Friday, 06 February, 2015 For Internal Circulation Only TA RESEARCH’S ‘DAILY COMPILED REPORTS’ News a. b. Daily Market Commentary Daily Brief Fundamental Reports a. b. c. d. e. Guinness Anchor Berhad: Sturdy First-Half Malaysia Marine & Heavy Engineering: Closing A Tough Year with a Whimper Malaysian Economy: Malaysia's December Exports Up 2.7% YoY, Exceed Forecast Public Bank Berhad: Pleasant Surprise! Telecommunications Sector: Raid Data for Money Technical Reports f. g. Daily Technical Stock Picks Daily Money Flow Technical Stock Picks FBMKLCI Stocks Under Coverage PLANTATION Sector CONSTRUCTION Sector PROPERTY Sector h. Daily Stock Screen i. Foreign Technical Stock Watch (AUS, HK & FSSTI) Disclaimer The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein. for TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD (14948-M) MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Kaladher Govindan – Head of Research Daily Note Daily Market Commentary (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Bhd) Menara TA One, 22 Jalan P Ramlee, 50250 Kuala Lumpur Tel : 603 - 2072 1277. Fax : 603 - 2032 5048 Friday, 06 February 2015 TA Research e-mail : [email protected] For Internal Circulation Only KLSE Market Statistics (05.02.2015) Volume (mil) +/-chg (RMmn) Main Market 1,079.0 -463.0 1,926.5 Warrants 101.1 1.9 40.0 ACE Market 466.4 -304.6 121.9 Bond 1.2 0.2 0.6 ETF 0.1 0.05 0.1 Total 1,647.8 2,089.2 Off Market 26.3 -10.2 15.0 Value +/-chg -570.4 19.6 -52.5 0.2 0.07 -61.1 Major Indices Index +/- chg Malaysia FBMKLCI FBMEMAS FBMSCAP Feb Futures Other Markets DOW JONES NASDAQ (US) FTSE (UK) NIKKEI (JAPAN) KOSPI (KOREA) HANG SENG (HK) FSSTI (S'PORE) SET (BANGKOK) JCI (JAKARTA) SHANGHAI SHENZHEN AUSTRALIA (mn) 9.8 9.3 3.3 1.0 @ @ @ @ Review & Outlook Up Down 263 333 43 49 34 46 3 3 1 2 344 433 % chg % YTD chg 1,803.21 12,395.87 16,017.58 1,798.00 0.19 1.47 0.63 -4.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 -0.22 2.38 2.73 6.53 2.68 17,884.88 4,765.10 6,865.93 17,504.62 1,952.84 24,765.49 3,406.58 1,607.92 5,279.90 3,136.53 1,526.11 5,810.98 211.86 48.39 5.91 -174.12 -9.95 85.73 -10.99 8.11 -35.39 -37.60 -2.93 33.64 1.20 1.03 0.09 -0.98 -0.51 0.35 -0.32 0.51 -0.67 -1.18 -0.19 0.58 0.35 0.61 4.57 0.31 1.94 4.92 1.23 7.36 1.01 -3.03 7.84 7.39 Top 10 KLCI Based on Mkt Cap. Off Market TROP INSAS-PR NIHSIN DGSB Value/ Volume 1.79 0.40 0.26 0.47 1.26 1.27 0.57 (RM) 1.05 0.18 0.45 0.10 Counter Mkt Cap. (RM’mn) MAYBANK 83,127 PBBANK 71,206 CIMB 48,352 AXIATA 61,551 DIGI 50,460 GENTING 32,904 KLK 24,494 TM 26,036 PETDAG 17,942 BAT 19,416 Chg (RM) 0.09 0.08 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.10 0.01 0.08 0.50 Vol. (mn) 12.00 10.04 10.40 12.23 11.12 1.59 1.39 5.62 0.68 0.34 Important Dates MAHSING - 3:10 Rights Issue - RI of 442.9m shares, together with 132.9 free detachable warrants. 3 rights shares for every 10 existing shares held, at an issue price of RM1.42 per rights share, and 3 warrants for every 10 rights shares subscribed. Trading of Rights: 27/01 - 05/02/2015. Application Closed: 12/02/2015. LISTING ON: 26/02/2015. IOIPG - 1:6 Rights Issue - RI of 539.8m shares. 1 rights share for every 6 existing shares held, at an issue price of RM1.90 per rights share. LISTING ON: 09/02/2015. Stocks eased into profit-taking consolidation Thursday due to regional weakness after the ECB rejected Greek bonds in exchange for funding, and as oil prices slumped from the recent sharp rally on supply glut worries. The KLCI ended flat at 1,803.21, after oscillating between high of 1,804.25 and low of 1,796.41, as losers edged gainers 433 to 344 on cautious trade totaling 1.64bn shares worth RM2.09bn. Blue chips should extend sideways trade ahead of the weekend amid external worries dominated by the Greece debt discussions with the ECB and volatile crude oil prices. Key resistance stays at Wednesday's high of 1,831, near the current 200-day moving average level of 1,833, with next hurdle at 1,840, the 76.4%FR level. Immediate support remains at 1,778, the 50%FR level, with better support at 1,750, the 38.2%FR, and stronger chart supports found at 1,730 and 1,716, the 23.6%FR level. Any share price weakness on AMMB below the lower Bollinger band (RM6.23) will be attractive to bargain for rebound upside towards RM6.48 (76.4%FR), with tougher hurdles from the upper band (RM6.66) and the 61.8%FR (RM6.79) capping near-term upside. Crucial support is from the 15/12/14 low of RM5.97. A daily stochastics and MACD buy signal on CIMB improves upside potential towards RM6.08 (38.2%FR), while a confirmed breakout will target RM6.40 (50%FR) ahead. Crucial chart supports are at the lower Bollinger band (RM5.15) and 12/1/15 low (RM5.05). • • • • • • • • • • • • • News Bites Malaysia's exports for December increased by 2.7% YoY to RM67.69bn compared with a 2.1% YoY gain registered in the previous month. It was well above consensus estimate of +1.0% YoY Public Bank Berhad's FY14 net profit of RM4.5bn (+11.2% YoY) came within expectations as it accounted for around 103% of ours and consensus full year estimates of RM4.4bn respectively. Malaysia Marine and Heavy Engineering's FY14 core net profit of RM117.7mn (-43% YoY) underperformed ours and consensus expectations as it only accounted for 72% and 77% of full year estimates respectively. Guinness Anchor Berhad announced a strong set of 1HFY15 results as net profit expanded by 13% YoY to RM130.7mn. Nexgram Holdings Bhd has entered into a joint-venture agreement with Top Valley Properties Sdn Bhd to construct and develop a 2.15 ha an agriculture land in Dengkil, Selangor. The Securities Commission has approved the proposed listing of Malakoff Corp Bhd on the Main Market of Bursa Securities. YNH Property Bhd has signed a memorandum of understanding with Hilton Worldwide Manage Ltd for a proposed hotel to be named "Hilton Kuala Lumpur City Centre & Residences". Tanjung Offshore Bhd has handed over to the Securities Commission the findings of its independent committee which resulted in suspensions last month for three senior company officials. Oversea Enterprise Bhd will undertake a special Bumiputera issue of 35mn new shares, in order to comply with the Bumiputera equity condition set by regulators. As part of its asset-light strategy, a subsidiary of Masterskill Education Group Bhd has proposed to dispose properties in Petaling Jaya, Selangor, and Masai in Johor, to Brilland Property Sdn Bhd for RM79.7mn cash. Fututech Bhd has requested its securities be suspended from trading from 9:00am today pending a material announcement. Applications for unemployment benefits in the US increased by 11,000 to 278,000 in the week ended Jan. 31, from a revised 267,000 in the prior period. The Bank of England left its main interest rate unchanged at 0.5% as lower oil prices push the inflation rate further below its target, despite continued strong economic growth and falling unemployment. Exchange Rate RM/USD 3.5651 0.0008 YEN/USD 117.42 0.0100 USD/EURO 1.1433 -0.0009 Commodities Futures Palm Oil (RM/mt) 2,303.00 118.00 Crude Oil ($/Barrel) 50.92 2.22 Gold ($/tr.oz.) 1,265.00 -4.40 DISCLAIMER The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein. for TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD Kaladher Govindan, Head of Research TA Securities Friday, February 06, 2015 FBMKLCI: 1,803.21 A Member of the TA Group MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 ` Daily Brief Market View, News In Brief: Corporate, Economy, and Share Buybacks THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* TA Research Team Coverage Market View Tel: +603 – 2072 1277 [email protected] www.taonline.com.my Range Bound Amid External Worries Stocks eased into profit-taking consolidation Thursday due to regional weakness after the ECB rejected Greek bonds in exchange for funding, and as oil prices slumped from the recent sharp rally on supply glut worries. The KLCI ended flat at 1,803.21, after oscillating between high of 1,804.25 and low of 1,796.41, as losers edged gainers 433 to 344 on cautious trade totaling 1.64bn shares worth RM2.09bn. Support at 1,778, Resistance at 1,831 Blue chips should extend sideways trade ahead of the weekend amid external worries dominated by the Greece debt discussions with the ECB and volatile crude oil prices. Key resistance stays at Wednesday’s high of 1,831, near the current 200-day moving average level of 1,833, with next hurdle at 1,840, the 76.4%FR level. Immediate support remains at 1,778, the 50%FR level, with better support at 1,750, the 38.2%FR, and stronger chart supports found at 1,730 and 1,716, the 23.6%FR level. BUY AMMB & CIMB for Rebound Any share price weakness on AMMB below the lower Bollinger band (RM6.23) will be attractive to bargain for rebound upside towards RM6.48 (76.4%FR), with tougher hurdles from the upper band (RM6.66) and the 61.8%FR (RM6.79) capping near-term upside. Crucial support is from the 15/12/14 low of RM5.97. A daily stochastics and MACD buy signal on CIMB improves upside potential towards RM6.08 (38.2%FR), while a confirmed breakout will target RM6.40 (50%FR) ahead. Crucial chart supports are at the lower Bollinger band (RM5.15) and 12/1/15 low (RM5.05). Most Asian Markets Lower On Greek Debt Asian stocks were mostly lower on Thursday after the European Central Bank said it would not accept Greek bonds as collateral, a robust early response to Athens's efforts to renegotiate bailout terms with creditors. Investors also became more risk-averse as an extended rally in crude oil petered out. Wall Street snapped a two-day surge overnight, weighed by a slide in energy shares. Worries about Greek debt were in focus after the European Central Bank (ECB) banned the use of Greek government bonds as collateral for ECB cash on Wednesday. China stocks surrendered early gains as traders took profits after the central bank unveiled its latest stimulus measures. Banks closed lower following a 4 percent rally earlier, with Agricultural Bank of China and China Construction Bank fell over 1 percent each. Japan's Nikkei share average also dipped on Thursday on news of the European Central Bank's hardline stance on Greek debt and fresh falls in oil prices, while investors took profits in Toyota and some others after their unsurprising earnings. Hitachi plunged 10 percent after operating profit dropped 1 percent on year, Mazda Motor skidded nearly 3 percent after posting a 5 percent drop in earnings. Meanwhile, Australian shares jumped to a sevenyear high, reversing earlier losses and extending gains into an eleventh session. Page 1 of 7 TA Securities 6-Feb-15 A Member of the TA Group Banks underpinned gains with National Australia Bank up 1.3 percent after reporting that net profit rose to $1.8 billion in the last three months of 2014, lower than $1.4 billion a year ago. Australia New Zealand Banking also rose 1 percent while Commonwealth Bank of Australia jumped 2.6 percent. Wall Street Up on Oil Rebound US stocks rose on Thursday as crude oil rebounded, although caution remained following the European Central Bank's surprise decision to strike Greek bonds off its list of accepted collateral. Greek banking shares fell sharply on the day, which in turn limited the advance of broader European equities. In a sign the region remains unstable, Greece's new leftist finance minister clashed openly with his powerful German counterpart. The ECB's actions, which were announced on Wednesday, mean the Greek central bank will have to provide its banks with tens of billions of euros of additional emergency liquidity in the coming weeks. Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras' 10-day-old government has said it would not extend a bailout program, which is due to expire at the end of this month. It has also refused to cooperate with the so-called troika of international lenders. While energy stocks were the big gainers on Wall Street, equities were also supported by encouraging jobless claims data, which came a day before Friday's non-farm payrolls figures, boosted sentiment, as well as Pfizer buying Hospira Inc for about $15 billion. U.S. crude oil futures rose 4.8 percent to $50.75 per barrel on falling output and rising violence in Libya. Oil has risen in five of the past six sessions and, so far this year, there have been only four sessions with moves less than 1 percent. Despite the recent rise, oil remains down more than 50 percent from a high reached in June. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 211.86 points, or 1.2 percent, to 17,884.88, the S&P 500 gained 21.01 points, or 1.03 percent, to 2,062.52 and the Nasdaq Composite added 48.39 points, or 1.03 percent, to 4,765.10. Page 2 of 7 TA Securities 6-Feb-15 A Member of the TA Group News In Brief Corporate Nexgram Holdings Bhd has entered into a joint-venture agreement with Top Valley Properties Sdn Bhd (TVP) to construct and develop an agriculture land in Dengkil, Selangor. Under the agreement, TVP granted the sole and exclusive development rights over the 2.15 ha leasehold land to Nexgram Land Sdn Bhd, which is wholly-owned by Nexgram. The project is for a mixed property development, including three tower blocks of service apartments and shops. (Bernama) The Securities Commission has approved the proposed listing of Malakoff Corp Bhd on the Main Market of Bursa Securities. MMC Corp Bhd said its 51 per cent-owned unit had submitted an application to Bursa Securities for the admission into the Official List and quotation for its entire enlarged issued and paid-up ordinary shares. (Bernama) YNH Property Bhd has signed a memorandum of understanding with Hilton Worldwide Manage Ltd for a proposed hotel to be named "Hilton Kuala Lumpur City Centre & Residences". The proposed hotel would be managed by Hilton Worldwide. (Bernama) Tanjung Offshore Bhd has handed over to the Securities Commission the findings of its independent committee which resulted in suspensions last month for three senior company officials. Its independent non-executive director Shahrizal Hisham Abdul Halim had on Thursday presented to the SC various complaints arising from the committee’s findings. The findings included possible conflicts of interest and breaches of fiduciary duty by Muhammad Sabri Ab Ghani and Tan Sri Tan Kean Soon. (StarBiz) Chinese restaurant operator Oversea Enterprise Bhd will undertake a special Bumiputera issue of 35mn new shares, in order to comply with the Bumiputera equity condition set by regulators. It was part of its listing conditions to allocate 12.5% of its enlarged issued and paid-up share capital to Bumiputera investors recognised by the Ministry of International Trade and Industry. The price of the new shares will be determined at a later date; and the funds raised, will be used for working capital. (Financial Daily) As part of its asset-light strategy, Masterskill (M) Sdn Bhd, a subsidiary of Masterskill Education Group Bhd(MEGB), has proposed to dispose properties in Petaling Jaya, Selangor, and Masai in Johor, to Brilland Property Sdn Bhd for RM79.7mn cash. Brilland Property is 59%-controlled by Siva Kumar Jeyapalan, 44, while the remaining 41% is held by his family via Transaction Opinion Sdn Bhd. Siva Kumar has a 23% interest in MEGB, and is the group’s chairman and executive director. (Financial Daily) Fututech Bhd has requested its securities be suspended from trading from 9:00am on Friday (Feb 6), pending a material announcement. Speculation is that the company’s major shareholder will inject construction assets and job orderbook into Fututech. (Financial Daily) Page 3 of 7 TA Securities 6-Feb-15 A Member of the TA Group News In Brief Economy Global Emerging markets start 2015 in low gear Global emerging markets started 2015 on a weak footing, according