09 de febrero de 2015 www.monex.com.mx Kaleidoscopio @monexanalisis Elaborado por: Juan Francisco Caudillo IPC 42,810 puntos (+0.2%) 470 465 460 455 450 445 440 435 430 425 420 415 410 405 400 395 390 385 380 375 370 IPC (42,715.43, 42,876.95, 42,474.83, 42,810.29, +94.8594) 0.0% Zona de Indesición 78.6% 100.0% 112.8% x100 Relative Strength Index (52.8124) 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 C? MACD (15.4381) 50 -50 x10 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr AmxL 16.2 (+0.0%) AMXL (16.2600, 16.2600, 16.0300, 16.1800, +0.0000) 18.0 17.5 88.6% 78.6% 17.0 61.8% 16.5 16.0 15.5 50.0% 15.0 61.8% 14.5 14.0 78.6% 13.5 13.0 12.5 12.0 Relative Strength Index (47.4410) 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 MACD (-0.04821) 0.5 0.0 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr WalmexV 32.8 (+1.9%) WALMEXV (32.1000, 32.9200, 32.0000, 32.8000, +0.62000) 36.0 35.5 35.0 34.5 78.6% 34.0 33.5 33.0 61.8% 32.5 32.0 31.5 31.0 30.5 30.0 29.5 29.0 88.6% 28.5 28.0 27.5 27.0 112.8% 70 65 Relative Strength Index (62.2223) 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 MACD (0.22657) 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 Feb Mar Apr Fuente: Metastock May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr MONEX Grupo Financiero / Kaleidoscopio 1 FemsaUbd 131.7 pesos (+1.8%) FEMSAUBD (128.780, 132.400, 128.030, 131.740, +2.31001) 135 130 125 120 115 110 105 Relative Strength Index (56.8133) 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 -1.5 -2.0 -2.5 MACD (0.46514) Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr GmexicoB 45.2 pesos (+0.1%) GMEXICOB (45.1500, 45.4300, 44.7100, 45.1900, +0.04000) 49 48 47 46 45 44 38.2% 43 61.8% 41 42 40 39 88.6% 38 37 36 127.2% 112.8% 35 Relative Strength Index (59.6284) 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 MACD (0.48244) 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr GfnorteO 78.9 pesos (-0.8%) GFNORTEO (78.9500, 80.2500, 78.6100, 78.9400, -0.64000) 0.0% 95 90 85 78.6% 100.0% 80 127.2% 75 161.8% 70 65 200.0% Relative Strength Index (49.8057) 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 2.0 MACD (0.14426) 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 -1.5 -2.0 Feb Mar Apr Fuente: Metastock May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio 2 Kaleidoscopio Internacional BOVESPA 49,383 puntos (+1.2%) IBV (48,791.92, 49,522.27, 48,415.52, 49,382.58, +590.309) 600 550 61.8% 500 0.0% 450 x100 Relative Strength Index (49.6066) 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 15 MACD (-186.670) 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 x100 2014 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr EDC* 346.1 pesos (-0.9%) EDC* (350.500, 350.500, 345.100, 346.100, -2.97000) 450 400 350 78.6% 300 100.0% 250 112.8% Relative Strength Index (49.5090) 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 MACD (4.47678) 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr EDZ* 520.7 pesos (+0.1%) EDZ* (522.000, 522.000, 514.510, 520.690, +0.77002) 