The globalization of intellectual property rights: Much ado about nothing? Introduction One of the key characteristics of the XXI century global economy is that knowledge and intangibles have become increasingly important both as production factors and as consumption goods. It is therefore hardly surprisingly that intellectual property rights (IPRs) have become an increasingly controversial issue. Companies should bear greater investments in Research and Development (R&D) and design in order to generate and bring to the market new products and services but very often the core competitive assets can be imitated and replicated at costs that are substantially lower than the original cost. This is at the root of the traditional tension between innovators and imitators, a tension that for long occurred mostly within the national scene and that now has taken a global dimension. The growth in international trade and foreign direct investment, associated to the rise of new actual and prospective markets, has in fact increased the propensity of companies to search for profits related to their innovations and intangibles also at the global level. The generation of knowledge is far from being geographically uniformly distributed. Most inventions with commercial potential come from companies based in North America, Europe and Japan and in a few other countries, such as the Asian Tigers, that are strongly integrated with the Triad (Archibugi and Iammarino, 2002; Archibugi and Pietrobelli, 2003; Filippetti and Peyrache, 2011). It is often pointed out, and rightly so, that most of holders of IPRs are a restricted number of gigantic multinational corporations. The same companies are also responsible for a corresponding amount of expenditure in R&D, industrial design and investment in intangibles. These companies have somehow managed to assure that basic IPRs are protected in their home country and even in their most important economic partners, namely in the areas where they concentrate the bulk of their sales. So far, however, they have not managed to get an equally effective protection in emerging and developing countries representing markets that are not at the moment their core business but that are expected to become steadily more important. This has led Western companies to demand greater international protection for their IPRs against unfair foreign Daniele Archibugi1 Andrea Filippetti2 To be published in The Global Politics of Science and Technology: Concepts and Perspectives, edited by Maximilian Mayer, Mariana Carpes and Ruth Knoblich ABSTRACT It is hardly surprising that companies try to exploit their intellectual property rights (IPRs) globally. This has generated hated disputes on the advantages and disadvantages associated to a global regime of IPRs. The aim of this chapter is to put the debate in the right context of what IP can actually do, and what they cannot do, in order to reward inventors and innovators and to prevent imitators. The generation, transmission and diffusion of knowledge are complex phenomena and both supporters and detractors of IPRs often tend to exaggerate the effects that they have in the economy and society. We present two ideal typical models pro and against IPRs and discuss their limitations. In our view, both the models overemphasize the role of IPRs in the world economy. KEYWORDS: Innovation, Intellectual Property Rights, Agreement on Trade Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS), technological appropriation, patents, copyright 1 Italian National Research Council, IRPPS and University of London, Birkbeck College, email: [email protected] 2 Italian National Research Council, ISSIRFA and University of London, Birkbeck College, email: [email protected] 1 imitators (Ryan, 1998; Sell, 2003). Other voices have called against IPRs denouncing the fact that they were increasing the costs for developing countries arguing that this implied a net transfer of resources from developing to developed countries, that this was retarding the catching up of developing countries or even that multinational corporations are claiming monopoly rights over forms of ancient forms of knowledge that were not really developed by them (Shiva, 2001). The aim of this chapter is to put the debate of the globalization of IPRs in the right context of what IP can actually do, and what they cannot do, in order to reward inventors and innovators and to prevent imitators. As students of technological change, we have learnt that the generation, transmission and diffusion of knowledge is a complex phenomenon and that both supporters and detractors of IPRs often tend to exaggerate the effects that they have in economy and society. The chapter is organized as follows. Next section reports the terms of the debate on IPRs. We follow by describing how and where the attempt to make IPRs stronger has started in the United States. Then we discuss the attempt to generate a global regime through TRIPS. We then present two ideal typical models pro and against IPRs and discuss their limitations. The last section discusses the policy implications. tant for food and beverages. Often, companies use a combination of IPR instruments to increase the protection over their activities. For example, companies defend their software through a mixture of copyright and patents while drugs combine patents to trademarks. The legislation on IPRs is national in scope. It is the responsibility of national governments to take decisions about the length and the scope of each IPR. National legislation is also responsible to establish the penalties associated to infringements. Finally, the enforcement of IPRs is also carried out by national authorities. Police can be tougher or softer against violators and the Courts which should take the final decision in controversies among economic agents are national. When the globalization of IPRs is discussed, it should be kept in mind that we are dealing with legal and policing practices that are (still?) national in scope. But IPRs are also one of the areas where