to the latest survey data from HSBC and Markit. The HSBC Emerging Markets Index (EMI), a monthly indicator derived from the PMI surveys, fell back from December’s three-month high of 51.7 to 51.2, the joint-lowest since last May. In 2014 the EMI averaged 51.4, the lowest for any calendar year since the series began in late-2005. The overall slowdown was driven by the weakest expansion in services activity in eight months. In contrast, manufacturing output growth picked up to the fastest since August. Among the four largest emerging economies, Russia and Brazil fared worst in January. Russian private sector output declined at the fastest rate since May 2009, while Brazilian output fell for the ninth time in ten months. Chinese growth slowed for the fourth time in five months. India bucked the overall lacklustre trend, registering one of the fastest rates of expansion in two years. New business growth moderated in January and remained historically weak, while backlogs were broadly unchanged and employment rose only marginally. Inflationary pressures weakened further in January, as Chinese firms’ input prices fell at the fastest rate since March 2009. Russian inflation remained rampant, however, with manufacturers’ input prices rising at the fastest rate since October 1998. (Source: Markit Economics) Asia Malaysia December Exports Up 2.7%, Exceed Forecast In December, Malaysia’s exports increased by 2.7% YoY to RM67.69bn compared with a 2.1% YoY gain registered in the previous month. It was well above consensus estimate of +1.0% YoY. This was mainly due to the strong growth of Electrical and Electronic products (E&E). However, exports of oil based products such as Petroleum products decreased due to a steep drop in global oil price. Thanks to the improved demand for E&E products, export performance still in a positive territory at the final month of 2014. Meanwhile, import increased to record a 4.2% YoY to RM58.50bn. Hence, trade balance registered a surplus of RM9.2bn during the month. As for 2014, Malaysia’s export ended on a high note despite the weaker overall external demand and lower commodity prices in the 2H14. Exports increased by 6.4% YoY to RM766.13bn in 2014, compared with a 2.5% YoY gain in 2013. Note that, the full year gain was below our estimate of 7.0% YoY but surpassed the Government forecast of 6.0% YoY in the 2014/2015 Economic Report. Imports also increased by 5.3% YoY in 2014 but narrowed from the 2013’s gain of 6.9% YoY. All in, trade balance registered a surplus of RM83.11bn during the year, an increase of 16.6% YoY. (Source: DOS, TA Securities) Indonesia Indonesia Growth Eases To 5-Year Low Indonesia's economy grew at the slowest pace in five years in 2014 on weaker exports, signaling the challenges that President Joko Widodo face to cushion growth amid falling commodity prices and subdued investment. Gross domestic product grew 5.02% in 2014, the weakest since 2009. A year ago, the economy expanded 5.58%.Southeast Asia's largest economy is forecast to grow by 5.5% in 2015.In the fourth quarter, the economy grew 5.01% from last year, the same as in the prior quarter and slightly faster than an expected 4.9%.Quarter-on-quarter, GDP shrank 2.06%, which was worse than a 1.48% fall forecast by economists. Growth is unlikely to slow any further from here. But a rebound is not expected in the short-term with weak commodity prices and high interest rates set to weigh on economic activity. On the expenditure side, household spending gained 5.01% and government spending rose 2.83% in the fourth quarter from last year. Investment advanced 4.27%. Exports declined 4.53%, while imports grew 3.22%.In January, the manufacturing sector contracted for four consecutive months on weak output and orders, according to Purchasing Managers' survey. The central bank is likely to keep its monetary policy settings unchanged over 2015.Bank Indonesia raised its key interest rate at a special meeting in November in response to the government's decision to raise fuel prices. It was the first rate hike in a year. (Source: RTT News) Page 4 of 7 TA Securities 6-Feb-15 A Member of the TA Group U.S. U.S. December trade deficit largest since 2012 The U.S. trade deficit in December widened sharply to its highest level since 2012 as imports rose despite a lower energy bill, which could see the fourth-quarter growth estimate revised down. The trade deficit jumped 17.1% to USUS$46.6bn, the largest since November 2012. It was the biggest percentage increase since July 2009. November's shortfall on the trade balance was revised up to USUS$39.8bn from a previously reported USUS$39.0bn. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the trade deficit falling to US$38.0 billion. When adjusted for inflation, the deficit widened to US$54.7bn from US$48.7bn in November. December's surprise surge in the trade gap suggested a downward revision to the fourth-quarter gross domestic product estimate. The government reported last week that GDP expanded at a 2.6% annual rate, with trade estimated to have subtracted 1.02 percentage point from growth. In December, imports rose 2.2% to US$241.4bn, with imports of non-petroleum products surging to a record high, a sign of strengthening in the domestic economy. It also reflected the strength of the U.S. dollar. Exports slipped 0.8% to US$194.9bn in December. Exports have been hurt by slowing growth in Asia and Europe, a strengthening dollar, as well as a labor dispute at U.S. West Coast ports, which has been cited by some manufacturers as causing delays in the movement of goods. Exports to Canada and Mexico - the main U.S. trading partners - fell in December. In contrast, exports to Japan, China and the European Union rose in December. The politically sensitive U.S.China trade deficit fell 5.5% to US$28.3bn. (Source: Reuters) U.S. Productivity Falls in Last Months of 2014 U.S. worker productivity declined in the final months of 2014, the latest sign of weak gains that could restrain the economy’s long-term growth. The productivity of nonfarm workers, measured as the output of goods and services per hour worked, fell at a 1.8% seasonally adjusted annual rate in the fourth quarter. Productivity was flat from a year earlier. A gauge of labour costs rose in the fourth quarter. Unit labour costs increased at a 2.7% annual rate, and climbed 1.9% from a year earlier. Productivity grew at a 3.7% rate in the third quarter, revised up from an earlier estimate of 2.3% growth, and unit labour costs fell at a 2.3% pace versus an earlier estimate of a 1% decline. Strong productivity gains can help boost broader economic growth. Sluggish productivity growth, on the other hand, can be a drag on the broader economy. (Source: The Wall Street Journal) Fewer Americans Than Forecast Filed Jobless Claims Last Week Fewer Americans than forecast filed jobless claims last week, hovering around levels that are typically associated with an improving job market. Applications for unemployment benefits increased by 11,000 to 278,000 in the week ended Jan. 31, from a revised 267,000 in the prior period. While holidays make it difficult to adjust the date for seasonal swings this time of year, making the data more volatile, readings this low often correspond with gains in hiring. A report is projected to show the U.S. payrolls grew 230,000 workers in January. The four-week moving average, a less volatile measure than the weekly figures, declined to 292,750 last week, the lowest in more than a month, from 299,250. The number of people continuing to receive jobless benefits climbed by 6,000 to 2.4 million in the week ended Jan. 24. The unemployment rate among people eligible for benefits held at 1.8%. (Source: Bloomberg) Consumer Comfort in U.S. Declines From Highest Level Since 2007 Consumer confidence declined last week from the highest level in more than seven years as Americans’ attitudes about their finances ebbed with the stock market. While the Bloomberg weekly index of consumer comfort fell to 45.5 in the period ended Feb. 1 from 47.3, it was still the second-best reading since July 2007. Measures of the buying climate and views of the economy also lost ground. Americans with annual incomes of US$100,000 or more saw the biggest decrease in sentiment since February 2014, coming off the worst month in a year for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. A gauge of Americans’ views on the current state of the economy dropped to 39.9 last week from 42.3. An index of the buying climate, showing whether this is a good time to purchase goods and services, declined to 37.5 from 39. A measure of personal finances fell to 59.2 from 60.7. (Source: Bloomberg) Page 5 of 7 TA Securities 6-Feb-15 A Member of the TA Group Europe Euro Area EU Raises Eurozone Growth Forecasts; Cuts Inflation Outlook The European Commission raised the growth forecasts for Eurozone for this year and next, citing strengthened domestic and foreign demand, very accommodative monetary policy and a broadly neutral fiscal stance. In its winter forecast, the executive arm of the European Union forecast 1.3% growth in the euro area for this year, which was higher than the 1.1% predicted in November. The growth outlook for 2016 was also raised to 1.9% from 1.7%. The EU economy as a whole was forecast to expand 1.7% this year and 2.1% in 2016. For the first time since 2007, the economies of all European Union Member States are expected to grow again this year. Meanwhile, inflation forecasts were cut further and prices are expected to decline this year owing to falling energy prices. The inflation projection for this year was lowered to -0.1% from 0.8% seen in November. The outlook for 2016 was also cut to 1.3% from 1.5%. Inflation should increase as of mid-2015 and in the course of 2016, as economic activity gradually strengthens, wages rise and the economic slack is reduced (Source: RTT News) Eurozone Retail PMI Drops as Sales Fall in France and Italy January retail PMI data from Markit showed a further divergence in performance between the Eurozone’s big-three economies, with Germany recording growth in sales for a fourth straight month, while France and Italy both saw deepening downturns. The headline Markit Eurozone Retail PMI – which tracks month-on-month changes in like-for-like retail sales across the bloc’s biggest three economies combined – fell from 47.6 in December to 46.6, its lowest in four months. The index has now posted below the critical 50.0 mark, signalling falling sales, in eight of the past nine months. French and Italian retailers alike recorded further decreases in sales in January. Moreover, in both cases, rates of decline had accelerated for the second successive month, reaching the fastest overall for four and five months respectively. In contrast, German retail sales continued to grow, rising for the fourth straight month and at a slightly faster rate than in December. (Source: Markit Economics) U.K. Bank of England Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged The Bank of England left its main interest rate unchanged as lower oil prices push the inflation rate further below its target, despite continued strong economic growth and falling unemployment. The BOE said in a statement that its rate-setting Monetary Policy Committee opted to leave the central bank’s benchmark interest rate at 0.5% at its February meeting. The nine-member panel also chose to keep the size of the BOE’s bond portfolio at GBP375bn (USUS$567bn). The U.K.’s annual rate of inflation fell to 0.5% in December from 1.0% in November, and probably eased further below the BOE’s 2.0% target in January. The European Commission said it now expects consumer prices to rise 1.0% during 2015, having previously forecast inflation of 1.6%. BOE forecasts show it could take until late 2017 to bring inflation back to target, despite predictions of healthy growth and a further decline in unemployment. The commission said it expects the U.K. economy to grow 2.6% in 2015 and 2.4% in 2016, a more rapid expansion than it projects for other large European nations, such as Germany, France and Italy. It also forecast that the unemployment rate will fall to 5.6% this year and 5.4% in 2016. (Source: The Wall Street Journal) U.K Halifax House Prices Rise For Third Month In January U.K house prices increased for the third straight month in January, survey data from Lloyds Banking Group's Halifax division showed. House prices climbed 2.0% MoM in January, faster than the 1.1% rise in the previous month. Economists had expected house prices to remain flat during the month. The latest monthly increase was the highest January growth since 2009, when it went up 2.4%. On a quarterly basis, house prices rose at a faster rate of 1.9% in the three months ended January after increasing 0.3% in the three months ended December. This was the first increase in the quarterly growth rate since July. In the threemonth period to January, house prices surged 8.5% from the previous year, exceeding economists' expectations for a 7.7% growth. (Source: RTT News) Page 6 of 7 TA Securities 6-Feb-15 A Member of the TA Group Germany Factory Orders Expand Most Since July German factory orders rebounded at the fastest pace in five months underpinned by both domestic and foreign demand in December. Factory orders grew a seasonally and workingday adjusted 4.2% MoM in December, reversing a revised 2.4% fall in November. The latest order growth was the strongest since July, when demand rose 4.8%. The growth also exceeded a 1.5% rise expected by economists. On a yearly basis, orders rose 3.4% in December, rebounding from a 0.4% drop in November. The annual growth rate was also faster than the expected growth of 0.7%. Domestic orders climbed 3.4% on month in December and orders from export market surged by 4.8%. New orders from the euro area rose 5.9% from the previous month and bookings from other countries gained by 4.0%. Manufacturers of intermediate goods recorded increases in new orders of 2.8% and orders of capital goods grew by 5.7%. Meanwhile, demand for consumer goods registered a fall of 0.6%. On a separate note, German construction sector contracted at the start of 2015 due to a drop in output as commercial and civil engineering activity fell further, data from Markit showed. The Purchasing Managers' Index fell to 49.5 in January from 50.5 in December. (RTT News) Share Buy-Back: 05 -Feb 2015 Company Bought Back BKAWAN HAIO MAA PARKSON RCECAP SUBUR 48,900 5,900 300,000 1,226,500 47,000 200 Price (RM) 18.34/18.32 2.39/2.38 0.68 2.47/2.45 0.32 1.97 Hi/Lo (RM) Total Treasury Shares 28,255,900 7,000,588 3,947,700 60,865,729 50,871,200 20,875,000 18.4/18.3 2.39/2.35 0.69/0.68 2.47/2.44 0.32 1.97 Source: Bursa Malaysia Disclaimer The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein. for TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD (14948-M) MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Kaladher Govindan – Head of Research Page 7 of 7 For Internal Circulation Only SNAPSHOT OF STOCKS UNDER COVERAGE Company Share Price (RM) 05-Feb-15 Target Price (RM) BETA EPS (sen) FY15 FY16 PER (X) FY15 FY16 0.76 3.18 10.88 0.69 3.10 13.05 0.73 0.86 1.07 12.1 31.2 96.1 12.4 32.7 107.1 6.3 10.2 11.3 6.1 9.7 10.2 2.6 2.5 5.1 2.6 3.1 5.7 0.98 3.47 12.68 -22.4 -8.4 -14.2 0.68 2.60 10.00 11.8 22.3 8.8 -1.3 9.7 -0.7 BANKS & FINANCIAL SERVICES AFG 4.78 AFFIN 2.87 AMBANK 6.29 CIMB 5.74 HLBANK 14.26 MAYBANK 8.92 PBBANK 18.44 RHBCAP 8.14 BURSA 8.19 4.35 3.10 7.30 6.90 14.10 11.20 20.30 10.00 8.40 1.15 0.84 1.09 1.27 0.64 1.09 0.83 1.07 0.99 37.4 31.3 66.9 51.1 118.9 72.9 126.3 86.9 35.1 40.9 32.7 65.6 55.0 131.1 78.9 133.8 94.3 39.9 12.8 9.2 9.4 11.2 12.0 12.2 14.6 9.4 23.3 11.7 8.8 9.6 10.4 10.9 11.3 13.8 