112.8% 750 100.0% 700 88.6% 650 600 550 500 61.8% 450 78.6% 400 350 Relative Strength Index (49.8822) 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 MACD (-8.05186) 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 Feb Mar Apr Fuente: Metastock May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2015 Feb Mar Apr MONEX Grupo Financiero / Kaleidoscopio 3 Indicadores Técnicos Ultimo Precio Soporte Resistencia 42,810 92.3 29.7 16.4 41.0 16.2 197.9 38.8 25.0 14.9 46.7 529.4 131.7 102.5 66.4 28.4 40.0 78.9 77.1 45.2 171.2 14.4 62.0 72.5 30.5 122.4 23.1 29.6 156.3 43.2 29.7 301.5 176.0 33.0 98.5 32.8 41,000 85.0 27.0 16.0 39.0 15.5 190.0 38.0 24.0 13.0 45.0 500.0 120.0 88.0 63.0 26.0 35.0 72.0 68.0 38.0 150.0 13.5 60.0 65.0 27.5 120.0 21.5 26.0 135.0 40.0 25.0 280.0 150.0 27.0 90.0 28.0 44,000 95.0 30.0 18.0 43.0 17.5 210.0 41.0 26.0 15.5 50.0 600.0 135.0 105.0 70.0 31.0 42.0 82.0 82.0 46.0 175.0 17.0 66.0 77.0 31.0 130.0 26.0 31.5 165.0 45.0 31.0 325.0 185.0 35.0 105.0 33.0 -4.2% -7.9% -9.2% -2.5% -4.9% -4.2% -4.0% -2.1% -3.8% -12.8% -3.6% -5.6% -8.9% -14.1% -5.1% -8.5% -12.4% -8.8% -11.7% -15.9% -12.4% -6.0% -3.2% -10.3% -9.7% -1.9% -6.7% -12.1% -13.6% -7.5% -15.7% -7.1% -14.8% -18.1% -8.7% -14.6% Dow Jones (EUA) S&P (EUA) Nasdaq Comp (EUA) UKX (RU) DAX (Alemania) CAC (Francia) IBEX (España) FTSEMIB (Italia) NKY (Japón) HSI (China) IBOV (Brasil) IPSA (Chile) Principales Divisas 17,729 2,047 4,216 6,837 10,664 4,651 10,365 20,367 17,712 24,521 49,383 3,924 16,800 1,950 4,000 6,100 8,500 3,900 9,800 17,800 14,000 22,300 45,000 3,600 18,000 2,085 4,350 6,900 11,000 4,800 11,000 21,500 17,800 25,000 52,000 4,000 MXN (Peso-Dólar) EUR (Euro-Dólar) GBP (Libra-Dólar) JPY (Yen-Dólar) BRL (Real B.-Dólar) ETFs (pesos) 14.83 1.13 1.52 118.60 2.77 14.65 1.11 1.50 115.00 2.45 NAFTRAC (IPyC) ANGEL (200% IPyC) DIABLO (-100% IPyC) EDC* (300% Emergentes) EDZ* (-300% Emergentes) FAS* (300% Financ. EUA) FAZ* (-300 Financ. EUA) GLD* (Oro) SLV* (Plata) DIA* (Dow Jones) SPY* (S&P) QQQ* (Nasdaq) EWZ* (Brasil) EWJ* (Japón) EWG* (Alemania) EWU* (Inglaterra) EWP* (España) ERUS* (Rusia) 42.8 27.0 16.5 346.1 520.7 1,767.9 195.0 1,763.0 241.0 2,620.0 3,028.7 1,524.0 517.4 171.6 415.8 274.7 484.0 185.2 39.0 23.0 16.0 250.0 450.0 1,100.0 185.0 1,535.0 215.0 2,000.0 2,350.0 1,150.0 480.0 140.0 350.0 260.0 475.0 150.0 Emisoras (IPyC) IPyC AC* ALFAA ALPEKA ALSEA* AMXL ASURB BIMBOA BOLSAA CEMEXCPO COMERUBC ELEKTRA* FEMSAUBD GAPB GCARSO GENTERA* GFINBURO GFNORTEO GFREGIO GMEXICOB GRUMAB ICA* ICHB IENOVA* KIMBERA KOFL LABB LALA LIVERPOLC MEXCHEM* OHLMEX* PE&OLES* PINFRA SANMEXB TLEVICPO WALMEXV Principales Indices Fuente: Monex con base en Bloomberg Var vs Var % vs Soporte Resist. Rend. / Riesgo RSI (9) PMS % Precio 10 Días vs PM PMS 30 % Precio PMS 100 % Precio PMS 200 % Precio Días vs PM Días vs PM Días vs PM 2.8% 2.9% 0.9% 9.7% 4.9% 8.2% 6.1% 5.6% 4.2% 4.0% 7.1% 13.3% 2.5% 2.5% 5.5% 9.2% 5.1% 3.9% 6.4% 1.8% 2.2% 18.4% 6.4% 6.3% 1.7% 6.3% 12.8% 6.5% 5.5% 4.1% 4.5% 7.8% 5.1% 6.2% 6.6% 0.6% 0.7 0.4 0.1 3.9 1.0 1.9 1.5 2.7 1.1 0.3 2.0 