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Quantitative Equity Report | Release: 01 Feb 2016, 23:01, GMT-06:00 | Reporting Currency: EUR | Trading Currency: EUR
Prosegur Compania De Seguridad SA PSG
Last Close 01 Feb 2016
Quantitative Fair Value Est 01 Feb 2016
Market Cap 01 Feb 2016
Sector
Industry
4.14
4.75
2,477.2 Mil
p Industrials
Security & Protection
Services
Prosegur Compania De Seguridad SA provides private security
services. The Company provides Overall service solutions,
Cash in Transit (CIT) and Alarm systems. It operates in
Europe&Asia-Pacific and Latin America.
Country of Domicile
ESP Spain
Price Versus Quantitative Fair Value
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
Sales/Share
Forecast Range
Forcasted Price
Dividend
Split
Quantitative Fair Value Estimate
10
Total Return
Quantitative Scores
8
Scores
Momentum:
—
Standard Deviation: 17.27
Liquidity: High
All Rel Sector Rel Country
Quantitative Moat
Narrow
95
Valuation
Undervalued 47
Quantitative Uncertainty Medium
100
Financial Health
Moderate
63
92
48
100
60
6
87
52
96
59
4
3.73
52-Wk
5.63
2.71
5-Yr
5.63
2
PSG
ESP
p
Undervalued
Fairly Valued
Overvalued
Source: Morningstar Equity Research
Valuation
Sector
Median
Country
Median
1.03
15.3
—
13.6
41.1
2.33
3.5
0.8
0.86
16.1
12.2
9.3
15.5
2.47
1.5
0.8
0.88
15.9
11.7
8.6
13.6
3.41
1.5
1.0
Current 5-Yr Avg
Sector
Median
Country
Median
11.0
4.6
457.8
Current 5-Yr Avg
Price/Quant Fair Value
Price/Earnings
Forward P/E
Price/Cash Flow
Price/Free Cash Flow
Dividend Yield %
Price/Book
Price/Sales
0.87
15.7
10.1
8.8
18.2
2.58
3.2
0.6
Profitability
Return on Equity %
Return on Assets %
Revenue/Employee (K)
22.0
6.0
24.3
23.8
6.9
24.4
Quantitative Moat
35.1
17.4
14.3
-1.2
-3.1
0.6
-7.7
-7.1
-2.0
3.8
2.22
14.9
0.7
1.88
16.8
0.8
2.26
17.4
0.7
2.39
16.1
0.7
2.58
15.7
0.6
Total Return %
+/– Market (Morningstar World
Index)
Dividend Yield %
Price/Earnings
Price/Revenue
Morningstar RatingQ
QQQQQ
QQQQ
QQQ
QQ
Q
Financials (Fiscal Year in Mil)
Revenue
% Change
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
TTM
2,567
17.4
2,820
9.9
3,669
30.1
3,695
0.7
3,783
2.4
3,949
4.4
263
12.2
160
284
8.2
167
311
9.6
172
298
-4.4
156
307
3.2
159
319
3.9
177
Operating Income
% Change
Net Income
10.3
2.9
275.9
201
-82
120
4.7
163
-123
40
1.4
136
-99
37
1.0
287
-138
150
4.1
247
-139
108
2.9
283
-147
136
3.4
Operating Cash Flow
Capital Spending
Free Cash Flow
% Sales
Score
100
0.27
6.8
0.19
0.28
6.0
0.05
0.30
5.1
0.06
0.27
-9.3
0.08
0.26
-2.3
0.10
0.26
0.0
0.20
EPS
% Change
Free Cash Flow/Share
0.07
0.00
573,398
0.10
1.08
573,439
0.12
1.28
598,368
0.09
1.21
598,368
0.11
1.40
—
0.10
1.29
598,368
26.0
9.0
6.3
1.44
2.9
24.6
8.0
5.9
1.35
3.3
24.5
6.8
4.7
1.45
3.9
22.5
5.4
4.2
1.28
4.4
21.1
5.4
4.2
1.28
3.5
22.0
6.0
4.5
1.34
3.7
Profitability
Return on Equity %
Return on Assets %
Net Margin %
Asset Turnover
Financial Leverage
25.4
10.2
—
24.7
10.1
460
23.9
8.5
720
23.4
8.1
848
23.2
8.1
694
—
8.1
—
Gross Margin %
Operating Margin %
Long-Term Debt
690
7.5
671
7.4
732
8.5
655
7.9
853
7.7
771
7.8
Total Equity
Fixed Asset Turns
80
Dividends/Share
Book Value/Share
Shares Outstanding (K)
60
40
20
0
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Financial Health
Current 5-Yr Avg
Distance to Default
Solvency Score
Assets/Equity
Long-Term Debt/Equity
2016
Sector
Median
Country
Median
0.6
491.4
1.8
0.2
0.6
643.9
2.6
0.3
0.6
—
3.5
0.8
0.6
—
3.8
0.9
1-Year
3-Year
5-Year
10-Year
2.4
3.2
-2.2
14.0
24.8
-13.9
10.4
2.7
-2.4
3.0
6.8
0.0
11.6
5.6
1.1
10.7
10.1
1.6
-10.8
-19.9
-3.4
—
3.5
8.1
Growth Per Share
Revenue %
Operating Income %
Earnings %
Dividends %
Book Value %
Stock Total Return %
Quarterly Revenue & EPS
Revenue (Mil)
Mar
Jun
2015
968.4
984.2
2014
885.5
924.1
2013
918.6
921.9
2012
0.0 1,757.9
Earnings Per Share ()
2015
0.10
0.03
2014
0.70
-0.59
2013
0.06
0.05
2012
0.08
0.04
Revenue Growth Year On Year %
Sep
989.9
966.7
860.1
942.7
Dec
—
1,006.3
994.6
968.5
Total
—
3,782.6
3,695.2
3,669.1
0.07
0.09
0.09
0.08
—
0.06
0.07
0.10
—
0.26
0.27
0.30
12.4
9.4
6.5
2.7
0.2
2.4
1.2
-3.6
-8.8
2013
2014
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