8.6 20.5 4.7 5.2 4.1 4.6 2.9 6.7 2.9 2.5 4.4 5.2 5.2 4.5 4.9 2.9 6.7 2.9 2.7 4.9 5.23 3.94 7.47 7.56 14.96 10.20 20.93 9.70 8.29 -8.6 -27.2 -15.8 -24.1 -4.7 -12.5 -11.9 -16.1 -1.2 4.08 2.68 5.97 5.05 13.70 8.25 17.40 7.05 7.21 17.3 7.1 5.4 13.7 4.1 8.1 6.0 15.5 13.6 1.7 -1.0 -4.7 3.2 2.0 -2.7 0.8 6.8 1.1 CONSTRUCTION BPURI GAMUDA IJM NAIM SENDAI TRC WCT LITRAK 0.58 5.14 6.92 3.06 0.61 0.40 1.59 3.80 0.74 4.81 6.61 3.74 0.55 0.53 1.67 4.18 1.17 1.22 0.87 2.00 1.67 1.58 1.14 0.54 9.6 31.2 36.6 49.6 6.8 6.5 14.6 28.6 19.3 32.9 54.3 51.0 11.0 10.8 15.1 38.5 6.1 16.5 18.9 6.2 8.9 6.2 10.9 13.3 3.0 15.6 12.7 6.0 5.5 3.7 10.5 9.9 6.9 2.7 2.2 2.0 3.3 5.0 6.3 4.7 6.9 2.9 2.6 2.0 3.3 7.5 6.3 5.3 0.80 5.34 7.03 4.42 1.14 0.62 2.35 4.09 -27.5 -3.7 -1.6 -30.8 -46.5 -35.5 -32.2 -7.1 0.50 4.28 5.59 2.78 0.49 0.34 1.38 3.39 16.0 20.1 23.8 10.1 25.8 17.6 15.2 12.1 7.4 2.6 5.3 2.7 -21.8 5.3 0.0 2.7 11.94 12.20 11.42 13.55 0.78 0.64 64.6 70.0 68.4 76.9 18.5 17.4 17.5 15.9 4.9 5.2 5.2 5.7 13.54 15.28 -11.8 -20.2 10.36 12.02 15.3 1.5 1.7 -0.8 3.01 10.98 18.94 73.30 2.47 3.60 3.29 12.92 19.44 63.04 2.72 4.12 1.13 0.51 0.54 0.44 0.58 0.98 19.2 68.7 82.5 275.5 12.4 15.3 21.7 74.7 90.2 298.4 14.6 17.9 15.7 16.0 23.0 26.6 19.9 23.5 13.9 14.7 21.0 24.6 17.0 20.1 1.9 5.6 3.9 3.6 2.2 1.1 2.2 6.1 4.3 3.9 2.6 1.3 4.33 12.28 19.02 73.50 3.17 3.60 -30.5 -10.6 -0.4 -0.3 -22.1 0.0 2.64 10.00 15.42 63.50 2.17 2.83 14.0 9.8 22.8 15.4 13.8 27.3 -4.4 5.6 8.6 7.0 -1.2 9.1 68.00 72.59 0.89 349.5 359.9 19.5 18.9 4.7 4.8 74.40 -8.6 58.00 17.2 4.5 8.85 4.16 11.88 4.57 1.21 0.89 57.1 28.5 60.2 28.1 15.5 14.6 14.7 14.8 1.2 2.0 1.3 2.3 10.36 4.68 -14.6 -11.1 8.30 3.78 6.6 10.1 -0.2 2.2 3.40 4.51 0.95 27.2 27.6 12.5 12.3 7.9 8.2 3.95 -13.9 3.36 1.2 -3.1 5.24 3.96 4.65 4.60 0.83 0.78 10.7 14.7 13.1 17.0 48.8 26.9 40.1 23.3 0.5 1.9 0.6 1.9 5.38 4.04 -2.6 -2.0 3.56 2.97 47.2 33.3 8.7 7.0 7.51 5.18 2.20 4.84 4.07 6.10 5.40 2.20 4.95 3.55 0.65 0.51 1.05 0.75 na 27.7 29.6 21.1 33.3 15.0 35.4 34.3 24.6 36.8 17.2 27.1 17.5 10.4 14.5 27.1 21.2 15.1 9.0 13.2 23.7 1.6 2.6 2.9 3.4 0.9 2.0 3.0 3.3 3.8 1.1 7.68 5.52 3.08 5.90 4.11 -2.2 -6.2 -28.6 -18.0 -1.0 5.72 3.63 1.58 4.21 2.64 31.3 42.7 39.2 15.0 54.2 6.8 15.9 31.0 7.1 20.4 INDUSTRIAL SCIENTX SKPRES UNIMECH 6.61 0.77 1.57 8.56 1.10 1.73 1.19 1.05 1.08 76.0 5.0 21.1 88.0 9.6 24.2 8.7 15.3 7.4 7.5 8.0 6.5 3.5 3.3 4.5 4.1 5.3 5.4 7.63 0.84 1.78 -13.4 -8.4 -11.8 4.98 0.31 1.40 32.7 150.8 12.1 -6.8 19.5 5.4 MEDIA MEDIA PRIMA STAR 1.89 2.53 2.34 2.52 1.54 0.56 17.3 21.0 18.0 22.0 10.9 12.0 10.5 11.5 7.4 7.1 7.9 7.1 2.64 2.79 -28.4 -9.2 1.61 2.09 17.4 21.0 7.4 9.5 OIL & GAS ICON MHB PANTECH PCHEM PERISAI SKPETRO UMWOG 0.69 1.53 0.75 5.29 0.49 2.77 2.69 1.33 1.47 0.93 5.60 0.96 3.96 3.66 na 1.51 1.51 1.06 2.51 1.81 na 12.1 12.3 9.9 42.9 9.6 22.9 19.3 17.2 11.9 13.2 50.2 16.8 26.7 22.6 5.7 12.5 7.5 12.3 5.1 12.1 14.0 4.0 12.9 5.7 10.5 2.9 10.4 11.9 0.0 3.3 5.3 4.1 0.0 1.3 0.0 0.0 3.3 7.0 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.19 4.16 1.15 7.01 1.71 4.80 4.63 -68.5 -63.2 -34.8 -24.5 -71.3 -42.3 -41.9 0.62 1.27 0.71 4.65 0.38 2.02 1.91 12.2 20.5 6.4 13.8 28.9 37.1 40.8 -7.4 -14.0 -2.6 -2.9 7.7 19.4 14.5 AUTOMOBILE EPMB MBMR UMW CONSUMER Brewery CARLSBG GUINESS Retail AEON AMWAY F&N NESTLE PARKSON QL Tobacco BAT GAMING Casino GENTING GENM NFO BJTOTO HEALTHCARE Hospitals IHH KPJ Rubber Gloves HARTA KOSSAN SUPERMX TOPGLOV KAREX Div Yield (%) FY15 FY16 52weeks High Price % Chg 52weeks Low Price % Chg % Chg YTD For Internal Circulation Only SNAPSHOT OF STOCKS UNDER COVERAGE Company Share Price (RM) Target Price (RM) BETA EPS (sen) FY15 FY16 PER (X) FY15 FY16 4.60 2.35 3.50 4.75 23.00 1.95 9.54 6.37 5.31 2.43 4.26 4.33 19.27 1.72 10.32 7.83 0.64 na 0.83 1.04 1.06 0.32 0.74 0.51 27.8 14.9 13.8 17.8 93.5 12.3 39.9 33.0 16.6 15.8 25.4 26.7 24.6 15.9 23.9 19.3 PLANTATIONS BSTEAD FGV IJMPLNT IOICORP KLK KWANTAS SIME UMCCA 29.7 17.5 17.7 22.6 118.1 18.9 53.5 45.4 15.5 13.5 19.8 21.0 19.5 10.3 17.8 14.0 Div Yield (%) FY15 FY16 5.7 4.3 2.3 2.5 2.2 1.5 3.0 3.3 6.1 4.3 2.9 2.7 2.8 2.6 3.4 4.4 52weeks High Price % Chg 5.66 4.70 4.03 5.36 25.14 2.30 9.80 7.53 PROPERTY CRESNDO 2.49 2.35 1.45 24.3 34.3 10.2 7.3 6.0 6.4 3.11 GLOMAC 0.99 0.87 1.19 10.6 13.4 9.3 7.4 4.0 4.5 1.21 HUAYANG 2.15 2.86 1.18 38.9 41.4 5.5 5.2 6.0 6.5 2.52 IOIPG 2.08 2.85 na 12.1 16.2 17.2 12.9 3.4 4.3 2.83 Note: IOIPG 1 for 6 rights issue shares, at an issue price of RM1.90 per rights share. Ex-Target price RM2.85. MAHSING 1.99 2.60 1.17 20.5 23.7 9.7 8.4 4.0 4.8 2.38 Note: MAHSING 3 for 10 rights issue shares, at an issue price of RM1.42 per rights share. For more detail please refer to 22.01.15 report. SNTORIA 1.14 1.35 0.80 13.6 19.0 8.4 6.0 1.8 1.8 1.61 SPSETIA 3.60 3.62 0.56 24.3 31.0 14.8 11.6 3.3 4.3 3.65 SUNWAY 3.33 3.85 1.17 30.7 30.4 10.8 11.0 3.6 3.8 3.67 REIT SUNREIT 1.56 1.75 0.44 8.5 10.3 18.3 15.2 5.8 6.9 1.60 CMMT 1.43 1.58 0.68 8.6 9.6 16.5 14.9 6.5 7.1 1.66 52weeks Low Price % Chg % Chg YTD -18.7 -50.0 -13.2 -11.4 -8.5 -15.2 -2.7 -15.4 4.38 2.02 3.11 4.09 19.60 1.90 8.78 6.00 5.0 16.3 12.5 16.1 17.3 2.6 8.7 6.2 -4.6 7.8 -3.3 -1.0 0.9 -2.5 3.8 1.6 -19.9 -18.2 -14.7 -26.5 2.27 0.90 1.71 2.06 9.7 10.0 25.7 1.0 8.3 1.0 4.9 -14.0 -16.3 1.84 8.2 -3.8 -29.2 -1.4 -9.3 0.84 2.74 2.61 36.5 31.4 27.6 -7.3 9.1 1.2 -2.5 -13.9 1.23 1.32 26.8 8.3 2.6 0.0 POWER & UTILITIES PETDAG PETGAS TENAGA YTLPOWR 18.06 22.44 14.54 1.57 16.57 23.67 17.00 1.94 0.88 1.17 1.08 0.91 63.8 84.9 122.6 15.0 87.8 85.0 119.0 15.0 28.3 26.4 11.9 10.4 20.6 26.4 12.2 10.5 3.6 2.7 2.5 0.6 3.6 2.8 2.4 0.6 30.98 24.96 16.96 1.79 -41.7 -10.1 -14.3 -12.3 14.56 20.60 11.22 1.42 24.0 8.9 29.6 10.6 5.5 1.3 5.4 6.1 TELECOMMUNICATIONS AXIATA DIGI MAXIS TM 7.17 6.49 7.07 7.00 7.16 6.76 6.78 8.32 0.86 0.90 0.74 0.73 33.5 26.7 30.3 23.5 37.3 29.4 32.3 25.4 21.4 24.3 23.3 29.8 19.2 22.1 21.9 27.6 3.5 4.0 4.3 3.7 3.9 4.5 4.5 3.8 7.29 6.65 7.30 7.60 -1.6 -2.4 -3.2 -7.9 6.38 4.66 6.21 5.43 12.4 39.3 13.8 28.9 1.7 5.2 3.2 1.7 TECHNOLOGY Semiconductor & Electronics IRIS 0.34 MPI 5.74 UNISEM 2.10 0.35 7.60 2.40 0.81 0.99 1.01 1.0 42.8 13.3 2.2 54.7 17.1 32.3 13.4 15.8 15.5 10.5 12.3 1.3 3.5 1.9 1.3 3.5 1.9 0.63 6.49 2.13 -46.8 -11.6 -1.4 0.22 3.98 0.95 52.3 44.2 122.2 34.0 26.7 18.0 2.2 1.3 2.9 2.0 2.94 8.65 -5.4 -17.2 2.19 6.30 26.9 13.7 2.2 5.3 1.3 3.5 1.3 3.9 7.99 3.67 -3.6 -4.6 5.94 2.45 29.6 42.9 6.6 4.2 TRANSPORTATION Airlines AIRASIA 2.78 3.41 1.06 24.4 30.9 11.4 9.0 AIRPORT 7.16 6.79 1.08 17.0 26.3 42.2 27.3 Note: AIRPORT proposed 1 for 5 rights issue shares. For more detail please refer to 12.11.14 report. Freight & Tankers MISC 7.70 8.36 0.95 44.0 48.5 17.5 15.9 WPRTS 3.50 3.48 na 16.4 18.1 21.4 19.3 SNAPSHOT OF FOREIGN STOCKS UNDER COVERAGE Company Share Price (S$) BANKS & FINANCIAL SERVICES DBS 19.42 OCBC 10.49 UOB 23.40 PLANTATIONS WILMAR IFAR 3.21 0.71 Target Price (S$) Beta EPS (cent) FY15 FY16 PER (X) FY15 FY16 Div Yield (%) FY15 FY16 52week High Price % Chg 52week Low Price % Chg 20.60 11.50 26.60 1.07 1.00 1.13 171.6 95.6 226.1 175.8 106.6 248.3 11.3 11.0 10.4 11.0 9.8 9.4 2.9 4.7 3.2 2.9 5.7 3.2 20.67 10.63 24.72 -6.0 -1.3 -5.3 15.65 8.84 19.45 24.1 18.0 20.3 -5.7 0.3 -4.6 3.34 0.98 0.79 0.99 23.7 7.7 25.3 8.6 13.6 9.2 12.7 8.2 1.9 0.4 2.3 0.5 3.56 1.11 -9.8 -35.7 2.92 0.66 9.9 7.6 -0.9 -2.1 BUY : Total return within the next 12 months exceeds required rate of return by 5%-point. HOLD : Total return within the next 12 months exceeds required rate of return by between 0-5%-point. SELL : Total return is lower than the required rate of return. Total Return is defined as expected share price appreciation plus gross dividend over the next 12 months. Required Rate of Return of 10% is defined as the yield for one-year Malaysian government treasury plus assumed equity risk premium. % Chg YTD TA Securities RESULTS UPDATE Friday, February 06, 2015 A Member of the TA Group FBMKLCI: 1,803.21 MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +60320325048 Guinness Anchor (M)Berhad Sector: Consumer TP: RM15.42 (+26.2%) Last Traded: RM12.20 Sturdy First-Half BUY THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* TA Research Team Coverage +603-2072 1277 ext 1264 [email protected] Review • Guinness Anchor Berhad announced a strong set of 1HFY15 results with net profit expanding by 13% YoY to RM130.7mn. It came above ours and consensus estimates, accounting for 62% and 64% respectively. No dividends were declared for the quarter under review. • Growth can be attributed to healthier sales (+10.8% YoY and 32.5% QoQ) to RM520.8mn. This is buoyed by favorable pricing, a well-rounded portfolio of global brands offering wide array of choices to consumers and increased purchases during the year-end festive season. • EBIT margin climbed 1.6pts YoY and 0.8pts QoQ. This led to an expansion in EBIT by 13.6% YoY to RM101.5mn. The increase is attributed to better cost efficiencies, as well as efforts to optimise and improve productivity across all aspects of GAB’s operations. Lower investments in commercial activities to promote Chinese New Year in February, also contributed to the increment. • Sequentially, ongoing efforts by the Royal Malaysian Customs and various enforcement agencies to eradicate contraband beers also helped contribute to GAB’S positive results. Impact • We raise our MLM volume growth assumption from 1% to 2% in FY15-FY17. This is in view of effective ongoing efforts by the government to curb contraband beers. Revenue per (HL 000) is also revised slightly to RM1.85 to RM1.84 on the back a better mix of beer sales. Taken together, we revised our revenue growth rate assumptions from 4% to 4.5%. • We also tweaked EBIT margin up by 3.4%-points to 20.8% on account of the various cost control activities as well as efforts to optimise and improve productivity– which we note has yielded positive results for the group YTD. • Taken together, we raise our FY15/16/17e net profit forecast to RM262.7/318.8/364.5mn from RM211.8/232.4/250.4mn previously. Outlook • We are positive on the government’s efforts to bring down contraband beer sales in the market. This will be a win-win situation for the beer industry and also the welfare of Malaysia as a whole. • We are optimistic by the absence of a duty hike in the revised budget announcement recently, amid hopes to boost consumption in the tourism sector. • In addition, we are expecting a stronger 3QFY15 results due to the CNY celebration in February. Furthermore, we believe suppliers and drinkers will likely stock up at the end of March ahead of the GST implementation in April. • New products launch coupled with cost efficiency measures could also help to cushion generally weak sentiment. Stock Code Listing Share Cap (m) Market Cap (RMm) Par Value (RM) 52-wk Hi/Lo (RM) 12-mth Avg Daily Vol (shrs) Estimated Free Float (%) Beta Major Shareholders (%) GAB Main Board 302.1 3,685.6 0.50 15.28/12.02 82.7 0.5 0.64 GAPL Pte Ltd-51.0% Aberdeen Asset-11.2% Forecast Revision (%) Forecast Revision (%) Net profit (RMmn) Consensus TA/Consensus Previous Rating FY15 FY16 24.0 37.2 262.7 318.8 203.8 213.8 129% 149% Sell (Maintained) Financial Indicators Net Debt / Equity ROE ROA NTA/share Price/NTA (x) Share Performance Price chg (%) 1 mth 6 mth 3 mth 12 mth FY15 -18.7% 68.6% 35.7% 1.1 10.7 FY16 -14.7% 76.8% 41.7% 1.2 9.8 GAB (0.7) (6.0) (9.2) (12.9) KLCI 5.0 (1.6) (3.6) 0.3 (12-Mth) Share Price relative to the FBM KLCI Source: Bloomberg Page 1 of 2 www.taonline.com.my TA Securities 6-Feb-15 A Member of the TA Group Valuation • In tandem with the revision to our earnings estimates, we raise our TP from RM13.55 to RM15.42 based on DCF (COE: 9.5%; TG: 2.5%). Given the encouraging upside from the stock’s last close, we upgrade our call from Sell to Buy. 2QFY15 Results Analysis (RMmn) YE 30 June Sales EBIT Net int exp PBT Taxation Net Profit EPS DPS EBIT Margin Pretax Margin Net Margin Tax Rate (sen) (sen) 2Q15 520.8 101.5 0.0 101.49 (25.4) 76.1 25.2 NA 1Q15 393.2 73.7 (0.9) 72.79 (18.2) 54.6 18.1 NA (%) (%) (%) (%) 19.5% 19.5% 14.6% 25.0% 18.7% 18.5% 13.9% 25.0% QoQ% 32.5 37.7 (101.1) 39.4 39.4 39.4 39.5 NA 2Q14 499.4 89.3 (1.2) 88.14 (22.1) 66.1 21.9 NA YoY% 4.3 13.6 (100.9) 15.1 15.1 15.2 15.2 NA 17.9% 17.7% 13.2% 25.0% 1H15 913.9 175.2 (0.9) 174.3 (43.6) 130.7 43.27 NA 1H14 825.2 156.1 (1.8) 154.3 (38.6) 115.7 38.3 NA 19.2% 19.1% 14.3% 25.0% 18.9% 18.7% 14.0% 25.0% YOY% 10.8% 12.2% -50.8% 12.9% 12.9% 13.0% 13.0% NA Earnings Summary (RMmn) FYE June Revenue EBIT EBIT margin PBT Net profit EPS EPS Growth PER DPS (sen) Div Yield ROE FY12 1623.7 277.2 17.1% 277.0 207.4 68.7 14.3% 17.8 125.0 10.2% 55.4% FY13 1676.3 292.7 17.5% 288.7 217.6 72.0 4.9% 16.9 75.0 6.1% 59.5% FY14 1610.6 270.6 16.8% 265.8 198.2 65.6 -8.9% 18.6 68.5 5.6% 55.5% FY15F 1702.9 353.4 20.8% 350.3 262.7 87.0 32.5% 14.0 78.3 6.4% 68.6% FY16F 1828.8 427.9 23.4% 425.1 318.8 105.5 21.3% 11.6 95.0 7.8% 76.8% FY17F 1949.4 488.4 25.1% 486.1 364.5 120.7 14.4% 10.1 108.6 8.9% 80.8% Disclaimer The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein. for TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD(14948-M) (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Kaladher Govindan – Head of Research Page 2 of 2 RESULTS UPDATE TA Securities Friday, February 06, 2015 FBM KLCI: 1,803.21 Sector: Oil & Gas A Member of the TA Group MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 Malaysia Marine & Heavy Engineering TP: RM1.47 (-3.8%) Last traded: RM1.53 Closing A Tough Year with a Whimper Sell THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* TA Research Team Coverage Tel: +603-2167 9601 [email protected] Review MMHE’s FY14 core net profit of RM117.7mn (-43% YoY) underperformed our expectations and consensus’, accounting for 72% and 77% of full year estimates respectively. We excluded net FX gains (RM17.2mn) and asset impairment (RM5mn) from core profit. For each and every quarter of the year, MMHE had disappointed investors due to a depleted orderbook and execution issues (eg. project delays and cost overruns). In 4Q14, MMHE reported tax debits (unlike previous quarters) due to year-end housekeeping adjustments for prior overprovisions. On the bright side, the marine division reported improved sequential profits (>4x QoQ), which cushioned the weak performance by the offshore segment. This was on the back of a larger number of vessels repaired. We view this positively as it signifies that MMHE’s marine yard is still doing well despite the launch of Sembcorp Marine’s massive Phase 1 Tuas yard (74 hectares) in Singapore back in 4Q13. We understand that 10% of 4Q14 offshore revenue comprises of successful variation order (VO) claims. We are somewhat disappointed that recognition of VO was unable to provide a significant uplift to profits as previously hoped. MMHE merely has 3 projects in-hand currently, including:- 1) Malikai TLP (72% completed), 2) SK316 (49% completed), 3) Besar-A (15% completed), and 4) Bergading NMB (planning stage). These projects, in addition to previous job orders and marine contracts, amount to a backlog (Figure 4) of RM1.58bn, which will sustain the group until early-2016. Current outstanding orderbook is at an all-time low, and pales in comparison to MMHE’s backlog (Figure 6) of RM7.3bn recorded back in Mar 09. In particular, 2014 was a drought year for MMHE whereby only RM356mn worth of new contracts (Figure 5) were secured (2013: RM2.6bn). Impact Given capex cuts by oil companies and coupled with diminished confidence in MMHE’s ability to clinch chunky new contracts, we slash our FY15-16 orderbook replenishment targets for the group to RM2.0bn (previous: RM3.0bn). This results in a reduction of 13%/14% to our FY15/16 forecasts. We also introduce FY17 forecasts whereby we assume new orders of RM2.0bn for the group. 7 3. 