for more than a century governments have tried to reach a certain harmonization. The Paris Convention for the Protection of Industrial Property dates to 1883 and the Berne Convention for the Protection of Literary and Artistic Works to 1886. For a rather long period there has been a tension between the desire of each nation to get the IPR system congenial to its own economic and social advantage and the need to establish a harmonized system. As it can be expected, countries that had more inventions and products to protect were keen to push the international system towards stronger protection. These countries saw in IPRs a method to increase their revenues and more generally to strengthen the bargaining position of their national companies in host countries. Countries that relied more on knowledge and products generated elsewhere were keener to have a permissive IRP system. Catching up countries interpreted a rigid IPR system as a further burden for their economy and their development strategy. The rules of the system co-evolved differently in each country. As shown by the country case studies reported in Odagiri et al. (2011), national institutions have evolved differently, and often they have tried to protect national industries through a variety of legal, institutional and customary devices. What are IPRs Intellectual Property Rights are legal instruments designed to provide to the holder the exclusive use over certain creative activities. They include patents, copyright, trade-marks, utility models, geographic indications and others. Each of these rights has a specific legislation and therefore covers a different domain. Each of these IPRs has a distinct economic and social impact and can be more or less relevant according the nature of the industry, of the technology and of the geographical area. For example, patents are crucial for a few manufacturing industries, including pharmaceuticals, chemicals and electronics, copyright is the core instrument to protect audiovisual and literary products, trade-marks are relevant in the industries where brands represent an important competitive advantage, geographic indications are impor2 However, through complicated and long diplomatic negotiations, diffusion of experiences and attempt of companies and other economic agents to reach similar standards across countries, IPRs national legislations and practices have converged. The number of countries that jointed the international conventions on IPRs has steadily increased and also the legal norms are certainly less different across countries than they were 100, 50 or even 25 years ago. If we look at the expansion of the IPR system, it clearly emerges that at the beginning it involved countries at a comparable level of economic development. Progressively, the IPR regime has incorporated also countries at the periphery and, consequently, the members of the world IPRs system have become more heterogeneous. One of the core principles of the international conventions already held in the XIX century was to guarantee that the public institutions in each country would not discriminate against foreigners. It was acceptable that some countries had longer or shorter validity for patents or copyright, stronger or weaker protection, but the various conventions tried to establish the principle that home and foreign inventors, authors and companies should be treated equally. The formal principle, however, is not easily enforced in practice. It is up to the police to identify if counterfeited CDs and DVDs are sold in an open market, it is a national patent examiner who should decide if the application for an invention is genuinely original, and it is to a national court to settle business controversies. In spite of all the principles stated in the conventions, in treaties and in national legislations about non-discrimination, there have always been allegations that national institutions tend to favor national interests and that the police, patents and trademarks offices and Courts are biased. It can be questioned if this has been advantageous for developing and catching-up countries (see, for example, the analysis of Drahos, 2010) to implement the IPR system of developed countries. It has often been argued that weak economies have also bad negotiators or have underestimated the costs associated to IPRs agreements (May, 2002; Sell, 2003; Heller, 2008). Others, on the contrary, have argued that countries with Western-like IPR systems have facilitated industrial development (Branstetter et al., 2010), induced foreign by multinational corporations (Dinopoulos and Segerstrom, 2010) and induced technology transfer (Mansfield, 1994; 1995). In the next sections, we will discuss how the situation has changed over the last two decades and if such a change has obtained the desired outcome. The Silent IPR Revolution in the United States The United States has always been the country where violations of IPRs have been more vocally denounced. In fact, for the whole XX century the most spectacular controversies about intellectual property have occurred in the American theatre and the XXI does not look any different. It is difficult to explain why the United States economy, society and legal system are so keen to consider a villain somebody who uses other’s intellectual property without authorization. Also in Europe and in Japan there are daily controversies on IPRs infringements, but intellectual property is not surrounded by the aura that it has in the United States. To use knowledge and other immaterial property invented or developed by others is not considered equally bad, up to the point that the imitator, and even the hacker, has at most the appearance of gentleman thief, a sort of Robin Hood that takes knowledge from those who have it and provides it to those that do not have it (for a contemporary praise of the hacker, see Himanen, 2011). The reasons why intellectual property in the United States is much more appreciated than in other countries are both material and ideological. Among the material reasons, we