OUR PLAN 2015-20 I NN OVA TI ON ON ATI OR AB LL CO TRAN SFORMATION INTRODUCING OUR BUSINESS PLAN This document summarises our Business Plan for 2015-20 and beyond, and it is part of our regulatory submission to Ofwat for the 2014 Price Review. Unless otherwise stated, all numbers in this document are total expenditure (totex IFRS), in 2012-13 price base, post efficiency and net of grants and contributions. Numbers in tables may not add up due to rounding. Platinum Big Tick award Anglian Water has been named as one of the top performers in this year’s Business in the Community Responsible Business Awards. We received a Platinum Big Tick – achieving our highest ever score of 97%, and were shortlisted for ‘Responsible Business of the Year’ recognising us as a leader of responsible business in the UK. December 2012 The awards identify companies that are transforming their businesses to create a more sustainable future, looking at how businesses tackle biodiversity, environmental protection, waste reduction and climate change, as well as how they work with suppliers and take care of employees. Setting the scene 2 Our Plan at a glance 4 Outcomes-based business planning 6 OUR PLAN OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY Putting customers at the heart of our business Our carbon story 8 10 Understanding our customers’ views and priorities 12 Our customer engagement programme 13 Key messages from our customers 14 The Customer Engagement Forum 14 Over 90% of the customers we surveyed that we had got the balance right 16 ...And we have gone even further 17 Outcomes for customers and the environment 18 20 The cost of delivering our Plan 24 Balancing expenditure 26 Wholesale expenditure 27 Our retail plan 38 Our financial strategy and plan 40 Measures and incentives 46 In summary: the four price controls at a glance 48 Board statement 50 ANNEX Annex 1: Key challenges from the independent Customer Engagement Forum 53 Annex 2: Managing future uncertainty 54 Annex 3: Past performance 56 Annex 4: Measures and incentives 58 CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN Bills and affordability OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY CONTENTS OUR PLAN ANNEX ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 1 A BALANCED AND AFFORDABLE PLAN – SETTING THE SCENE In this Business Plan we demonstrate how we will continue to drive the performance of the business and to make sure that we exceed the expectations of our customers wherever we can. We are ambitious to be a leading customer service business in the UK and know that we can only achieve this by retaining the trust and confidence of our customers. We believe this Plan builds on the strong working relationship we have established with them, and sets out how we will be delivering for customers in coming years. •First and foremost, we’ll hold increases in average household bills to no more than half the rate of inflation between 2015 and 2020. This goes further than our draft plan which proposed keeping bills flat before inflation, and which was approved by over 90% of customers surveyed. To deliver this, amongst other things, will require significant additional efficiencies from our Wholesale business as well as the absorption of inflation within the costs of our Household Retail business. •Household budgets are under pressure, and yet customers have told us that they attach importance to securing continued high levels of service. Our plan is to spend £4,746m to run our business, both maintaining and, where possible, enhancing our service to customers. We see that as a balanced and affordable plan, and we’ve been able to reconcile customers’ requirements on service levels with a financial plan that goes beyond their expectations on future bills. •And we plan to go further. If inflation is higher than the 3% we have assumed, then we will only increase bills by half the increase above 3% to a limit of 4.5%. If RPI rises above 4.5%, we would need to review the impact on our business and whether we can absorb a further proportion of this higher inflation. These decisions and the many others in our Plan have been guided and shaped by our biggest ever consultation and conversation with customers. Together with the new and most welcome freedoms granted by Ofwat’s new regulatory approach to AMP6, we now have a much more appropriate framework for how we want to manage our business to 2020 and beyond. 2 In our Plan, we summarise our credentials, and provide very clear evidence of our record and performance to show we can be trusted to deliver. We highlight how, with the help and support of customers, we’ve been able to operate consistently beyond the current regulatory framework; an approach that is at the heart of our long-standing ambition to be a leading customer service business in the UK. What we hear back from customers is consistent too: they expect a safe, clean water supply and a reliable wastewater service; fair and affordable bills; reduced leakage; and security of future water supplies to meet the challenge of population growth and changing, more extreme weather patterns. They recognise our record of high performance too. For example, our industry-leading SIM score for 2012–13; achieving our lowest ever level of leakage; our continued investment in resilience; the operating cost efficiencies that have allowed us to absorb unfunded costs of £70m over AMP5; and the capital efficiencies we have made which have enabled us to invest an extra £185m over AMP5 in new schemes to benefit customers. The strategic approach to achieving all this is rooted in our 25-year Strategic Direction Statement (SDS) and the long-term view this took of the particular challenges that we face here in the East of England – not least in tackling the impacts of climate change in our low-lying and dry region, which is also among the fastest growing in the UK. But we know that traditional solutions do not always apply. Which is why we have been working in close cooperation with Ofwat in the development of outcomes-based regulation. We’ve also worked with a wide range of customers, community and business leaders and others. Between us, we’ve agreed 10 outcomes that we want to achieve for our customers, the environment, local communities and the economy. The success of our campaigns like Keep it Clear and Drop CO2 has convinced us of the benefits of an outcomes-based approach and this is why outcomes are a central feature of this Business Plan. We believe this Plan provides a clear and compelling vision for the future. We want to build on what we’ve achieved and to continue to persuade customers, businesses and communities to collaborate with us. Many actively support us already, and by working ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION together, we recognise there is enormous potential to achieve even more. And we know that success depends on us winning and maintaining their confidence and trust. So we are focusing on three main areas: Innovation - setting ourselves, as well as our partners and suppliers, tough goals to force step changes. Being open to new ideas and innovative thinking, adapting to new ways of working and operating more sustainably. Collaboration – taking our engagement with customers to a new level, and working with national business leaders, senior academics, partners from across the public and private sectors, young people and community leaders, to inspire them to take positive steps towards helping achieve our vision for a sustainable future. Transformation – transforming the way we work with our partners and suppliers, with a strong focus on outcomes. Driving a new commercial focus to deliver leading standards of customer service, together with cutting-edge social marketing initiatives to lead the way in reshaping how society values and uses water. We’ve proven our ability to deliver on an outcomesbased approach, the foundation of which are the ten business goals which are at the heart of our Love Every Drop strategy. We’ve shared our strategy and ideas with customers and the independent Customer Engagement Forum and we have been challenged and questioned throughout the engagement process. The CEF’s members have brought experience and expertise from a wide range of sectors, and their challenge has been robust. Working together, we have a Plan that has their endorsement and support, and we will continue to consult with them in the future as we explore ways to deliver beyond expectations. We believe this is a Plan for a water company that wants to embrace and lead change and to redefine the boundaries of how a customer-focused industry operates in a changing world. The Board of Anglian Water Services and the senior management team, join us in commending this Plan to you, and commit to levels of performance in AMP6 – and beyond – that exceed your expectations. Sir Adrian Montague CBE Chairman Peter Simpson Chief Executive Our innovative evidence-based campaigns; the way we have actively involved customers and pushed at boundaries to collaborate with a much wider range of key stakeholders; and the transformational results we have achieved in terms of behavioural change and thought leadership, have all contributed to our success. The affordable financial package we present demonstrates a clear understanding of the cost of living pressure being felt by many of our customers. This is balanced by a firm commitment from our owners to manage risk and share reward; to recognise that fair profit and high performance are intrinsically linked; to continue to invest billions of pounds in essential infrastructure and services; and to bring even greater transparency in our corporate governance. 3 THIS PLAN IS BALANCED AND AFFORDABLE BECAUSE… We have listened to our customers • In total, the views of over 50,000 customers have shaped our Plan. •O ur programme of customer engagement has been extensive, innovative, robust and independent. •W e have worked with the Customer Engagement Forum to ensure that the views of all customers were invited, and that as many as possible were heard, especially from those in vulnerable groups who are seldom heard or included. Want to know more? See pages 12–19 We listened We will hold increases in average household bills to at least 1.8% p.a. below inflation •W e are going even further to protect customers from the impacts of inflation. If Ofwat accepts our Plan in the round, we will absorb half of any increase in RPI between 3.0% and 4.5%. If RPI is 3.5% then bills will reduce in real terms by 2.05%. (If RPI rises above 4.5%, we would need to review the impact on our business and whether we can absorb a further proportion of this higher inflation.) •W e are planning to introduce a new social tariff that will provide extra help to our most vulnerable customers. The tariff will be available to customers who have been independently assessed by a third-party advisory agency as needing additional support. Bills below inflation FAIR PROFITS A financially responsible, efficient business earning fair profits • Business customer default tariffs will increase by less than RPI. Want to know more? See pages 20–23 INVESTING FOR TOMORROW We are addressing customer priorities • Customer priorities and values are reflected in the outcomes, measures and incentives. •W e are investing to tackle what matters most to customers, for example: – Safe clean drinking water and reliable wastewater services are customers’ top priority, and we will ensure we continue to deliver excellent services. Working responsibly with and for your community – We will increase the amount of customers who are metered to 88% by 2020, without introducing a compulsory metering programme. Customer priorities Want to know more? See pages 24–37 Leading by example on reducing emissions and conserving the world’s natural resources A SMALLER FOOTPRINT Frontier efficiency • Our costs include the delivered efficiencies we have made during this AMP period. We estimate this is worth £150m against our investment proposals for maintaining services in AMP6. • We have set ourselves challenging targets for future efficiency. In total, we will deliver productivity improvements to reduce wholesale costs by £151m, and we will absorb cost pressures on retail costs and hold them at 2013-14 levels. •W e have an industry-leading position on reducing on-going pension costs. OUT FOR CUS AND ENVIR CARING FOR COMMUNITIES – We have already reduced our leakage to its lowest ever level, and over AMP6 we will continue to reduce it to 172 Ml/d by 2020, an 18% reduction against the current target. – We are investing to tackle future challenges, such as growth and climate change. Provide the services our customers expect over the long term through responsible asset stewardship A flourishing environment, for nature and for everyone FLOURISHING ENVIRONMENT Efficient Want to know more? See pages 35–36 We are maintaining and enhancing services We will meet our statutory obligations We will spend a total of £4,746m over the period, which includes: •Our region is of national ecological importance and is water stressed. •£ 3,638m to run our business and maintain our assets and services. •We will continue to meet our existing obligations, and we are investing a total of £485m to meet new ones. This includes: – £322m to meet National Environment Programme requirements. – £43m to address raw water deterioration. Statutory obligations Want to know more? See pages 30–35 • Investment to maintain services has increased by 6% after efficiency. • £1,108m to enhance our services, which includes meeting new legal obligations such as the National Environment Programme and addressing customer priorities. Want to know more? See pages 24–37 4 ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION Balanced costs It is supported by the independent Customer Engagement Forum •W e have responded to the key CEF challenges, and this has made our Plan even better. Over 90% acceptability • In our draft plan we proposed to keep bills flat before inflation. Over 90% of customers surveyed thought that the draft plan was acceptable Customer after considering it in detail, and we have gone support even further. CEF support •O ur final Plan is supported by the CEF and the four Independent Advisory Panels. Want to know more? See page 14 Want to know more? See pages 16–17 We are embracing greater competition • We support the introduction of competition where there are clear benefits to customers. • We are actively preparing our business for the separate retail price control and in anticipation of greater retail competition in the future. • We have established a UK-wide retail company (Anglian Water Business (National) Ltd), and we will continue to develop the retail/ wholesale trading relationships in a non-separated model. SATISFIED CUSTOMERS Ensuring that you are very satisfied with your service FAIR CHARGES Our corporate governance is good, and our Board endorses this Plan •W e comply with the UK Corporate Governance Code in all significant respects and can explain the reasons why we do not comply with the Code in its entirety. Bills balance fairness, affordability and value for money COMES TOMERS THE ONMENT Nondomestic competition • Our Board has been actively engaged in the development of our Plan. Over the last two years we’ve had 22 board meetings, and half of our Board’s time has focussed upon the Business Plan. • We have put a rigorous Board Assurance process in place. Drinking water is safe, clean and acceptable SAFE CLEAN WATER •O ur Quality Management Systems are independently certified by Lloyd’s Quality Register. We hold ISO 9001, BS OHSAS 18001, ISO 14001, ISO 22301, ISO 14061, PAS55, and PAS100. Want to know more? See pages 50–52 We will be more open than ever before Our services cope with the effect of disruptive events, in particular increasingly severe weather events. We plan ahead for the impacts of our changing climate Manage and meet the growth in demand for sustainable and reliable water and wastewater services Governance and assurance •W e have already taken steps to improve our transparency, for example, by integrating our financial, social and environmental reporting into our Annual Report and Accounts. RESILIENT SERVICES •W e will publish our performance against the outcomes using a clear set of measures and milestones. • We expect to publish Anglian Water’s governance code (which will comply with Ofwat’s new governance principles) by the end of 2013. SUPPLY MEETS DEMAND Open Want to know more? See pages 46–47, 50–52 Financeable It is financeable We will introduce new sharing mechanisms to benefit our customers Wholesale • 3.94% post-tax weighted average cost of capital. • Water wholesale 56% PAYG and 44% capitalised. • Wastewater wholesale 52% PAYG and 48% capitalised. • This reflects underlying operating costs and capital investment. • RCV run-off rate of 3.95% for water and 3.85% for wastewater. • 26 year depreciation rate for new assets. • Financeability ratios acceptable. Retail • 1.9% margin on household and 5.3% on non-household. Want to know more? See pages 40–45 •W e will share totex outperformance 50:50 with customers. Fair •2 017 rates revaluation to be reflected in 2018 adjustment to revenues and 50:50 sharing of benefit of water rates appeal. •W e are not proposing any additional adjustments beyond what is already set out in the licence. Want to know more? See pages 43–45 ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 5 OUTCOMES-BASED BUSINESS PLANNING – IT’S HOW WE WORK In 2007, in response to the challenge from Ofwat, we produced our 25-year Strategic Direction Statement (SDS). It raised our game and focused us on the longterm challenges facing the business – tackling the impacts of climate change and of a fast-growing population. However, it was soon clear this didn’t go far enough. It assumed a relatively ‘fixed’ view of what the future might hold, and covered a period of just 25 years. We needed a more flexible strategy, with a global perspective, that placed communities, the environment and the economy at the heart of our thinking and planning – we needed to go further. To do this, we threw out any traditional, introverted and ‘incremental’ ways of managing our business. Instead, we’ve set ourselves ten far-reaching and audacious goals to focus our strategy and our business, with over 100 public commitments to drive delivery, against which we hold ourselves accountable. We call this strategy Love Every Drop, and it puts water at the heart of a whole new way of living. The strategy encompasses activities and campaigns that purposefully include everyone – including customers, stakeholders, community leaders and young people. Love Every Drop has fundamentally challenged how we operate. We have embraced innovation, collaboration and transformation to help re-define how we think a 21st-century water company should operate. It’s how we’ve worked since we launched Love Every Drop in 2010. Our outcomes-based Business Plan is a natural extension of this revolutionary approach. For example, instead of assuming a static view of the future, we called in Outsights, international specialists in planning for the future using horizon scanning and scenario-based techniques. Their clients have included 100% of our customers very satisfied with our service No incidents No accidents Get it right first time, every time. Zero waste No pollution Leading employer in our region Frontier performer in our industry Effective management of the impact of growth and climate change in our region Halve our embodied carbon in new assets we build in 2015 from a 2010 baseline Reduce our operational carbon emissions by 10% in real terms by 2015 from 2010 baseline The 10 goals shown above are the ones we developed in 2010. As part of the development of our Business Plan, we have refreshed some of these goals. For more details please refer to our ‘Outcomes in detail’ document. 6 ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION Combining Outsight’s research (21 drivers for the 21st century), our own market expertise, and external and internal interviews, we framed the key issues. Detailed workshops developed four potential future scenarios, spanning a 50-year horizon. We then tested how robust our SDS would be in each of the possible futures. The impact has been profound. For example, it has transformed our traditional water resource management planning to a new scenarios-based approach, known as Robust Decision Making. And we’re collaborating with a wide range of others to help meet the challenges: we founded Water Resource East Anglia to drive progress and help deliver essential outcomes. We set ourselves 10 goals, underpinned by over 100 public commitments, when we launched Love Every Drop. In the next few pages, we’ve highlighted just two goals to show the innovation, collaboration and transformation that the strategy has helped us achieve. To read more about our progress against all 10 goals, please see our externally audited review, launched in November 2012 to report on two years of momentum and progress. OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY Unilever, Coca Cola, Shell, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, and many others across Asia, the USA and Europe. We’re proud of what we are achieving with this approach. The examples of customer service and carbon reduction on the following pages give a good insight into the transformation which has taken place within Anglian Water. Having worked with organisations in most sectors and geographies over the last two decades, we were particularly impressed by Anglian Water’s willingness to think wide and deep about the future, to confront real dilemmas and challenges and to prepare for future uncertainties. This work needs energy, enthusiasm, courage and high levels of engagement for best results. The Anglian Water team combined all of these with a highly professional and thorough approach, to produce outstanding Futures work. When Anglian Water launched Love Every Drop in 2010, they demonstrated leadership and challenged us all to think differently about water. Anglian Water is truly leading the way. Dr Neil Bentley, Deputy Director-General, Chief Operating Officer, CBI ? WANT TO KNOW MORE? See Annex 2: Managing future uncertainty P54 Tim Bolderson, Co-Founder, Outsights ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 7 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY Our ambition is to be a leading customer service business in the UK and this has transformed the culture of our business. We have a very clear, audacious goal: COLLABORATION To have 100% of our customers very satisfied with our service. ANNEX 8 Our most powerful collaboration is with our customers. For example, during the 2010–2012 drought, customers responded to our Drop 20 campaign and this saved 60Ml of water every day during the shortage. We’re innovative in our operations. For example, we use pressure management to reduce the number of burst mains, and if a burst does occur, we pipe water ‘overland’ to keep customers’ supplies secure while we repair it. INNOVATION We pioneered the centralisation of scheduling and deployment of jobs in the water industry a decade ago. Since then we’ve continued to develop our systems, people and processes and have driven year-on-year improvements in customer service as a direct result. We support our staff to deliver excellent customer service with industry-leading training programmes Licence to Operate and Face of Anglian Water. All our employees are directly involved in helping us achieve our business goals, and we judge their performance on the progress we make. OUR PLAN CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN PUTTING CUSTOMERS AT THE HEART OF OUR BUSINESS Anglian Water is the world’s leading water utility. Your vision for linking operational systems and the back office is exactly where we see the future. Henry Bailey Global Vice President Utilities, SAP America Inc. Our top priority is to get things right for our customers. Our investment in innovative technology has transformed how we track ‘live’ jobs and allows us to keep customers informed via phone, text message or social media. If things go wrong, we have an ‘intensive care’ process to help customers who need it. Speed of response is vital – we’ll mobilise a ‘blue light’ response if we think a problem might be about to recur or we know we can prevent a problem by getting there fast. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION Our award-winning water efficiency campaigns help household customers save water, such as Bits and Bobs (free devices to help homeowners save water), and The Potting Shed (working with the Royal Horticultural Society and B&Q to help gardeners save water). [Anglian Water views] service optimisation as an opportunity, not a challenge. The company continues to ask questions as to where else it can leverage technology and business process improvement to drive efficiency gains. From improving its customer service to reducing carbon emissions, it consistently seeks ways in which it can lead its service business to excellence. Dr Moshe BenBassat ClickSoftware Founder and CEO RECOGNITION •2 013 Business in the Community Platinum Big Tick Award •2 013 National Business Awards, Future Champion • 2013 European Smart Metering Awards, Innovation of the Year – Winner, in collaboration with Green Energy Options •2 013 Greenbuild Awards, Behavioural change category – Winner in collaboration with Flagship Housing Group CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN We convened the UK’s first international water conference for business, The Global Water Challenge, bringing together business expertise to encourage innovative thinking and new approaches to an international challenge. In addition, we help business customers to help themselves by developing joint water strategies to save water, energy and money, with projects such as the Rippleffect. We are pioneering cross-sectoral collaboration with emergency services and local authorities in Local Resilience Forums across our region, and regularly share information with Category 1 and 2 responders. This results in more appropriate targeting and sharing of resources for the benefit of our customers. OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY Our award-winning Keep it Clear campaign has seen sewer blockages fall by an average of 42% in the areas targeted. This reduction is largely thanks to customers who are now recycling fats, oils and grease and disposing of unflushable items like wipes and sanitary waste in the bin rather than down the toilet. This simple behaviour change has led to a reduction in repeat call-outs to unblock sewer pipes. • 2012 Environment Agency and Waterwise UK Water Efficiency Award, Potting Shed – Winner •2 012 Environment Agency and Waterwise UK Water Efficiency Award, Tap Into Savings – Runner up OUR PLAN TRANSFORMATION We’ve jumped from seventh to first position in Ofwat’s Service Incentive Mechanism (SIM) league table. In addition, our own survey of over 35,000 customers in 2012 showed that over 95% of those we spoke to were satisfied or very satisfied with our service. ANNEX We’re the only utility to have fully embraced the business continuity recommendations of the Pitt Review. We adopted BS 25999 before the transition to ISO 22301. This means our customers can rely on us to be a resilient business. SocialBakers1 describe us as a ‘socially devoted brand’ because of the number and speed of our digital interactions with customers. Innovations such as timed home visits, text message updates on work in progress, and the opening up of various social and digital channels for up to the minute contact with customers have helped to transform our relationship with customers. 1S ocialBakers is a popular provider of social media analytic tools, statistics and metrics. Socially Devoted is a SocialBakers initiative which recognises the best performing brands in social customer care. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 9 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN OUR PLAN ANNEX 10 OUR CARBON STORY – SAVING COST, MAKING US MORE RESILIENT Reducing our carbon footprint saves money, drives innovation and creates a more resilient business. Our region is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of a changing climate, so we are working to reduce our dependence on fossil-fuels and encourage our partners to do the same. That’s why we set ourselves the tough challenge to: Halve the embodied carbon1 in new assets we build by 2015, from a 2010 baseline. We’ve challenged our partners and suppliers to help us meet our carbon goals. We expect innovative approaches from our suppliers, such as using recycled materials in construction. Their carbon targets are now aligned with ours. We support and help them measure their carbon impact, and set challenging reduction targets. Anglian Water is an organisation at the forefront of efforts to adapt to climate change, is actively adapting and is an exemplar organisation for others that need to adapt. Lord Henley Former Climate Adaptation Minister COLLABORATION INNOVATION Our management of embodied and operational carbon is UK leading. Reducing carbon is an integral part of our investment decision-making process. We use carbon models to choose between designs and identify low-carbon and low-cost solutions. 1 Embodied carbon, also known as capital carbon, is the sum of all the carbon required to manufacture the chemicals we use in treatment processes, and the materials used to build new assets (treatment works, pipes, etc) ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION Our Climate Change Adaptation Report was praised by Defra ministers and we reinforced our approach in our own publication, Small Steps Big Impact. We helped prepare the UK Government’s first National Adaptation Plan. We have built on this approach and recently developed a sophisticated sustainability toolkit. This links the costs of proposed solutions to embodied carbon and embodied water. It can highlight carbon hotspots and will help us to cut costs and carbon even further. REDUCE CARBON REDUCE COST TRANSFORMATION In 2012–13, the embodied carbon in the assets we built was 40% lower than in 2010. We’re on track to hit our target of a 50% reduction by 2015. This means we use less carbon and generate big financial savings that are being passed on to customers. We chair the Infrastructure Working Group of the government’s Green Construction Board, in recognition of our approach to energy and carbon savings, and financial efficiencies in the delivery of outstanding projects. RECOGNITION •2 013 Finance for the Future, Large Business Award – Highly Commended •2 013 European Business Awards, Environmental CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN We’re leading by example. We’re a part of the Prince of Wales’s Corporate Leaders Group on Climate Change, working with Cambridge University. We lead the Green Economy Pathfinder project, sponsored by government to drive the transition to a low-carbon economy; and we supported the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills to produce Down to Zero, a practical guide to businesses on low-carbon procurement. OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY We founded the Water Innovation Network giving us access to fresh thinking and new ideas from businesses that we wouldn’t previously have worked with. There are over 500 companies participating. and Corporate Sustainability, listed as one of the UK national champions • 2013 ENDS Green Economy Awards for Water Efficiency – Winner, in collaboration with Green Energy Options •2 012 W ater Industry Achievement Awards, Outstanding Innovation and Innovative Use of an Existing Technology with Inverter Drive Systems • 2012 Water Industry Achievement Awards, OUR PLAN We’ve developed a new process that transforms sludge into a high-quality fertiliser and generates renewable energy. What started as a trial in a lab has grown into a number of fully operational sites across our region, saving money and creating a valuable natural fertiliser known as biosolids. 94% of our nutrient-rich biosolids are recycled and used on agricultural land – we sell 350,000 tonnes to farmers in our region every year – enough to treat 200 km2 of farmland. Carbon Reduction – Winner • 2012 The Independent Peer Awards, Winner ANNEX ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 11 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN Understanding our customers’ views and priorities 12 Our customer engagement programme 13 Key messages from our customers 14 The Customer Engagement Forum 14 Over 90% of the customers we surveyed that we had got the balance right 16 ...And we have gone even further 17 Outcomes for customers and the environment 18 UNDERSTANDING OUR CUSTOMERS’ VIEWS AND PRIORITIES The price review process continued our already extensive engagement with customers. We built our Love Every Drop strategy on customers’ expectations that we should support local communities to thrive, underpin economic growth and protect our environment. Research indicates this approach helped continue to build trust with our customers and to support collaborative working to achieve our shared goals. Our Keep It Clear and Drop 20 campaigns demonstrate the positive results achieved thanks to the encouragement and practical support given by customers. To monitor progress and maintain momentum, every week we speak to approximately 6001 customers about the services we provide. ANNEX OUR PLAN WHAT YOU WILL SEE IN THIS SECTION… 1T his includes those contacted by the Voice of the Customer team, who speak to over 30,000 customers each year (2,500–3,000 a month); McCallum Layton conduct customer satisfaction surveys, with over 2,000 people each year (200 per month); monitoring levels and reasons for service failures throughout the year; and tracking the root cause of written complaints. 12 Over 4,800 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY OUR CUSTOMER ENGAGEMENT PROGRAMME WAS EXTENSIVE, INNOVATIVE, ROBUST AND INDEPENDENT Independent review and challenge from the Customer Engagement Forum and four Independent customers responded to our Discuss, Discover, Decide consultation Advisory Panels since 2012 involved in willingnessto-pay research 15 focus SATISFIED CUSTOMERS SAFE CLEAN WATER groups FAIR CHARGES RESILIENT SERVICES SUPPLY MEETS DEMAND FLOURISHING ENVIRONMENT A SMALLER FOOTPRINT CARING FOR COMMUNITIES INVESTING FOR TOMORROW FAIR PROFITS Entry into a PRIZE DRA W for every completed return* * Subject to terms and conditions, see separate survey sheet 960 responses to Shaping our future 45 in-depth interviews with business customers and stakeholders 80 news articles In-depth customer phone-ins on all regional BBC radio stations, covering 13 counties 7 in-depth ethnographic interviews 90 customers involved in deliberative workshops promoting the conversation The range and diversity of the PR14 evidence base is a great strength. It provides depth as well as breadth, helps to tackle potential methods bias, and allows participants to take part in debates and discussions a number of different ways. CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN 1,000s of customers involved in online conversations, including polls and My 2020 Water View budget simulator 7,150 customers YOUR OPPORTUNITY TO HAVE A SAY 2,200 customers involved in acceptability research OPM1 500 customers surveyed using My 2020 Water View budget simulator Email invitations to join the conversation sent to over interviewed as part of ongoing research activity, such as Ofwat’s SIM survey OUR PLAN Over 38,000 customers 100,000 customers 213 future customers involved in education workshops ANNEX Almost 8m people targeted with radio advertising 1 OPM (Office for Public Management) is an independent organisation that specialises in market research. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 13 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN OUR PLAN KEY MESSAGES FROM OUR CUSTOMER ENGAGEMENT INCLUDE: •Core responsibilities: the provision of safe, reliable, clean water is consistently rated by all customer groups as the most important thing we do. Customers also perceive removing and treating wastewater and good stewardship of our assets to be core responsibilities. •Leakage: our customers are particularly concerned about leaks and are willing to pay for a reduction in leakage levels. •Resilience and future challenges: there is awareness of increasing pressures on the water system, associated with housing growth and changing weather patterns, and customers want to know that we are planning ahead and working with others to address these challenges. •Bills, affordability and profits: although the majority of our customers say that bills are fair, affordable and value for money, there is a significant minority of customers who are very concerned about price and worried about bills rising. Many customers are concerned that our monopoly status means that we have no incentive to keep bills fair and affordable. ? WANT TO KNOW MORE? CUSTOMER ENGAGEMENT FORUM The Customer Engagement Forum has provided independent advice and scrutiny throughout the development of our Plan. The Forum is an independent group made up of representatives from a wide range of organisations and backgrounds, to champion the interests of household and business customers, communities, the environment and the economy. Dame Yve Buckland, national chair of the Consumer Council for Water, chairs the Forum in an independent capacity. The Forum is supported by four Independent Advisory Panels, which are subcommittees of the Customer Engagement Forum designed to provide expert challenge in the following areas: ANNEX •Economic development •Environment and climate change •Customers and communities •Hartlepool ? WANT TO KNOW MORE? See Annex 1: CEF challenges P53 14 ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION See Discover, Discuss, Decide: Summary of research into household and business customer and stakeholder views: version 10, available at: www.discoverdiscussdecide.co.uk A MESSAGE FROM THE CUSTOMER ENGAGEMENT FORUM The independent Customer Engagement Forum is a new and very important means of ensuring that the views of all customers, domestic and business, influence the way that Anglian Water plans and delivers its services. We have put pressure on the company to produce a plan which represents the priorities of customers and their willingness and ability to pay for water services in these tough economic times. We have carefully reviewed the company’s proposals in the light of customer priorities, regulatory requirements and the implications for the local economy, environment and communities. We accept it is not possible to get everything customers and stakeholders want at the price that customers are willing to pay and we believe that this is a balanced plan. We are very pleased that the company listened to our ongoing challenge about keeping bills as low as possible and have come forward with proposals to keep rises in average household bills to below half the rate of inflation. You can find out more about how we’ve challenged Anglian Water and come to our conclusions in our assurance report to Ofwat at www.discoverdiscussdecide.co.uk. • Focus groups, in-depth interviews, county shows, ethnographic portraits, deliberative workshops and ongoing engagement • Online conversation hub • My 2020 Water View budget simulator • Future customer workshops • Willingness-to-pay surveys Acceptability of our Plan • Your chance to have your say consultation document • Acceptability research Focusing on the future • The 2050s scenarios project • Understanding future risks and uncertainty Shaping options • Developing outcomes • Identifying choices and developing proposals Developing our Plan • Addressing customer priorities • Balancing bills and essential investment Going further CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN Testing choices • Discover, Discuss, Decide HOW CUSTOMERS SHAPED OUR PLAN OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY Listening Scrutiny and challenge from the independent Customer Engagement Forum OUR CONVERSATION WITH CUSTOMERS • From flat bills before inflation to bills falling before inflation • RPI sharing Reviewing Evolution and future price reviews OUR PLAN • We will engage with customers and stakeholders on the delivery of our final Business Plan. Achieving a balanced and affordable plan ANNEX The views of our customers, and others with an interest in what we do, have shaped every stage of the development of our Plan, starting with the 2050s scenarios project that focused on the future, through to the development of our outcomes and draft plan to the feedback on our draft plan. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 15 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY In our draft plan we proposed to keep bills flat before inflation, while investing to maintain and improve services, meeting our legal obligations and tackling future challenges. We tested the acceptability of our draft strategy and plan with our customers and the results were encouraging – after considering the plan in detail over 90% of customers surveyed said that they found the plan acceptable. Customers told us that in order to improve the acceptability of our Plan we would need to reduce bills further, do more to tackle leakage, and address the concern that shareholders are benefitting more than customers. The biggest concern about our plans came from customers who had financial difficulties or special requirements such as medical conditions needing a lot of water. ANNEX OUR PLAN CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN OVER 90% OF THE CUSTOMERS SURVEYED THOUGHT THAT WE HAD GOT THE BALANCE RIGHT . . . 16 ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION shaping our FuTurE 2015–2020 HIGH-QUALITY SERVICE METERING LEAKS RESILIENCE ENVIRONMENT Help us check we’re getting the balance right Given the very high levels of acceptability that our draft plan achieved, we could have stopped there. But, at a time when household incomes are not keeping up with inflation, we continually drive our business to deliver the best possible outcome for our customers. We explain how we’ve balanced our Plan in the following section. CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN That is why we have challenged our business to go further, and to hold the increase in average household bills to 1.8% p.a. below inflation over the period 2015-20. Assuming RPI increases at 3%, the average household bill is forecast to increase to £468, compared with the £499 set out in our draft plan and the acceptability research. We have done this without making substantive changes to what we plan to deliver in the period, but by setting ourselves a tougher efficiency challenge and reducing returns. In the development of our Plan we have had to balance the need to ensure that bills are fair and affordable, and with the need to make essential investment to meet legal obligations, maintain our services and prepare for future challenges. In addition, our customer engagement programme has shown that in some areas, such as leakage, customers would value an improvement in our current service. By investing less in areas such as leakage and resilience, we could have reduced customers’ bills even further, but we do not believe this would be the right thing to do, or that it would be supported by our customers. OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY . . . AND WE HAVE GONE EVEN FURTHER OUR PLAN ANNEX Peter Simpson out and about in Ipswich meeting customers. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 17 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY WE HAVE DEVELOPED 10 OUTCOMES FOR CUSTOMERS AND THE ENVIRONMENT Why this outcome? As a monopoly provider of an essential service it is important that our profits are perceived to be fair and proportionate. Some customers are concerned about water company profits and this has convinced us that we need to do more in this area. A good outcome will be… We deliver our services efficiently compared to other leading companies. We can raise finance efficiently at relatively low costs to ensure enough money to fund future investment. Our business is financially stable over the long term and we demonstrate responsible stewardship of financial resources. FAIR PROFITS A good outcome will be… CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN Why this outcome? Customers see good stewardship of assets as one of our core responsibilities. They want to know that we are investing in infrastructure to safeguard water supplies now and in the future. Why this outcome? This is about acting as a responsible company and a force for good in our region, recognising the wider impact of our activities upon the communities we serve. Assets (such as our pipes, works, buildings and equipment) are maintained effectively so they provide the services customers expect both now and in the future. A good outcome will be… An inclusive and accessible service, sensitive to the needs of individual customers. Our infrastructure underpins and contributes to a successful regional economy. Our operations do not unduly disturb the community. Our water parks and nature reserves provide valued recreational benefits. Our sites are maintained to ensure the health and safety of visitors and our staff. The next generation has a real personal belief in the value of water. OUR PLAN Why this outcome? Reducing our dependence upon natural resources drives innovation, improves resilience and saves cost. Furthermore, as one of the largest emitters of greenhouse gasses in the East of England, it is right that we play our part to mitigate climate change. ANNEX Why this outcome? 