9. SHARE INFORMATION Listing Code Page 1 of 3 MMHE MK Stock Code Listing Share Cap (m) Market Cap (RM 'mn) 5186 Main Market 1,600 2,448 Par Value (RM) 52-wk Hi/Lo (RM) 12-mth Avg Daily Vol ('000) Estimated Free Float (%) 0.50 4.16/1.27 1,209 20 Beta Major Shareholders (%) MISC Bhd Technip Tabung Haji 1.8 66.5 6.1 6.2 FORECAST REVISION FY15 FY16 Forecast Revision (%) -13 Revised net profit (RMmn) 196.2 -14 190.2 Consensus (RMmn) TA/Consensus (%) Previous Rating 178.5 173.5 110.0 109.7 Sell (Maintained) SCORECARD % of FY vs TA vs Consensus 72 Below 77 Below FINANCIAL INDICATORS FY14 Net Debt/Equity (%) ROA (%) ROE (%) NTA/Share (RM) P/NTA (x) SHARE PERFORMANCE Price chg (%) 1 mth 3 mth 6 mth 12 mth FY15 -0.03 0.02 4.1 7.3 1.7 0.9 3.9 6.8 1.7 0.9 MMHE FBM KLCI -8.9 3.8 -30.5 -56.3 -59.6 -2.0 -3.9 1.0 (12-Mth) Share Price relative to the FBM KLCI Valuation Following the earnings cut, our TP (based on 15x FY15 P/E) is reduced correspondingly to RM1.47 (previous: RM2.13). Maintain Sell. We do not expect MMHE’s prolonged order drought to turnaround dramatically in the near-to-medium term. Capex cuts by oil majors including Petronas result in reduced opportunities and exacerbate stiff competition with international yards. Nevertheless, we cling on to the hope that FY15 will be an improved year for the group given its newly upgraded yard, and parent Petronas also has major pipeline CPP projects www.taonline.com.my Source: Bloomberg TA Securities 6-Feb-15 A Member of the TA Group waiting to be awarded. In addition, management also highlighted that the group has an advantage versus international peers given a lower MYR cost-base following a weaker MYR vs USD. Therefore, we imputed job wins of RM2.0bn for the group in FY15. With only 3 projects in hand currently, yard utilisation remains low (estimated to be less than 50% currently) which leaves MMHE with limited buffer for error. If MMHE sustains its previous execution track record of project delays and cost overruns, this would strain the group’s ability to deliver profits. Figure 1: Earnings Summary YE 31 Dec 2013 Revenue EBITDA EBITDA margin Pretax profit (%) Net profit 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F 2,884.5 239.5 8.3 197.6 2,700.5 188.8 7.0 119.1 2,700.7 274.5 10.2 223.0 2,666.5 279.6 10.5 216.2 2,985.8 313.9 10.5 235.0 236.5 129.9 196.2 190.2 199.7 EPS (sen) 14.8 8.1 12.3 11.9 12.5 EPS growth PER Gross DPS (%) (x) (sen) (2.2) 10.7 5.0 (45.1) 19.6 5.0 51.0 13.0 5.0 (3.1) 13.4 5.0 5.0 12.7 5.0 Divd Yield ROE (%) (%) 3.1 9.3 3.1 5.0 3.1 7.3 3.1 6.8 3.1 6.8 Figure 2: 4Q14 Results Analysis (RM mn) YE 31 Dec 4Q14 3Q14 QoQ% Revenue 508.3 539.8 -6% Core Operating Profit 23.2 22.6 3% Net finance costs 1.4 0.5 n.m Associates & JV (2.5) (3.0) n.m EI 17.1 0.0 n.m Pretax profit 39.3 20.1 96% Taxation (22.3) 19.0 n.m MI (0.5) (0.0) n.m Reported Net Profit 16.5 39.1 -58% Core Net Profit (0.7) 39.1 n.m. Core EPS (sen) 1.0 2.4 -58% 4Q13 YoY% YTD FY14 YTD FY13 726.3 -30% 2,700.5 2,884.5 -6% 41.5 -44% 106.9 151.0 -29% 5.5 n.m 3.5 15.9 n.m 0.1 n.m (3.5) 1.3 n.m 0.0 n.m 12.2 29.3 n.m 47.0 -17% 119.1 197.6 -40% 55.1 n.m 11.5 39.6 n.m n.m (0.7) (0.7) n.m 102.0 (0.1) -84% 129.9 236.5 -45% 102.0 -101% 117.7 207.1 -43% 6.4 -84% 8.1 14.8 -45% Core EBIT margin (%) 5% 4% 6% 4% 6% Pretax margin (%) 8% 4% 6% 4% 7% Core Net Margin (%) 0% 7% 14% 4% 7% Tax rate (%) 57% -95% -117% 10% 12% Page 2 of 3 YoY TA Securities 6-Feb-15 A Member of the TA Group Figure 3: 4Q14 Segmental Analysis (RM mn) FYE 31 Dec (RMmn) 4Q14 3Q14 4Q13 QoQ (%) YoY% YTDFY14 YTDFY13 YoY (%) Segmental Revenue Offshore 422.6 507.4 665.5 -17% -36% 2,447.7 2,599.9 -6% Marine 117.2 39.3 60.8 198% 93% 320.8 284.6 13% Others & Elimination (31.5) 0.0 n.m n.m 0.1 n.m Group Revenue 508.3 539.8 (7.0) 726.4 -6% -30% 2,700.5 (68.0) 2,884.6 -6% 10.7 16.1 11.6 -33% -7% 64.7 104.9 -38% Segmental EBIT Offshore Marine 13.0 3.2 19.8 301% -34% 32.8 70.4 -53% Others & Elimination 18.0 3.8 15.6 n.m n.m 25.1 21.0 n.m Group EBIT 41.7 23.1 47.0 81% -11% 122.6 196.3 -38% Segmental EBIT margin Offshore Marine 3% 11% Group EBIT margin 8% Source: Bursa Announcement, TA Securities Figure 4: Current Outstanding Orderbook 3% 2% 3% 4% 8% 4% 33% 1% 25% 6% 5% 7% Figure 5: Order Intake Source: Company Figure 6: Historical Outstanding Orderbook Source: Company Disclaimer The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein. for TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD(14948-M) MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Kaladher Govindan – Head of Research Page 3 of 3 TA Securities ECONOMIC REPORT Friday, February 06, 2015 FBMKLCI: 1,803.21 A Member of the TA Group MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 Malaysian Economy Malaysia's December Exports Up 2.7% YoY, Exceed Forecast THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* TA Research Team Coverage Tel: +603-2167 9220 [email protected] Exports Increased by 2.7% YoY in December In December, Malaysia’s exports increased by 2.7% YoY to RM67.69bn compared with a 2.1% YoY gain registered in the previous month. It was well above consensus estimate of +1.0% YoY. This was mainly due to the strong growth of Electrical and Electronic products (E&E). However, exports of oil based products such as Petroleum products decreased due to a steep drop in global oil price. Thanks to the improved demand for E&E products, export performance still in a positive territory at the final month of 2014. Meanwhile, import increased to record a 4.2% YoY to RM58.50bn. Hence, trade balance registered a surplus of RM9.2bn during the month. As for 2014, Malaysia’s export ended on a high note despite the weaker overall external demand and lower commodity prices in the 2H14. Exports increased by 6.4% YoY to RM766.13bn in 2014, compared with a 2.5% YoY gain in 2013. Note that, the full year gain was below our estimate of 7.0% YoY but surpassed the Government forecast of 6.0% YoY in the 2014/2015 Economic Report. Imports also increased by 5.3% YoY in 2014 but narrowed from the 2013’s gain of 6.9% YoY. All in, trade balance registered a surplus of RM83.11bn during the year, an increase of 16.6% YoY. Figure 1: Malaysia’s Full Year Exports RMmn Exports (LHS) YoY% (RHS) 900,000 YoY% 20.0% 800,000 15.0% 700,000 10.0% 600,000 5.0% 500,000 0.0% 400,000 -5.0% 300,000 200,000 -10.0% 100,000 -15.0% 0 -20.0% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: DOS, TA Securities As we highlighted, December exports increased by 2.7 % YoY. This was mainly due to the advancement of E&E products (34.4% of total exports), which surged at a double digit growth of 14.9% YoY to RM23.3bn, compared with 6.7% YoY gain in November and 4.1% contraction in October. This suggested the overall external demand is improving for E&E, especially in the U.S. Moreover, Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG), which contributed 9.4% to total exports, increased by 12.9% to RM6.3bn due to the increase in both export volume and average unit value by 6.8% YoY and 5.7% YoY, respectively. Nonetheless, resulting from the weaker prices of commodities and sharp fall in global oil price, most of the oil based product experienced a decline in the final month of 2014. Specifically, petroleum products continued to contract for the fifth conservative month. The petroleum products, which accounted for 6.4% of total exports, decreased by 43.3% YoY as both average unit value and export volume declined by 32.3% YoY and 16.2% YoY, respectively. Page 1 of 4 www.taonline.com.my TA Securities 6-Feb-15 A Member of the TA Group Exports were also affected by a 35.7% plunge in Crude Petroleum products amidst lower prices (-27.3% YoY) and export volume (-11.6% YoY). In addition, Palm Oil products also decreased in the month of December by 9.3% YoY. Further details on the exports are as below, Exports increased to U.S. (+RM1.3bn), European Union (+RM1.2bn), Republic of Korea (RM0.96bn), Singapore (+RM0.52bn) and India (+RM0.44bn). Timber and timber-based products, which contributed 2.8% to total exports, increased RM0.2bn or 12.5% YoY to RM1.9bn. Chemicals products (RM4.71bn, up 19.3% YoY); Transport Equipment (RM1.01bn, up 40.6% YoY); and Processed Food (RM1.49bn, up 17.5% YoY) Meanwhile, imports increased by 4.2% YoY, compared with a marginal 0.1% YoY gain in the previous month as imports of intermediate goods posted a double digit growth of 11.6% YoY, compared with 3.4% YoY registered in the previous month. Noted that, import’s gain was well above estimate of 2.6% increase. In addition, import of consumption goods rebounded to 4.5% YoY, contrast the -1.7% contraction in the prior month. Nevertheless, import of capital goods fell by 2.7% YoY due to the drop in transport equipment by 44.3% YoY. Major import product were: E&E products (RM16.3bn, up 6.9% YoY) Petroleum Products (RM6.16bn, down 14.0% YoY) Chemicals products (RM5.06bn, up 9.8% YoY) Figure 2: Imports Performance Imports Performance Imports Intermediate Goods Capital Goods Consumption Goods Jul-14 -0.7% 2.7% -18.3% -8.9% Aug-14 7.6% 19.8% 9.7% 8.5% Sep-14 1.1% 11.2% -19.3% -1.0% Oct-14 9.1% 21.1% -1.5% 5.9% Nov-14 0.1% 3.4% 6.3% -1.7% Dec-14 4.2% 11.8% -2.7% 4.5% Source: DOS, TA Securities In conclusion, exports registered a better performance in 2014 compared to previous year. This was mainly due to the robust growth recorded in 1H14. The gain in 2014 was mainly due to the increase of Electronics and Electrical products (E&E) which expanded by 8.1% YoY to RM256.2bn, reflecting the recovery in global demand. Nevertheless, on an average, exports expanded by 12.5% YoY in 1H of 2014 but it started to grow at a slower pace since July 2014. This was basically due to the steep drop in global oil price, which halved in the 2H14. Exports only grew at softer pace of 1.0% in 2H14. Going forward, we believe exports will be supported by non-commodity products, especially from the E&E segment as a weaker Ringgit vis-à-vis regional currencies and the USD should translate into higher demand for our products as US economy continues to grow and key trading nations like Japan and China prop up consumption through policy measures. The quantitative easing by the European Central Bank is an added catalyst to revive growth in the economic bloc. We believe the strong double digit growth in intermediate goods imports is a good sign of potential continued improvement in external demand for E&E products that will mitigate the effect from lower commodity prices. Nonetheless, we anticipate a recovery in crude oil prices in the 2H15 as demand improves due to various policy measures by central banks and governments globally apart from some diminishing supply from unprofitable shale producers. We expect oil price to average between USD55 and USD60 per barrel in 2015. As such, we are maintaining our 2015 exports growth forecast at 3.9% YoY. Page 2 of 4 TA Securities 6-Feb-15 A Member of the TA Group Figure 3: YTD Performance of Regional Currencies vs Ringgit 2.3% HKD GBP -0.1% TWD 2.7% AUD -3.0% SGD 0.2% KRW 2.6% JPY 4.1% IDR 0.4% THB EUR 3.2% -4.5% 3.7% PHP CNY 1.4% US$ -6.0% 2.2% -4.0% -2.0% 0.0% 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% Source: BNM, TA Securities Figure 4: YTD Performance of Regional Currencies vs US$ Source: Bloomberg, TA Securities As for the downside risk, we regard sustained deflationary pressures and development in Greece as short-term dampeners for external demand should consumers tighten their purses in anticipation of greater uncertainty. If Greece retaliates by exiting Eurozone the contagion effect could be worst. This possibility cannot be ruled out if its central bank runs out of bullet in providing liquidity to its own financial institutions post abrupt cancellation of acceptance of Greek bonds for funding by the ECB and the debt-strapped government is unable to come to the rescue. Then, it may be forced to revert to its own currency and policies to find a way out of the economic mess. Page 3 of 4 TA Securities 6-Feb-15 A Member of the TA Group ( T HI S P AGE I S I NT E N T I ON AL L Y L E FT B L ANK) Disclaimer The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein. for TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD(14948-M) (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Kaladher Govindan – Head of Research Page 4 of 4 RESULTS UPDATE TA Securities Thursday, February 05, 2015 FBM KLCI: 1,802.24 Sector: Finance A Member of the TA Group MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 Public Bank Berhad TP: RM 20.30 (+10.3%) Last traded: RM 18.40 Pleasant Surprise! HOLD THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* TA Research Team Coverage Tel: +603-2167 9610 [email protected] Review FY14 net profit of RM4.5bn accounted for around 103% of ours and consensus full year estimates of RM4.4bn respectively. Despite stronger YoY profit growth, ROE softened to 19.9% from 22.4% a year ago on the back of an issuance of 350.2mn new shares in August 2014. We predict ROE to ease further on the back of further margin compression. PBT advanced 9.5% YoY to RM5.8bn from RM5.3bn. This was anchored by a combination of a 6.3% rise in total income and 26.5% contraction in loan impairment allowances. Overhead expenses increased at modest pace of 4.1% YoY, most of which were due to higher personnel costs (+7.7% YoY or RM134mn). Lower marketing and administration expenses totaling RM38mn helped offset higher personnel expenses. Compared to 2013, the group’s Cost to Income Ratio (CTI) was little changed at healthy levels of some 30% (FY13: 30.7%). Net interest income (NII) accelerated at a decent pace of 6.5% YoY to RM5.9bn. Growth was supported by “consistently above-industry” loan growth of 10.8%. PBB’s loans market share climbed to around 17.2% (2013: 16.9%). Net interest margin (NIM) was however close to 20 bps lower YoY despite the industry benefiting from an OPR hike in July 2014. By segment, PBB’s overseas operations showed encouraging improvement with loans in Hong Kong and Cambodia climbing 12% and 23% respectively. Overseas operations account for 7.4% of group’s profit. Retail operations (comprising individuals and SMEs) and HP, which combined, makes up close to 70% of profit drove the group’s healthy loans growth with increases of 11.5% and 7.5% each. Retail loans were primarily driven by steady growth trend in residential properties financing and commercial properties financing where PBB is market leader. Non-interest income (non-NII) improved 9.2% YoY from RM1.8bn to RM1.9bn. While most of the increase was attributed to stronger investment income (+18% YoY), we observe notable increases in the fee income (+8.0%), thanks to a one-off incentive payment from banca amounting to RM7mn and higher income from the sale of unit trust (+8.8% YoY). Total Net Asset Value of Funds (NAV) under management amounted to RM63mn (FY13: RM62.5mn). Group deposits expanded by 10.2% YoY – in tandem with loans growth, to RM276.4bn. PBB now has some 15.9% share of the market for customer deposits. Group’s net loan to deposit (LD) ratio stood at 88%. Share Information Bloomberg Code PBK MK Stock Code 1295 Listing Main Market Share Cap (mn) 3861.5 Market Cap (RMmn) 71051.6 Par Value 1.00 52-wk Hi/Lo (RM) 20.932/17.40 12-mth Avg Daily Vol ('000 shrs) 5059.8 Estimated Free Float (%) 52.7 Beta 0.83 Major Shareholders (%) Tan Sri Dato’ Dr. Teh Hong Piow - 24.3 EPF - 14.9 Forecast Revision Forecast Revision (%) Net profit (RMm) Consensus TA's / Consensus (%) Previous Rating Page 1 of 3 FY15 FY16 2.0 (1.5) 4,877.8 5,167.6 4,742.0 5,144.0 102.9 100.5 HOLD (maintained) Financial Indicators ROE (%) ROA (%) CTI Ratio (%) Gross Impaired Loans Ratio (%) Loan loss coverage ratio (%) BV/ Share (RM) Price/ BV (x) FY15 16.5 1.4 30.0 0.7 113.2 8.0 2.3 FY16 15.9 1.3 30.1 0.7 120.0 8.8 2.1 % of FY 103.0 103.0 Within Within PBK 1.4 (1.0) (4.6) (0.5) FBM KLCI 1.2 (1.0) (3.4) (1.8) Scorecard vs TA vs Consensus Share Performance (%) Price Change 1 mth 3 mth 6 mth 12 mth (12-Mth) Share Price relative to the FBM KLCI Elsewhere, PBB continued to uphold solid asset quality. Total impairment allowances improved YoY bringing total credit cost ratio down to 11 bps from 17 bps a year ago owing to stronger recoveries and lower individual assessment allowance. Loan loss reserves and the gross impaired loans ratio also improved to 122.4% (FY13: 118.5%) and 0.6% (FY13: 0.7%) respectively. Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) Capital Ratio, Tier 1 Capital Ratio and Total Capital Ratio climbed to 10.8%, 12.2% and 15.8%. The ratios incorporate: 1) proceeds from the Public Bank rights issue of RM4.83bn completed in www.taonline.com.my Source: Bloomberg TA Securities 5-Feb-15 A Member of the TA Group August 2014, and 2) the transfer of RM1.3bn from retained earnings to regulatory reserves in compliance with BNM requirement. The board has declared a second interim dividend of 31 sen. In addition to the first interim dividend of 23 sen, total DPS for FY14 stands at 54 sen – an increase as compared to 52 sen in FY13. This translates to a dividend payout ratio of around 46%. Impact Incorporating FY14 results, we tweaked FY15/16/17 net profit forecast to RM4,878/5,168/5,569mn from RM4,783/5,245/5,648mn respectively. Outlook While we do envisage a year of bumpier provisions in 2015 for PBB and the sector in general, credit charge could remain fairly stable for PBB due to its high mix of retail loans, which are less lumpy compared to the corporate portfolios. Earnings will also be supported by healthy loans growth, which management believes would again surpass industry’s average due to its HP, mortgage and SME portfolios. PBB guides that loans growth for 2015 would be 9-10% (i.e. above industry’s 8-9%). We have modelled in loans growth assumption of 10% per annum for PBB. Some downside risk to earnings include further margin compression as deposit cost rise. This will be underpinned by: 1) lackluster deposit growth (especially CASA deposits), 2) loans growth outpacing that of deposits, and 3) new liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) rules, which favour banks holding more retail deposits. However, given the intense competition for deposits in the industry, we believe PBB may resort to offering attractive deposit promotions to strengthen its deposit base. We continue to forecast more margin compression for PBB in 2015 (management guides 8 bps). Taken together (including a Rights Issue completed in August 2014), management guides that ROE will dip to c.16% - within our forecasts of 16.5/15.9/15.6% for FY15/16/17e. While management believes non-NII could help buffer softer ROEs, weakened sentiments could also have some impact on transactional fee income, creating cross selling opportunities, wealth management and the sale of unit trust. Valuation PBB’s TP is maintained at RM20.30, valuing the stock at an implied FY15e PBV of 2.6x. Valuation-wise, PBB is certainly a lot more attractive now with current rolling PBV at its 10-year low of 2.3x. Key upside/downside risks to PBB’s TP include: 1) stronger-than-expected contributions from operations overseas, 2) higher contributions from the sale of bancassurance and wealth management, 3) unexpected increase in unemployment rate resulting in high default rates among retail borrowers, 4) cost pressure resulting in further NIM compression, and 5) external risk factors due to uncertainties in the global market and potential outflow of foreign funds resulting in an sharp exit by foreign shareholders. Page 2 of 3 TA Securities 5-Feb-15 A Member of the TA Group Table 1: Earnings Summary (RMmn) FYE Dec 2013 2014 2015F 2016F 2017F Net interest income 5570.5 5930.5 6392.0 6819.6 7414.7 Non-interest income 1750.6 1911.7 2076.4 2225.8 2386.3 837.1 831.2 872.8 916.4 962.2 Total operating income 8158.3 8673.4 9341.1 9961.7 10763.2 Pre-provisioning profit 5654.7 6067.5 6542.3 6960.6 7544.2 Pretax profit 5310.0 5814.3 6306.0 6673.4 7184.4 Net profit 4064.7 4518.8 4877.8 5167.6 5569.2 EPS (sen) 105.3 107.3 115.8 122.7 132.2 Islamic Banking EPS growth (%) 6.2 1.1 7.9 5.9 7.8 Gross div (sen) 52.0 54.0 54.0 54.0 54.0 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9 Div yield (%) 4QFY14 Results Analysis (RMmn) YE 31 Dec Net interest income Income from Islamic Banking business Non interest income Total income Operating expenses Operating profit Loan impairment allowances Profit from associates PBT Net profit EPS (sen) 4QFY13 1,413.6 203.9 443.0 2,060.5 (630.4) 1,430.1 (89.1) 0.3 1,341.3 1,025.6 26.6 3QFY14 1,551.0 216.1 480.6 2,247.7 (648.5) 1,599.1 (47.0) 0.1 1,552.2 1,191.5 30.9 4QFY14 1,554.8 205.9 501.9 2,262.6 (635.5) 1,627.1 (62.5) 2.7 1,567.3 1,254.0 32.5 QoQ 0.2 -4.7 4.4 0.7 -2.0 1.8 33.0 >100.0 1.0 5.2 5.2 YoY 10.0 1.0 13.3 9.8 0.8 13.8 -29.8 >100.0 16.8 22.3 22.3 FY13 5,570.5 837.1 1,750.6 8,158.3 (2,503.6) 5,654.7 (351.1) 6.4 5,310.0 4,064.7 105.3 FY14 5,930.5 831.2 1,911.7 8,673.4 (2,605.9) 6,067.5 (258.2) 5.0 5,814.3 4,518.8 117.0 YoY 6.5 -0.7 9.2 6.3 4.1 7.3 -26.5 -22.2 9.5 11.2 11.2 Disclaimer The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein. for TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD(14948-M) MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Kaladher Govindan – Head of Research Page 3 of 3 TA Securities SECTOR UPDATE Friday, February 06, 2015 FBM KLCI: 1,803.21 A Member of the TA Group Sector: TELCO MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 Neutral Telecommunications Sector Raid Data for Money THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* TA Research Team Coverage Tel: +603-2167 9601 [email protected] We maintain our Neutral stance on the sector as we believe earnings for mobile operators will remain subdued until data monetisation plays out. Data yields have declined despite the boom in traffic and accelerating smartphone penetration. Unless mobile operators achieve critical traffic volume or increase pricing, EBITDA margin decline will likely persist. This is on the back of cannibalisation of voice and SMS by data. We believe it is currently a challenge to hike prices without causing adoption and usage rates to plunge. Furthermore, competition remains heightened, and operators need to build a critical mass of data subscribers to justify expensive 4G capex rollout. We estimate that for every RM1 increase in Data ARPU, this would result in bottomline expansion of 5%/2%/0.5% for Digi/Maxis/Axiata. Therefore, we maintain Neutral until signs of expanding data yields emerge. Data Gnawing at Voice. Data monetisation remains the biggest challenge for Malaysian mobile operators on the back of the structural transition of voice to data. Data contribution has been on upwards trajectory at the expense of voice and SMS services (Figures 1 & 2). Although voice remains the dominant revenue driver (53%-60%) for now, contribution from data services (25%-33%) have almost doubled for Digi and Celcom since 1Q12. Figure 1: Voice Contribution to Service Revenue Source: Companies, TA Research Figure 2: Data* Contribution to Service Revenue * Includes Mobile Internet (MI) and Wireless Broadband (WBB) Source: Companies, TA Research Page 1 of 4 www.taonline.com.my 44 9.7 mn TA Securities 6-Feb-15 A Member of the TA Group Data Yields Still Compressed. Data yields (Figure 3) have declined despite the data boom (Figure 4) and accelerating smartphone penetration (Figure 5). We understand from operators that margins for small screen MI are attractive, almost matching that of voice services. However, we believe that unless operators achieve a critical volume of MI traffic, or increase data pricing, EBITDA margin decline will continue to persist. Figure 3: Data Yield (RM/GB) 50 45 41.0 40.0 37.8 Data Yield (RM/GB) 40 33.8 35 30.5 30 25 26.5 26.9 27.8 26.8 24.2 22.1 21.9 21.2 18.7 20 15.8 15.4 14.9 15 13.8 14.4 13.9 10 5 0 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 Celcom 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 Digi Source: Companies, TA Research Figure 4: Data Traffic Volume Figure 5: Smartphone Penetration Data Traffic Volume ('000 TB) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 Celcom Digi Source: Companies, TA Research Source: Companies, TA Research Smartphone Penetration Still Moderate. We believe that operators are hesitant to raise data pricing aggressively due to concerns that adoption rates would be affected. Given that 4G capex rollout is still at the inception stage (4G launch: Jan-Jul 2013), building economies of scale would be the first priority to justify further capex spending. On top of that, competition remains heightened, and smartphone penetration remains moderate (average: 41%), particularly for the prepaid segment. But Monetisation Efforts Are Creeping. To ease the cannibalisation of voice and SMS by data, and to monetise the latter, operators have introduced bundled plans combining voice, SMS and data. They include Maxis’ One Plan, Digi’s Smart Plan, Celcom’s First Basic Plan, and UMobile’s Unlimited Postpaid. Maxis had also recently hiked prices for its SurfMore MI plans in efforts to milk more money out of data. From 29 Jan 2015, the price of quota upgrades for Maxis’ SurfMore plans was increased to RM25 for 500MB and RM35 (previous: RM15) for 1GB. Flushing Out WBB to Make Way for MI. In addition, to improve data yields, operators have also embarked on the strategy of deliberately ‘expelling’ WBB users (Figure 6). To recap, dongle (WBB) users consume significantly more data but yield less returns. Therefore, the shift in focus to small screen MI will not only reduce data traffic congestion, but also result in enhanced data experience for ballooning MI users (Figure 7). In turn, this will stimulate usage for high yield MI users, and propel data monetisation efforts. Page 2 of 4 TA Securities 6-Feb-15 A Member of the TA Group Figure 6: WBB Subscribers Figure 7: MI Subscribers 900 8,000 800 7,500 7,000 700 MI Subsribers ('000) WBB Subsribers ('000) 1,000 600 500 400 300 200 6,500 6,000 5,500 5,000 4,500 4,000 100 3,500 0 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 Maxis 3Q13 Celcom 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3,000 3Q14 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 Digi 1Q13 Maxis Source: Companies, TA Research 2Q13 3Q13 Celcom 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 Digi Source: Companies, TA Research But Moolah Not Flowing Yet. Nevertheless, we believe data monetisation efforts are still in their early stages, and would likely require a longer time frame to bear significant fruits. We opine that it is currently still a challenge to push up prices without causing adoption and usage rates to plunge. In the longer run, once data users have reached critical mass, we believe operators would be more willing to increase data pricing. This will likely be catalysed by proliferation of low-end smartphones and tablets from Chinese manufacturers. In addition, in future, we do not discount the possibility that consumers will be reliant on the internet similar to our current dependence on voice services. This is on the back of a growing ecosystem of content, services, applications, communication tools, etc. on the worldwide web. Evolution of the internet to a basic staple necessity may render data pricing more elastic in future. Neutral as Data Monetisation Needs Time. We estimate that for every RM1 increase in Data ARPU, this would result in an increase of 5%/2%/0.5% to the bottomline of Digi/Maxis/Axiata (Figure 8). In conclusion, we believe earnings expansion for mobile players will likely remain subdued in the near-to-medium term until data monetisation plays out. Therefore, we maintain our Neutral stance on the sector as we await for emerging signs of expanding data yields. Our only Buy recommendation is on fixed player TM as we are upbeat on the company’s long term earnings prospects given the following catalysts:- 1) major beneficiary of High Speed Broadband Phase 2 (HSBB 2), and 2) emergence as converged fixed-mobile player via P1. Figure 8: Impact of RM1 Change in Data ARPU to Mobile Players Impact to Earnings Digi Maxis Axiata* 5% 2% 0.5% *Change to Celcom Axiata Data ARPU Figure 9: Peer Comparison Company Axiata Digi Maxis TM Average Call Price (RM) SELL HOLD SELL BUY 7.17 6.49 7.07 7.00 Tgt.Price Upside (%) (RM) 7.16 6.76 6.78 8.32 (0.1) 4.2 (4.1) 18.9 PE (x) CY14 25.4 26.2 28.8 31.7 28.0 PBV (x) CY15 21.4 24.3 23.3 29.4 24.6 CY14 2.8 68.4 10.9 3.4 21.4 Page 3 of 4 CY15 2.7 64.7 10.9 3.3 20.4 DPS (sen) CY14 21 24 40 26 28 CY15 25 26 30 26 27 ROE (%) CY14 11.0 261.3 37.9 10.8 80.3 CY15 12.6 266.7 46.9 11.4 84.4 Dividend Yield (%) CY14 3.0 3.7 5.7 3.7 4.0 CY15 3.5 3.9 4.5 3.1 3.8 TA Securities 6-Feb-15 A Member of the TA Group ( T HI S P AGE I S I NT E N T I ON AL L Y L E FT B L ANK) Disclaimer The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein. for TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD(14948-M) (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Kaladher Govindan – Head of Research Page 4 of 4 Friday, 06 February, 2015 For Internal Circulation Only TA RESEARCH’S ‘DAILY COMPILED LOCAL TECHNICAL REPORTS’ Local Technical Reports a. Daily Technical Stock Picks b. Daily Money Flow - Technical Stock Picks - FBMKLCI - Stocks Under Coverage - PLANTATION Sector - CONSTRUCTION Sector - PROPERTY Sector c. Daily Stock Screen Disclaimer The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein. for TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD (14948-M) MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Kaladher Govindan – Head of Research T e c h n i c a l TA Securities V i e w Friday, February 06, 2015 A Member of the TA Group MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 Daily Technical Stock Picks Malaysia FBMKLCI: 1,803.21 (+0.19, +0.01%) THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* Chartist: Stephen Soo Stock Name FBMKLCI AIRASIA AMBANK AXIATA CIMB GAMUDA GENTING GENM IOICORP MAYBANK RHBCAP TENAGA TM UMWH AIRASIA X ALAM ARMADA AZRB BENALEC DIALOG DRB-HICOM GLOMAC HIAPTEK HUA YANG MAH SING MRCB MUHIBBAH PANTECH PERDANA PERISAI SKPETRO UEMS WASEONG WCT Close 5-Feb 1803.21 2.78 6.29 7.17 5.74 5.14 8.85 4.16 4.75 8.92 8.14 14.54 7.00 10.88 0.65 0.67 1.20 0.70 0.88 1.63 1.85 0.99 0.58 2.15 1.99 1.33 2.00 0.75 1.16 0.49 2.77 1.30 1.33 1.59 Change 0.19 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.04 0.04 (0.01) 0.00 0.09 (0.12) (0.10) 0.01 -0.10 0.02 (0.02) (0.04) 0.00 (0.01) (0.02) 0.05 0.00 (0.01) (0.02) 0.09 (0.01) 0.02 0.01 (0.02) (0.01) (0.05) 0.01 0.01 0.02 Tel: +603-2167-9607 Bollinger Bands Lower Mid Upper 1,804.25 1,796.41 1,706.98 1,765.39 1,823.80 High Low 2.79 6.37 7.23 5.74 5.14 8.88 4.18 4.80 8.94 8.40 14.64 7.19 11.00 0.65 0.69 1.23 0.71 0.89 1.65 1.85 1.00 0.59 2.17 2.00 1.35 2.04 0.75 1.19 0.49 2.81 1.30 1.35 1.60 2.75 6.21 7.15 5.60 5.10 8.82 4.10 4.74 8.79 8.10 14.48 6.96 10.58 0.63 0.67 1.20 0.70 0.86 1.63 1.79 0.99 0.58 2.15 1.90 1.32 1.96 0.74 1.14 0.48 2.75 1.27 1.33 1.56 2.58 6.23 6.87 5.15 4.97 8.28 3.75 4.68 8.43 7.37 13.88 6.60 10.46 0.62 0.57 1.12 0.67 0.56 1.46 1.53 0.97 0.56 1.98 1.92 1.07 1.70 0.71 1.03 0.43 2.25 1.22 1.16 1.50 2.74 6.44 7.08 5.61 5.05 8.67 3.96 4.74 8.74 7.79 14.50 6.84 10.73 0.66 0.62 1.20 0.70 0.72 1.59 1.73 1.01 0.60 2.12 2.04 1.27 1.90 0.74 1.13 0.47 2.61 1.29 1.28 1.57 2.89 6.66 7.29 6.07 5.13 9.05 4.16 4.79 9.05 8.20 15.12 7.09 11.00 0.70 0.68 1.29 0.73 0.88 1.72 1.92 1.04 0.64 2.26 2.17 1.46 2.11 0.77 1.22 0.52 2.97 1.37 1.40 1.63 [email protected] www.taonline.com.my RSI Moving Averages 14d 10d 30d 50d 62.44 1,792.01 1,760.58 1,759.83 