
0.2
2.8
0.2
0.4
1.1
7.3
2.8
52
51
40
52
49
53
50
55
46
58
56
56
47
52
65
53
49
33
43.2
24.0
14.2
203.5
790.7
501.8
714.9
1,754.3
229.9
2,996.7
3,513.7
1,926.2
373.8
208.7
452.7
277.9
502.5
206.3
0.4%
0.7%
-0.7%
3.2%
-3.3%
4.8%
-5.9%
0.3%
-1.1%
0.7%
1.4%
2.3%
-1.1%
2.1%
2.7%
1.6%
-2.6%
-7.5%
43.5
24.5
14.3
213.4
747.1
511.4
689.0
1,731.7
228.3
2,971.2
3,488.1
1,909.0
389.7
208.2
448.6
282.0
511.2
208.6
-0.4%
-1.2%
-1.7%
-1.5%
2.4%
3.0%
-2.1%
1.5%
-0.4%
1.6%
2.1%
3.2%
-5.4%
2.4%
3.6%
0.2%
-4.3%
-8.7%
43.7
25.1
14.5
228.6
747.3
490.1
746.3
1,773.5
236.1
2,864.8
3,392.0
1,825.8
399.9
203.9
443.4
286.5
527.4
209.3
Emisoras (IPyC)
IPyC
AC*
ALFAA
ALSEA*
AMXL
ASURB
BIMBOA
CEMEXCPO
COMERUBC
ELEKTRA*
FEMSAUBD
GAPB
GCARSOA1
GENTERA*
GFINBURO
GFNORTEO
GFREGIO
GMEXICOB
GRUMAB
ICA*
ICHB
IENOVA*
KIMBERA
KOFL
LABB
LALAB
LIVERPOLC
MEXCHEM*
OHLMEX*
OMAB
PE&OLES*
PINFRA*
SANMEXB
SIMECB
TELESITEL
TLEVICPO
WALMEX*
Principales Indices
Var vs Var % vs
Soporte
Resist.
Rend. /
Riesgo
RSI (9)
PMS % Precio
10 Días
vs PM
PMS 30 % Precio PMS 100 % Precio PMS 200 % Precio
Días
vs PM
Días
vs PM
Días
vs PM
0.2
53
43,167
0.5%
43,473
-0.2%
43,656
-0.6%
44,233
-1.9%
0.1
53
103.1
0.9%
102.6
1.3%
98.8
5.0%
96.6
7.2%
0.3
55
34.5
0.0%
34.3
0.5%
34.0
1.4%
32.9
4.7%
0.5
57
58.4
1.2%
58.4
1.3%
54.2
8.3%
50.9
13.9%
36.5
44
12.4
1.4%
12.6
-0.9%
13.5
-7.6%
14.2
-13.5%
1.0
47
247.2
0.2%
251.9
-1.7%
254.7
-2.8%
239.0
3.5%
0.5
50
46.4
0.2%
46.7
-0.3%
44.6
4.3%
43.3
7.0%
1.2
48
9.2
1.5%
9.7
-4.0%
11.5
-23.4%
13.0
-39.5%
0.8
39
50.9
-2.4%
50.7
-2.0%
49.1
1.2%
49.0
1.3%
0.3
61
365.5
0.4%
354.7
3.4%
319.1
13.1%
351.8
4.2%
0.4
60
161.9
0.4%
161.9
0.4%
155.6
4.3%
149.0
8.3%
0.3
50
157.8
-0.9%
155.6
0.5%
147.3
5.8%
128.1
18.1%
1.0
49
71.8
0.8%
73.0
-0.8%
73.9
-1.9%
70.2
3.1%
0.4
54
33.0
0.2%
32.6
1.2%
29.5
10.8%
28.4
14.1%
2.2
50
31.5
0.3%
31.8
-0.8%
33.7
-6.9%
35.5
-12.3%
0.2
59
93.4
1.1%
91.3
3.3%
85.9
9.1%
86.6
8.4%
0.5
51
87.9
1.0%
87.5
1.4%
90.2
-1.6%
88.3
0.5%
1.0
56
37.1
1.0%
36.7
2.1%
40.1
-7.0%
43.2
-15.3%
0.8
50
239.9
0.5%
245.3
-1.7%
238.2
1.2%
218.8
9.3%
2.4
37
4.2
-17.6%
4.9
-35.6%
6.9
-91.1%
9.8 -174.0%
1.0
37
54.9
2.1%
56.5
-0.7%
58.3
-3.9%
60.2
-7.4%
1.4
44
71.7
0.5%
73.0
-1.4%
74.9
-4.0%
78.8
-9.4%
0.4
48
40.1
-0.7%
39.9
-0.1%
38.7
3.1%
35.9
10.0%
0.9
46
124.4
-1.0%
126.7
-2.9%
121.9
1.1%
123.3
-0.1%
0.6
58
12.6
3.1%
12.5
4.1%
13.3
-2.0%
14.8
-13.5%
1.5
53
40.7
-0.8%
40.9
-1.2%
40.2
0.7%
36.5
9.7%
2.3
44