2.4 0.3 0.2 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.2 3.1 2.0 0.6 0.2 3.3 1.9 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.3 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.0 59 66 45 47 63 41 57 49 55 59 43 40 59 61 44 50 55 55 56 71 71 27 43 58 56 41 45 51 59 55 56 59 58 67 49 70 42,144 90.0 29.2 16.7 40.9 16.4 198.1 39.4 25.0 13.9 47.3 563.9 127.6 100.3 66.6 28.8 40.2 79.3 78.5 41.8 168.1 15.7 63.3 72.3 29.6 123.7 24.6 29.6 155.4 43.5 30.0 300.4 176.2 32.4 98.8 30.0 1.6% 2.5% 1.8% -1.9% 0.2% -1.2% -0.1% -1.6% -0.1% 6.5% -1.3% -6.5% 3.1% 2.1% -0.3% -1.4% -0.5% -0.4% -1.9% 7.6% 1.8% -9.0% -2.0% 0.2% 2.8% -1.1% -6.6% -0.2% 0.6% -0.7% -1.0% 0.4% -0.1% 1.6% -0.3% 8.7% 42,108 90.8 30.7 17.1 40.5 16.4 195.2 39.8 25.5 14.3 48.5 548.1 127.6 97.0 68.7 28.5 38.9 78.5 75.7 41.4 158.7 17.0 65.9 72.4 30.6 126.7 24.8 28.9 148.3 43.5 28.4 292.1 173.3 30.3 97.9 30.1 1.6% 1.6% -3.2% -4.3% 1.3% -1.7% 1.4% -2.5% -2.0% 3.8% -3.8% -3.5% 3.2% 5.4% -3.5% -0.4% 2.7% 0.6% 1.8% 8.4% 7.3% -18.5% -6.2% 0.1% -0.6% -3.6% -7.4% 2.4% 5.1% -0.6% 4.2% 3.1% 1.5% 7.9% 0.6% 8.2% 43,372 90.3 37.3 21.1 41.2 16.4 182.7 39.2 27.2 15.9 49.8 497.4 126.9 93.9 74.2 28.7 38.2 81.6 74.9 43.8 150.6 20.3 69.6 78.1 31.0 132.8 29.2 29.9 151.4 49.6 32.5 292.0 175.9 32.5 96.3 30.9 -1.3% 2.2% -25.7% -28.4% -0.6% -1.2% 7.7% -0.9% -9.1% -6.6% -6.7% 6.0% 3.7% 8.4% -11.8% -1.0% 4.4% -3.4% 2.7% 3.0% 12.0% -41.3% -12.3% -7.7% -1.8% -8.5% -26.7% -1.0% 3.2% -14.8% -9.7% 3.2% 0.0% 1.5% 2.3% 5.8% 43,390 90.0 37.6 22.9 43.3 15.3 174.9 39.3 27.4 16.4 49.8 425.5 125.8 90.3 73.3 27.3 38.3 86.8 75.5 44.1 146.6 22.6 71.5 76.0 33.0 139.9 32.1 31.4 149.5 51.7 35.6 312.2 177.9 33.8 93.6 32.4 -1.4% 2.5% -26.4% -39.4% -5.7% 5.2% 11.6% -1.4% -9.6% -10.1% -6.7% 19.6% 4.5% 11.9% -10.5% 3.9% 4.3% -9.9% 2.0% 2.3% 14.4% -57.2% -15.3% -4.9% -8.4% -14.4% -39.1% -6.3% 4.4% -19.7% -19.9% -3.6% -1.1% -2.5% 5.1% 1.4% -5.2% -4.7% -5.1% -10.8% -20.3% -16.1% -5.5% -12.6% -21.0% -9.1% -8.9% -8.3% 1.5% 1.9% 3.2% 0.9% 3.2% 3.2% 6.1% 5.6% 0.5% 2.0% 5.3% 1.9% 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 59 56 54 64 69 71 59 65 58 51 52 80 17,525 2,034 4,204 6,828 10,795 4,654 10,528 20,700 17,628 24,646 48,347 3,879 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% -1.2% -0.1% -1.6% -1.6% 0.5% -0.5% 2.1% 1.1% 17,639 2,040 4,207 6,650 10,227 4,421 10,272 19,593 17,410 24,232 48,711 3,823 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 2.7% 4.1% 4.9% 0.9% 3.8% 1.7% 1.2% 1.4% 2.6% 17,378 2,013 4,146 6,580 9,660 4,293 10,381 19,586 16,750 23,744 52,122 3,873 2.0% 1.7% 1.7% 3.8% 9.4% 7.7% -0.2% 3.8% 5.4% 3.2% -5.5% 1.3% 17,092 1,979 3,994 6,682 9,660 4,351 10,548 20,308 15,893 23,692 53,733 3,901 3.6% 3.3% 5.3% 2.3% 9.4% 6.4% -1.8% 0.3% 10.3% 3.4% -8.8% 0.6% 15.10 1.17 1.60 121.00 2.68 -1.2% -2.0% -1.4% -3.0% -11.6% 1.8% 3.3% 5.1% 2.0% -3.3% 1.5 1.7 3.6 0.7 0.3 55 41 53 56 70 14.80 1.14 1.52 117.89 2.69 0.2% -0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 2.9% 14.73 1.16 1.52 118.34 2.66 0.7% -2.5% 0.2% 0.2% 4.0% 14.10 1.22 1.57 115.26 2.57 4.9% -8.1% -3.0% 2.8% 7.4% 13.57 1.28 1.62 109.06 2.41 8.5% -13.4% -6.7% 8.0% 13.2% 43.0 28.0 18.5 400.0 750.0 1,750.0 250.0 1,850.0 250.0 2,600.0 3,000.0 1,550.0 600.0 180.0 425.0 285.0 575.0 220.0 -8.9% -14.8% -2.9% -27.8% -13.6% -37.8% -5.1% -12.9% -10.8% -23.7% -22.4% -24.5% -7.2% -18.4% -15.8% -5.3% -1.9% -19.0% 0.5% 3.8% 12.3% 15.6% 44.0% -1.0% 28.2% 4.9% 3.7% -0.8% -0.9% 1.7% 16.0% 4.9% 2.2% 3.8% 18.8% 18.8% 0.1 0.3 4.3 0.6 3.2 0.0 5.