DI + 40.95 DI 16.11 ADX 25.46 Diff 24.84 Line 13.05 MACD Signal 8.75 Diff 4.305 DMI MACD Recent Signal BUY BUY DMI MACD Signal Change - 53.76 37.20 58.46 54.67 60.59 53.35 58.94 52.63 53.45 64.81 54.40 61.41 53.50 44.76 55.36 50.24 51.33 73.27 58.22 60.95 44.52 43.45 54.90 43.65 55.93 54.56 49.65 52.65 50.15 59.53 42.33 53.72 50.18 19.25 23.00 21.77 24.86 28.45 21.22 28.17 22.87 22.51 31.25 51.06 36.68 18.95 22.20 32.77 27.44 31.31 49.47 28.65 30.70 34.09 32.54 32.53 16.28 29.32 29.21 24.95 29.68 29.79 31.27 19.58 30.21 25.84 18.20 31.55 15.16 21.95 15.98 13.69 15.07 10.79 22.00 14.74 14.17 11.80 17.44 30.95 21.13 18.10 26.40 11.55 10.99 14.93 22.71 24.92 21.68 26.37 19.39 19.04 24.17 24.23 24.56 17.17 24.45 19.83 14.81 12.38 19.74 18.39 23.03 21.17 18.52 25.40 12.95 18.40 20.40 29.05 22.50 13.78 11.60 24.11 26.07 17.58 37.09 28.59 29.69 21.01 23.41 20.80 21.58 23.74 21.56 18.44 17.77 21.99 35.66 25.56 30.52 25.57 1.05 (8.55) 6.62 2.91 12.48 7.53 13.10 12.08 0.50 16.51 36.89 24.87 1.52 (8.75) 11.64 9.34 4.91 37.92 17.67 15.78 11.37 7.61 10.86 (10.09) 9.93 10.16 0.78 5.45 5.22 14.10 (4.87) 10.38 11.02 0.02 (0.03) 0.06 (0.00) 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.01 (0.02) 0.12 0.20 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.04 0.04 -0.01 0.00 0.03 -0.03 0.03 0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.04 0.00 -0.01 0.02 (0.00) 0.05 (0.00) 0.01 (0.04) (0.01) 0.01 (0.04) 0.06 0.23 0.02 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 0.01 0.03 0.04 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.03 -0.02 0.02 0.00 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 -0.05 -0.01 -0.02 0.001 (0.027) 0.009 0.004 0.008 0.048 0.034 (0.001) 0.021 0.057 (0.032) 0.027 0.035 (0.003) 0.011 0.011 (0.002) 0.020 (0.001) 0.011 (0.002) (0.002) 0.001 (0.014) 0.009 0.013 0.003 0.007 0.007 0.007 0.009 0.012 0.008 BUY SELL BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY BUY - 2.77 6.46 7.17 5.60 5.07 8.79 4.02 4.74 8.84 7.91 14.72 6.94 10.83 0.67 0.65 1.22 0.71 0.79 1.64 1.81 1.00 0.60 2.17 2.01 1.33 1.97 0.74 1.16 0.49 2.77 1.31 1.33 1.58 2.75 6.47 7.06 5.58 5.04 8.73 3.98 4.74 8.84 7.69 14.28 6.85 10.79 0.66 0.63 1.18 0.69 0.68 1.56 1.72 1.00 0.59 2.09 2.06 1.25 1.90 0.75 1.12 0.47 2.52 1.35 1.27 1.57 2.73 6.45 7.01 5.58 5.03 8.86 4.03 4.70 8.90 7.70 14.10 6.85 10.81 0.66 0.65 1.16 0.68 0.67 1.50 1.69 1.01 0.60 2.07 2.06 1.27 1.93 0.77 1.13 0.50 2.53 1.46 1.36 1.61 DMI BUY SELL BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY SELL BUY SELL BUY SELL SELL BUY SELL BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY SELL - The table above is a compilation of actively traded stocks with some popular technical indicators. The technical BUY/SELL signals on the last four columns are auto generated; the first two being existing or recent signals while the last two represent a signal change from BUY to SELL or the reverse, otherwise no change is indicated by a dash. INTERPRETATION OF TECHNICAL INDICATORS: Bollinger Bands: Variable width bands that narrow during less volatile periods and widen during more volatile periods. As a general rule, in a bearish trend, traders should buy when share price touches the lower band and exit when price touches the middle band. The reverse is true in a bullish trend, ie. Buy when price touches the middle band and sell when price touches the upper band. Momentum traders tend to buy on price breakouts above the upper band, and sell when price breaks down below the lower band. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI): A reading below 30 is considered oversold, above 70 is overbought. A rise above 50 with a corresponding share price surge above the 30-day moving average should be taken as a bullish move with good short-term upside potential. A fall below 50 and a simultaneous dip below the 30-day average is bearish and imply further near-term downside risk. Moving Averages: A stock’s short-term trend is bullish if share price stays above the 10-day moving average, and bearish if it stays below. The medium-term trend is positive if share price stays above the 30-day average, and negative if it remains below. A longer-term uptrend is intact if share price sustain above the 50-day average, and is deemed broken if it breaches below this level. Directional Movement Indicator (DMI): The DMI is an indicator of trend strength. A positive DMI difference (DMI diff) value is bullish and indicate a higher DI+ vs. DI-, while a negative DMI diff is bearish due to a lower DI+ vs. DI- (DMI diff = DI+ minus DI-). A crossover of DI+ above DI- triggers a BUY signal, while a SELL signal is flashed when the DI+ crosses below the DI-. The Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) indicates the strength of a trend, whether it is up or down. The higher the value of ADX, the stronger the trend. An ADX value above 25 suggests a trending market or stock, while a value below 20 signal congestion or absence of trend. Daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD diff value is derived from the difference between the MACD line (the 12-day EMA minus the 26-day EMA) and the MACD signal line (the 9-day EMA of the MACD). A positive MACD diff value is bullish, while a negative MACD diff is bearish. A BUY signal is generated when the MACD diff rises above zero, and SELL signal sparked when the MACD diff value falls below zero. Page 1 of 4 TA Securities A Member of the TA Group Technical Comments: Any share price weakness on AMMB below the lower Bollinger band (RM6.23) will be attractive to bargain for rebound upside towards RM6.48 (76.4%FR), with tougher hurdles from the upper band (RM6.66) and the 61.8%FR (RM6.79) capping near-term upside. Crucial support is from the 15/12/14 low of RM5.97. A daily stochastics and MACD buy signal on CIMB improves upside potential towards RM6.08 (38.2%FR), while a confirmed breakout will target RM6.40 (50%FR) ahead. Crucial chart supports are at the lower Bollinger band (RM5.15) and 12/1/15 low (RM5.05). AMMB Upper Middle RM6.29 (UNCH) BOLLINGER BANDS RM RM 6.66 6.44 10-day 30-day RM 6.23 50-day Lower DMI Recent Signal SELL 6.45 Recent Signal SELL Signal Change CIMB Recent Signal Signal Change RM DAILY MACD Signal Change Upper Middle Lower SIMPLE MOVING AVERAGES RM 6.46 RM 6.47 BOLLINGER BANDS RM RM RM DMI RM5.74 (+0.09) 6.07 5.61 5.15 BUY SIMPLE MOVING AVERAGES RM 5.59 RM 5.58 RM 5.58 DAILY MACD Recent Signal BUY Signal Change BUY 10-day 30-day 50-day Page 2 of 4 TA Securities A Member of the TA Group Daily Money Flow of Technical Stock Picks Malaysia THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* Chartist: Stephen Soo No 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 33 31 32 Name Tel: +603-2167-9607 Total Money Flow (RM'mn) [email protected] (A) Total 5D MF Prv. Chg www.taonline.com.my (B) Cur. Chg CLOSING PRICE 28-Jan 29-Jan 30-Jan 4-Feb 5-Feb Chg (A+B) DMF 28-Jan 29-Jan 30-Jan 4-Feb 5-Feb FBMKLCI 16.4 15.6 (47.4) 2.9 5.1 (7.4) 50.2 2.3 1,796 1,782 1,781 1,803 1,803 0.19 IN AIRASIA AMBANK AXIATA CIMB GAMUDA GENTING GENM IOICORP MAYBANK RHBCAP TENAGA TM UMWH AIRASIA X ALAM ARMADA AZRB BENALEC DIALOG DRB-HICOM GLOMAC HIAPTEK HUA YANG MAH SING MRCB MUHIBBAH PANTECH PERDANA PERISAI SKPETRO UEMS WASEONG WCTHG 0.2 (1.2) (0.8) 1.9 (1.9) (0.1) (1.5) (0.5) (3.5) 1.0 18.8 (2.1) (5.5) (0.0) 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 (1.1) (0.1) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 (0.1) (0.0) (0.1) (0.3) 0.8 0.2 (0.0) (0.1) (0.1) (1.6) (2.4) 4.6 (0.4) 2.6 (1.7) 0.4 5.8 (0.1) 0.7 (0.3) (0.2) 0.1 0.2 (0.4) (0.0) (0.4) 0.9 0.0 0.1 (0.0) (0.0) 0.1 0.1 (0.3) 0.0 (0.1) (0.1) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.1 (1.8) (3.4) (6.2) 2.7 (0.9) (3.4) (0.6) (6.6) 1.6 0.1 0.5 (0.3) 0.1 0.1 (0.2) (0.0) 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.1 (0.1) 0.0 0.1 (0.1) (1.0) 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 (1.7) 1.9 (1.4) 0.3 1.8 3.1 0.0 4.7 1.0 (3.8) 1.9 2.6 (0.1) 0.2 (0.1) (0.0) (0.3) (0.9) (0.3) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 (0.0) (0.4) 0.1 (0.0) (0.4) (2.4) (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) (7.9) (0.8) (1.7) (1.1) (0.5) 0.9 (0.5) 2.5 0.5 (2.6) 0.8 (0.4) (0.1) (0.2) 0.4 (0.0) (0.2) (0.1) 0.3 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.1 0.2 1.2 0.0 (0.1) 0.2 (0.1) 0.0 0.0 (0.1) 0.9 (14.1) (5.6) (2.9) (0.4) 2.9 (2.6) (1.1) 2.9 4.0 13.4 0.9 (3.8) 0.0 0.4 (0.2) (0.0) (0.6) (1.0) (0.0) 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 (0.2) (0.6) (2.6) 0.2 (0.0) (0.2) 0.8 0.1 5.3 4.8 (2.4) 2.6 6.5 0.6 11.3 (0.6) (3.9) 1.5 2.9 (0.2) 0.0 0.1 0.0 (0.4) (1.3) (0.3) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 (0.2) (0.3) 0.1 (0.1) (0.4) (1.4) (0.2) (0.1) (0.1) (1.0) (6.2) (2.7) (0.3) (1.4) (2.2) (2.2) (0.5) (2.1) (0.5) 1.2 (1.1) (3.0) 0.0 (0.3) 0.4 (0.0) 0.1 0.8 0.6 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.3) 0.2 1.6 (0.1) (0.1) 0.6 2.2 0.1 0.1 (0.0) 2.77 6.57 7.14 5.56 5.07 8.83 4.10 4.80 8.69 7.81 14.80 7.01 10.84 0.67 0.64 1.24 0.72 0.81 1.67 1.80 1.00 0.60 2.17 1.99 1.30 1.94 0.73 1.16 0.49 2.80 1.27 1.33 1.56 2.75 6.30 7.22 5.50 5.06 8.94 3.96 4.74 8.66 7.85 14.56 7.00 10.80 0.66 0.63 1.22 0.71 0.79 1.63 1.80 1.00 0.59 2.13 1.95 1.32 1.89 0.72 1.14 0.47 2.75 1.27 1.30 1.57 2.80 6.28 7.20 5.50 5.07 8.83 4.06 4.71 8.72 8.16 14.50 6.99 10.90 0.66 0.64 1.20 0.71 0.84 1.62 1.79 0.99 0.59 2.15 1.91 1.35 1.90 0.73 1.14 0.48 2.67 1.27 1.30 1.60 2.76 6.29 7.17 5.65 5.10 8.81 4.17 4.75 8.83 8.26 14.64 6.99 10.98 0.63 0.69 1.24 0.70 0.88 1.65 1.80 0.99 0.59 2.17 1.90 1.34 1.98 0.75 1.18 0.50 2.82 1.29 1.32 1.57 2.78 6.29 7.17 5.74 5.14 8.85 4.16 4.75 8.92 8.14 14.54 7.00 10.88 0.65 0.67 1.20 0.70 0.88 1.63 1.85 0.99 0.58 2.15 1.99 1.33 2.00 0.75 1.16 0.49 2.77 1.30 1.33 1.59 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.04 0.04 (0.01) 0.00 0.09 (0.12) (0.10) 0.01 (0.10) 0.02 (0.02) (0.04) 0.00 (0.01) (0.02) 0.05 0.00 (0.01) (0.02) 0.09 (0.01) 0.02 0.01 (0.02) (0.01) (0.05) 0.01 0.01 0.02 OUT OUT IN IN OUT IN IN IN IN OUT OUT IN OUT OUT OUT IN OUT OUT OUT IN OUT OUT OUT IN IN IN OUT OUT IN IN OUT OUT OUT Sources: Bloomberg, TA Securities Daily Money Flow (DMF) Formulation If previous change (A) + current change (B) > 0, then DMF = “IN”; AND if (A) + (B) < 0, then DMF = “OUT”. Money Flow (MF) Calculation The value of money flow is set to zero at the start of the trading day. When a trade is performed, its price is compared to the price of the previous trade (the first trade of the day is compared to the previous day's close). If the prices differ, the money associated with the trade (price times number of shares) is added to or subtracted from the money flow. Additions (inflows, buys) are done on upticks; subtractions (outflows, sells) are done on downticks. Daily Money Flow (DMF) Interpretation In general, money flow trends confirm price trends. As prices rise, money flows are usually positive. As prices fall, money flows are usually negative. A divergence, however, between money flow and price trend can be a signal of a future price trend change. For example, a falling stock price with a positive money flow (IN) can indicate a future rally in the price of the stock. Conversely, a rising stock price with a negative money flow (OUT) implies potential correction in the stock price. Page 3 of 4 TA Securities A Member of the TA Group Daily Money Flow of FBMKLCI Malaysia THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* Chartist: Stephen Soo Tel: +603-2167-9607 [email protected] www.taonline.com.my \ No Name FBMKLCI 1 AMBANK 2 ASTRO 3 AXIATA 4 BAT 5 CIMB 6 DIGI 7 FGV 8 GENTING 9 GENM 10 HLBANK 11 HLFG 12 IHH 13 IOICORP 14 KLK 15 MAYBANK 16 MAXIS 17 MISC 18 PCHEM 19 PETDAG 20 PETGAS 21 PPB 22 PBBANK 23 RHBCAP 24 SKPETRO 25 SIME 26 TM 27 TENAGA 28 KLCC 29 UMW 30 YTLCORP 28-Jan 16.4 (1.2) 0.3 (0.8) (0.1) 1.9 (0.3) 1.0 (0.1) (1.5) 0.1 0.2 0.2 (0.5) (0.7) (3.5) 2.9 (0.2) (0.7) 0.3 1.7 0.2 5.9 1.0 0.8 (1.5) (2.1) 18.8 (0.1) (5.5) (0.2) Total Money Flow (RM'mn) 29-Jan 30-Jan 4-Feb 15.6 (47.4) 2.9 (1.6) (1.8) (1.7) (0.0) (0.9) (7.3) (2.4) (3.4) 1.9 3.4 (0.3) (9.0) 4.6 (6.2) (1.4) (4.0) (9.4) 2.7 0.3 (1.0) 0.8 2.6 (0.9) 1.8 (1.7) (3.4) 3.1 (0.3) (0.4) (0.0) (0.1) (0.1) 0.1 (0.5) (0.9) 1.4 0.4 (0.6) 0.0 0.3 (0.6) 0.9 5.8 (6.6) 4.7 (0.2) (1.1) (1.3) 0.8 (2.2) (0.7) (0.4) (0.2) (1.0) 0.1 (0.1) 1.1 1.2 6.3 0.1 0.2 (0.1) 0.2 (10.5) 6.4 7.8 (0.1) 1.6 1.0 (1.0) (2.4) 0.0 0.0 (2.7) 0.4 (0.3) 0.5 1.9 (3.8) 0.7 0.1 (0.0) (0.1) 0.2 (0.2) (0.3) 2.6 (0.8) (1.2) 0.4 5-Feb 5.1 (7.9) 2.9 (0.8) 1.5 (1.7) 0.3 (0.1) (0.5) 0.9 (0.0) 0.4 0.3 (0.5) 3.4 2.5 0.8 0.0 0.1 (0.5) (0.8) 0.1 2.0 0.5 (0.1) 3.5 0.8 (2.6) 1.2 (0.4) (0.1) Total 5D MF (7.4) (14.1) (4.9) (5.6) (4.6) (2.9) (10.8) 1.1 2.9 (2.6) (0.7) 0.4 0.5 (1.1) 3.4 2.9 1.1 (2.4) (2.1) 0.8 8.5 0.5 11.6 4.0 (2.6) (0.2) 0.9 13.4 1.2 (3.8) (1.9) (A) Prv. Chg 50.2 0.1 (6.4) 5.3 (8.7) 4.8 12.1 1.8 2.6 6.5 0.4 0.3 2.3 0.6 1.5 11.3 (0.2) 1.5 (0.8) 1.1 (6.2) 0.3 16.9 (0.6) (1.4) 3.1 1.5 (3.9) 0.3 2.9 1.5 (B) Cur. Chg 2.3 (6.2) 10.2 (2.7) 10.5 (0.3) (2.4) (0.9) (2.2) (2.2) 0.0 0.2 (1.1) (0.5) 2.5 (2.1) 2.1 0.8 1.0 (1.6) (0.9) (0.1) (4.5) (0.5) 2.2 3.1 (1.1) 1.2 1.0 (3.0) (0.5) 28-Jan 1,796 6.57 2.94 7.14 66.50 5.56 6.44 2.51 8.83 4.10 14.20 17.16 5.23 4.80 23.00 8.69 7.13 7.80 5.32 17.60 22.22 15.02 18.14 7.81 2.80 9.55 7.01 14.80 6.90 10.84 1.71 29-Jan 1,782 6.30 2.94 7.22 66.50 5.50 6.41 2.44 8.94 3.96 14.00 16.50 5.20 4.74 23.02 8.66 7.10 7.62 5.13 17.72 22.20 14.90 18.08 7.85 2.75 9.40 7.00 14.56 6.90 10.80 1.76 CLOSING PRICE 30-Jan 4-Feb 1,781 1,803 6.28 6.29 2.92 2.96 7.20 7.17 66.00 67.50 5.50 5.65 6.41 6.49 2.44 2.40 8.83 8.81 4.06 4.17 14.02 14.28 16.92 16.90 5.20 5.30 4.71 4.75 22.66 22.90 8.72 8.83 7.10 7.15 7.75 7.75 5.10 5.30 17.64 17.98 22.20 22.48 14.56 14.80 18.14 18.36 8.16 8.26 2.67 2.82 9.40 9.55 6.99 6.99 14.50 14.64 6.90 7.05 10.90 10.98 1.76 1.74 5-Feb 1,803 6.29 2.98 7.17 68.00 5.74 6.49 2.35 8.85 4.16 14.26 16.90 5.24 4.75 23.00 8.92 7.07 7.70 5.29 18.06 22.44 14.80 18.44 8.14 2.77 9.54 7.00 14.54 6.92 10.88 1.74 Chg 0.19 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.50 0.09 0.00 (0.05) 0.04 (0.01) (0.02) 0.00 (0.06) 0.00 0.10 0.09 (0.08) (0.05) (0.01) 0.08 (0.04) 0.00 0.08 (0.12) (0.05) (0.01) 0.01 (0.10) (0.13) (0.10) 0.00 (A+B) DMF IN OUT IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN IN OUT OUT IN IN OUT IN IN IN OUT IN OUT IN (RM'mn) INFLOW 35.2 28.0 8.5 31.5 21.1 124.3 OUTFLOW (18.9) 16.4 (12.4) 15.6 (55.9) (47.4) (28.6) 2.9 (15.9) 5.1 (131.7) (7.4) 14 (16) 14 (16) 4 (26) 20 (10) 17 (13) NET FLOW Daily Trading Participation COMPANIES INFLOW OUTFLOW Date Retail Institution Foreign Total 28-Jan 29-Jan 30-Jan 4-Feb 5-Feb 21.0% 19.3% 18.1% 21.5% 16.1% 50.4% 52.0% 48.4% 40.4% 49.5% 28.6% 28.7% 33.5% 38.1% 34.4% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Sources: Bloomberg, TA Securities Daily Money Flow (DMF) Formulation If previous change (A) + current change (B) > 0, then DMF = “IN”; AND if (A) + (B) < 0, then DMF = “OUT”. Money Flow (MF) Calculation The value of money flow is set to zero at the start of the trading day. When a trade is performed, its price is compared to the price of the previous trade (the first trade of the day is compared to the previous day's close). If the prices differ, the money associated with the trade (price times number of shares) is added to or subtracted from the money flow. Additions (inflows, buys) are done on upticks; subtractions (outflows, sells) are done on downticks. Daily Money Flow (DMF) Interpretation In general, money flow trends confirm price trends. As prices rise, money flows are usually positive. As prices fall, money flows are usually negative. A divergence, however, between money flow and price trend can be a signal of a future price trend change. For