can mention the fact that the United States is the largest R&D spender and patent generator of the world, its companies has invested massively in trademarks and brands and it hosts the largest number of large multinationals with operations across the five continents. Old companies, such as Disney and IBM, and new companies, such as Microsoft and Facebook, have business lines heavily dependent on IP protection. Moreover, the United States government has also the economic, political and diplomatic muscles to protect the property rights of its companies both at home and abroad, instruments that are often lacking to other countries. But there are perhaps also other cultural reasons 3 that make the American society praise and reward the individual creativity rather than the societal context in which knowledge is generated. The AngloAmerican ideology strongly supports individual values and freedom even when they are at the expenses of the public interest. In continental Europe, on the contrary, the public interest generally prevails over individual rights. This American vision spans across a variety of human rights including property rights and it extends to intellectual property rights. European societies are generally keen to consider limits to property and to intellectual property especially. It is therefore understandable that to obtain a very strong protection of IPRs has been a lesser priority in Europe than in the United States. The Oriental vision is even more likely to praise collective effort more than the individual enterprise. In most of the Asian countries, the introduction of IP legislation has been directed more by the need to please the United States and the other Western parties rather than by a genuine endogenous sentiment to reward individual creativity and companies’ investment in immaterial goods. It is true that Asian countries such as Japan and China have also been catching up countries, the former in the 1950s and 1960s and the second since the 1990s. As catching up countries, they had a clear interest to obtain technology transferred at low costs and weak IPRs system could serve such a purpose. But it is also true that since the 1980s Japanese companies started to be major producers of innovations and they have been reluctant to use IPRs as principal instrument to seize the return of their innovations. The attempt to strengthen the IPRs regime and to obtain greater enforcement started in the United States more than thirty years ago. A ’silent revolution’ (Jaffe and Lerner, 2004) took place in the form of four interconnected changes. The first was the Bayh-Dole Act which allowed Universities and other research centres to commercialize and profit from the innovations generated with public money, a legal transformation that has been later imitated by several OECD countries. Second, the scope of the patent system has progressively grown, allowing patenting also in areas, such as software, that were previously covered by other forms of intellec- tual property or not covered at all. Third, the US Patent and Trademarks Office (USPTO) started to be funded through a fee charged on applicants rather than by the government. This apparently innocuous change made the USPTO keener to grant patents to as many applications as possible, even when the novelty and utility is not self-evident and when the invention is in areas traditionally excluded from the range of patents. Fourth, Courts have become increasingly tougher with violators of IPRs. The effects of the silent revolution in the United States are controversial and many critics argue that this has been harmful for the American economy since it has reduced the rate of innovation (Heller, 2008; Heller and Eisenberg, 1998), it has generated excessive litigation and increased costs (Bessen and Meurer, 2008) and it has increased monopoly power (Boldrin and Levine, 2008). So, within the United States there have been many voices that have argued that the ’silent revolution’ has discouraged innovation and distorted resources from innovation to patent protection. But when the hegemonic country moves in one direction, it is very likely that also other countries will somehow follow the path. In fact, the attempt to create a stronger regime of IPRs soon reached the international scene. From the American Silent Revolution to the Vociferous Global Scene The ’silent revolution’ considerably increased the strength of IPRs within the United States, and it has also been able to better protect American companies within their own internal market against foreign competitors. But in a globalizing economy, this was only part of what American corporations desired: supposed and real IPRs infringements continued to occur outside the United States and American companies had the possibility to use legal devices to block violations in their own country but had little possibility to retaliate when violations occurred elsewhere. The traditional legislation on intellectual property inaugurated by the XIX century Conventions required individual states to prevent discrimination and to protect foreign intellectual property rights. But, as with many other international covenants, there was no guarantee that states actually introduced homogeneous legislation and, even when they did, national 4 institutions were keen to enforce it. Many governments had little interest to use their authority to protect the IPRs of foreign companies. Since the very end of the Second World War, the United States has been a generous supplier of knowledge, technology and technical assistance to its allies. But at the end of the 1970s, American corporations and their government started to take a different turn. The undisputed American technological leadership started to be eroded by its economic partners, productivity gaps narrowed and competing countries continuously improved their innovative potential (see Nelson and Wright, 1992; Pianta, 1988). Japan constantly increased its export share in hightechnology products and also Europe was progressively performing better. The