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.2 0.3 0.1 0.7 10.1 1.0 59 59 39 48 51 61 42 45 41 68 68 60 36 64 60 73 53 44 42.1 26.2 16.7 360.0 505.0 1,695.3 201.7 1,804.0 248.2 2,592.8 3,000.7 1,515.1 526.9 171.6 420.4 271.9 493.4 176.0 1.6% 2.8% -1.7% -4.0% 3.0% 4.1% -3.5% -2.3% -3.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% -1.8% 0.0% -1.1% 1.0% -1.9% 5.0% 42.1 26.3 16.8 343.6 535.6 1,754.9 198.6 1,753.2 238.7 2,595.2 3,003.9 1,510.9 529.6 168.1 408.5 266.2 497.5 198.1 1.6% 2.5% -2.0% 0.7% -2.9% 0.7% -1.9% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% -2.4% 2.1% 1.8% 3.1% -2.8% -6.9% 43.4 28.3 16.5 353.0 498.2 1,591.2 205.3 1,636.7 228.1 2,409.3 2,821.5 1,414.9 566.9 161.1 386.6 261.8 512.3 230.9 -1.3% 43.4 -1.4% -4.9% 28.7 -6.4% -0.4% 16.9 -2.8% -2.0% 381.0 -10.1% 4.3% 454.8 12.7% 10.0% 1,426.6 19.3% -5.3% 221.8 -13.8% 7.2% 1,632.0 7.4% 5.4% 239.3 0.7% 8.0% 2,288.3 12.7% 6.8% 2,677.2 11.6% 7.2% 1,313.4 13.8% -9.6% 603.1 -16.6% 6.1% 156.9 8.6% 7.0% 392.9 5.5% 4.7% 268.3 2.3% -5.9% 527.7 -9.0% -24.7% #N/A N/A #¡VALOR! MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio 4 Análisis Técnico MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio 5 Directorio Dirección de Análisis y Estrategia Bursátil Carlos A. González Tabares Director de Análisis y Estrategia Bursátil T. 5231-4521 [email protected] Eduardo Ávila Vargas Subdirector de Análisis Económico T. 5231-0489 [email protected] Daniela Ruíz Zárate Analista Económico T. 5231-0489 [email protected] Fernando E. Bolaños S. Analista Bursátil / Industrial, Minero y Petroquímico T. 5230-0200 Ext. 0720 [email protected] J. Roberto Solano Pérez Analista Bursátil / Construcción, Vivienda y Fibras T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4451 [email protected] Verónica Uribe Boyzo Analista Bursátil / Alimentos y Bebidas T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4782 [email protected] Giselle N. Mojica Plascencia Analista Bursátil T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4451 [email protected] Laura Villanueva Ramírez Analista Bursátil T. 5230-0200 Ext. 0720 [email protected] Stephany Ramírez Rojas Analista Deuda Corporativa T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4262 [email protected] J. Francisco Caudillo Lira Analista Técnico Sr. T. 5231-0016 [email protected] Astianax Cuanalo Dorantes Analista Sr. de Sistemas de Información T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4790 [email protected] MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio 6 Disclaimer MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio 7
© Copyright 2024