example, a falling stock price with a positive money flow (IN) can indicate a future rally in the price of the stock. Conversely, a rising stock price with a negative money flow (OUT) implies potential correction in the stock price. Disclaimer The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein. for TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD (14948-M) MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Kaladher Govindan – Head of Research Page 4 of 4 T e c h n i c a l TA Securities V i e w Friday, February 06, 2015 A Member of the TA Group MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 Daily Money Flow of Stocks Under Coverage low of Stocks Under C Malaysia FBMKLCI: 1,803.21 (+0.19, +0.01%) THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* Chartist: Stephen Soo Name FBM KLCI 28-Jan 0.9 MAYBANK PBANK RHBCAP BURSA CONSTRUCTION BPURI GAMUDA IJM NAIM SENDAI TRC WCT LITRAK CONSUMER Brewery CARLSBG GUINESS Retail AEON AMWAY F&N NESTLE PARKSON QL Tobacco BAT GAMING Casino GENTING GENM NFO BJTOTO HEALTHCARE Hospital IHH KPJ RUBBER GLOVES HARTA KOSSAN SUPERMX TOPGLOV KAREX INDUSTRIAL SCIENTX SKPRES UNIMECH MEDIA MEDIA PRIMA STAR Total Money Flow (RM' mn) 29-Jan 30-Jan 4-Feb [email protected] 5-Feb Total 5D MF (A) Prv. Chg (B) Cur. Chg 15.6 (47.4) 2.9 5.1 (22.8) 50.2 2.3 (0.0) (0.0) (0.2) 0.0 0.0 (0.3) 0.0 (0.0) 2.6 (0.0) 0.0 (0.4) (0.0) (0.1) 1.4 0.0 (0.0) 2.9 (0.5) (0.1) (1.0) (3.0) 0.2 (0.3) (0.1) 0.0 (1.6) 4.6 (0.3) 5.8 (0.8) 0.0 (1.8) (6.2) (0.4) (6.6) (0.3) 0.1 (1.7) (1.4) (0.0) 4.7 0.6 0.0 (7.9) (1.7) (0.0) (1.1) 0.1 (13.9) (7.8) (0.6) (5.4) (1.6) 0.1 7.8 (0.1) (0.7) (10.5) 1.6 (4.0) 6.4 1.0 0.3 2.5 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.1 (0.0) (0.1) (0.0) 2.3 (1.0) (0.1) (0.1) 0.0 (0.4) 2.8 0.1 (0.0) 0.0 2.7 (11.2) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.3 (2.3) 0.1 (0.0) (0.0) (0.3) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.2 0.1 (0.0) (0.1) 0.0 0.2 (0.4) 28-Jan 29-Jan www.taonline.com.my CLOSING PRICE 30-Jan 4-Feb 5-Feb Chg 1,782.2 1,781.3 1,803.0 1,803.2 (0.0) 0.0 (3.0) 0.78 3.24 10.88 0.77 3.15 10.80 0.79 3.16 10.90 0.79 3.14 10.98 0.76 3.18 10.88 (0.03) OUT 0.04 OUT (0.10) OUT 0.5 0.1 0.1 4.8 0.4 0.9 (0.1) (6.2) (0.3) 0.0 11.3 16.9 (0.6) 4.3 (2.1) (4.5) (0.5) (0.3) 4.78 2.85 6.30 5.50 14.00 8.66 4.78 2.87 6.28 5.50 14.02 8.72 4.75 2.87 6.29 5.65 14.28 8.83 4.78 2.87 6.29 5.74 14.26 6.1 0.2 1.4 (4.2) 4.79 2.89 6.60 5.54 14.40 8.92 18.12 7.81 8.19 18.08 7.85 8.21 18.14 8.16 8.20 18.36 8.26 8.08 0.03 IN 0.00 IN 0.00 OUT 0.09 IN (0.02) IN 0.09 IN 0.08 IN (0.12) OUT 0.11 IN (0.0) (1.1) (1.3) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 3.8 (13.0) 0.1 (0.2) 0.0 (2.4) 8.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 (1.4) 1.0 (0.1) 0.0 0.62 0.61 0.60 0.59 (0.0) (0.4) 0.0 (0.0) (0.1) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 5.06 6.84 2.98 0.61 0.41 5.07 6.90 3.00 0.61 0.41 5.10 6.89 3.04 0.60 0.41 (0.1) 0.0 (0.0) (0.1) 0.0 5.04 6.80 3.01 0.61 0.42 1.59 3.80 1.57 3.80 1.60 3.80 1.57 3.80 0.0 (0.1) (0.1) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.1) 0.1 0.1 (0.0) 11.78 12.12 11.78 12.08 11.78 12.22 0.16 0.1 11.66 12.16 11.94 0.0 12.20 (0.02) 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.1 (0.0) (0.0) 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 1.2 (0.1) 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 (0.4) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 (0.1) (0.0) (0.1) 3.01 10.98 18.86 72.40 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 2.99 10.98 18.52 71.50 0.00 0.00 0.08 1.1 0.2 0.4 3.00 10.96 18.50 71.54 3.01 10.98 18.94 0.2 0.1 0.1 3.04 10.78 18.52 71.40 2.48 3.49 2.49 3.46 2.48 3.50 2.47 3.51 73.30 2.47 3.60 0.90 0.00 0.09 (0.2) 3.4 (0.3) (9.0) 1.5 (4.7) (8.7) 10.5 66.50 66.50 66.00 67.50 68.00 0.50 IN 0.5 (0.1) 2.6 (1.7) (0.9) (3.4) 1.8 3.1 (0.5) 0.9 3.5 (1.2) 2.6 6.5 (2.2) (2.2) 8.84 3.93 8.94 3.96 8.83 4.06 8.81 4.17 8.85 4.16 0.04 (0.01) IN IN 0.1 (0.3) (0.5) 0.0 0.0 (0.7) 0.5 0.0 3.50 3.40 3.39 3.37 3.40 0.03 IN 0.4 (0.5) (0.5) (0.1) (0.9) 0.1 1.4 (0.1) 0.3 (0.1) 0.7 (0.6) 2.3 (0.2) (1.1) (0.0) 4.77 3.88 4.77 4.00 4.77 3.93 4.77 3.94 4.77 3.96 0.00 0.02 IN OUT 8.92 18.44 8.14 8.19 0.58 5.14 6.92 3.06 0.61 0.40 1.59 3.80 0.19 (A+B) DMF 1,803.2 AUTOMOBILE EPMB 0.0 MBMR (0.1) UMW (0.3) BANKS & FINANCIAL SERVICES AFG AFFIN AMBANK CIMB HLBANK Tel: +603-2167 9607 IN (0.01) IN 0.04 OUT 0.03 IN 0.02 OUT 0.01 IN (0.01) OUT 0.02 OUT 0.00 OUT OUT IN OUT IN IN IN IN OUT 0.0 0.1 (0.0) (0.1) 0.0 0.5 0.1 (0.0) 0.0 7.51 5.29 2.20 4.97 3.94 5.18 2.24 4.98 3.90 5.22 2.25 4.98 4.00 5.18 2.23 4.89 4.07 7.51 5.18 2.20 4.84 4.07 0.00 0.00 (0.03) (0.05) 0.00 OUT (0.1) (0.2) 0.0 0.1 (0.1) (0.7) (0.3) 0.1 (0.0) 7.59 0.6 0.1 (0.1) 0.1 (0.1) 0.2 (0.3) (0.2) 0.1 7.59 0.3 (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) 0.4 (0.2) 0.0 0.1 7.40 (0.9) 0.1 0.1 (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) 0.0 (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 (0.3) 0.1 (0.3) (0.4) (0.2) 0.5 0.2 0.2 (0.8) (0.4) (0.0) (0.1) 6.74 0.76 1.58 6.58 0.77 1.58 6.63 0.78 1.57 6.57 0.76 1.57 6.61 0.77 1.57 0.04 0.01 0.00 OUT IN OUT (0.1) (0.1) 0.9 0.1 (0.4) (0.1) 1.89 0.0 (0.8) 0.0 1.87 0.0 0.5 (0.0) 1.88 (0.0) (0.3) (0.0) 1.85 (0.0) 2.52 2.52 2.55 2.55 1.89 2.53 0.00 OUT (0.02) OUT Page 1 of 2 OUT OUT IN OUT TA Securities A Member of the TA Group Name OIL & GAS ICON MHB PANTECH 28-Jan Total Money Flow (RM' mn) 29-Jan 30-Jan 4-Feb 5-Feb Total 5D MF (A) Prv. Chg (B) Cur. Chg (0.1) (0.1) 0.0 (0.3) (0.4) 0.2 (0.2) (0.1) 0.1 0.2 0.1 (0.1) 0.1 0.2 (0.1) 0.1 (1.6) (0.3) 0.5 1.2 (0.8) (0.4) (1.4) (1.4) 1.0 0.6 2.2 0.1 (0.0) (0.1) 0.1 1.4 (0.1) 1.8 0.0 (0.9) (0.0) (0.5) 3.4 (0.0) 3.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 3.6 (0.0) 1.6 (0.1) (0.1) 0.6 1.5 (0.0) 3.1 0.0 (0.1) (0.5) 2.5 0.0 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 (0.0) 0.7 0.7 0.8 (0.3) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 (0.7) (0.0) (0.1) 0.0 (0.1) (0.0) 4.0 (0.0) (0.2) 0.0 (0.4) (0.1) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.2) (0.1) (1.0) (0.2) (0.1) 0.1 (1.0) (0.4) (2.4) (0.3) (0.0) 1.4 0.0 0.1 1.3 0.0 1.4 (0.5) (0.1) 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 (1.0) 0.2 (0.6) (0.6) (0.0) 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.0 0.3 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (2.7) (0.0) (0.0) 0.4 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.1 (0.0) 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 (0.1) (0.4) 0.1 0.7 0.0 0.3 (0.0) (0.0) 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.0 (0.4) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.3 0.1 (0.0) (0.1) (0.1) (0.5) 0.0 (0.0) (0.3) (0.1) (0.1) (0.2) (0.0) (0.1) (0.5) (0.8) 0.5 (1.3) (1.3) YTLPOWR (0.1) TELECOMMUNICATIONS AXIATA 1.8 DIGI 8.3 MAXIS (1.4) TM (3.3) TECHNOLOGY 0.1 1.2 0.7 (0.1) (0.1) 6.3 0.1 (0.5) 1.1 0.1 (3.8) (0.6) (0.5) (0.8) (2.6) (2.4) (4.0) (3.4) (9.4) 1.9 2.7 (0.2) (0.3) (1.1) 0.5 0.1 (0.0) (0.0) PCHEM PERISAI SKPETRO UMWOG PLANTATIONS BSTEAD FGV IJMPLANT IOICORP KLK KWANTAS SIME UMCCA PROPERTY CRESNDO GLOMAC HUAYANG IOIPG MAHSING SPSETIA SUNWAY REIT SUNREIT CMMT POWER & UTILITIES PETDAG PETGAS TENAGA Semiconductor & Electronics IRIS (0.0) MPI (0.0) UNISEM (0.6) TRANSPORTATION Airlines AIRASIA 0.1 AIRPORT 0.2 Freight & Tankers MISC WSPRT Name (1.1) 0.7 28-Jan 29-Jan CLOSING PRICE 30-Jan 4-Feb (1.36) 1.49 0.73 5.55 0.50 2.80 1.26 1.52 0.72 5.13 0.47 2.75 (0.40) 1.57 0.73 5.10 0.48 2.67 (6.00) 1.59 0.75 5.30 0.50 2.82 2.70 2.73 2.70 2.66 4.68 2.40 3.68 4.77 22.82 4.59 2.44 3.48 4.74 23.02 4.65 2.44 3.50 4.71 22.66 4.60 2.40 3.50 4.75 22.90 1.99 9.53 6.39 1.99 9.40 6.38 1.99 9.40 6.35 1.95 9.55 6.37 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.2) (0.3) (0.0) 0.2 2.40 1.00 2.19 2.43 1.00 2.13 2.42 0.99 2.15 2.44 0.99 2.17 2.19 2.04 3.55 3.36 2.08 1.95 3.55 3.26 2.06 1.91 3.52 3.33 0.2 (0.1) 0.1 0.0 1.58 1.59 1.56 1.51 1.0 5.5 (6.7) 1.1 (6.2) (3.9) (1.6) (0.9) 1.2 (0.3) (1.5) (0.2) 0.4 17.62 22.34 15.00 1.64 (1.3) 1.9 (0.8) 0.3 0.8 0.8 (2.9) (2.2) (3.2) (0.4) 5.3 12.1 (0.2) 1.5 (2.7) (2.4) 2.1 (1.1) (0.1) (0.0) (0.3) (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) (0.1) 0.1 (1.0) (0.2) (0.1) (2.0) 0.0 (0.1) 0.2 (0.1) 4.9 0.1 (0.1) 0.8 (0.3) (0.1) 0.1 0.8 4.6 0.8 (0.3) (2.2) (0.2) (0.7) (2.3) 0.0 1.8 5-Feb Total Money Flow (S$' mn) 29-Jan 30-Jan 4-Feb 5-Feb 0.80 1.53 0.75 5.29 0.49 2.77 2.69 4.60 2.35 3.50 4.75 23.00 1.95 9.54 6.37 1.60 1.42 1.56 1.43 (0.04) IN 0.01 OUT 17.72 22.20 14.56 1.61 17.64 22.20 14.50 1.60 17.98 22.48 14.64 1.60 18.06 22.44 14.54 1.57 0.08 OUT (0.04) OUT (0.10) OUT (0.03) IN 7.20 6.39 7.22 6.41 7.20 6.41 7.17 6.49 7.10 7.00 7.10 6.99 7.15 6.99 0.00 0.00 (0.08) 0.01 IN IN 7.16 7.02 7.17 6.49 7.07 7.00 (0.0) 0.2 (0.9) 0.33 5.76 1.98 0.34 5.79 2.05 0.34 5.79 2.03 0.34 5.69 2.03 0.34 5.74 2.10 0.00 0.05 0.07 OUT IN OUT 0.8 (0.2) (1.0) 0.4 2.77 7.18 2.75 7.23 2.80 7.16 2.76 7.16 2.78 7.16 0.02 0.00 OUT IN (3.3) (0.3) 1.5 (2.2) 0.8 4.1 7.81 3.52 7.62 3.50 7.75 3.50 7.75 3.50 7.70 3.50 (0.05) 0.00 IN IN Total 5D MF (A) Prv. Chg (B) Cur. Chg 28-Jan 29-Jan CLOSING PRICE 30-Jan 4-Feb 3,412.2 3,419.1 3,408.0 3,417.6 5-Feb 3,406.6 (0.90) (1.99) (1.19) (1.07) (0.78) 1.05 1.19 1.01 0.0 5.1 (1.1) 1.1 (0.38) (0.90) (1.17) 0.02 6.31 (0.11) 1.16 (0.4) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (2.9) 0.1 (0.1) (0.0) 0.4 0.0 (0.16) (0.03) (1.99) 0.01 (0.34) 0.04 (0.40) 0.02 0.02 0.02 (0.9) (1.2) (2.0) 0.0 (0.3) 0.0 0.00 OUT (0.05) IN 0.00 OUT 0.00 IN 0.10 IN 0.00 OUT (0.01) IN 0.00 IN 1.55 1.44 2.0 (0.0) 1.2 1.2 1.0 6.80 OUT (0.06) OUT 0.01 OUT (0.01) IN (0.01) IN (0.05) IN 0.03 OUT 2.09 1.90 3.59 3.31 4.6 (1.1) (1.3) (0.8) 1.1 (A+B) DMF 0.05 0.00 (0.02) (0.01) 0.09 0.01 0.02 6.3 (0.1) 1.2 (1.2) (1.1) Chg 2.49 0.99 2.15 2.08 1.99 3.60 3.33 FSSTI BANKS & FINANCIAL SERVICES DBS (0.9) OCBC (2.0) UOB (0.4) PLANTATIONS WILMAR (0.2) IFAR (0.0) 28-Jan Chg OUT OUT OUT IN IN OUT OUT IN IN (A+B) DMF (10.99) 5.12 IN (1.12) OUT 1.14 IN 0.42 0.00 IN OUT Sources: Bloomberg, TA Securities Daily Money Flow (DMF) Formulation If previous change (A) + current change (B) > 0, then DMF = “IN”; AND if (A) + (B) < 0, then DMF = “OUT”. Money Flow (MF) Calculation The value of money flow is set to zero at the start of the trading day. When a trade is performed, its price is compared to the price of the previous trade (the first trade of the day is compared to the previous day's close). If the prices differ, the money associated with the trade (price times number of shares) is added to or subtracted from the money flow. Additions (inflows, buys) are done on upticks; subtractions (outflows, sells) are done on downticks. Daily Money Flow (DMF) Interpretation In general, money flow trends confirm price trends. As prices rise, money flows are usually positive. As prices fall, money flows are usually negative. A divergence, however, between money flow and price trend can be a signal of a future price trend change. For example, a falling stock price with a positive money flow (IN) can indicate a future rally in the price of the stock. Conversely, a rising stock price with a negative money flow (OUT) implies potential correction in the stock price. Page 2 of 2 Technical View TA Securities Friday, February 06, 2015 A Member of the TA Group MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 Daily Money Flow of the Plantation Sector Malaysia THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* Chartist: Stephen Soo Tel: +603-2167 9607 www.taonline.com.my (B) 29-Jan 30-Jan 4-Jan 5-Jan Total 5D MF (A) 28-Jan Prv. Chg Cur. Chg KL PLANT 2.5 1.9 (2.0) 1.6 2.5 6.5 3.6 0.9 BKAWAN (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 (0.1) 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 1.4 0.0 1.8 0.0 (0.9) 2.40 2.44 2.44 2.40 8.20 2.35 (0.2) 0.0 (0.0) (0.2) (0.1) 10.48 10.40 10.16 10.30 10.42 0.1 0.0 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 0.0 1.05 0.89 1.05 1.00 1.05 1.18 1.07 1.20 1.07 1.22 Name BLDPLNT CEPAT Total Money Flow (RM' mn) [email protected] (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 CHINTEK (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 DUTALND (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 FAREAST FGV 1.3 0.3 (1.0) 0.8 GENP 0.2 0.1 0.1 (0.1) GLBHD GOPENG 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.1 0.0 (0.0) HSPLANT 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) HARNLEN 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 IJMPLNT INCKEN 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 (0.0) 0.1 (0.0) IOICORP 1.4 0.4 (0.6) 0.0 0.0 (0.5) KMLOONG (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 KLK (0.5) 0.3 (0.6) 0.9 (0.0) 3.4 KULIM (0.2) 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 (0.1) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 NSOP 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 NPC 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 RSAWIT (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) RVIEW SOP 0.2 (0.0) 0.2 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.1) KLUANG KRETAM KWANTAS MHC PINEPAC PLS SWKPLNT 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 SBAGAN (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) TDM THPLANT (0.0) 0.0 0.4 0.0 (0.3) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 TWSPLNT 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 TSH 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) CLOSING PRICE 28-Jan 29-Jan 30-Jan 4-Jan 5-Jan 7,995.2 7,990.8 7,941.5 7,974.2 7,980.3 18.10 7.90 18.28 8.00 18.28 8.00 18.32 8.00 18.34 0.83 0.82 0.82 0.82 9.25 9.25 9.25 9.25 9.25 0.53 8.20 0.51 8.20 0.51 8.20 0.52 8.20 0.52 8.00 0.82 0.0 2.57 2.59 2.55 2.54 2.54 1.08 1.06 1.08 1.08 1.06 0.3 0.0 (0.1) (0.0) (0.1) 0.0 3.68 0.73 3.48 0.73 3.50 0.74 3.50 0.73 3.50 0.74 (0.02) OUT 0.00 OUT 0.01 IN 0.00 0.8 0.6 (0.5) 4.77 4.74 4.71 4.75 4.75 0.1 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 2.73 3.32 2.76 3.32 2.76 3.32 2.78 0.0 0.0 2.72 3.32 0.49 0.46 0.47 0.47 3.32 0.46 3.6 22.82 23.02 22.66 22.90 23.00 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.03 1.99 3.03 1.99 3.03 1.95 3.01 (0.0) (0.0) 3.03 1.99 0.99 1.00 0.99 1.00 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 5.10 5.10 0.00 0.00 4.91 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 2.75 0.32 0.00 0.32 0.00 0.34 0.00 0.0 0.0 2.75 0.33 0.00 1.02 1.02 1.02 0.32 1.02 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.55 0.56 0.56 0.57 0.56 0.4 (0.1) 0.0 (0.1) (0.0) 0.1 4.00 5.60 4.05 5.61 4.05 5.60 4.05 5.42 3.90 5.46 2.21 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) UTDPLT 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.1) 0.00 IN 0.02 OUT 0.00 IN (0.0) 2.5 0.1 0.0 0.00 IN 0.00 OUT (0.05) IN 0.12 OUT 0.0 1.5 UNICO UMCCA 0.02 OUT 0.00 OUT (0.01) OUT 0.00 IN (0.0) (0.2) 0.0 0.0 IN 0.0 0.2 (0.0) (0.0) 6.07 (A+B) DMF (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) Chg 1.95 1.00 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 2.18 2.22 2.18 2.25 (0.1) (0.0) 0.0 3.29 3.13 3.19 3.16 3.16 (0.1) 0.0 0.3 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.81 1.61 0.78 1.60 0.79 1.60 0.82 1.60 0.84 1.60 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 (0.0) (0.1) 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.25 0.00 2.25 0.00 2.25 0.00 2.26 0.00 (0.1) 0.0 (0.1) Sources: Bloomberg, TA Securities Page 1 of 4 2.25 6.39 6.38 6.35 6.37 0.00 6.37 24.40 24.42 24.42 24.32 24.90 IN 0.02 OUT 0.00 OUT (0.01) OUT 0.10 IN (0.02) OUT 0.00 OUT 0.00 IN 4.91 OUT 0.00 OUT (0.03) OUT 0.00 OUT (0.00) OUT (0.15) OUT 0.04 IN (0.04) OUT 0.00 OUT 0.02 IN 0.00 OUT 0.00 OUT (0.01) OUT 0.00 OUT 0.00 IN 0.58 OUT TA Securities A Member of the TA Group Daily Money Flow of the Construction Sector Malaysia THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* Chartist: Stephen Soo Name 28-Jan Tel: +603-2167 9607 Total Money Flow (RM' mn) 29-Jan 30-Jan 4-Jan [email protected] 5-Jan Total 5D MF (A) Prv. Chg (B) Cur. Chg 28-Jan 29-Jan www.taonline.com.my CLOSING PRICE 30-Jan 4-Jan 5-Jan Chg KL CONSTR 1.7 1.3 (8.7) (2.4) (1.5) (9.5) 6.3 0.9 289.0 289.1 291.0 292.4 293.9 1.52 AZRB ARK BENALEC BDB BGYEAR BPURI BREM CRESBLD DKLS EKOVEST SENDAI (0.0) 0.0 0.2 (0.0) 0.0 0.1 (0.1) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.4) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.1) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.1 (0.0) 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.1) (0.0) 0.0 (0.3) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.2) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.5) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.1) (0.1) (0.0) (0.0) (0.2) 0.0 0.0 (0.4) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.1) (0.4) 0.0 (0.0) 2.8 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 2.7 0.1 0.0 (11.2) (0.0) (0.1) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.1 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.3 (0.1) (0.1) (2.3) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (1.4) 0.1 0.1 1.