Quantitative Research

Page 1 of 1
Quantitative Equity Report | Release: 05 Jan 2016, 23:00, GMT-06:00 | Reporting Currency: EUR | Trading Currency: EUR
Baron de Ley SA BDL
Last Close 05 Jan 2016
Quantitative Fair Value Est 05 Jan 2016
Market Cap 05 Jan 2016
Sector
Industry
106.90
98.69
459.7 Mil
s Consumer Defensive
Beverages - Wineries &
Distilleries
Baron de Ley SA is engaged in the production and ageing of
wines and other alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages. It is
also involved in farming and industrial activities that are
required to obtain, improve and process wines.
Country of Domicile
Price Versus Quantitative Fair Value
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Sales/Share
Forecast Range
Forcasted Price
Dividend
Split
Quantitative Fair Value Estimate
240
Total Return
Quantitative Scores
192
Scores
Momentum:
—
Standard Deviation: 19.45
Liquidity: Medium
All Rel Sector Rel Country
Quantitative Moat
Narrow
Valuation
Overvalued
Quantitative Uncertainty Very High
Financial Health
Strong
85
14
51
99
83
13
47
98
ESP Spain
144
69
7
41
98
96
73.10
52-Wk
111.00
35.10
5-Yr
111.00
48
BDL
s
ESP
Undervalued
Fairly Valued
Overvalued
Source: Morningstar Equity Research
Valuation
Sector
Median
Country
Median
1.04
16.1
—
9.3
10.6
—
1.7
3.5
1.00
21.6
17.5
12.6
21.0
1.99
2.0
1.0
0.94
16.9
11.7
8.9
15.1
2.86
1.5
1.1
Current 5-Yr Avg
Sector
Median
Country
Median
11.3
5.5
557.3
Current 5-Yr Avg
Price/Quant Fair Value
Price/Earnings
Forward P/E
Price/Cash Flow
Price/Free Cash Flow
Dividend Yield %
Price/Book
Price/Sales
1.08
14.4
13.8
16.8
20.2
—
2.0
5.3
Profitability
Return on Equity %
Return on Assets %
Revenue/Employee (K)
14.2
9.5
—
11.5
6.0
450.5
Quantitative Moat
3.0
-14.7
31.7
16.3
27.1
30.8
48.0
48.6
-3.7
-1.6
—
12.2
2.8
—
15.7
3.4
—
17.8
4.3
—
15.1
—
—
14.5
5.3
Total Return %
+/– Market (Morningstar World
Index)
Dividend Yield %
Price/Earnings
Price/Revenue
Morningstar RatingQ
QQQQQ
QQQQ
QQQ
QQ
Q
Financials (Fiscal Year in K)
Revenue
% Change
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
TTM
85,859
2.2
82,542
-3.9
80,666
-2.3
82,506
2.3
86,966
5.4
—
—
20,835
8.5
17,642
21,419
2.8
10,085
20,624
-3.7
18,347
14,683
-28.8
18,534
20,600
40.3
27,667
21,538
4.6
30,479
Operating Income
% Change
Net Income
10.4
2.9
275.9
39,529
-6,535
32,994
38.4
38,724
-4,779
33,945
41.1
26,559
-2,528
24,031
29.8
32,732
-3,129
29,603
35.9
30,988
-2,868
28,120
32.3
27,681
-4,702
22,979
—
Operating Cash Flow
Capital Spending
Free Cash Flow
% Sales
Score
100
3.25
24.0
3.93
1.97
-39.4
6.34
3.66
85.7
4.79
3.82
4.4
7.85
6.15
61.0
5.18
7.35
19.6
5.54
EPS
% Change
Free Cash Flow/Share
—
31.23
5,038
—
35.36
4,797
—
38.15
4,300
—
41.17
4,300
—
47.36
—
—
52.16
4,300
Dividends/Share
Book Value/Share
Shares Outstanding (K)
15.4
7.1
20.6
0.34
1.4
9.3
3.8
12.2
0.31
6.5
15.6
5.9
22.7
0.26
1.7
9.4
5.3
22.5
0.23
1.8
13.6
7.9
31.8
0.25
1.6
14.2
9.5
—
—
1.4
Profitability
Return on Equity %
Return on Assets %
Net Margin %
Asset Turnover
Financial Leverage
60.9
24.3
—
62.8
26.0
—
67.9
25.6
6,996
61.7
17.8
—
58.9
23.7
425
—
—
35,877
Gross Margin %
Operating Margin %
Long-Term Debt
173,662
1.3
43,666
1.3
192,207
1.4
202,010
1.9
205,487
2.6
224,298
—
80
60
40
20
0
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Financial Health
Current 5-Yr Avg
Distance to Default
Solvency Score
Assets/Equity
Long-Term Debt/Equity
2016
Sector
Median
Country
Median
0.6
486.8
1.8
0.2
0.6
628.2
2.7
0.3
0.9
—
1.6
0.0
0.8
—
2.9
—
1-Year
3-Year
5-Year
10-Year
5.4
40.3
60.9
—
12.0
42.5
1.8
-1.3
46.3
—
11.2
31.7
0.7
1.4
18.6
—
38.0
18.9
0.7
-1.8
8.2
—
10.2
9.8
Growth Per Share
Revenue %
Operating Income %
Earnings %
Dividends %
Book Value %
Stock Total Return %
Quarterly Revenue & EPS
Revenue (K)
Mar
Jun
Sep
Dec
Total
2015
19,778.0 21,590.0
—
—
—
2014
19,238.0 21,134.0 20,419.0 26,175.0 86,966.0
2013
18,371.0 19,986.0 18,368.0 25,781.0 82,506.0
2012
17,334.0 18,941.0 18,482.0 25,909.0 80,666.0
Earnings Per Share ()
2015
1.49
1.56
1.48
—
—
2014
1.01
1.45
0.86
2.83
6.15
2013
0.92
1.06
0.95
0.89
3.82
2012
0.83
1.15
0.84
0.83
3.66
Total Equity
Fixed Asset Turns
Revenue Growth Year On Year %
11.2
4.7
5.7
1.5
-0.6
2013
2.8
2.2
-0.5
2014
© Morningstar 2016. All Rights Reserved. Unless otherwise provided in a separate agreement, you may use this report only in the country in which its original distributor is based. The information, data, analyses and
opinions presented herein do not constitute investment advice; are provided solely for informational purposes and therefore is not an offer to buy or sell a security; are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate; and
are subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise required by law, Morningstar shall not be responsible for any trading decisions, damages or other losses resulting from, or related to, the information, data,
analyses or opinions or their use. The information herein may not be reproduced, in any manner without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Please see important disclosures at the end of this report.
2015
®
ß