American trade deficit was not any longer associated to the import of raw materials and traditional products, but also to high technology products, and this was enough to shock a public which for most of the XX century was proud of its leadership in innovation. A growing concern emerged in the United States and the culprit was easy to be found: Japanese and to a lower extent European companies had a better performance because they were exploiting commercially the knowledge generated in the United States, often infringing their IPRs. Less attention was devoted to look at how companies based in Japan, Germany, Switzerland, Sweden and other countries were investing massively in R&D and design, and even less to the fact that these companies generated an increasing number of inventions and innovations for which they even claimed patent protection in the United States and elsewhere. The stories heard in the 1980s soon re-emerged with reference to the Asian tigers. In fact, these countries followed with three decades delay patterns very similar to those of Japan. Comparable catching up processes have occurred for more than a decade in China, a country with a population size much higher than Japan and the other East Asian tigers. The widespread feeling in the United States continued and still continues to be that the national investment in knowledge and in other intangible assets is not adequately rewarded and that its competitors in the international markets also make unauthorised use of technologies, design and other intangible assets generated by American corporations. As long as the international markets would not provide adequate remuneration for its innovations and intangibles and institutions do not punish infringements, the United States would continue to be penalized. It took a while for the American corporations mostly dependent on knowledge and other intangible assets to find the methods able to better guarantee their IP also outside the United States. The retaliations that their government could apply for violation of national IPRs ranged from diplomatic reproach to sanctions to military interventions; none of them was particularly effective to protect companies’ economic interests. As well documented by Susan Sells (2003) and Michael Ryan (1998), a group of Chief Executive Officers of leading corporations joined their forces through the creation of the Intellectual Property Committee (IPC) and the International Intellectual Property Alliance (IIPA). The IPC explored the available opportunities and eventually it came out that the most effective and perhaps sole way to penalize countries not adequately protecting IPRs was retaliating on trade. Since the negotiations to reduce trade barriers were already in the agenda, the United States government effectively pushed with all its political, diplomatic and economic muscles to make IPRs a crucial pillar of the new World Trade Organization (WTO) to be built on the GATT ashes and this is how the Trade Related Aspects of Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPS were born. Commentators were surprised that so many countries signed TRIPS: after all, if these countries were using knowledge and intangibles without paying a proper remuneration they should not have an interest to sign an agreement that implied greater transfer of resources from the imitators to the innovators. But developing countries had an interest to liberalize the international trade in textile apparel - the Multifiber Agenda - and agricultural products. For sure the US market, along with the European market, was the most attractive for them. If the price to be paid to access the American and European markets was to promise to introduce a tougher IPRs legislation, it seemed that this was an acceptable deal. TRIPS was born as a bargain: developing countries accepted the 5 risk of retaliation if they were not able to introduce adequate legislation for IPRs in their own country against the opportunity to enter into the American market. The powerless conventions of the XIX century were therefore integrated with a potentially vigorous tool: trade retaliations. It has been argued that TRIPS was accepted by developing countries because the American government was a much better negotiator, and because it had the instruments to convince other governments to sign the agreement also if it was against their interest (Sell, 2003). This is certainly part of the story but it does not necessarily imply that the American society made a good deal. The deal was cash against a promise: developing countries did not get much but they obtained instantaneously greater access to the market of developed countries. In turn, developed countries got the promise that all countries that signed the treaty would have accurately introduced IPRs in the future. But, as we will argue, the United States’ did not properly consider three core aspects. First, legislation does not necessarily imply enforcement: even if developing countries were induced to apply more rigid IPR norms, this did not necessarily imply their willingness and capacity to enforce them. Second, the reasons why some of its multinational corporations focussed so much on TRIPS were not necessarily beneficial to the American economy especially if, as we will argue, their strategy was to decentralize production, including knowledge-based production, abroad. Third, the real economic importance of IP is not as important as it was assumed. Next section presents two alternative models on the importance of IPRs. regime or even the absence of IPRs is conducive to well-being. Defending strong IPRs The model which supports strong protection of IPRs both at the national and global levels argues that in the long term strong IPRs will not only be beneficial for the producers of knowledge but also for users and therefore for society at large. This model applies the same logic also at the international level, assuming that IPRs will benefit developing as much as developed countries. The pro-IPRs model stresses that incentives and