211.7
0.2%
218.4
-3.0%
215.6
-1.6%
197.4
7.0%
3.9
45
39.4
-0.3%
40.4
-3.1%
42.3
-7.8%
43.4
-10.7%
7.8
35
18.8
-5.0%
19.3
-7.6%
21.4
-19.4%
23.2
-29.4%
1.3
46
80.5
0.1%
82.3
-2.1%
84.8
-5.2%
80.6
0.0%
99.0
41
178.3
-1.5%
193.3
-10.1%
222.6
-26.8%
243.3
-38.5%
0.6
59
205.7
-1.0%
204.8
-0.5%
194.6
4.5%
183.8
9.8%
0.8
50
29.8
0.6%
30.9
-2.9%
28.3
5.6%
29.5
1.7%
1.4
56
37.3
2.1%
38.2
-0.4%
42.8
-12.4%
43.9
-15.2%
1.3 #N/A N/A #N/A N/A #¡VALOR! #N/A N/A #¡VALOR! #N/A N/A #¡VALOR! #N/A N/A #¡VALOR!
0.6
53
95.5
1.4%
95.6
1.3%
96.2
0.7%
104.2
-7.6%
0.5
64
43.9
0.8%
44.2
0.0%
42.0
5.0%
39.8
10.0%
-0.7%
44.3
-2.1%
-3.8%
26.6
-10.1%
-3.3%
14.6
-3.6%
-8.7%
303.4
-44.4%
2.4%
616.5
19.5%
7.0%
495.5
6.0%
-10.6%
730.1
-8.2%
-0.8%
1,763.8
-0.3%
-3.8%
237.2
-4.3%
5.1%
2,813.9
6.8%
4.8%
3,318.7
6.9%
7.4%
1,754.6
11.0%
-8.2%
456.2
-23.4%
4.4%
201.8
5.4%
4.7%
448.8
3.5%
-1.4%
288.5
-2.1%
-7.6%
528.5
-7.9%
-9.0% #N/A N/A #¡VALOR!
MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
4
Análisis Técnico
MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
5
Directorio
Dirección de Análisis y Estrategia Bursátil
Carlos A. González Tabares
Director de Análisis y Estrategia Bursátil
T. 5231-4521
[email protected]
Daniela Ruíz Zárate
Analista Económico
T. 5231-0200 Ext. 0019
[email protected]
Fernando E. Bolaños S.
Gerente de Análisis / Industrial, Petroquímico, Telcos
T. 5230-0200 Ext. 0720
[email protected]
J. Roberto Solano Pérez
Analista Bursátil / Construcción, Vivienda y Fibras
T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4451
[email protected]
Verónica Uribe Boyzo
Analista Bursátil / Alimentos y Bebidas
T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4782
[email protected]
Giselle N. Mojica Plascencia
Analista Bursátil
T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4287
[email protected]
Laura Villanueva Ramírez
Analista Bursátil
T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4768
[email protected]
Stephany Ramírez Rojas
Analista Deuda Corporativa
T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4262
[email protected]
J. Francisco Caudillo Lira
Analista Técnico Sr.
T. 5231-0016
[email protected]
Astianax Cuanalo Dorantes
Analista Sr. de Sistemas de Información
T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4790
[email protected]
MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
6
Disclaimer
MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
7