18 A healthy natural environment is the foundation of sustained economic growth, prospering communities and personal wellbeing, and we need to play our part to protect it. A good outcome will be… We lead by example on mitigating climate change and protecting natural resources. Decarbonisation and resource efficiency are central to investment and operational decisions. We continue to reduce energy consumption and carbon emissions related to water production, consumption and disposal. Water footprinting is established as a social and business norm and drives down usage. A financially responsible, efficient business earning fair profits INVESTING FOR TOMORROW Provide the services our customers expect over the long term through responsible asset stewardship OUT FOR CUS AND ENVIRO CARING FOR COMMUNITIES Working responsibly with and for your community Leading by example on reducing emissions and conserving the world’s natural resources A SMALLER FOOTPRINT A flourishing environment, for nature and for everyone FLOURISHING ENVIRONMENT A good outcome will be… The environment in our region flourishes. Rivers, lakes, aquifers and coastal waters support a rich biodiversity, contribute to a growing economy and provide a valuable amenity for families and communities. There is joined-up, effective and collaborative management of the water cycle in our catchments (areas drained by a river) from source to tap and back to the environment. Our activities are sensitive to environmental needs, and risks and adverse impacts are avoided. People, businesses, water- and land-users in our region are engaged in the challenges of maintaining a sustainable environment. All legal requirements are met. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION Why this outcome? We respond to customer needs with tailored, innovative services. Our processes are customer focused, and our people highly motivated and capable. Service failures are very rare and caused by factors beyond our control. If failures do occur we act promptly and effectively – keeping customers up to date and doing all we can to prevent and reduce the impacts on individuals and businesses. This outcome will ensure that we continue to listen to our customers and to focus our business on the things that matter to them. We have a responsibility to all our customers to achieve excellence in everything we do, because our customers depend upon us to supply an essential service. A good outcome will be… SATISFIED CUSTOMERS FAIR CHARGES Bills balance fairness, affordability and value for money COMES TOMERS THE NMENT Drinking water is safe, clean and acceptable SAFE CLEAN WATER Our services cope with the effect of disruptive events, in particular increasingly severe weather events. We plan ahead for the impacts of our changing climate RESILIENT SERVICES SUPPLY MEETS DEMAND A good outcome will be… A good outcome will be… Why this outcome? Customers are confident that their water is always clean and safe to drink and use. Water sources are used wisely and protected properly, and all legal requirements are met. The delivery of highquality, safe, clean drinking water is the most important thing we do and a fundamental expectation of our customers. A good outcome will be… Our business understands and is prepared for the impact of extreme natural and man-made hazards. Such hazards do not cause customers to suffer interruptions to water supply or disposal of sewage. Customers understand the risks from disruptive events. We use the best available science to understand, successfully plan for and adapt to a changing climate. We monitor the impacts of these changes on our assets and processes, and consider their impacts on all investments and decision making. We set an example to others in the region on adapting to our changing climate. Why this outcome? Making sure we are able to provide reliable water and wastewater services to our customers now and in the future is a key priority. Why this outcome? Customers recognise that water resources in our region are particularly vulnerable to increasing pressures such as population growth and climate change, and they want us to take preventative action and to engage in long-term planning to prevent problems storing up for the future. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION ANNEX Prudent investment in reliable, affordable and sustainable supplies that are flexible enough to cope with uncertain demands. Manage changing demand on our water and wastewater systems from new and existing customers, as well as meeting demand and enabling economic growth with additional supply. The level of leakage is acceptable to customers. Many of our customers are telling us that they are worried about bills rising, and it is clear that incomes are not keeping up with the cost of living. In addition, some customers are concerned that our monopoly status means we have no incentive to keep prices fair and affordable. Against this background it is vital that we ensure that customers perceive our bills to be fair, affordable and value for money. OUR PLAN Manage and meet the growth in demand for sustainable and reliable water and wastewater services Why this outcome? CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN Ensuring that you are very satisfied with your service Customers recognise that our bills are a fair way of covering the costs of what we need to do. Bills are seen to be affordable, and the service provided represents good value for money. Tariffs are simple and easy to understand. We recover fair costs from developers for the infrastructure needed when new houses are built. OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY A good outcome will be… 19 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN OUR PLAN THIS IS WHAT YOU WILL SEE IN THIS SECTION… Bills and affordability 20 The cost of delivering our Plan 24 Balancing expenditure 26 Wholesale expenditure 27 Our retail plan 38 Our financial strategy and plan 40 Measures and incentives 46 In summary: the four price controls at a glance 48 Board statement 50 BILLS AND AFFORDABILITY We recognise that household budgets are under pressure, which lead us to place even greater importance on responding to feedback received via regular contact and consultation with customers. This has helped us to achieve what we regard as the right balance between keeping bills affordable and the need to invest to maintain and improve vital services. To achieve this, and to deliver the ten outcomes, we’ve focused on the following key areas: •Challenging ourselves to deliver additional efficiencies, both in the wholesale business and retail services. In retail we are taking on the challenge of finding efficiencies to offset real cost pressures. Our Plan puts us beyond the current frontier. •Working with the Environment Agency to ensure The draft Business Plan was the subject of our biggestever consultation with customers. It was based on keeping bills flat before inflation, and over 90% of customers surveyed thought we had got the balance right and that the Plan was acceptable. We paid particular attention to what vulnerable customers told us, especially those who struggle to pay their bill. They said that we should do more to reduce bills and we took on that challenge. ANNEX The independent Customer Engagement Forum reinforced this view, so we are going beyond the expectations of the majority of customers and cutting bills even further, in real terms. 20 ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION investment decisions driven by environmental legislation are based on robust evidence. We take our legal obligations to protect and enhance the environment very seriously, but we need to make sure that any investment results in real improvements to the environment before asking customers to pay more. We’ve been working closely with the Environment Agency to make sure that any investment is based on robust evidence. Together, we have reduced the investment needed to meet the requirements of EU environmental directives from a potential £1.3bn to £322m. This compares to £164m in AMP5 and will add approximately £8 to average household bills by 2020. •Reducing our forecasts of additional costs and •Reducing the weighted average cost of capital, even though forward interest rates have increased. We have taken advantage of current low interest rates through a hedging approach for a proportion of our debt that maximises the benefit for customers. The cost of putting in place this strategy to reduce the impact of rising interest has been borne by the company. This, together with our Plan to absorb half of inflation if RPI increases to between 3% and 4.5% (see page 23), means that the average bill will rise by less than half of inflation in each year of the next period. We have considered whether it would be better to give a one-off reduction in bills and then increase bills by inflation each year after that, but customers have consistently told us that it is easier to budget if volatility in bills is kept to a minimum. •Reduced headroom in financial covenants to Average household water and wastewater bills (£) We will hold increases in average household bills to at least 1.8% p.a. below inflation1 £440 £445 £450 £457 £462 £468 2015–16 2016–17 2017–18 2018–19 2019–20 500 2014–15 600 Key Bill impact before inflation Bill impact after inflation 400 We recognise the challenge we face in delivering our Plan against a backdrop of bill reductions in real terms, but believe this will drive innovative thinking, efficiencies and new approaches; encourage greater levels of collaboration with customers and stakeholders; and further transform the way we operate and do business in the future. 300 200 100 CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN the minimum needed to maintain and secure investment grade status. OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY This means that the average household bill will reduce in real terms from £440 in 2014–15 to £403 in 2019–20. We have assumed that inflation will average 3% p.a. throughout the period, which means that after inflation, the average household bill will be £468 in 2019–20. taking on more risk of costs increasing. We manage our business on a commercial basis for the long term, unconstrained by the shorter-term five-yearly regulatory cycles. For example, we’ve reduced our forecast for energy costs and taken steps to fix a significant proportion of future energy costs. The reduction in bills in real terms is a result of the various challenges made in developing this Plan: Explanation of change in bills (before inflation) (£) 460 OUR PLAN 440 420 400 380 360 340 320 Average bill 2014–15 Efficiencies Key New obligations Investment to improve services and for growth Average bill 2019–20 Increase ANNEX Decrease Lower profit and interest 1 Our Plan assumes that the RPI increases by 3% p.a. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 21 The previous graph shows the impact on the average bill. Account should also be taken of those metered customers who pay only for what they use, and of those customers who pay an ‘unmeasured’ charge. Our customers in Hartlepool, and some customers in the main Anglian region, only have one service, either water or sewerage. So the impact on the bill for each category of customer is shown in the charts below. As illustrated in the graphs, unmeasured bills are higher and increase at a faster rate than measured bills, because their consumption is higher. Customers on average save more than £100 a year by switching to a meter. By 2015, 87% of households will have a meter fitted, and 79% will pay a measured charge. We will increase this so that, by 2020, 95% of households will have a meter fitted, and 88% of customers will pay a measured charge. Vulnerable customers with relatively high measured consumption can also use the WaterSure and AquaCare Plus tariffs to help reduce their bills. In addition, we plan to offer a new social tariff from April 2015 to provide additional support. £609 250 £204 £207 £211 ANNEX £255 £257 Hartlepool average household water bills (£) 200 150 £152 £155 £158 £161 £165 £148 100 Bill impact before inflation Bill impact after inflation ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 2019–20 2018–19 50 2017–18 2019–20 50 2018–19 50 2017–18 100 2016–17 150 100 2015–16 £253 200 150 2014–15 £250 2016–17 £201 £246 2015–16 £199 2014–15 200 £195 £245 £440 2019–20 300 250 £432 2018–19 300 £424 2017–18 2017–18 2016–17 2014–15 2014–15 Average household wastewater bills (£) £416 2019–20 100 £408 2018–19 100 £407 2017–18 200 100 2019–20 300 200 2018–19 300 200 2017–18 300 2016–17 400 2015–16 400 £457 2019–20 400 £450 2018–19 500 £440 £445 2016–17 600 500 500 Key 22 £623 2016–17 £468 £594 2015–16 £462 £580 £549 2015–16 600 Average household measured water and wastewater bills (£) 2014–15 600 Average household unmeasured water and wastewater bills (£) £637 2014–15 Average household water and wastewater bills (£) Average household water bills (£) OUR PLAN because it reflects the savings made by customers who switch from an unmeasured to measured charge. We are forecasting almost 190,000 customers will switch, each saving an average of £100. By 2020, we expect 88% of customers will be paying measured charges. As more customers switch, the remaining unmeasured customers pay more because, on average, their consumption is expected to increase (as those customers with lower unmeasured consumption will switch). Hartlepool average water bill increases are higher than average for the same reason. To encourage customers to switch to a measured charge, we allow two years from the date of switching for a customer to switch back to an unmeasured bill if they find they are worse off. The average water and sewerage bill increase is a combination of the average measured and unmeasured bill increases, but is lower than either, 2015–16 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN What happens to each group of household customer? again whether we can continue to absorb half of the impact of higher inflation on customers’ bills. We have prepared a plan that already means the company absorbs significant risk and passes on the benefit of efficiency challenges to customers. We may not be able to also absorb the impact of higher inflation if greater pressure were put on the company through additional adjustments. Affordability of bills is also crucial for our business customers and impacts on their ability to secure and grow their businesses. The level of bills for business customers will vary depending both on the scale and on the combination of services provided across water supply, sewerage and trade effluent treatment. The structure of bills is also dependent on annual consumption, determining whether customers are charged a two-part tariff (fixed and volumetric charges) or a three-part tariff (fixed, volumetric and peak charges). On average, default tariffs will rise by 0.5% less than RPI. Additional help for vulnerable customers While we are reducing bills in real terms, there are some customers who may need additional help. We offer a range of tariffs, services and partnerships targeted at our business customers to help them manage their consumption and hence the size of their water bill. We recognise that if RPI is higher than forecast, this will put further pressure on customers’ ability to pay. We have taken action to mitigate the impact of inflation on our own costs, for example, by locking in the price of 40% of our energy costs through to 2020. •Making sure that customers are on the lowest tariff for their individual circumstances. We currently have two assistance tariffs, WaterSure and AquaCare Plus. In June 2013 we had almost 44,000 customers on these tariffs, which is one of the highest of any water company. •Providing metering and practical water efficiency advice to help customers reduce their bill. •Offering a series of payment options to help And we want to go even further to protect customers. Subject to Ofwat accepting our Plan in the round, we will absorb half of any increase in RPI between 3.0% and 4.5%. customers to budget and best manage the payment of their bills. Inflation is not predicted to rise above 4.5% over the next few years. However, should this happen, then the impact upon our costs would be unpredictable. We would hope to continue to absorb a proportion of this higher inflation, but would need to review the impact on our business and our ability to do so. Assuming inflation remains within predicted limits, what would this mean for our customers? For example, inflation at 3.4%, in line with PwC’s report for Ofwat1, would see bills reduce in real terms by 2% and rise after inflation by 1.4%. •Continuing to offer the Anglian Water Assistance Fund to help customers who have historic debt get back on track. Our annual contribution the Fund is currently £750,000 p.a. and we will increase this to £1m p.a. from 1 April 2015. In addition to the WaterSure and AquaCare tariffs, from 1 April 2015 we are also proposing to provide additional support through the introduction of a new social tariff. This will ensure that customers who have been independently assessed by a third-party advisory agency as needing additional support will be able to access a discounted tariff. We are already working with the Citizens Advice Bureau in Northampton on a pilot study to test the process for carrying out assessments, and if successful, we will hope to roll this out across the region. We will be undertaking further customer consultation on this proposal, as required by legislation, over the next few months. OUR PLAN Our strategy for addressing water affordability has the support of the independent Customer and Community Panel. ? WANT TO KNOW MORE? See Strategy in focus: Addressing affordability and bad debt, in ‘Outcomes in detail’. ANNEX Sharing some of the risk of higher inflation in respect of our costs will provide a real challenge to the business. In the current period, while inflation has averaged 3.3% p.a., all of the efficiencies that have been achieved have been offset by additional costs that were not foreseen at the last determination, including the cost of the transfer of private sewers, mitigating the impacts of drought, reducing leakage and paying new carbon taxes and environmental charges. Interest charges form a large part of our annual costs and while interest rates have fallen over recent years, the benefit of this has been wholly offset by the cost of holding necessary cash reserves. We are confident that Ofwat will be able to accept the intentions behind our Plan but if significant adjustments are made, we will need to review once Our existing comprehensive package of measures includes: CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN Protecting customers from RPI OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY Business customers 1 PwC, Economic assumptions for PR14 risk analysis, July 2013. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 23 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN OUR PLAN ANNEX 24 THE COST OF DELIVERING OUR PLAN Summary of expenditure The total cost of delivering our Plan over the next five years is £4,746m This expenditure reflects a number of trade-offs and balances. Throughout, we have balanced the benefits of investment against the impact on customers’ bills. We have set ourselves challenging efficiency targets to drive forward frontier performance. The table below compares the expenditure allocated to outcomes compared with the categories used in past price reviews. The figures given are post efficiency, net of grants and contributions, and in the 2012–13 price base. Running the Extending business and the service maintaining the to cope with current level of growth (£m) service (£m) Enhancing Enhancing the service the service due to legal due to obligations customer (£m) priorities (£m) Total expenditure (£m) Satisfied customers – – – 65 65 Fair charges – – – 1 1 Safe, clean water – – 68 – 68 Resilient services – – 23 98 122 Supply meets demand – 215 – 61 276 Flourishing environment – 24 371 8 403 A smaller footprint – – – – – Caring for communities – 19 23 18 60 Fair profits – – – – – Private sewers and pumping stations – – – 113 113 Total wholesale base opex and maintenance, retail opex, retail capex 3,638 – – – 3,638 Total expenditure (£m) 3,638 258 485 365 4,746 ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION •We have allocated 100% of our capital maintenance Expenditure by outcome We have prepared business cases for all capital expenditure and have allocated that expenditure to outcomes. There are some instances where investment in a single business case is relevant to more than one outcome. For example, increasing the interconnectivity of our network will contribute to the delivery of ‘Satisfied customers’, ‘Resilient services’ and ‘Supply meets demand’. expenditure to ‘Investing for tomorrow’, because this is about maintaining our current level of service. Together with operating costs and retail costs, this expenditure falls into the category ‘Running the business and maintaining services’. •We have not allocated any expenditure to ‘A smaller footprint’ because this outcome is all about doing things differently, rather than spending money. We have already demonstrated that, instead of costing more, reducing our use of finite resources results in cost savings. •Similarly, we have not allocated any expenditure to OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY Having conducted our biggest ever consultation with customers, and worked with many different people and organisations to help shape our draft Plan, we have agreed ten outcomes that have driven our business planning for AMP6. These will be delivered by the whole business, including the retail businesses. The allocation of total costs against outcomes is set out in the chart below. ‘Fair profits’. We believe that a fair profit depends on driving efficient performance throughout the whole business rather than increasing costs for customers. CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN Expenditure allocated by outcome (£) 5000 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 OUR PLAN 1000 500 0 Running Satisfied the customers business and maintaining services Fair charges Safe, clean water Resilient services Supply Flourishing A smaller Caring meets environment footprint for demand communities Fair profits Private sewers and pumping stations Total £4,746 million £65 million £1 million £68 million £122 million £276 million £403 million £0 million £60 million £0 million £113 million 76.4% 1.4% 0.0003% 1.43% 2.6% 5.8% 8.5% 0% 12.8% 0% 2.4% ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION ANNEX £3,638 million 25 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY BALANCING EXPENDITURE Affordability of the Plan to customers Efficient and timely investment to maintain services A Plan which is an appropriate balance of price and service New statutory obligations 3000 Improving the service in line with customer priorities Growth in the region 2000 Key Retail wholesale Wastewater wholesale Water wholesale 1000 Efficiency & innovation: delivering more for less ANNEX OUR PLAN 0 Growing asset stock requires more maintenance Running the business and maintaining services (£m) Doing more Extending the service to cope with growth (£m) Enhancing the service due to legal obligations (£m) Non-discretionary investment 26 £4,746m 4000 Total expenditure £m CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN 5000 Getting the most out of our resources Ensuring investment decisions are based on robust evidence Prioritising improvements to provide the best value ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION Enhancing the service due to customer priorities (£m) Discretionary investment Running the business and maintaining services numbers have been stated under UKGAAP and also after adjusting to reflect the latest IFRS accounting standards. UKGAAP and IFRS differ in their classification of some expenditure, which moves from capital investment to operating expenditure, but the total is the same. The tables below set out the wholesale costs of running the business and maintaining services. To allow comparisons with the current period, the Base operating costs £m Water Sewerage p.a. 2015–20 p.a. 2015–20 Total 2015–20 2013–14 Annual p.a. 2015–20 Cost 166 829 223 1,114 389 1,943 IFRS 188 939 240 1,200 428 2,139 Water Sewerage Total 2015–20 Forecast 2010–15 1,189 UKGAAP 603 710 1,3141 IFRS 493 624 1,118 Running and maintaining the business at current levels of service £m Water Sewerage Total 2015–20 UKGAAP 1,433 1,824 3,257 IFRS 1,433 1,824 3,257 items of equipment, or an individual length of pipe, and the impact that the failure of each individual component would have on our service. We also use this to assess the costs and benefits of our maintenance programme. The operating costs, including pension deficit payments, are a carry forward of the 2013 annual costs. Investing in maintaining services OUR PLAN Operating costs 389 CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN UKGAAP Maintenance Expenditure (Totex) £m OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY WHOLESALE EXPENDITURE This approach has been assessed by Ofwat as being leading and our independent assurers, Halcrow, commented: Our customers tell us that good stewardship of our assets is one of our fundamental responsibilities, as is the provision of safe, reliable, clean water and the removal and treatment of wastewater. “Anglian Water’s approach to investment planning reflects current best practice in asset management, embodying sound risk-based principles and incorporating reliable asset-specific data.2” ANNEX This helps us to prioritise the investment required to maintain our growing asset base, and to ensure that the investment is cost efficient and we are not spending any more than we need to. Our established set of risk-based models ensures that every pound of investment is targeted to where it is most needed. This is done by modelling the deterioration of individual 1 Includes £19m operating costs associated with AMP5 carry-over investment. 2 Halcrow, Technical Assurance - Executive summary, 2013. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 27 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN As part of our approach to continuous improvement, we have achieved and maintained certification to Publicly Available Specification (PAS) 55 - Asset Management through Lloyd’s Register. We plan to gain ISO 55000 accreditation in January 2014 when the new standard is released. Planned expenditure Overall, after, efficiencies, we are planning £1,295m expenditure (an increase of 6%, excluding metering, from AMP5) to maintain assets and services. This increase reflects a growing asset base, and increased use of technology, instrumentation and automation in the management and control of our operations. For example, as illustrated earlier in our transformational journey, we pioneered the centralisation of scheduling and deployment of jobs a decade ago. We also have one of the most extensive telemetry systems in Europe. Capital Maintenance Expenditure (£m) AMP5 PR14 Planned Business Plan Water Above Ground Assets 194 217 Water Below Ground Assets 214 240 Wastewater Below Ground Assets 170 188 Wastewater Above Ground Assets 370 381 Meter replacement 33 76 207 193 1,188 1,295 Management and General Total 2012-13 price base, after efficiencies, UKGAAP. Excludes AMP5 carry-over operating costs. Water Non Infrastructure (above ground treatment assets) We have 146 water treatment works and 389 storage assets that, if allowed to deteriorate, would result in water quality failures. Our Drinking Water Safety Planning approach is central to how we manage drinking water quality. Our forward-looking modelling has identified an increase in the rate of investment required for short-lived assets installed to meet increased water quality standards. A further risk of water quality failures has arisen due to assets becoming obsolete because spare parts are increasingly difficult to procure given the pace of innovation and developments in new equipment. Water Infrastructure (below ground assets) Our underground network of pipes is over 38,000km (23,600 miles). Over AMP5 our burst rate has averaged 152 bursts per 1,000km of mains. The deterioration of these assets is due to corrosion or material failure. Other factors that impact on the burst rate include accidental damage and seasonal ground movements exacerbated by increasing extreme weather patterns. We plan to maintain the burst rate at current levels throughout the AMP6 period, and reduce where possible. With current replacement rates, this brings the average operational life of our pipes to 370 years. Wastewater Infrastructure (below ground assets) The recent transfer to our ownership of private sewers virtually doubled our network. Excluding this new transfer, the underground network we manage of sewers and rising mains (pumped sewers) is over 40,000km (24,800 miles). The average collapse rate is 420 per year. At the current replacement rate it would take nearly 1,000 years to replace the entire network. Sewer collapses can lead to severe inconvenience and distress for customers, including blocked drains and toilets that don’t flush away. In extreme cases, there 1600 Capital Expenditure (£m) OUR PLAN Capital maintenance expenditure UKGAAP 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 ANNEX 0 AMP1 AMP2 AMP3 AMP4 AMP5 AMP6 AMP7 AMP8 Key Water Sewerage Water (projected expenditure) Sewerage (projected expenditure) 1H alcrow have been appointed to provide independent assurance to the Board of Anglian Water and challenge on behalf of the Customer Engagement Forum as to the effectiveness and efficiency of our proposed plan. 28 ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION Meter replacement The maintenance of our revenue meters is assessed separately, using an economic model to optimise the costs and benefits of replacement. It is important to maintain our meters as they can become less accurate with age and may under-record consumption. There is a risk that bills will be inaccurate and it also reduces our ability to manage leakage effectively. •While a meter is under-recording this results in inaccurate bills and unfair cross-subsidies. Then when it is replaced it will result in an unexpected bill increase. •Suspending our meter replacement programme would result in a significant shift in costs to AMP7 which we consider unfair to future generations of bill payers. Asset Serviceability We forecast that for 2013-14 all four categories of assets will be assessed as ‘stable’ for asset serviceability. In 2011-12 our wastewater infrastructure was assessed as marginal. We are delivering a very strong performance this year against all measures in Wastewater Infrastructure, with a number of key measures forecast to be at reference level. Therefore, we anticipate a move back to stable at year end. ? WANT TO KNOW MORE? See Annex 3: Past performance P56 OUR PLAN Our Plan includes £76m (compared with £33m in AMP5) to replace 880,000 revenue meters, which represents 49% of our total stock1. During AMP5 our proactive replacement programme focused on small meters (15mm) only (which have an average economic life of 12–13 years), because the case for replacing larger meters had not been robustly proven. Since then, research has shown that these larger meters also under-record with age, so additional investment will be required in AMP6 to replace those that have reached the end of their operational life. CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN Wastewater Non Infrastructure (above ground treatment assets) The region we serve is the largest by land area of any sewerage company. It is predominantly rural with thousands of small dispersed communities and relatively few urban centres. Which is why we have 1,123 treatment plants and 4,923 sewage pumping stations. We are required to meet some of the highest environmental standards in the UK. Our region is characterised by low-flow, slow-moving rivers and large areas of intensive farming, and this drives tight environmental standards. We have made significant investments to meet environmental standards, including in high technology assets, for example, to replace traditional trickling filters which would have been a preferred treatment method in the past. These assets are short lived and when they fail they compromise the treatment plant performance, leading to a works sample failure and potential environmental pollution. The Customer Engagement Forum challenged us on whether we could reduce bills in AMP6 by suspending our proactive meter replacement programme, only replacing them when they fail. We do not consider this the right thing to do for two main reasons: OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY can be internal and external flooding of customers’ homes and property. We plan to stabilise and maintain the failure rates at current levels against an increasing trend of asset deterioration. ANNEX 1 In AMP6 we are planning to replace 880,000 ‘dumb’ meters that will reach the end of their useful life, with ‘smart’ meters. The cost of a like-forlike replacement (‘dumb’ with ‘dumb’) is £74. The additional cost of replacing ‘dumb’ meters with ‘smart’ meters is £28m. Want to know more? See Strategy in focus: Metering in ‘Outcomes in detail’, page 32. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 29 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN Enhancement expenditure Our Plan includes £1,108m total expenditure to enhance our services. Total enhancement Total £m 131 111 165 407 Wastewater wholesale enhancement 128 374 199 701 Total £m 258 485 365 1108 Water wholesale enhancement Extending the service to cope with growth £m Enhancing the service due to legal obligations £m Enhancing the service due to customer priorities £m Total £m Metering and water efficiency 46 – 27 73 – 66 – 66 27 – 32 59 Implementing the Natural Environment Programme (NEP) – 46 – 46 Resilience – 22 70 92 33 – – 33 Security and Emergency Measures Direction (SEMD) – 21 – 21 Low pressure – – 7 7 Other – 2 7 10 106 158 143 407 Drinking water quality Reducing our leakage Total £m ANNEX 30 Enhancing the service due to customer priorities Water wholesale enhancement Planning for growth OUR PLAN Extending the Enhancing the service to cope service due to with growth legal obligations ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION Extending the Enhancing the service to cope service due to with growth legal obligations Enhancing the service due to customer priorities Total £m 276 – 276 Planning for growth 128 – – 128 Transferred assets – private sewers and pumping stations – – 110 110 First time sewerage – 71 – 71 Flooding from sewers – – 44 44 Sludge strategy – 18 – 18 Other – 6 10 16 Resilience – – 15 15 Odour management – – 12 12 Improving the environment (beyond the NEP) – – 7 7 The Security and Emergency Measures Direction (SEMD) – 3 – 3 128 374 199 701 Total £m CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN – Implementing the National Environment Programme (NEP) OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY Wastewater wholesale enhancement OUR PLAN ANNEX ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 31 In the next five years we will continue to build on this industry leading position: Our priority is to make the most of the resources we have, and since privatisation we have proved our ability to achieve this. We put the same amount of water into our network today as we did in 1989, even though the local population has increased by more than 20%. This has been achieved by: •By investing £68m to increase the number of households that have a meter fitted to 95%, and 88% of customers who pay a measured charge by 2020 and begin the transition to smart meters. We will do this without a compulsory metering programme. •Moving water around the region to where it is needed most. •By driving down leakage to 172Ml/d (15% of the •A successful metering campaign: by 2015 87% of water we put into supply) by 2020 in response to our customers’ concerns. Reducing our leakage from our current target of 211Ml/d (19% of the water we put into supply) to 172Ml/d, will cost an additional £59m. households will have a meter fitted and 79% of customers will pay a measured charge. •Reducing leakage: over the last two years we will •By increasing the number of water efficiency audits and retrofitting of water efficient devices, at a cost of £5m. •Encouraging and supporting our customers to As well as focussing on reducing demand, we will also plan for increased water resources for the longer term as noted above. become more water efficient. 2012-13 2011-12 2010-11 2009-10 2008-09 2007-08 2006-07 2005-06 2003-04 2002-03 2001-02 2000-01 1999-00 1998-99 1997-98 1996-97 1995-96 1994-95 Making the most of our resources 1993-94 CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN have reinvested £35m of capital and operating cost efficiencies to reduce our leakage to its lowest ever level. We have the lowest level of leakage of any of the larger companies in the industry1. 2004-05 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY Making the most of our water resources +30% Properties supplied +22% +20% Percentage change from 1993-94 levels OUR PLAN +10% +0% 1993-94 levels Water supplied into network -4% -10% -20% Leakage -32% ANNEX -30% -40% 1 At 189 Ml/d in 2012-13, which is equivalent to 4.97 l/d/km of main compared with the next lowest water and sewerage company at 5.31 l/d/km. 32 ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION Building resilience The severe drought in 2010-2012 highlighted a number of vulnerabilities in our supply system, particularly in the event of a third dry winter. If this had occurred, water supplies to customers in the worst affected areas could only have been maintained if alternative supplies had been available, water pressure had been reduced substantially, or rota-cuts had been introduced. We are already improving the resilience of our supply system to drought, for example, by reducing leakage and promoting water efficiency through a range of innovative evidence-based campaigns. The independent Economic Development Panel supports our view that we have a fundamental role to play in underpinning economic prosperity across the region by supporting growth and in helping to make this an attractive place to live and work. Our challenge is to invest at the right level and at the right time to ensure we can meet the demand of all domestic and business customers. However, growth has been slower than expected in recent years due to the economic downturn, so we need to match spending with actual need. To forecast demand for new connections we have referred to the Department for Communities and Local Government’s most recent sub-national property projections. We believe these to be overly optimistic, so we have adjusted the figures to reflect the impact on new connections of the current movements in the housing market, and also incorporated a forecast gradual recovery in the market by 2024-25. We have tested this approach with housing developers in our region, who agreed that our approach and forecast was appropriate. If growth recovers more quickly, then we will invest on the basis that it will be logged up1 at the next price review, in line with established practice. Growth chart 30 25 20 ‘000 But we know we need to do even more. So we are planning a new major raw water transfer from the River Trent to support our Ruthamford reservoir system. During AMP6 we will conduct detailed planning to ensure that the proposal meets the needs and aspirations of all involved. We are planning to invest £4m to start the design in AMP6. It is currently estimated that the transfer may cost £425m to deliver, after 2020. The East of England is one of the two fastest growing regions in the country and is playing a key role in the recovery of the UK economy. ? WANT TO KNOW MORE? CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN Our customer engagement showed that severe water restrictions of this sort are one of the most unwanted of all service failures. Customers are willing to pay to avoid these measures and don’t expect to experience any of them in their lifetime. Extending services to support growth in the region OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY We have an integrated strategy to build the resilience of our business and plan to invest £107m to help secure our future. This involves mitigating foreseeable risks, and building flexibility into our systems and processes to protect against unforeseen events. The total investment includes £58m to improve the interconnectivity of our water supply system, £20m to improve the resilience of our water treatment works against power shortages and disruptions, and £2m to increase the resilience of our assets against flooding. 15 10 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 0 2010 5 OUR PLAN See Strategy in focus: Resilience to drought, in ‘Outcomes in detail’. Key New Connections – AWS New Connections – Office for National Statistics ANNEX 1 This means that costs will be reflected in the RCV at 31 March 2020. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 33 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY Within our Plan we include a total expenditure of £316m to support regional growth, which includes the following: •£117m for water service new connections, housing estate mains and intra-zone transfers of water. •£59m for sewerage connections and requisitions. •£112m for additional sewage treatment works capacity to meet increased demand. •£29m to improve the existing sewerage network to avoid increased sewer flooding and combined sewer overflow events as a result of growth and new developments. OUR PLAN CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN A large part of these costs will be recovered through forecast contributions of £156m. The total expenditure required net of grants and contributions is £161m (Water £33m and Sewerage £128m). Drinking Water Quality There has been significant investment over many years to improve drinking water quality. Since privatisation we have invested £1.2bn1 to meet improved standards, achieving 99.96% compliance with drinking water standards in 2011 and 2012. Despite this, the need to address deteriorating raw water quality remains a key priority in the East of England. We are working with the Environment Agency to model the effect of decades of nitrate use on farmland that is seriously affecting the quality of the groundwater sources on which we depend. We have identified five sources at significant risk of deterioration, to the extent that, if untreated, the water may fail to meet Drinking Water Standards. The Drinking Water Inspectorate (DWI) has considered whether we need to invest to treat the water at the sources identified to remove nitrates before 2020. In two cases, the DWI does not agree that investment is needed, because while there is clear evidence of a rising trend of nitrate levels, it is not certain that the standard will be exceeded before 2020. Consequently, we have removed these two investment schemes from our Business Plan. We will be carrying out further modelling of the groundwater data and if there is new evidence we may submit this to the DWI and seek its support for investment prior to Ofwat making its final decision on the price review. ANNEX The remaining Drinking Water Quality investment included in our Plan is £43m to address raw water deterioration from nitrates, nickel and pesticides; we will continue our lead reduction strategy at a cost of £14m. The DWI has considered whether we need to invest to minimise the formation of disinfection by-products (DBPs) before 2020 and is supporting our proposed 1 2012-13 price base 22012-13 price base 34 expenditure of £5m to enhance process monitoring and control, and research to better understand DBP formation. The DWI were unable to support our proposal to increase the frequency of regeneration of granular activated carbon at surface water treatment works, but has stated that it will potentially support a pilot study to enable the benefits of more frequent regeneration to be tested. Consequently, we plan to trial more frequent regeneration at one site. We have arranged to meet with the DWI to discuss the scope for the proposed trial and anticipate securing DWI support for our revised proposal prior to the final determination. The challenge of hard water Some customers told us they dislike the hardness of their water. This is a familiar issue given that the water in our region is very hard, but to tackle it would be extremely expensive. We recognise that some customers find hard water inconvenient or unpleasant, while many others recognise it as a feature of the local area and deal with it independently, for example, with private water softeners. Consequently, we have not planned any specific investment to deal with the issue, but will continue to help and support customers with information and practical advice. Environmental improvements Since privatisation, we have invested £2.2bn2 to transform the quality of water in our environment. Our region is one of the most ecologically diverse in the UK: there are more than 750 Sites of Special Scientific Interest (18% of the total number of sites in England); internationally important wetland habitats; as well as 1,238km of coastline and many beaches which hold blue flags. The region is flat with low-flow and slowmoving rivers and is particularly susceptible to the impacts of climate change with predictions of hotter summers, wetter winters, rising sea levels and more extreme weather events. All of these mean that EU directives, such as the EU Water Framework Directive (WFD) and Urban Wastewater Treatment Directive (UWWTD), will have more impact on Anglian Water than most other water and sewerage companies. These directives are driving significant investment to improve the quality of treated wastewater discharges and reduce our abstractions. We take our legal obligations to protect and enhance the environment very seriously, but we need to make sure that any investment results in real improvements to the environment before asking customers to pay more. We have been working closely with the Environment Agency to make sure that any investment is based on robust evidence. Together, we have reduced the investment needed to meet the requirements of EU environmental directives from a potential £1.3bn to £322m. This compares to £164m in AMP5 and will add approximately £8 to average household bills by 2020. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION Catchment management – working collaboratively Integrated in our water and wastewater plans is our catchment management strategy which addresses a range of water quality issues, including the impact of pesticides and fertilisers. Our team of catchment officers continue to work at a local level to ensure best practice is understood and implemented. In addition, we will work at a regional and national level, in collaboration with the NFU, CLA, EA, landowners and others to encourage and support the adoption of sustainable practices. Embedded efficiencies Operating costs During AMP5 we have made efficiencies in operating costs of around £70m, which has been offset by increased costs arising from the introduction of private sewers, increased Environmental Charges, an increase in bad debts as a result of the recession and increases in carbon taxes. We expect that our operating costs for the five years 2010 to 2015 will be in line with the AMP5 determination. We have undertaken many sector leading initiatives that have delivered efficiencies over the last five years, including Shaping the Future, which involved a radical change in employees’ terms and conditions, a move to “single-man” working in waste water, off-shoring back-office customer contact and debt recovery work without the need for redundancies, reducing support services staff numbers and costs. Pension costs We treat pension costs, including deficit funding, like any other operating cost and a risk that has to be managed. Our Defined Benefit Pension Scheme was closed to new members in 2002. In 2011 we carried out a significant review of the benefits of our scheme to reduce costs and manage future risk. We examined every aspect of the scheme and made difficult changes which almost halved the cost of future service. These included: Catchment management solutions to deal with high nitrate levels are very expensive and given the length of time taken for nitrate to transfer into groundwater, estimated at over forty years, are ineffective in the short to medium term. For these reasons we are not proposing any significant investment in catchment management solutions to address nitrate problems. •Putting a cap on the amount by which pensionable salaries grow in any year (RPI up to 2.5%) •Reducing accrual rates •Introducing higher employee contributions (all now pay between 6–15% of pensionable pay into the Scheme) OUR PLAN Instead, we propose a pilot study in a small number of catchments that feed major reservoirs and rivers used for public water supply. This will focus on achieving the right approach for the large arable catchments prevalent in East Anglia, and will test the appetite of customers in relation to various options available to change behaviours. •Removing unreduced pensions on redundancy •Changing early retirement discount rates so they are now cost neutral for the Scheme and the Company •Reducing pension increases for those who leave •Limiting the amount of tax-free cash members can take from their AVCs. ANNEX The total cost of our integrated catchment management strategy is £8m, which includes £2m for product substitution1. Our costs include the delivered efficiencies we have made during this AMP period. We undertook extensive totex efficiency modelling that shows we are close to the frontier. We have assumed that we will have caught up with the frontier by day one of AMP6, and we will deliver further productivity improvements to push the frontier forward. CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN Another key element of our environmental quality programme, is investment of £71m to connect rural communities to the sewerage network for the first time. Our region has a large number of widely dispersed small rural communities that have never been connected to the sewerage network. Increasingly, the traditional use of septic tanks and cesspools is having a detrimental effect on the environment and we have seen no slowdown in the number of applications for connection under Section 101a of the Water Industry Act 1991, where we have a statutory duty to provide mains sewerage and treatment. Efficiency OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY We have worked with the Environment Agency within the guidelines set out in their Managing Uncertainty guidance to understand and manage the risk of further environmental obligations that may appear in Phases 4 and 5 of the National Environment Programme. These obligations will not be known until after our Business Plan has been submitted. We will work with the Environment Agency to challenge the robustness of the evidence for further investment, and where we agree investment is justified we may seek an adjustment prior to the Final Determination to cover these obligations. 1W e have not prepared a separate business case for catchment management activity, because catchment management is one of several activities that we are undertaking in order to address raw water quality issues. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 35 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN OUR PLAN We did consider closing the final salary arrangement to all future accrual, but actuarial modelling showed that under legacy Scheme Rules, closure would have been more expensive than radical benefit redesign. The savings we made helped us absorb the cost of new obligations, such as auto enrolment regulations, and pension costs for new recruits. We believe that pension costs, including deficit payments, should be treated no differently to other costs. Risks associated with a pension scheme are best managed by the company, without additional risk being placed on customers. In our Plan, we have assumed that deficit payments and future service costs will continue at the current level, and are included in our totex spend. The next triennial valuation will begin in March 2014, with any associated risk carried by the company. The company and Trustees have established a joint working group to oversee the long-term financial management strategy for the Scheme, together with faster, more efficient controls and governance processes, which enables action to reduce interest rate and inflation risk at times when it is most cost effective to do so. We believe it is appropriate to manage pension risks over a 15-year period, so that financing the Scheme is not overly onerous on a single generation of customers. This approach is consistent with Ofwat’s treatment of deficit funding as set out in Information Notice 13/17. ANNEX We have set ourselves challenging efficiency targets. To assess our current relative efficiency, we asked Nera to produce efficiency models based on the total expenditure incurred by the water and sewerage companies of England and Wales since 2000. Nera’s work concluded we were 1.9% less efficient than the frontier company on water, and 0.2% less efficient on sewerage. We have set an efficiency challenge so that we catchup with the frontier companies in the industry from day 1 of 2015-16. We have then gone further and assumed that as a frontier company we can become even more efficient. In assessing the potential for further improvements we took two steps: •We have looked at how the real cost of our activities will increase, based on independent forecasts of input price movements for the major cost components of investment and operating costs compared to Retail Price Index (RPI). The resulting Real Price Effects are largely driven by forecast rises in the cost of energy. •Then we set ourselves an additional productivity challenge of 1% per annum for operating costs and 0.7% per annum for capital investment. In total we will deliver additional efficiencies in wholesale costs of £151m over AMP6. Capital investment We estimate that the efficiencies made in delivering capital schemes in AMP5 have resulted in our investment plans for AMP6 costing £150m less than would otherwise have been the case. Our solutions reflect innovations during AMP5. For example, 90% of sewer rehabilitations are carried out using “no dig” techniques, which reduces cost and minimises traffic disruptions. Summary 5 year totals at 12-13 prices 36 Additional efficiency challenge for AMP6 Water Sewerage £m £m Total £m Catch-up efficiency 36 5 41 Frontier productivity improvements 46 65 110 Total efficiency challenge 82 70 151 Real Price Effects (above RPI at 3%) 34 43 76 Efficiency challenge net of real price effects 48 27 75 ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION Investment profile OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY The profile of investment is driven to a large extent by legal requirements, for example, National Environment Programme obligations that are required by March 2018. We welcome the opportunity to advance investment as part of a transition plan, which will allow us to smooth investment between the AMPs. Our Plan allows us to bring forward a total of £58m (funded by our shareholders) for use in projects such as meeting our obligations under the Natural Environment Programme and maintaining our IT. The transitional investment will allow us to deliver the efficiencies set out in our Plan. Impact of transition expenditure Capital Expenditure (£m) 600 500 400 300 200 2018/19 2017/18 2016/17 2015/18 2014/15 2013/14 2012/13 2011/12 2010/11 0 2019/20 100 CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN 700 Key No transition With transition OUR PLAN ANNEX ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 37 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY OUR RETAIL PLAN Operating Costs Combined Retail £m Total 2015–20 2013–14 2020 2015–20 Annual Cost In out-turn prices 84 408 77 In 2012-13 prices 68 351 75 CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN The small rise of retail costs in out-turn prices reflects the forecast increase in customer numbers, and consequently levels of bad debt, over the period. Capital Investment - Retail - £m 2015–20 In out-turn costs 35 In 2012-13 prices 31 Household customers Retail services are provided through a separate Business Unit. While we remain an integrated company and will leverage the synergies of wholesale and retail functions to promote better outcomes for customers, we will equally use the separate price control disciplines to drive greater cost efficiency and customer focus. Over AMP6, retail costs and margin will represent 9% (£35) of the average household bill. ANNEX OUR PLAN Our track record 38 Retail Services drives customer satisfaction across the business. Customer satisfaction with our service has risen progressively in recent years and in 2012-13 we were first in Ofwat’s Service Incentive Mechanism (SIM) league table. Our performance is the result of a series of strategies that started with our Strategic Direction Statement and culminated with our Love Every Drop Goal of 100% of our customers very satisfied with our service. By any standards, seeking to have all of our customers being very satisfied with our service is an ambitious challenge. Customer expectations are continually rising, driven by the economic climate and experiences of other sectors’ retail services. What is considered ‘great’ service today will be an ‘ok’ service tomorrow. To keep ahead of customer expectations we continually focus upon what customers tell us is important to them. Our Voice of the Customer survey (over 30,000 customers in 2012-13) is at the heart of our listening programme and the results are made available to team managers, enabling them to respond to customer comments and use in their coaching and performance management of their teams. Voice of the customer results are embedded in objectives and targets for managers and front-line staff alike, linking customer feedback directly to performance management. We aim to provide a great customer experience through our call centres, but we also provide customers with the choice to self-serve through effective automation. Customers are now self-serving for nearly a quarter of our billing related phone calls, providing choice, convenience and saving £2.5m in retail service costs. Costs and efficiencies Our current Average Cost to Serve, based on information previously shared by Ofwat, is below the industry average. We expect unavoidable cost pressures on retail costs over the coming five years. For example, we expect salaries and energy costs to rise. However, as part of delivering a high-quality plan, we will take on the challenge of holding costs at the 2013-14 level. Key to reducing the cost to serve is the management of bad debt. Bad debt adds about £13 to the average customer bill. Our customers have told us that they expect us to pursue debtors fairly but rigorously. In ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION Our team of process engineers are available to these customers to understand how water and wastewater services are used in their production and hence how efficiencies can be made, profiles smoothed and cost savings achieved. The Plan also allows for capital investment of £35m, predominately to maintain the Information Systems infrastructure. We have extended our leakage detection service to offer repairs when leaks are found and promote this amongst our customers. Business customers The future Through a separate sister company Anglian Water Business (National)1, we have been active in the Scottish business retail market since market opening. In 2011 we won Asda’s Supplier of the Year Award. We will build on this experience to ensure that Anglian Water Business is well placed to compete successfully when the market opens in England in 2017. Large business customers We read meters and provide SME customers with quarterly bills giving frequent visibility of consumption, and hence enabling water efficiency action to be taken. We are in the process of reviewing the structure of the business for delivering retail services, both household and business, and we will make positive changes to ensure that we are well placed to drive service and value for all of our customers in the new competitive market. We will develop a gain share proposition to encourage customers to implement water efficiency measures, so upfront costs are covered by a share of savings. We are working with the Carbon Trust to help promote the Carbon Trust Water Standard to customers. The Standard certifies organisations that measure, manage and reduce water use year on year. We have trained our staff to become assessors for customers working towards the Standard. This will provide a cost-effective solution for businesses to receive independent third-party recognition that it has not only committed to water reduction and stewardship, but has demonstrated genuine action on these. To enable our business customers to have increased control over their costs, facilitate network optimisation and ensure our charges are fair and cost reflective, our large user tariffs are structured so that part of the charge is based on the customer’s peak daily demand. We provide smart meters to these customers giving them greater visibility of usage via a secure website. ANNEX We have progressively brought more customers into this tariff structure over the last AMP, lowering the eligibility criteria to 10Ml/year. This incentivises businesses to modify and manage their water consumption profile so that it is reduces fluctuations, which reduces the impact on the supply network. OUR PLAN Anglian Water Business has a strong track record in serving our larger business customers over many years. To help small and medium enterprises (SMEs), we have partnered with WRAP (Waste & Resources Action Programme), working on the Rippleffect water efficiency programme for SMEs, which enables us to engage with a greater number of smaller businesses, providing customers with an online suite of tools for water efficiency. CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN We are looking forward to the extension of business retail competition and have been active in supporting the programme for successful market implementation. Our Chief Executive Peter Simpson is a member of the High Level Group and we are a member of the Programme Delivery Board, as well as having provided a full-time project manager to the programme from the outset. Small and medium enterprises OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY recent years we have invested in a state of the art debt management system, linked to external data and information. We benchmark our debt management practices extensively, including against international collection and debt management organisations. Experian Consulting Services, who carry out the assessment, have reported year-on-year improvements in our performance across a range of metrics and our performance is assessed by Experian as being upper quartile against international benchmarks. Ofwat set out a number of best practice metrics as part of its draft determination for the Thames Water Interim Determination application; our assessment is that we have implemented all of the measures. Despite the increasing pressure on household budgets resulting from the economic downturn, we have reduced levels of bad debt from 3% of our revenue in 2010-11, to 2.7% in 2012-13. 1 Formerly branded Osprey Water. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 39 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN OUR PLAN OUR FINANCIAL STRATEGY AND PLAN Our financial strategy and plan for AMP6 is set against a slow recovery from the most severe economic downturn, and the most uncertainty, businesses and customers have faced, compared with any previous price review. This has challenged us with a whole new dimension to our longterm business planning, as we work to achieve the right balance between investing to maintain and improve vital services and keeping bills affordable. The economic downturn, coupled with increasing pressure on the cost of living, is seeing wage levels grow more slowly than inflation. In its strategy to help stimulate recovery, the Bank of England reduced interest rates to historic low levels over the past five years. •Our cost of capital assumption is consistent with the scale of risks faced by the business. •Management action is being taken now, at shareholder cost, to protect a proportion of our debt against future rises in interest rates: this allows us to reduce our assumed cost of debt. •We are able to finance the substantial investment that will be needed to maintain and enhance services, ensuring that we retain and secure the investment grade credit rating that is required by our Licence. •Margins allowed for in our retail businesses ensure they are financeable and in line with the level of risks that these businesses face. •We have put in place a mechanism for the company to absorb some of the impact of higher-thanexpected inflation on our in-year costs, rather than placing that risk solely on customers. •It proposes an appropriate package of incentive mechanisms for achieving long-term outcomes. For example, if we reduce interruptions to supply beyond our committed target, or fail to meet the target, there will be a modest financial reward or penalty. The scale of the incentive reflects the value that customers place on a continuous and reliable water supply. As a result, the cost of capital is now significantly lower than was assumed when water prices were set four years ago. So we have been able to finance new investment at relatively low cost, but the longer-term outlook for the economy in general and the capital markets in particular remains uncertain. Market expectations are for a rise in interest rates – reflected in recent rises in forward rates – even though the Bank of England suggests a continuation of the current Bank of England monetary policy until economic conditions improve substantially. •Our assumptions on the Pay As You Go ratio and There is a significant cost of carrying cash because deposit rates are low. This is costing the company around £42m p.a. compared to £17m p.a. in the five years to 2010, despite the fact that our cash balances have been at similar levels to those in AMP5 and our debt has increased by over £1bn. This has significantly offset the benefit of lower long-term debt costs to the company throughout AMP5. •It allows us to sustain our current financial strategy, The right financial strategy and plan depreciation are reasonable given the underlying assets and expenditure assumptions, and also fairly balance recovery of costs between present and future customers. which has delivered low costs of finance, and has proved to be robust and resilient to turbulent economic and financial market conditions. •It maintains the incentives for the efficient operation and financing of the business, which are appropriate and in the long-term interest of customers. •Other than for water rates, we have not proposed ANNEX We believe this to be a fair and robust financial plan because: 40 •Our cost of capital assumption is towards the low end of the range that is suggested by credible market evidence for comparative levels of risk. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION any risk-sharing mechanisms or Notified Items, reflecting customers’ desire for bills which are both affordable and predictable. These factors include: The wholesale cost of capital is a critical driver of both customer bills and returns to investors. Our Plan assumes that the wholesale business faces a cost of capital (on a vanilla basis) of 4.29%. This compares to the PR09 determination of 5.1%. Taking account of tax, our assumption is 3.94%, compared to 4.5% now. This is a substantial reduction which is reflected in the proposed reduction in average household customer bills of around £23 (2012–13 price base). •The success the company achieves in delivering for customers and meeting the targets set for it by the regulator. •Whether investors drive the management of the business to outperform, to ensure that the business is able to absorb the challenges within the period and keep bills stable without the need to resort to interim determinations. •Whether the company is prepared, as in our case, to These cost of capital assumptions are central to our financial strategy and plan for 2015-2020. share outperformance with customers. OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY Cost of capital •Recognition that investors are attracted to investing Cost of Capital Our assumption 6.2%–8.2% 6.77% 2.55%–3.08% 2.8% 60–65% 62.5% Vanilla Cost of Capital 4.0–4.9% 4.29% Post tax Cost of Capital 3.7–4.5% 3.94% Cost of Equity Cost of Debt Gearing in infrastructure assets, underpinned by an RCV that is linked to inflation. •Whether investors have demonstrated, as in our case, a commitment to inject equity when necessary. •Whether decisions on the level of gearing reflect the risks facing the business and reduce gearing when appropriate. During AMP5 we have reduced gearing from 81.5% to 80%. We have conducted a detailed risk modelling analysis which indicates our cost of equity assumption is consistent with the range of returns that might be expected given a likely range of scenarios on future demand and cost pressures. The appropriate level of dividends for a company like ours is influenced by a range of factors, including the ownership and performance of the company. The dividend policy is also limited by ensuring that there is adequate headroom in our projections of financial covenants. In particular, we currently maintain gearing (total debt to RCV) at around 80%, which is significantly below the level of 85%, at which we can no longer pay dividends as set out in our financial covenants. In assessing any dividend payment, the independent non-executive directors are required to consider business performance forecasts and consider the potential impact of external factors in the economy, as well as the regulatory environment, on forecast cash flows. We believe that this cash-based approach provides an acceptable and fair return to the equity investors while ensuring the liquidity requirements of the business are fully met. The overall amount of ordinary dividends will not exceed the free cash flow (defined as operating cash flow less interest and capital maintenance payments) generated by the company, and in practice will be limited by the financial covenants. Special dividends may also be paid in addition to ordinary dividends, but these are limited by more stringent financial covenant constraints. This policy is consistent with Condition F of the Licence. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION ANNEX Our dividend policy Our dividend policy is to identify the residual cash available for distribution having set aside sufficient funds to meet our liquidity requirements for funding our operations, servicing the capital programme and also funding debt for 18 months. OUR PLAN Our assumptions are in the lower half of the ranges suggested by our economic advisers, Nera, based on a robust analysis of a range of credible market evidence. We consider there is a substantial risk that interest rates will rise over the medium term. Our cost-ofdebt assumption reflects the lower rates locked into debt that has been raised recently and has not been adjusted for additional future interest rate rises. In response to recent market movements, we have put in place financial instruments which will partially protect against future rises in debt raising costs, which in turn allow us to limit our cost of debt assumption in the Plan. We do not see any compelling evidence which suggests that the risks in the water and wastewater businesses vary sufficiently to warrant a different cost of capital in each. We continue to feel that the company carries a significant level of risk if interest rates rise rapidly over the period. Our approach to gearing and dividends has proved to be resilient to the impacts of the financial crisis; to RPI falling below zero; in responding to the recent drought; and in absorbing the costs of new obligations. CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN Nera range 41 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY HOW WE HAVE APPLIED OUR DIVIDEND POLICY DURING AMP5 •A logging-up adjustment to RCV that was made at PR09. This additional investment, to reflect capital output inflation in AMP4 and to deliver additional investment to meet growth in the region, was funded primarily by lower dividends in AMP4 and this was rebalanced in 2010-11. CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN •A relatively high level of gearing. The overall business risk is the same as for a company with gearing at Ofwat’s assumed level of 57.5% but the thinner slice of equity is taking a higher proportionate risk. At PR09, Ofwat assumed a real cost of equity of 7.1%; this is equivalent to 11% at 80% gearing without impacting on customer bills. That is, there is a greater concentration of risk for the equity holders. For a top-performing company the incentive-based regulatory reward for outperformance will be proportionately higher. Meanwhile a bottom-quartile-performing company may have no or very little equity dividends in the regulatory period. •Leading performance. At PR09, Ofwat assessed Anglian Water as being a frontier performer on capital investment costs and the Capital Incentive Scheme baseline was increased by £183m (200708 price base). This capital efficiency incentive, together with additional outperformance in AMP5, has been reflected in additional dividends. Poor performance would very quickly result in dividend lock-up. •The combined effect of higher inflation and OUR PLAN maintaining gearing at around 80% of RCV. RPI was higher over the first two years of AMP5. This Dividend chart Key 300 Impact of capex outperformance net of drought expenditure 250 200 Impact of higher RPI net of degearing 150 100 Impact of AMP4 logging 2012–13 2011–12 2010–11 50 ANNEX was used partially to degear the business with an element distributed in 2011–12. A fundamental tenet of the regulatory regime is that real returns are earned on an asset base that is indexed by RPI. The level of dividend in Anglian Water in AMP5 is a combination of: ormal equity N returns from both appointed and non-appointed businesses Shareholder commitment The ultimate shareholders of Anglian Water are committed to a long-term investment in the company. The dividend policy is flexible and based on residual cash availability. This is clearly sustainable when balanced and supported by a consistent approach and long-term commitment from our shareholders. For example: •Equity injections may be required to fund additional investment or where inflation has fallen below expected levels. In 2009, when RPI fell rapidly below zero, shareholders injected £115m of equity, until it had recovered to a more normal position. Sharing outperformance with customers. Higher gearing reduced average household bills by £6 p.a. A result of our higher level of gearing is that we pay more interest and, as a result, less tax. All of the benefit of paying less tax is passed to customers and the average bill is £6 p.a. lower than for a company with an average level of gearing. £220m efficiencies. The CIS mechanism will result in 70% of the benefit, around £150m of efficiencies, being passed back to customers through lower bills. This is reflected in our Plan and the proposed fall in average bills of 1.8% p.a. below inflation. £205m additional expenditure on customer priorities. During AMP5, we recognised that it was important to do more. In total, we have committed to £185m of additional investment and £20m of additional operating costs for the benefit of customers. The expenditure included, for example, £43m to protect our customers from the impact of drought and £30m to keep leakage at an all-time low. £50m of additional costs absorbed. Operating cost efficiencies achieved during AMP5 mean that we have been able to absorb additional unfunded costs of some £50m associated with the adoption of private sewers and bad debt. And this is without the need to pass that expenditure back to customers through the interim price review process. This graph shows the breakdown of dividends between the impact of being highly geared, logging up and outperformance and RPI. 42 ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION Risks sharing and incentives Our cost-recovery assumptions enable us to balance financeability of the Plan with affordability for customers now and in the future. We have put together an innovative and comprehensive package of incentive and sharing measures. The top tier risks associated with this Plan are: •Delivering the challenging efficiency targets we Wholesale Cost Recovery PAYG Rate Run Off of 2015 RCV Depreciation of New RCV Water Sewerage 56% 52% 3.95% 3.85% 25.6 years 26.3 years have set for ourselves in the Plan. In particular holding the costs of the retail business at the same level as 2013-14 will be an enormous challenge. •Additional costs pressures over and above those allowed for in the Plan, including: OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY Recovery of costs for Wholesale – Bad debt cost increases. – Energy cost increases. The rates at which we depreciate new and existing RCV are set to be broadly consistent with the existing rate at which RCV is remunerated in the current regime. We seek to maintain a broadly flat profile of depreciation over time given reasonable assumptions about expenditure in future regulatory periods. We also ensure that there is sufficient depreciation in the current period to allow for the risk of additional spending on capital maintenance should the need arise. – Increases in rate costs, particularly water rates as a result of the 2017 rating revaluation. –P ension costs, as volatility in equity returns and gilt rates continues. – Interest rate rises. •New environmental obligations emerging, in particular as a result of the Water Framework Directive phases 4 and 5. •The increasing impacts of climate change and severe weather events. We recognise that customers are reluctant to take on any extra risk, but are keen to share in benefits. Our approach overall has been to acknowledge the genuine imbalance that exists between the company and customer in terms of the ability to carry risk. Retail businesses Our business plans for the retail businesses reflect the planned introduction of competition in the market and are based on the principle that each should be able to stand alone and be financeable. CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN We have set the PAYG ratio at its “natural” rate – that is one which reflects the actual balance of spend between operating and capital expenditure in our plans. One exception to this relates to water rates. At previous rating revaluations there have been very large step increases in rates on the water side of business, which are not within our control. In fact, we regard this as a specific and increasingly unfair tax on the water industry and our customers. We assume an operating margin of 1.9% in the Household Retail business, which ensures that a substantial working capital requirement (arising from differences in customer and wholesale payment terms) is met and allows for a return commensurate with the risks faced. In previous price determinations, five-yearly rates revaluations around the time of the Final Determination have allowed for a precise reflection of rates costs in the price control. This time the revaluation has been delayed until 2017, which adds a further element of uncertainty. Based on advice received from our Rating Advisors, the best estimate is that rates payable in the three years 2017-18 to 2019-20 will increase by c£42m1. We have not included this estimate in our forecasts because it is not certain and we will vigorously challenge an increase on this scale. However, the scale is such that it is not a cost we can absorb if it materialises and it is not within our ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION ANNEX 1W e have received the following advice from Savills, our Rating Advisors. The accounting changes introduced as part of PR14 will, most likely, result in the VOA not having some of the data it needs for the methodology it has previously used to determine a water cumulo rates value. Anglian Water has appealed the 2005 water cumulo rates valuation and in the VOA’s evidence they place heavy reliance on the relationship between the Regulatory Capital Value (RCV) and Rateable Value (RV). Within the evidence, the VOA has produced a check valuation of 4.84.9% of RCV. Applying this percentage to our forecast RCV for the water price control indicates an RV from 2017 of c£148m, compared with the current RV of £88.8m. Assuming no change in the rate poundage and previous transition relief arrangements apply, the increase in water cumulo rates payable would be £42m (2012-13 price base) in total for the three years 2017-18 to 2019-20. OUR PLAN In constructing default tariffs for the Non Household Business, we assume an overall net operating margin of 5.3% based on a gross margin of 8.3%. These levels are consistent with margins in retail businesses in competitive markets, including the water business retail market in Scotland, and ensure that the retail business can make a profit. We do not allow for any loss of market share in the plan. We have allocated margin across our tariff bands so as to ensure that each customer segment is profitable on the basis of ensuring that margin per customer is equivalent in each class. 43 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN control to manage. We are, therefore, proposing that the revenue requirement for 2017–18 to 2019–20 should be adjusted for any significant increase, or decrease, in water rates based on this revaluation. We restrict this to water rates as these are calculated in a way that is unique to the industry, whereas the sewerage business faces a similar risk to other businesses in the economy. We are also proposing to share with customers a potential £20m positive outcome from the current water rates appeal, which relates to a period before 2010. The key elements of the risks and incentives package include: A totex sharing ratio of 50:50 This means that each £ of outperformance, or underperformance, is shared equally between company and customer. This ratio for risk sharing is weighted substantially more in favour of the customer than in the current regulatory regime. Whilst our Plan includes a substantial efficiency challenge, we expect over the course of AMP6 to find ways to save costs, while delivering better outcomes. We have been challenged by the Customer Engagement Forum to push the rate slightly more in favour of customers (51:49). We believe that this would be seen as window-dressing and we do not believe it is appropriate to go further. The 50:50 split maintains the right balance between incentives on us to encourage outperformance and the expectation by customers that we will outperform and that there will therefore be benefit to share. The challenging nature of the efficiency assumptions in the Plan means outperformance will not be easy, and we do not believe it would be appropriate to allow customers to bear any more of this risk. ANNEX OUR PLAN Risk mitigation mechanisms Our approach has been to eliminate explicit risk mitigation mechanisms as far as possible. Generally we are content with the protections provided in Condition B of our Licence. In particular, the Relevant Change of Circumstance provisions provide protection against new environmental obligations. We considered a number of possible Notified Items but rejected them on the basis that the company is best placed to manage risk. In fact, we have demonstrated over many years that we do have the capacity to absorb risk. Of the key risks associated with delivery of this Plan, we will take on the risk of reducing bad debt from current levels (a reduction is required in real terms to hold retail costs at the 2013-14 level); any volatility in pension costs and interest rate costs; as well as the in period impacts of severe weather events. For the same reason, after careful consideration, we have rejected the notion of a mechanism to pass through further potential increases in power beyond the assumption that underpins our assessment of future efficiency, despite the uncertainty around the extent of the upward trend of energy prices over the period. We believe we are well-equipped to manage power price risk and have already been able to hedge around 40% of the wholesale element of our estimated AMP6 power requirements. Inflation We recognise that when inflation outturns at a higher rate than was assumed at a determination, this can be a benefit to companies, and this may be perceived to be unfair or unwarranted. However, we believe that the link to inflation is a fundamental feature of the regulatory regime in water (and other sectors), and is a key driver of the relatively low costs of capital from which customers benefit. Conversely, if inflation outturns significantly lower, this can adversely impact the company’s financial position. We have included in our Plan an innovative sharing mechanism which restricts the impact of higher than expected RPI inflation on customer bills, whilst retaining the essential link to RCV. Subject to Ofwat accepting our Plan in the round, we will absorb half of any increase in RPI between 3% and 4.5%. If Ofwat make material changes to any element of the Plan, then we may not have the capacity to take on the additional risk associated with our proposed RPI sharing mechanism. For out-turn rates of inflation which are above our Plan assumption of 3%, but below 4.5%, we will only apply to bills 50% of the difference between out-turn and 3% in the period. For example, if RPI out-turns at 4% in the November before the charging year, the bill increase applied to the wholesale element of bills for inflation will only be 3.5%. RCV would still be adjusted by 4% in this example. At rates above 4.5% there will be no automatic sharing, but the impact of higher inflation on costs will be reviewed to determine the appropriate course of action and we would expect to explain to customers and stakeholders the impact on our business. At rates below 3%, bills will be adjusted by the lower rate of inflation and the company would bear the consequences of this. We do not consider that it is appropriate to adjust for the impact of RPI on RCV. This is consistent with Ofwat’s approach to RCV in its recent consultation on Thames Water’s price limits for 2014-151. Outcome Delivery Incentives We have designed a package of outcome delivery incentives in line with the diagram on pages 46 and 47. These consist of a package of non-financial and financial incentives. Financial incentive rates have been based on the detailed analysis of marginal benefits and marginal costs to ensure that the levels of performance over which the incentive operates, and the incentive 1 Informal consultation on a possible notice to determine Thames Water’s price limits for 2014-15, October 2013, page 13 44 ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION Tax We have calculated the projected taxation in the AMP for the wholesale business will be £26m in Water and £35m in Wastewater. Our calculations assume that the corporation tax rate will remain at the announced rate for 2015–16 of 20% throughout the AMP and are based on our actual gearing level of 80%. We have also prepared our calculations on the basis that Anglian Water Services should be treated as a stand-alone company. In addition to our outcome performance measures, we remain subject to a wide range of specific obligations. For example, the Environment Agency and the Drinking Water Inspectorate will continue to report on a suite of performance measures relating to existing obligations. We will also produce annual progress reports, and this will enable customers and other stakeholders to hold us accountable for the delivery of our Plan. We will report on progress against the outcome performance measures, and explain where we have made a variation from our Plan. Financeability ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION ANNEX We believe that our Plan is financeable at a whole business level. We have tested the Plan against interestcover ratios and asset-based ratios at test levels which are consistent with maintaining an investment-grade credit rating for a business with gearing at 62.5%. Based on the notional plan at 62.5% gearing, the resulting ratios are broadly in line with test levels although there are small breaches in individual years. However, when we overlay this into our own actual financial structure, we meet our covenant requirements and we therefore judge this to be acceptable. OUR PLAN We believe that this combination of targeted and incentivised outcome performance measures, transparency about our progress and variations in our Plan, provides adequate protection for customers whilst allowing for flexibility and innovation in how the Plan is delivered. CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN The largest predefined incentive to deliver outcomes is associated with delivering stable serviceability, which, as in the existing regime, puts up to 50% of maintenance investment in any category at risk. Other incentive measures, including the outcome delivery incentives that we propose, provide a maximum potential penalty of £25m p.a. for five years in AMP7. Of this £10m is from Ofwat’s Service Incentive Mechanism (SIM) adjustment. The maximum reward available is £6m, of which £5m is from Ofwat’s SIM. These represent an additional 0.1% p.a. revenue, but an additional -1.5% p.a. revenue as a downside over and above the performance incentives currently in place. We have also used our risk modelling to generate distributions for the key interest cover ratios based on reasonable assumptions about the range of outturns on a number of key cost drivers. We have looked at the range of outturn ratios against the threshold ratios consistent with progressively lower target credit ratings. This has allowed us to take a robust quantitative approach to downside risk. The results of this analysis demonstrate that there is an acceptably low risk of ratios materially breaching test levels which are consistent with the lowest investment-grade credit rating. However, the modelled distribution of ratios is skewed to the downside, reflecting the relatively high level of risks being taken by the company within this Plan. OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY rates themselves, are supported by economic analysis based on the costs and benefits of our Plan. The setting of financial incentives at this level of detail is a new approach and there has been some concern expressed by the Customer Engagement Forum that customers may not be willing to see increases in bills in the future as a consequence of us achieving more than is committed to in the Plan. We have therefore been cautious in designing our incentive package at this price review. We have not generally applied high incentive rates and have only proposed a small number of incentives which involve rewards and penalties. 