rewards to inventive and innovative activity are crucial to generate further investment. It is not denied that statically the existence of IPRs may reduce the diffusion of innovations to those that cannot afford to pay its price, but dynamically this will be an incentive to invest more in the future. • Invention, innovation and more generally creativity is generally costly to be generated, especially since it involves a great degree of uncertainty. But they can be imitated or replicated at substantially lower costs. The absence of protection will discourage profit-seeking agents to invest in these activities. • IPRs protection encourages full disclosure of inventions that eventually will become part of the public domain. In absence of disclosure, knowledge may be kept secret and this will reduce its dissemination. • The revenues generated by inventions are one of the core resources to finance further projects. It is therefore relevant that the current inventive activities are able to generate profits to keep the system going. Two models on IPRs Since their very origin, IP had enthusiastic supporters and fierce enemies (May and Sell, 2006, trace the genealogy of these arguments). Much has changed in the generation, imitation and diffusion of invention and creativity over several centuries, but the arguments in favour and against IPs have somehow been repeated. It is possible to identify two opposite models in the contemporary debate, the first that commend a strong regime of IPRs for economic development, and the second that argues that a weak • New entrants have to face the alternative of imitating existing devices or investing in generating fresh solutions, and strong IPRs will induce them to opt for the latter strategy. These reasons are used to justify IPRs within nations and it is accepted that IPRs will have some advantages for individual and companies that generate knowledge and some disadvantages for consumers 6 or supplier-dominated companies. But it is assumed that the advantages for the economic system are greater than the disadvantages and a well-tuned legislation could balance the interests of both producers and users of knowledge, for example by regulating the length and scope of IPRs and even by using compulsory licensing in cases of palpable public interest. The pro-IPRs model advances additional reasons to suggest that also developing countries will benefit from a global IRPs regime. It is a fact that the distribution of scientific and technological capabilities is extremely polarized across the globe. This means that the net recipients of IPRs royalties and fees are based in the North and the net payers are based in the South. The advocates of IPRs argue that Southern countries with a strong regime of IPRs will benefit from greater inflows of technology transfer. Companies in the North may be reluctant to establish production facilities, to build R&D lab, to licence knowhow and to engage in strategic technology agreements in countries that do not properly guarantee IPRs. On the contrary, if IPRs are secure, companies may be willing not only to licence the knowledge generated in their home country, but they may also decentralize in emerging and developing countries some of their R&D and innovative facilities and to collaborate with local companies in common projects. In a world where developing and emerging countries still need to acquire the knowledge generated in the North, a well functioning IPR system is the best guarantee that Southern companies are not excluded. This view has particularly emphasized the role of multinational firms and foreign direct investment. For instance, Dinopoulos and Segerstrom (2010) developed a model of North-South trade and find that stronger IPR protection in the South leads to: i) a permanent increase in the rate of technology transfer to the South within multinational firms and ii) a permanent increase in R&D employment by Southern affiliates of Northern multinationals. Along similar lines it has been showed that improvements in IPR protection has led United States based multinational firms to increase technology transfer to their affiliated and to shift towards more technologically based products abroad (Branstetter et al., 2004; Branstet- ter et al., 2010). Other scholars point to the indirect benefits for the countries hosting multinational firms have in terms of growth of local suppliers (Javorcik, 2004a), and transfer of advanced knowledge and skills to the local workforce (Gorg and Strobl, 2005; Poole, 2010). Also, the establishment of reliable and harmonized IPRs systems lead to the creation of ’markets for technology’ which facilitate and encourage knowledge diffusion trough formal transactions of technology (Arora et al., 2001; Athreye and Cantwell, 2007). In praise of weak IRPs The pro-IPR model has been contrasted with fierce arguments that can also be divided in arguments used for developed economies and those that apply to developing countries. The first and very ancient argument against IPRs is that they are harmful because, by creating a legal monopoly, they obstruct and reduce the diffusion of knowledge (Andersen, 2006; Boldrin and Levine, 2008). Since knowledge is also an input to the generation of further knowledge, IPRs may create a vicious circle that stops inventive activity. This is particularly true within industries in which innovation activity is based on sequential inventions and complementary technologies. In these cases, imitation may promote further innovations, while strong patents might actually inhibit it (Bessen and Maskus, 2009; Merges and Nelson, 1990). By becoming tighter, IPRs increase legal costs more than investment in innovation, leading to a scientific and technological system based on litigation rather than on research (Bessen and Meurer, 2008). Eventually, lawyers are the main beneficiaries of a strong system of IPRs. Second, IPRs may also distort the investment for knowledge since this is likely to be directed towards the areas that promise greater profits or that can be better legally protected rather than towards those that are more likely to generate socially useful results or where there are more technological opportunities. For instance it has been shown that the type and strength of the patent regime influence not only the rate of innovation activity but also the direction of technical change (Moser, 2005). It is therefore not in the public interest to get a strong IPRs system (Macmillan, 2006). These beliefs are reinforced when the needs of de7 veloping countries are taken into account. In these nations, knowledge generating institutions are still in their infancy and they will be the most affected by a strong international regime where there is a price to be paid for any technology transfer. In a North-South perspective, the IPR regime may hamper or impede catching up (Chang, 2002). It has been have claimed that transferring the IPR practices of the developed world to developing countries leads to reduced knowledge flows, less imitation activity and increased prices (Helpman, 1993; Lai, 1998; Parello, 2008). Thus, a system prior to TRIPS, with a strong IPR regime in developed countries and a weaker one in developing countries, is more congenial to allow the latter to catch up also benefitting from the knowledge developed elsewhere. The consequence of TRIPS is therefore damaging development and it will make more difficult to allow emerging and developing countries to build solid innovation systems. Moreover, it will extract resources from developing to developed economies and this will delay further their catching up. In an historical perspective, it is often pointed out that most countries managed to catch up also copying and imitating from more developed countries, largely benefiting from loose IPRs regime (Boldrin and Levine, 2008). It was only later on that tighter IPRs regimes were established as an effect of the development of the country (Lerner, 2002; Mokyr, 2002. For a detailed list of national case studies, see Odagiri et al., 2011). By making more onerous international technology transfer through a strong regime of IPRs, developed countries make an attempt to ’kick the ladder away’ and to make more difficult catching up to laggard countries (Chang, 2002). Some critics of IPRs also focus on selected key products protected by IPRs (see, for example, Correa, 2000; Shiva, 2001). A paradigmatic case is the anti-retroviral drugs patented by leading American pharmaceutical corporations, the so-called Big Pharma, but marketed in South Africa through their generic and un-authorized manufacturers. This led to a controversy between Big Pharma and the South African government. The government argued that the vast majority of South Africans affected by HIV could not afford to pay the price charged by Big Pharma and opposed a public interest argument to a private interest. The campaign was sufficiently powerful to induce Big Pharma to withdraw from the case. In this domain, intellectual criticism overlaps with social and political activism. New social movements have started to contest the pro-IPR policies carried out by multinational corporations, national governments and the World Trade Organization. Big Pharma, Microsoft and other companies have become the frequent targets of many campaigns against intellectual monopoly. A different view: How powerful IPRs are? The pro and against IPR models both describe real aspects of the generation, transmission and diffusion of innovation. But, surprisingly, both models are based on a common textbook assumption: they assume that a legal system of IPRs is much more powerful than it actually is. Both of them give for granted that strong IPRs can guarantee the protection of invention, innovation and intangibles and that weak IPRs can on the contrary allow imitators to acquire the related knowledge. This is not the case and old and new empirical evidence has shown that IPRs are much less effective than generally assumed by both models. From the perspective of the producer of invention, innovation and intangibles, it should be clarified that its main economic interest is not to get their IP immaculate but rather to profit from it. In order to appropriate the returns from their inventions, innovations and intangibles, companies have to develop complex strategies that include R&D, design, lead time, ability to deliver the products to the markets, and also to combine effectively industrial secrecy with IPRs. IPRs are just one the elements of this strategy and certainly not the most important one. Surveys carried out for US and European manufacturing companies have indicated that patents and other legal methods are, in fact, the two least important appropriability factors while companies have ranked as more important lead time, industrial secrecy, complementary manufacturing and complementarily sales and services (Cohen et al., 2000; Arundel, 2001). From the perspective of potential users, would-be 8 imitators cannot manage to acquire knowledge for production facilities just by getting knowledge unprotected by IPRs. The use of knowledge for production is associated to a much larger variety of factors. IPRs may, at most, report and protect some codified knowledge, but there is an equally important component represented by tacit knowledge that is not, nor can be, reported in patents, handbooks, software, blueprints, and other codes (Pavitt, 1987; Nelson, 1992). Imitators will need to acquire also this knowledge to properly use it. A musical score and a violin are not sufficient to play Beethoven’s violin concert, likewise to dispose of free use all the relevant patents will not allow a company to manufacture a good car. Patent rights last for not more than 20 years, but only a foul can believe that abolishing patent rights will be sufficient to get rid of the technological backwardness of developing countries. In a nutshell, IPRs are less important than assumed for both generators and users of knowledge. Of course, it is difficult to generalize for a complex economy where there are products and industries with