45 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY MEASURES AND INCENTIVES £ Ofwat Totex assessments Network plus incentive Network management incentive A+ Ofwat Key Performance Indicators A+ Key Ex-post judgement (others are ex-ante/mechanistic) £ A+ £ Discretionary sharing (RPI impacts on costs) Publication of discretionary sharing of benefits Financial incentive Reputational incentive 2020+ Future measure FAIR PROFITS CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN Existing incentive Proposed outcome incentive £ 2020+ £ ANNEX OUR PLAN A+ Provide the services our customers expect over the long term through responsible asset stewardship A more radical change of measures to make an assessment of ‘asset stewardship’ to be developed Working responsibly with and for your community Failure demand Recreation revenues Traffic Management Act charges Service Incentive Mechanism (SIM) Abatement notices A+ A+ Cost saving from carbon reduction OUT FOR CUS AND ENVIR CARING FOR COMMUNITIES Service Incentive Mechanism (SIM) A+ Survey of community perception A+ Operation carbon (reduction from baseline in real terms) Leading by example on reducing emissions and conserving the world’s natural resources A SMALLER FOOTPRINT Embodied carbon (reduction from baseline) Enforcement/ prosecution by EA and other regulators EA and other regulators’ publications, scrutiny, measures and enforcement 2020+ (reduction from baseline) EA and other regulators have sufficient powers to ensure we meet our obligations Meeting our obligations may not deliver outcomes customers want (if our actions are not the only problem for example) £ A+ ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION Abstraction Incentive Mechanism (AIM) % bathing waters attaining excellent status % of SSSIs (by area) with ‘favourable’ status A flourishing environment, for nature and for everyone FLOURISHING ENVIRONMENT Water footprint Ofwat Key Performance Indicators Ofwat Key Performance Indicators 46 INVESTING FOR TOMORROW An evolution of Ofwat’s serviceability assessment, using a basket of service/asset measures, with performance assessed within ‘tramlines’ £ £ A financially responsible, efficient business earning fair profits Properties at risk of low pressure Properties flooded internally (average 3 years) Properties flooded externally (average 3 years) A+ UK Customer Service Institute comparison Qualitative SIM score (customer satisfaction) % of sewerage capacity schemes using sustainable solutions for example, Sustainable Urban Drainage Systems 2020+ A+ Risk-based flooding measure (based on UKWIR recommendations) A+ Survey of customer perception of: •h ow affordable our charges are •h ow fair our charges are • t o what degree our charges represent value for money Guaranteed Standards Scheme (GSS) Failure costs/compensation Service Incentive Mechanism (SIM) Ofwat KPIs Consumer Council for Water £ A+ We just do this Drinking water quality is our highest priority and we work effectively with our regulators and stakeholders in order to maintain it FAIR CHARGES Bills balance fairness, affordability and value for money Performance in this area is central to our ethos, and is also adequately incentivised by Drinking Water Inspectorate through publication, scrutiny and enforcement We therefore do not feel that any additional incentive is required COMES TOMERS THE ONMENT Drinking water is safe, clean and acceptable SAFE CLEAN WATER A+ Our services cope with the effect of disruptive events, in particular increasingly severe weather events. We plan ahead for the impacts of our changing climate RESILIENT SERVICES SUPPLY MEETS DEMAND 2020+ £ A+ Water trading incentive Ofwat Key Performance Indicators Leakage (average 3 years) Per property consumption (PPC) A+ Security of Supply Index (SOSI) 2020+ Sewerage capacity measure Leakage – annual target £ A+ A+ Drinking Water Inspectorate publications, scrutiny, measurement and enforcement Security and Emergency Measures Direction (SEMD) audit Civil Contingencies Act (CCA) Independent assessment of the risks to our assets Ofwat’s cost assessment (Totex) incentives encourage us to deliver solutions as efficiently as possible. In addition, we have developed targeted measures of success and corresponding incentives which we believe will help to ensure that we achieve the right outcomes for our customers and stakeholders. We have been mindful of existing incentives, and are only proposing limited additional incentives, where they will encourage us to do more of the right things in the future. We have balanced a few financial incentives, where appropriate, with reputational incentives. Good reputational incentives can often be more effective than financial incentives for us, as we place a high value on our reputation as a leading water company. We will continue to review these measures and incentives to ensure there are no unintended consequences. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION ANNEX £ Frequency of level of service restrictions (hosepipe bans) Independent assurance that we are abiding by our climate change our strategy Consumer Council for Water OUR PLAN Manage and meet the growth in demand for sustainable and reliable water and wastewater services £ % of population supplied by single supply system Bad debt costs CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN SATISFIED CUSTOMERS Ensuring that you are very satisfied with your service £ Service Incentive Mechanism (SIM) OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY £ Water supply interruptions (seconds per total property served) (average 3 years) 47 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY IN SUMMARY: THE FOUR PRICE CONTROLS AT A GLANCE Wholesale Water Price Control £m Key assumptions Fast money 1022 Pay As You Go ratio: 55.6% Depreciation 545 Allocation of 2015 RCV: 38% Revenue Requirement 2015 RCV Run Off Rate: 3.95% Depreciation of New RCV over: 25.6 years Return 574 Cost of capital – post tax: 3.94% CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN Cost of capital – vanilla: 4.29% AMP5 true ups 15 SIM Incentive: 0.3% of revenues Tax 26 Corporation tax rate: 20% Actual gearing:80% Total 2182 Expenditure Maintaining the service 1433 Efficiency improvement: £82m Enhancing the service 407 Real Price Effects: £34m Total 1840 Base Operating Cost Adjustment: £5m (market costs) Opening 2571 Reduction for past out-performance & true-ups: £132m Closing 2711 Growth attributable to AMP6: 11% -0.4% RPI inflation: 3%. Bill impact of higher inflation restricted up to 4.5% Regulatory Capital Value Bills and Risk Average K factor OUR PLAN Adjustment for water cumulo rates revaluation from 2018–19 Household Retail Price Control £m Key assumptions Revenue Requirement Wholesale costs 4093 Operating costs and depreciation 336 No increases in 2013–14 costs per customer after inflation Efficiencies of c£37m over the AMP 2013–14 costs to serve below industry average Margin 79 Net margin (EBIT/Revenue): 1.9% ANNEX Residual margin after allowing for working capital: 0.9% Total Bills Average annual change in household bills 48 4508 -1.8% ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION £m Key assumptions Fast money 1317 Pay As You Go ratio: 52.2% Depreciation 843 Allocation of 2015 RCV: 62% Revenue Requirement OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY Wholesale Sewerage Price Control 2015 RCV Run Off Rate: 3.85% Depreciation of new RCV over: 26.3 years Return 913 Cost of capital – post tax: 3.94% Cost of capital – vanilla: 4.29% -29 SIM Incentive: 0.3% of revenues Tax 35 Corporation tax rate: 20% Actual gearing: 80% Total 3079 Expenditure Maintaining the service 1824 Efficiency improvement: £70m Enhancing the service 701 Real Price Effects: £43m Total 2525 Base Operating Cost Adjustment: £23m (market costs & private pumping station adoption) Opening 4178 Reduction for past out-performance & true-ups: £197m Closing 4345 Growth attributable to AMP6: 8% Average K factor -1.2% RPI inflation: 3%. Bill impact of higher inflation restricted up to 4.5% Non-Household Retail Price Control £m Key assumptions Regulatory Capital Value CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN AMP5 true ups Bills and risk Wholesale Costs 1169 Gross Margin 105 OUR PLAN Revenue Requirement No increases in 2013–14 costs per customer after inflation Efficiencies of c£5m over the AMP Gross margin as a % of Revenue: 8.3% Net margin (EBIT/Revenue): 5.3% Residual margin after allowing for working capital: 4.8% ANNEX Total 1274 Default Tariffs Implied price per m3 of water -0.5% ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 49 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN BOARD STATEMENT We, the Board of Anglian Water, are pleased to submit our Business Plan for 2015 to 2020. Our Plan has been developed following the Company’s biggest ever consultation with customers and others with an interest in the services that Anglian Water provides. We believe that it strikes the best possible balance of priorities, while delivering high-quality customer service and keeping bills affordable. Over the next period, we will spend a total of £4,647m to look after customers’ water supply, protect the environment and prepare the region for future challenges such as population growth and climate change. This is achieved while holding increases in the average household bills to 1.8% p.a. below inflation. The Board has been engaged extensively in the development of the Business Plan, starting with a meeting in November 2011. Over 50% of Board meeting time over the last two years has been dedicated to the development, review and challenge of the Plan. In May 2013 the Board established a set of principles for developing the Business Plan alongside Ofwat’s criteria for a high-quality plan: •Engagement with customers is important and our Plan should reflect their views and priorities; •The Plan should seek to balance the needs of customers today in a time of austerity with the need for a sustainable future; and •The Board will take ownership of the Plan – not ANNEX OUR PLAN ‘gaming’ and not leaving it to Ofwat to moderate and make trade-offs. 50 To challenge the Board in its thinking we engaged with external experts and commentators. Sir Ian Byatt, former Director General of Ofwat and Chairman of the Water Industry Commission for Scotland attended a Board meeting in April 2013; Dr Bill Emery, Chairman of the Northern Ireland Authority for Utility Regulation, former Chief Executive of the Office of Rail Regulation and former Chief Engineer and Director of Ofwat, has also challenged us on the development of our Plan. Throughout, we have reflected on the views of customers and the challenges made by the Customer Engagement Forum. All of the challenges made have resulted in a plan that has changed significantly between the draft plan that we published in the summer and this final Plan. In many cases, the discussions have not been easy as we have sought to achieve the right balance between keeping bills as low as possible; recognising affordability constraints; investing to provide the necessary infrastructure in one of the fastest-growing regions of the country; meeting the requirements of the National Environment Programme and other statutory obligations; investing for resilience in a region which is one of the most affected by the impacts of climate change; and all balanced against the need to earn sufficient returns to deliver sustainable investment over the long term. The Board is confident that Anglian Water’s Business Plan satisfies each of the requirements for a high-quality plan set out in Ofwat’s Methodology because it: •Is designed to deliver good outcomes for current and future customers and the environment. •Is based on good-quality engagement with customers and consumers, and the results of this engagement are reflected in proposed outcome commitments, and the Plan more generally. The Company has conducted an extensive engagement programme to ensure customers are at the heart of our business planning. Working closely with customers, the Customer Engagement Forum and Independent Advisory Panels, we have agreed ten outcomes that will deliver priorities for our customers, the environment, local communities and the economy. We have also agreed the measures and incentives by which our progress in achieving these outcomes will be monitored. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION •Will ensure that the company meets its statutory •Is both financeable and affordable. The Plan is financeable taking the balance of returns and capital charges. Our Plan will enable us to deliver all our statutory obligations. The Environment Agency and Drinking Water Inspectorate have included statements confirming this to be the case in the Customer Engagement Forum Report. •Is cost efficient, containing accurate projections and estimates. We are confident that costs are efficient. Our assurers, Halcrow Management Sciences, on behalf of the Board and the Customer Engagement Forum have specifically reviewed the basis of costs used in the Plan and confirm that efficiencies delivered in AMP5 have been reflected in the Plan. We engaged Nera to assess our total expenditure efficiency and we have included additional efficiency challenges aimed to deliver frontier efficiency from day one of the new AMP period and then to deliver further efficiencies beyond that. As part of the Board’s challenge to deliver an enhanced Plan, we will absorb cost pressures on the retail business. reward between customers, investors, and other stakeholders, with efficient proposals to share ‘pain and gain’ with customers. Average household bills will rise by 1.8% p.a. less than RPI (assuming RPI of 3% p.a.). As noted above, if RPI is higher than 3% we will absorb half of the additional RPI up to 4.5%. Vulnerable customers will receive additional help. The narrative sets out the bills in the context of current and forecast earnings and growth in the economy. We expect bills as a proportion of disposable household income by 2020 to revert to the same level as ten years ago. •Has a coherent narrative based on sound reasoning and contains proportionate evidence. Our Business Plan Summary sets out the key features of our Plan and explains how we have put customers at the heart of our decision making. This summary is supported by ‘Outcomes in detail’, together with a narrative and supporting business cases, as well as the Ofwat tables and commentaries. •Does not seek to game the regulatory process in any way. The Board has challenged management to ensure that the key elements of the Plan are supported by robust business cases which have been challenged further as part of the assurance process described below. OUR PLAN •Proposes a reasonable balance of risk and We are proposing only one risk-sharing mechanism beyond the standard Relevant Changes of Circumstance in Condition B of the Licence, to reflect the risk of a step change in water rating valuation. The Board tested the need for this risk mechanism a number of times but, on balance, believes that the uncertainty is such that we cannot provide an accurate forecast in our Plan or effectively manage the risk. CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN obligations and enables the relevant regulators to confirm this in the customer challenge group report. The balance of risk and reward and the sharing of pain and gain have been the areas that have received the most challenge by the Board. We believe that the package of sharing included in this Plan achieves the right balance. The innovative RPI sharing mechanism means that if RPI increases beyond our 3% p.a. assumption then we will absorb half of any additional increase up to 4.5%. We will need to review the impact on our business and consider whether we can absorb a further proportion of inflation beyond 4.5%. OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY The draft plan and outcomes were tested with customers in July this year and over 90% of customers thought it was acceptable. The main reason that a minority of customers found our proposed Plan to be unacceptable was the level of the bill. The Board challenged management to keep bill increases affordable whilst ensuring that the Plan remained financeable and capable of delivering the 25-year strategy set out in our Strategic Direction Statement. The Board was anxious that reductions in bills were not achieved just by deferring spend in key areas – such as resilience – to be funded by future customers. Reductions were achieved through efficiency challenges, reducing expected returns and working with quality regulators to ensure that investment would deliver real benefits. ANNEX ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 51 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY We have worked collaboratively with other companies on elements such as Water Resource Management Plans to the benefit of our customers, but our Plan has been built independently of other companies and competitors. An extensive assurance framework has been in place throughout the development of our Plan. The Board has sought external assurance, from Halcrow Management Sciences and PriceWaterhouseCoopers, on every process, assumption, data and information which has been input into our Plan. The Board continually keeps its governance processes under review. In September 2013, Ofwat published its consultation on board, leadership, transparency and governance. We are supportive of the principles that Ofwat has outlined. We expect to publish our governance code by the end of 2013. We are working on the structural issues that, once addressed, will enable us to comply fully with this code by April 2015 (which is Ofwat’s deadline for full compliance). The Board therefore commends the Plan to Ofwat and confirms its willingness to support management to deliver it over the course of AMP 6. Signed by the Chairman on behalf of the Board ANNEX OUR PLAN CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN •Comes with a high level of assurance. 52 ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION The key challenges from the Customer Engagement Forum and how we have addressed them are described below: continue to make sure that customers are on the most appropriate tariff for their individual circumstances. We will also increase our annual contribution to the Anglian Water Assistance Fund from £750,000 to £1m. Challenge: Keep flat bills after inflation Challenge: Develop mechanisms to further share the benefits of financial success between customers and shareholders We have looked at whether there are any better ways to make sure any negative impacts or positive benefits are fairly shared between customers and our investors. In general, we believe that the current regulatory system represents a fair balance of risk and reward. However, we will do more to share the risk of inflation with our customers and, if our Plan is accepted in the round by Ofwat, then we will absorb half of any increase in RPI between 3.0% and 4.5%. If RPI rises above 4.5%, we would need to review the impact on our business and whether we can absorb a further proportion of this higher inflation. Challenge: Ensure that Hartlepool Water customers are fairly represented A dedicated Discover, Discuss, Decide page was set up on the Hartlepool Water website with a factsheet to introduce the consultation, to explain how it impacted on Hartlepool Water customers and how they could get involved and take part. During the consultation, two customer engagement roadshows and two future customer events were held in Hartlepool to ensure Hartlepool Water customers were fully represented, and the consultation was promoted through the local media. Hartlepool Water customers were also included in willingness-to-pay studies and the acceptability research. Challenge: Ensure the costs of the Natural Environment Programme are proportionate We take our legal obligations to protect and enhance the environment very seriously, but we need to make sure that any investment results in real improvements to the environment before asking customers to pay more. We have been working closely with the Environment Agency to make sure that any investment is based on robust evidence. Together we have reduced the investment needed to meet the requirements of EU environmental directives from a potential £1.3bn to £322m. This compares to £164m in AMP5 and will add approximately £8 to average household bills by 2020. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION ANNEX We are also proposing to introduce a new social tariff from 1 April 2015. Eligibility for the new tariff will be based on independent financial assessment by a thirdparty advisory agency, such as the Citizens Advice Bureau. This will ensure that we reach those most vulnerable and in need of help and support. We are in preliminary discussions with the Citizens Advice Bureau about the process for carrying out assessments and we will be carrying out further customer consultation on this proposal, as required by legislation, over the next few months. We will continue to offer our AquaCare Plus tariff and the national WaterSure tariff, and we will We work with the Housebuilders Federation and will support and encourage all developers to build waterefficient homes by abolishing infrastructure charges for homes that achieve consumption of 80 litres per person per day (equivalent to levels five and six in the Government’s Code for Sustainable Homes). OUR PLAN Challenge: Extend support to the most vulnerable customers through a social tariff Challenge: Find new ways to incentivise developers to build water efficient homes CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN We have worked hard to meet this challenge and to find efficiencies and smarter ways of working. Our Plan assumes that the Retail Price Index (RPI) will increase by 3.0% p.a. in the period 2015 to 2020. At that level, average bills will reduce in real terms by 1.8% p.a. and average bills will rise by 1.2% after inflation. In addition, subject to Ofwat accepting our Plan in the round, we will absorb half of any increase in RPI between 3.0% and 4.5%. If RPI rises above 4.5%, we would need to review the impact on our business and whether we can absorb a further proportion of this higher inflation. OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY ANNEX 1: KEY CHALLENGES FROM THE INDEPENDENT CUSTOMER ENGAGEMENT FORUM 53 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN OUR PLAN ANNEX 2: MANAGING FUTURE UNCERTAINTY Planning for the long term is absolutely key to us achieving the right balance between anticipating future challenges, investing in the right things at the right time, and managing inevitable uncertainties. In addition, we need to secure customer confidence in our ability to deliver a high-quality and reliable service for them in the short as well as the long term, while keeping bills affordable. Our Strategic Direction Statement (SDS), published in 2007, looked ahead 25 years and assessed the challenges we face. Chief among which is tackling the impacts of climate change in this particularly vulnerable region, with the East of England being one of the two fastest-growing regions in the UK. While specific plans and provisions were made in our long-term planning, we had to remain flexible to changing circumstances. For example, economic assessments in our SDS on the pace of growth were made years before the impacts of recession hit the UK. And on climate change, the scale and scope of its impact appear less certain than when our SDS was published, which at the time anticipated more immediate consequences. Our role in underpinning a thriving economy, in securing a healthy environment, and in helping communities have a more sustainable future, depends on our ability to plan ahead. Which is why our collaborations with a broad range of stakeholders and customers are all vital to planning for long-term water security and to securing our asset base so we can maintain services. Recently, we have taken the opportunity to go even further in our long-term planning by introducing an innovative scenario-based approach to look ahead to 2050. We used this approach to help better inform the development of our business strategy. ANNEX In due course we will publish more information about the scenarios project, together with a more detailed analysis of what we have learned from it. 54 ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION THE 2050s SCENARIOS PROJECT To ensure that our strategy is resilient to future uncertainty, we have used an innovative scenarioplanning approach to develop and test our longterm strategy. Drawing on experience and expertise from all parts of the business, our Board and senior management team has been closely involved throughout. Unlike conventional forecasting, scenario planning develops multiple alternative futures. This puts the focus on what might happen, as opposed to what should happen, or what we would like to happen. The purpose is much less about predicting the future, more about achieving a better understanding of the range of uncertainties by examining what may happen if trends and events unfold differently. We developed four alternative future scenarios. These were designed to provide extreme but plausible alternative futures and show how in 2050 the water industry could look very different from today, and what society might expects from it. The diagram opposite highlights four scenarios, and the key features of each in a ‘future world’. At a high level, each scenario is defined by the extent to which natural and economic resources are constrained and by the extent to which society becomes more or less collaborative at national or local level. By testing different strategic options against each scenario, we selected strategies that perform well in a variety of futures. For example, strategies such as reducing our dependence upon finite resources, and working with our customers to increase water efficiency, performed particularly well in all the scenarios. The project also highlighted the importance of collaboration and working with other sectors to increase resilience and plan infrastructure. Our four alternative future scenarios OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN ROBUST DECISION MAKING Testing investment options in this way will also allow us to select those that perform well in a range of different scenarios and avoid, for example, the risk of investing in under-utilised or stranded assets. This will allow us to manage any uncertainty more successfully because it can test the performance of supply side and demand management options over hundreds of possible scenarios. OUR PLAN Robust Decision Making (RDM) is an innovative scenario-based approach to long-term water and wastewater planning. We are developing this through the Water Resources East Anglia project in partnership with other water companies in the Anglian region, the Environment Agency and others. ANNEX ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 55 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY We are proud of our track record of past performance: We have delivered the outputs we set ourselves in our PR09 Business Plan In Part A of our 2009 Plan we set out what we planned to deliver for customers over the period 2010-15. We can confirm that we have met those commitments in all material aspects, unless factors outside of our control have intervened (for example, where we have postponed investment in response to the recession in the housing market). Our delivery against our 2009 commitments is set out in our Business Plan narrative. We have achieved good (‘green’) performance against most of Ofwat’s Key Performance Indicators Our performance on sewerage infrastructure serviceability has been disappointing, but thanks to the actions we have taken, we are confident of returning to stable in 2013-14. Our only other ‘ambers’ have been on environmental performance where, in common with most other companies, we have struggled to attain the challenging standards set by the Environment Agency. Achieving ‘greens’ in these measures remains a target. We have maintained high levels of customer satisfaction The Consumer Council for Water’s latest annual household tracking survey for 2012-13 showed that 92% of our customers were satisfied with their water supply and 90% were satisfied with their sewerage service1. The corresponding figures for the industry as a whole were 90% and 85%. Ofwat’s Service Incentive Mechanism tells us how well we are serving those customers who call us for help. In 2011–12 we were ranked second on this measure among the water and sewerage companies and in 2012–13 we were ranked joint first. ANNEX OUR PLAN CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN ANNEX 3: PAST PERFORMANCE 1 http://www.ccwater.org.uk/upload/pdf/CCWtrackingsurvey1213.pdf 56 ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 2012-13 Service Incentive Mechanism 79 points 85 points Water supply interruptions 24 mins per property 14 mins per property Sewer flooding 99 incidents 204 incidents Leakage 199 Ml/d 189 Ml/d Serviceability water infra Stable Stable Serviceability water non-infra Stable Stable Serviceability sewerage infra Marginal Marginal* Serviceability sewerage non-infra Stable Stable Security of Supply Index 100 100 Pollution incidents 116 per 10,000km 99.7 per 10,000km Serious pollution incidents 2.0 per 10,000km 0.7 per 10,000km Discharge permit compliance 97.1% 98.1% Sludge disposal 100% 100% Greenhouse gas emissions 481 kt CO2e 483 kt CO2e Our assurance processes have underpinned the success of our business and inspired the confidence of our stakeholders in our data Regulatory action ANNEX There continues to be a number of pieces of casework in progress. The earliest is a Competition Act case which dates back to November 2009. The accusation is of margin squeeze based on the offer made to a developer to supply the Fairfields development site relative to the offer made to a competitor. We strongly refute the claim of any wrongdoing in this case. We believe that the case has several analytical shortcomings, including market definition and the appropriate rate of return. We expect the draft decision on this case to be made in November 2013. The other areas of outstanding casework relate to a dispute raised under sections 42 and 30A of the Water Industry Act in relation to the collection of developer contributions to strategic water mains, and a dispute under section 105 relating to the disputed adoption of a surface water sewer between Anglian Water and a developer. Ofwat has stated its intention to publish draft decisions in respect to both in January 2014 and December 2013 respectively. OUR PLAN We have embraced the changes in Ofwat’s approach to regulatory reporting and taken full responsibility for assuring our own data. We were one of only two companies not to receive negative feedback from Ofwat on our 2012-13 regulatory accounts and we were excluded from Ofwat’s criticism in November of companies’ August Submissions. The quality of our assurance processes ensures that all our business decisions are founded on robust and reliable data. We also applied to Ofwat in 2009 for a determination under sections 40A and 110A of the Water Industry Act in respect of the financial terms for the existing bulk supply and discharge agreements for Priors Hall, Long Croft Road and Great Billing. These are three insets within our region which are served by Independent Water Networks Limited under the new appointments and variations regime. The case centres around a disagreement over the suitability of a large user tariff for serving an inset. The case has resulted in several detailed requests for information from Ofwat in relation to a variety of areas, most notably cost allocation. We understand that Ofwat will be in a position to issue a draft determination shortly, which could have implications for the financial terms for existing and future bulk agreements. CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN 2011-12 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY Key Performance Indicator * We expect to return to stable serviceability in 2013-14. ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 57 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN ANNEX 4: MEASURES AND INCENTIVES Outcomes are inherently difficult to measure directly, and are intended to span more than one price-control period. In order to judge our success in achieving the outcomes we have defined, some aspects of those outcomes need to be directly measurable. In order to assess whether we are achieving the outcomes desired by our customers and the environment (for example, satisfied customers), we have defined measures of success (for example, supply interruptions), which are related to that outcome. Each measure of success has a committed performance level by the end of 2020. An outcome delivery incentive is then defined in case performance at the end of the price-control period varies from the commitment. In choosing what should be measured for each outcome, we have made use of the framework developed by UK Water Industry Research (UKWIR)1. The criteria for assessing potential measures of success suggested in this framework were: 1. As closely related to the outcome as possible, and covering a large proportion of the outcome 2. Informed by stakeholder engagement 3. Measurable, verifiable and comparable 4. Easy to understand by stakeholders 5. At least in part controllable by the water company. Our approach has been to select measures of success which we believe will encourage the right behaviours and to focus our attention on areas of an outcome which are not incentivised by other means. This means we have a small number of targeted measures, which closely align to both customer and stakeholder priorities and will incentivise the right behaviours to achieve the desired outcomes. For example, in the past we have measured environmental impact in terms of the effects of our assets (such as discharge compliance and pollution incidents). However, under the outcome ‘Flourishing environment’, we are not proposing these as measures of success. They are already measured by the Environment Agency and our statutory obligations will ensure that improvements against these measures will remain a priority. Instead, we are proposing to ANNEX OUR PLAN Outcomes terminology 1 UKWIR, 2012, ‘Defining and incentivising outcomes and measures of success’, (prepared by Frontier Economics). 58 ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION We have also carefully considered what incentives are appropriate for each measure of success. In making these proposals, we have taken account of: As a company, we respond strongly to reputational incentives, and this has been a factor when deciding whether to propose a financial or reputational incentive. Our focus is on how the measures of success and incentives will encourage us to operate in new and innovative ways. In many cases we believe that other regulators possess sufficient enforcement powers to make further financial incentives unnecessary. In some other cases, such as our ‘Investing for tomorrow’ outcome, sizeable financial penalties are proposed if we fail to perform well against the proposed measures of success, reflecting both the importance of investment in this area and the absence of other incentives. We firmly believe that an outcomes approach is in the best interest of both customers and water companies and will free up the industry to innovate and deliver what is really valued. We are committed to making this work over the long term, and this should give confidence that we will continue to deliver for our customers even if a particular piece of investment is no longer monitored to the same fine degree as in the past. We have proven our intent to go beyond what is expected of us by the regulator through Love Every Drop, and we will continue to do so to deliver against the outcomes our customers value. Example of an incentive mechanism based on economic analysis for properties at risk of low pressure CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN •The level of investment associated with the measure •The relative priorities of customers and stakeholders •Existing incentives •The degree of confidence in the measurement •And the guidance in the business plan methodology. Customers are protected through the measures we are proposing, as well as the many other existing incentives which form the context in which we operate. OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY measure those things which are directly valued by customers and stakeholders such as the number of coastal bathing waters achieving ‘excellent’ status. While this is not something entirely within our control, this is an example of what is actually valued by customers, and we should therefore seek to make improvements against this measure, looking to ensure that investments we make to our assets to meet statutory obligations flow through to actual benefits to our customers and the environment. Such measures are not without risk, and this is reflected in the incentives we are proposing. OUR PLAN ANNEX ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 59 OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN OUR PLAN The economics, however, assume that all of the information is known to determine marginal costs and benefits. In reality, it is only possible to make estimates. We have taken a pragmatic approach given the information available to us and attempted to estimate marginal costs and benefits for our measures of success and use them to set our committed levels of performance and incentives where possible. For future price reviews, this will be easier as WillingnessTo-Pay studies can be tailored to fit measures of success. The table below shows committed levels of performance and the type of incentive that would apply over the next five years. Full details of the economic analysis supporting our committed performance levels and incentives is available in our Business Plan narrative. Measure In addition to our outcome performance measures, we remain subject to a wide range of specific obligations. For example, the Environment Agency and the Drinking Water Inspectorate will continue to report on a suite of performance measures relating to existing obligations. We will also produce annual progress reports, and this will enable customers and other stakeholders to hold us accountable for the delivery of our Plan. We will report on progress against the outcome performance measures, and explain where we have made a variation from our Plan. We believe that this combination of targeted and incentivised outcome performance measures, transparency about our progress and variations in our Plan, provides adequate protection for customers whilst allowing for flexibility and innovation in how the Plan is delivered. Incentive type Units Committed Performance Levels Customer Satisfaction Index prepared by the UK Institute of Customer Service Rep. rank Ranked in the top 25% of utilities Qualitative Service Investment Mechanism score Rep. rank Remain as a top 3 water and sewerage company Water supply interruptions (seconds per total properties served) – averaged over 3 years. £- seconds Reduce by 90 seconds to 750 seconds Properties at risk of persistent low pressure £ +/- # prop. Reduce by 260 properties to 257 Properties flooded internally from sewers – averaged over 3 years £- # prop. Reduce by 27 properties to 304 Properties flooded externally from sewers – averaged over 3 years £- # prop. Reduce by 22 properties to 5,038 Percentage of sewerage capacity schemes incorporating sustainable solutions such as SuDS Rep. % 25% Survey of customer perception of: fairness of bills Rep. - Improvement against 2015 baseline Survey of customer perception of: affordability of bills Rep. - Improvement against 2015 baseline Survey of customer perception of: value for money of bills Rep. - Improvement against 2015 baseline NA - - % of population supplied by single supply system £- % pop. Reduce by 2.8% to 24.7% Frequency of level of service restrictions (hosepipe bans) Rep. freq. Maintain at 1 in 10 years Satisfied customers Fair charges Safe clean water ANNEX No additional measures of success proposed 60 Resilient services ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION Incentive type Units Committed Performance Levels Independent assurance that we are abiding by our climate change strategy Rep. - Positive assessment Independent assessment of the risks to our assets 2020+ - - Security of Supply Index (SOSI) – dry year annual average Rep. SOSI Maintain at maximum level of 100 Security of Supply Index (SOSI) – critical period (peak) demand Rep. SOSI Maintain at maximum level of 100 Leakage – averaged over 3 years £- Ml/d Reduce the three-year average from around 196 Ml/d to 177 Ml/d (implies 172 Ml/d in 2019-20) Leakage - annual target (upper bound) Rep. Ml/d Annual targets at 10% above the glide-path to 172 Ml/d Per Property Consumption (PPC) £- l/p/d Reduce by 7 to 333 l/p/d. Sewerage capacity measure 2020+ - - % of bathing waters attaining excellent status Rep. % Increase from 58% to 67% % of SSSIs (by area) with favourable status Rep. % Increase from 49% to 50% Operational carbon (% reduction from 2015 baseline in real terms) Rep. % Reduce by 7% Embodied carbon (% reduction from 2010 baseline) Rep. % Reduce by 60% Water footprint (% reduction from baseline) 2020+ % Rep. - Improvement against 2015 baseline Water infrastructure £- - Maintain at stable Water non-infrastructure £- - Maintain at stable Wastewater infrastructure £- - Maintain at stable Wastewater non-infrastructure £- - Maintain at stable Future suite of measures (lead/lag/service impacts) 2020+ - - OUR TRANSFORMATIONAL JOURNEY Measure Supply meets demand CUSTOMERS ARE AT THE HEART OF OUR PLAN Flourishing Environment A smaller footprint Caring for communities Survey of community perception Investing for tomorrow OUR PLAN Fair profits To be incentivised through mechanisms such as Retail Price Index sharing, cost outperformance incentives and publication of unfunded benefits provided to customers £ -= Penalty only financial incentive #prop. £ +/- =R eward and penalty financial incentive % pop. = Percentage of population Rep. = Reputational incentive freq. ANNEX Key: = Number of properties = Frequency 2020+ = Future measure ANGLIAN WATER OUR PLAN 2015-20: INNOVATION, COLLABORATION, TRANSFORMATION 61 Anglian Water Services Anglian House Ambury Road Huntingdon PE29 3NZ www.anglianwater.co.uk LED354/11/13 We had a think about all the water and carbon it takes to make a document like this, then we called up the people at Howard Smith Paper. CBP00070522111135118 Revive 100 White Silk is FSC certified and produced using 100% recycled content. It’s a Carbon Balanced stock, which means the production and distribution process has been offset by the World Land Trust, who plant exactly the right number of trees to balance things out. Design and production by Flag Communication
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