radically different characteristics. In fact, the available empirical research has also shown that industries and products are very differently affected by IPRs. Within the manufacturing industry, Pharmaceuticals and, to a much smaller degree, Chemicals are heavily dependent on patents and respondents argue that as many as two thirds of innovations in Pharmaceuticals and one third in Chemicals would not have been introduced in absence of patent protection (Mansfield, 1986). Likewise, copyright is a crucial factor for the audiovisual and software industries where the final consumers have the possibility to copy directly the products. But in most other high-tech industries, including computers, electronics, aerospace, automobiles, mechanical engineering, IPRs are overwhelmed and/or complemented by other methods of appropriation of innovation. The fact that IPRs are effective solely in a few industries is reflected also in the composition of foreign direct investment. It has been shown that the importance of IPR protection varies between industries (Mansfield, 1994, 1995) and that weak IPR discourages investors only in sensitive sectors (Javorcik, 2004b). In a study examining the drivers of the surge of patents in China it is shown that foreign direct investment play a role only limited to the electric machinery, transportation equipment, and chemical industries (Hu and Jefferson, 2009). Also, it has been argued that far from being automatic, adoption of foreign technologies from developing countries is contingent on the development of an adequate level of skills and technological capabilities (Benhabib and Spiegel, 2005; Parello, 2008). Other research which has tried to explain how come that Western companies have increased so much their patent applications in countries with weak appropriability regimes, have found out that preventing imitation or securing royalties are partial reasons (Keupp e al. 2012). Innovating companies know well that in developing countries they cannot sell their products for the same price they sell it in developed countries. Many products have a substantial difference between the average and the marginal cost and in products such as drugs, software and audiovisuals the difference is enormous. Companies apply price discrimination in order to maximise the revenues from the same product innovation across different markets. What these companies are most worried about is the possibility that the same products are re-imported in the Western markets. For example, the main concern of the Big Pharma when they suited the South African government for its unwillingness to stop the diffusion of generic versions of the retro-viral drugs against HIV was precisely the concern that the generic version could also reach the much more lucrative Western markets. Summing up: IPRs per se cannot either guarantee or reduce returns to invention, innovation and intangibles. Profits for innovations are obtained through a variety of channels and, if companies are asked to rank the relative importance of them, it emerges that patents to prevent imitators and patents to secure royalties are not among the most important methods to appropriate returns from innovation. This leads to a logical question: if IPRs have so little relevance, how come that companies, governments, lobbies and social movements are so concerned about them? A first tentative answer is that IPRs are somehow visible and can be modified by institutions. But what they represents - the system of incentives to gener9 ate, transmit and diffuse knowledge and creativity are much more complex and often less visible. Much of the debate is discussing the finger rather than the moon. In addition, most of the discussion has concerned the issue of drugs. This confirms as said above regarding the importance of IPRs, namely patents, in the pharmaceutical industry, and also explains the attention of media and social movements, given the substantial interest in health. True, every citizen in the world has the right to have the drug and medication she needs regardless her income. However, it is difficult to argue that, should the TRIPS been abolished tomorrow, the pharmaceutical industry would turn as the engine of technological development and growth in developing countries. Thus one has to distinguish the two problems related to IPRs in the pharmaceutical sector. The former concerns the right of access to drugs, while the latter regards the capacity of economic and technological development in backward countries. Our conviction is that TRIPS has more to do with the former rather than with the latter. How effective TRIPS are? A comparable passionate debate soon emerged when the WTO integrated IPRs into its core competences. As discussed above, the critics of IPRs also argue that the governments of developing countries made a fundamental mistake in signing the TRIPS agreement since they will get no advantages and will bear all disadvantages. The critics argue that TRIPS could seriously hamper developing countries from catching technological opportunities. This, in turn, is based on the assumption that TRIPS are effective in preventing imitators to use the protected knowledge unless this is properly licensed. After more than 15 years since the implementation of TRIPS, an overall assessment of their economic and social impact is much needed. In practice, the disputes brought at the WTO concerning IPRs are not many. From 1995 to 2011, the WTO Dispute Settlement Process (DSP) machinery has been activated 29 times for IRPs related issues (Lee, 2010-2011). It is true that in 17 of these cases the United States is the complainant country, i.e. the economic dominant country. But only 7 of these complain are directed toward developing countries, while 10 are towards other 10 OECD countries. Of course, this does not imply that the most serious infringements of IP occurs in the OECD area, but rather that the perceived economic damages occur in OECD countries. The US government, the most active in using the WTO machinery, did not bother to use the DSP when the markets in which violations take place are not particularly attractive. Moreover, the DSP has some clear limitations: i) The DSP can be activated against unfair legislation but much less against the lack of effective enforcement of IPRs, which continues to be a prerogative of sovereign states; ii) The DSP process is lengthy (it takes up to three years) and the remedies that a country agree to implement may take up to a couple of years. For areas of rapid technological change, this means that a decision may be implemented when is not any longer relevant; iii) The parties to the WTO and its DSP are the states and not the companies. Governments often act to pursue the interests of the companies based in their own country and often solicited by the companies themselves. But when dealing with multinational corporations, the national interests are more difficult to assess. iv) Trade retaliations have so far seldom been authorized. TRIPS have at most established a general framework that provides the possibility to link two things that are not clearly associated among them, namely the regime of IPRs and trade retaliations. But TRIPS do not provide an effective machinery to punish countries that do not have a strong IPRs regime. However, they provide a legal basis to link trade to IPRs that allow developed countries and most notably the United States to link the two issues in bilateral agreements. If we move a step beyond and look at litigation and enforcement, the role of national institutions is even more important. IPRs controversies need to be interpreted by national courts, and infringements need to be policed. Take the spectacular litigation between Apple and Samsung concerning smartphone (the most updated and detailed source is the Wikipedia entry ’Apple Inc. v. Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.’ and, more generally ’Smartphones Wars’, see also Filippetti 2012; Graham and Vishnubhakat, 2013). The competing companies have their headquarters in nations with rather uniform norms on IPRs and, as expected, litigation occurred already in at least nine different countries. These litigations are already post-TRIPS since what TRIPS can do is to ask nations to introduce comparable limitations but cannot interfere with the decisions taken by national Courts. In spite of that, the rulings of courts have been, so far, very different and often of opposite tenor. And, with no surprise, the rulings of national courts are generally favourable to national firms. The basic principle of the International Covenants of nondiscrimination holds in theory much more than in practice. What is the future of IPRs in a global economy? We have argued that IPRs are much less effective than generally believed in guaranteeing the appropriation of innovation. It is quite natural to ask why companies bother to patent at all, and to spend an increasing amount of resources to develop patent applications, to extend them across countries, to engage in litigations and so on. The real problem is that IPRs are just one of the tools that companies use in a competitive environment and that the reasons why companies take patents are several. All empirical evidence on technological appropriation does confirm this (see Cohen et al. 2000; Arundel, 2001; Blind et al., 2006). Prevent imitators is, of course, a crucial motivation, but often this is associated to the defensive motivation to prevent competing companies to patent first. Patents are also very important to allow companies to engage in negotiations, i.e. to cross-licence patent rights with competitors. Other reasons such as to set new standards, reputation, and use as indicator of internal efficiency are equally relevant (Shapiro, 2001; Blind et al., 2006). The cases where IPRs are crucial are strongly confined to some industries and, within these industries, to specific products. We have also seen that there has been a consistent attempt to create a stronger IPRs regime in the United States and globally. Dynamically, this should also take into account that to make too onerous the access to intangible products is the best way to foster 11 competitors. In many developed countries, this has led to change economic attitudes. When software has started to be policed more seriously, many companies introduced formal policies to prevent the use of irregular programmes. In turn, this has led software companies to increase the price of their products. But the consequence was that consumers started to search for other viable alternatives. This led to an unexpected diffusion of open sources software and alternative operating systems such as Linux. Extra profits associated to protected programs have been reduced. When the United States complained against the illegal distribution of Hollywood films in India and obtained greater protection, this provided an impetus to the new Bollywood productions, an industry that is now a potential treat to also for Hollywood (Sunder, 2011). It is often argued that Western countries should make a net profit from stronger IPRs. But, again, this conclusion is not substantiated from evidence. As already indicated by the Lieberman Report (Lieberman, 2004), the main aim of multinational corporations in obtaining a stronger global IPRs regime was to delocalize production facilities and knowledge-intensive jobs in countries with lower wages. This can hardly be called an advantage for the United States and other advanced economies up to the point to question if the US government has made the interests of its people or of its MNCs in pushing so much for a harmonized global IPRs regime. Should the IPRs regime be fixed at all? The economic practice is very different form institutional ideal. So far, even the advocates of TRIPS recognize that the agreement did not have much impact for the least developed countries (Hold and Mercurio, 2012). There are clearly contesting forces at work, with net knowledge producers trying to appropriate the returns of their investments. 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