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.1) 0.0 0.70 0.00 0.88 0.73 0.00 0.59 1.04 1.19 1.82 1.15 0.60 0.45 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 2.3 0.2 (0.0) (1.0) (0.0) 0.1 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (2.4) (0.1) (0.1) 8.9 0.0 0.1 (0.0) 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.71 0.00 0.84 0.73 0.00 0.60 1.03 1.20 1.77 1.14 0.61 0.44 0.00 0.00 (0.01) (0.01) 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 0.01 (0.04) 0.00 0.01 (0.1) (0.0) (0.0) (0.1) 3.8 0.2 (0.1) (13.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.71 0.00 0.79 0.72 0.00 0.61 1.03 1.18 1.80 1.14 0.61 0.44 0.70 0.00 0.88 0.72 0.00 0.58 1.04 1.20 1.78 1.15 0.61 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (1.1) 0.0 (0.0) (1.3) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.72 0.00 0.78 0.73 0.00 0.62 1.03 1.22 1.82 1.15 0.61 0.44 (0.0) (0.0) (0.2) 0.0 0.1 (0.4) (0.0) 0.2 0.0 (0.0) 0.3 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 (0.0) (0.1) 1.6 0.0 (0.3) (0.0) (0.0) (0.5) 0.0 (0.0) 1.10 1.23 1.52 5.10 1.40 1.69 6.89 0.63 0.54 1.32 1.07 0.46 0.00 1.34 0.0 0.0 (0.2) (0.0) 0.0 (0.1) 0.1 (0.1) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.2) (0.0) (0.0) 0.1 0.0 0.1 (0.3) (0.1) 0.3 (0.0) (0.0) 0.3 (0.0) (0.0) 1.12 1.23 1.53 5.07 1.40 1.69 6.90 0.62 0.51 1.30 1.07 0.43 0.00 1.35 (0.0) 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 (0.0) (0.3) (0.1) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.1) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.7 (0.0) 0.0 (0.5) 0.0 0.2 0.6 (0.0) 0.1 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 1.10 1.24 1.52 5.06 1.40 1.70 6.84 0.63 0.51 1.29 1.07 0.43 0.00 1.32 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 (0.1) (0.0) (0.1) 1.2 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.2) 0.0 (0.0) 1.10 1.26 1.51 5.04 1.42 1.74 6.80 0.63 0.53 1.32 1.07 0.44 0.00 1.29 (0.0) (0.1) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.3 (0.0) 1.05 0.33 1.25 0.34 1.67 1.98 0.89 4.42 1.74 0.17 1.59 0.38 0.41 1.11 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.1) 0.0 0.0 1.06 0.35 1.20 0.33 1.62 1.90 0.86 4.47 1.74 0.16 1.55 0.38 0.41 1.11 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.4) 0.2 (0.1) 1.09 0.35 1.16 0.34 1.62 1.89 0.84 4.40 1.72 0.16 1.54 0.37 0.41 1.12 (0.0) (0.3) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.1) 0.3 (0.0) 1.09 0.35 1.10 0.32 1.60 1.95 0.84 4.39 1.79 0.16 1.52 0.38 0.42 1.20 0.85 1.59 0.90 0.32 0.87 1.57 0.91 0.34 0.87 1.60 0.91 0.35 0.86 1.57 0.88 0.34 FAJAR FUTUTEC GBGAQRS GADANG GAMUDA HOHUP HSL IJM IREKA JAKS KIMLUN KEURO JETSON LEBTECH MRCB MELATI MERGE MITRA MTDACPI MUDAJYA MUHIBAH PESONA PTARAS PLB PSIPTEK PRTASCO SYCAL TRC TRIPLC TSRCAP WCT ZECON ZELAN Sources: Bloomberg, TA Securities Page 2 of 4 (A+B) DMF IN 0.45 1.15 1.23 1.48 5.14 1.39 1.68 6.92 0.64 0.53 1.32 1.06 0.46 0.00 OUT OUT OUT IN OUT IN OUT IN OUT IN IN 0.00 IN 0.05 OUT 0.00 IN (0.04) OUT 0.04 OUT (0.01) OUT (0.01) OUT 0.03 IN 0.01 IN (0.01) IN 0.00 OUT (0.01) OUT 0.00 OUT 0.00 OUT 1.33 1.04 0.33 1.24 0.33 1.74 2.00 0.93 4.27 1.71 0.16 1.72 0.38 0.40 (0.01) (0.01) 0.00 (0.01) (0.02) 0.07 0.02 0.04 (0.15) (0.03) (0.01) 0.13 0.00 (0.01) 1.08 0.94 1.59 0.89 0.34 IN OUT OUT IN OUT OUT IN OUT IN OUT OUT OUT IN OUT (0.03) OUT 0.08 OUT 0.02 OUT 0.01 IN 0.00 IN TA Securities A Member of the TA Group Daily Money Flow of the Property Sector Malaysia THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* Chartist: Stephen Soo Tel: +603-2167 9607 www.taonline.com.my (B) 29-Jan 30-Jan 4-Jan 5-Jan Total 5D MF (A) 28-Jan Prv. Chg Cur. Chg KL PROP (0.2) 0.8 0.5 0.7 (0.2) 1.6 0.2 (0.9) 1,312.7 1,297.3 1,294.4 1,304.8 1,306.5 A&M (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.86 0.86 0.89 0.88 0.86 AMPROP ASAS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.82 0.00 0.81 0.00 0.81 0.00 0.79 0.00 0.80 0.00 ASIAPAC BCB 0.0 (0.0) 0.1 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.24 0.99 0.23 0.99 0.23 0.98 0.23 0.98 0.24 0.97 BJASSET BERTAM CHHB (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.83 0.78 (0.0) 0.1 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.85 0.78 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.84 0.73 0.0 (0.1) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.84 0.72 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 1.23 2.64 0.1 (0.0) 0.1 (0.0) 1.22 2.57 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 1.23 2.55 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 1.22 2.85 0.82 0.78 1.16 0.01 OUT (0.01) OUT (0.01) OUT 0.00 OUT (0.07) OUT (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 2.44 2.61 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 2.42 2.57 0.00 0.05 0.0 (0.0) 2.43 2.58 2.64 2.49 (0.0) (0.0) 2.40 2.60 1.00 0.00 ENCORP EUPE 0.2 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.1) 1.00 0.00 0.5 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.3) 0.98 0.00 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.00 0.00 (0.5) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 2.07 1.25 0.80 2.22 1.25 0.78 2.29 1.24 0.78 2.37 1.30 0.80 FARLIM FOCAL 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.54 0.00 0.52 0.00 0.53 0.00 0.52 0.00 0.53 0.00 0.00 IN (0.01) OUT 0.01 OUT 0.00 OUT GOB GLOMAC 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.54 1.00 0.53 1.00 0.54 0.99 0.53 0.99 0.54 0.99 0.01 0.00 OUT OUT GPLUS HOOVER 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.53 0.00 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 OUT OUT GMUTUAL GUOCO (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.40 1.32 0.39 1.32 0.39 1.29 0.39 1.29 0.40 1.28 HUAYANG HUNZPTY (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 2.19 1.87 2.13 1.88 2.15 1.88 2.17 1.88 2.15 1.88 0.01 IN (0.01) OUT (0.02) OUT 0.00 IN IBHD IBRACO 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.1 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.63 1.70 0.62 1.69 0.62 1.77 0.61 1.70 0.61 1.70 0.00 0.00 IGB IJMLAND (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.1) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 (0.0) 0.1 (0.0) 0.4 0.0 0.4 (0.0) (0.4) 2.63 3.54 2.64 3.55 2.64 3.57 2.67 3.57 2.71 3.55 IVORY KBUNAI (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.44 0.07 0.43 0.07 0.42 0.07 0.43 0.07 0.43 0.07 0.04 OUT (0.02) IN (0.01) IN 0.00 IN KELADI KEN (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.29 0.94 0.30 0.93 0.30 0.94 0.30 0.94 0.30 0.92 KLCCP KASSETS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 OUT (0.02) OUT 0.00 OUT 0.00 OUT KSL KHSB L&G 0.3 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 (0.3) 0.0 2.03 0.00 (0.1) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.1) 0.53 1.37 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.1 0.53 1.35 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.2) 0.54 1.35 0.01 0.00 0.02 (0.0) (0.1) 0.54 1.36 2.04 0.00 0.55 IN OUT 0.0 (0.0) 0.3 0.0 0.1 2.01 0.00 (0.0) 0.0 (0.2) 0.0 0.1 2.07 0.00 0.0 0.0 (0.2) 0.0 0.2 2.06 0.00 0.0 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 0.1 1.55 0.33 0.0 0.4 0.0 (0.0) 1.54 0.33 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.1 1.55 0.32 (0.0) 0.1 0.0 (0.0) 1.57 0.33 (0.1) 0.2 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.2) (0.0) (0.1) (0.0) 0.0 0.33 0.25 0.85 0.34 0.26 0.84 0.32 0.25 0.84 0.33 0.28 0.85 0.09 0.00 MPCORP MALTON 0.0 0.0 (0.1) 1.99 0.33 IN 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.3) 0.0 0.94 1.90 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.93 1.91 (0.0) 0.0 (0.1) 0.7 0.0 0.94 1.95 0.33 0.94 0.1 0.0 0.92 2.04 IN (0.05) OUT 0.00 IN 0.00 IN 0.00 IN MEDAINC MENANG 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.58 0.75 0.58 0.72 0.57 0.73 0.57 0.74 0.58 0.75 MKLAND MKH (0.2) 0.1 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 (0.0) (0.1) (0.0) (0.3) 0.1 0.0 0.1 (0.1) 0.0 0.43 2.86 0.43 2.85 0.43 2.73 0.45 2.81 0.47 2.78 MUIPROP MULPHAL 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.41 0.39 0.40 0.38 0.41 0.38 0.42 0.02 OUT (0.03) IN 0.01 IN 0.02 IN NADAYU NAIM 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 0.1 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.1 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 (0.1) 0.00 3.01 0.00 2.98 0.00 3.00 0.00 3.04 0.00 3.06 0.00 0.02 OIB OSKPROP (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 2.28 1.84 2.28 1.84 2.28 1.84 2.28 1.88 2.28 1.86 PMIND PARAMON 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.00 1.48 0.00 1.47 0.00 1.45 0.00 1.47 0.00 1.47 0.00 OUT (0.02) OUT 0.00 OUT 0.00 OUT PASDEC 0.1 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.47 0.46 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.00 Name CVIEW CRESNDO DAIMAN DBHD DIJACOR E&O LBICAP LBS LIENHOE MAGNA MAHSING MJPERAK Total Money Flow (RM' mn) [email protected] Sources: Bloomberg, TA Securities Page 3 of 4 CLOSING PRICE 28-Jan 29-Jan 30-Jan 4-Jan 5-Jan 2.59 0.97 0.00 2.31 1.30 0.79 1.32 1.55 0.27 0.84 Chg 1.73 (A+B) DMF OUT (0.02) OUT 0.01 IN 0.00 OUT OUT OUT (0.02) OUT (0.04) OUT 0.00 OUT (0.06) OUT IN OUT IN (0.02) OUT (0.01) OUT 0.01 IN 0.02 IN OUT OUT IN TA Securities A Member of the TA Group Name 28-Jan Total Money Flow (RM' mn) 29-Jan 30-Jan 4-Jan 5-Jan Total 5D MF (A) Prv. Chg (B) Cur. Chg 28-Jan 29-Jan CLOSING PRICE 30-Jan 4-Jan 5-Jan Chg (A+B) DMF PRDUREN 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 1.63 0.00 OUT PTGTIN 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.2) (0.0) (0.1) 0.25 1.46 0.25 1.47 0.24 1.50 0.00 (0.1) 0.26 1.49 0.24 PJDEV 0.0 (0.0) PLENITU (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 2.35 2.27 2.28 2.30 2.33 SAPRES SBCCORP 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.92 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.93 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.93 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.94 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 1.03 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.92 1.01 SDRED 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.1) 1.03 1.06 1.07 1.07 1.05 SPB 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 5.80 5.78 5.61 5.61 5.61 0.00 SNTORIA (0.0) 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.1) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 1.17 3.02 1.14 3.04 1.13 3.07 0.01 0.0 1.19 3.02 1.14 SHL (0.0) (0.0) SMI (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.15 SPSETIA 0.1 0.7 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.8 0.0 (0.0) 3.55 3.55 3.52 3.59 3.60 SUNWAY SYMLIFE (0.1) 0.0 0.3 (0.4) 3.31 0.0 0.2 (0.0) 3.33 0.0 (0.7) (0.0) 3.26 (0.0) (0.3) 0.0 3.36 0.0 (0.1) (0.0) 0.86 0.84 0.84 0.84 3.33 0.85 TAGB 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.1 (0.0) 0.1 0.1 (0.1) 0.34 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.32 0.01 OUT 0.02 OUT 0.01 OUT (0.01) IN TAHPS 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 6.80 6.80 6.70 6.65 6.50 (0.15) IN TAMBUN 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 1.89 0.15 1.86 0.15 1.90 0.15 0.01 0.0 1.99 0.16 1.91 TANCO 0.1 0.0 0.14 (0.00) IN IN TEBRAU 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 TRINITY UEMLAND 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 OUT 0.00 OUT 0.00 OUT UOADEV (0.1) 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 (0.1) 2.10 2.11 2.10 2.10 2.11 WINGTM (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 1.71 1.71 1.70 1.75 1.71 Y&G 0.0 (0.1) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.1 (0.1) 1.00 1.97 0.85 1.98 0.76 1.93 0.76 1.97 0.76 YNHPROP YTLLAND (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.84 0.82 0.82 0.83 0.83 1.49 3.02 1.95 IN (0.01) OUT 0.03 OUT 0.00 OUT 0.02 IN (0.02) OUT IN IN (0.05) OUT (0.01) OUT 0.01 OUT (0.04) OUT 0.00 OUT (0.02) OUT 0.00 IN Sources: Bloomberg, TA Securities Daily Money Flow (DMF) Formulation If previous change (A) + current change (B) > 0, then DMF = “IN”; AND if (A) + (B) < 0, then DMF = “OUT”. Money Flow (MF) Calculation The value of money flow is set to zero at the start of the trading day. When a trade is performed, its price is compared to the price of the previous trade (the first trade of the day is compared to the previous day's close). If the prices differ, the money associated with the trade (price times number of shares) is added to or subtracted from the money flow. Additions (inflows, buys) are done on upticks; subtractions (outflows, sells) are done on downticks. Daily Money Flow (DMF) Interpretation In general, money flow trends confirm price trends. As prices rise, money flows are usually positive. As prices fall, money flows are usually negative. A divergence, however, between money flow and price trend can be a signal of a future price trend change. For example, a falling stock price with a positive money flow (IN) can indicate a future rally in the price of the stock. Conversely, a rising stock price with a negative money flow (OUT) implies potential correction in the stock price. Disclaimer The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein. for TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD (14948-M) MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Kaladher Govindan – Head of Research Page 4 of 4 T e c h n i c a l TA Securities V i e w Friday, February 06, 2015 FBMKLCI: 1,803.21 A Member of the TA Group MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 Daily Stock Screen s Malaysia End Day Census of 05.02.2015 THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* Chartist: Stephen Soo Tel: +603-2167 9607 [email protected] www.taonline.com.my Report Description: The Daily Stock Screen is a retail product which can be a very useful guide for momentum trading and trading ideas .The following list is derived from the screening of more than 1000 stocks currently listed on Bursa Malaysia to identify: the top 20 breakout, 20 breakdown, and 30 ‘potential’ breakout stocks which just climbed above the middle Bollinger band, with potential to appreciate toward the upper Bollinger band. [MIDDLE BOLLINGER RANGEBOUND] List of 30 Potential Breakout Stocks (Short-term BUY for upside toward Upper Bollinger Band or higher to TAKE PROFIT/SELL) No 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Stock Name Price GLOBALTEC FORMAT MEDIA SHOPPE BHD SUMATEC RESOURCE ASTRO MALAYSIA KARAMBUNAI CORP GENETEC TECH BHD NEXGRAM HOLDINGS PDZ HOLDINGS BHD DIVERSIFIED GATE MLABS SYSTEMS ES CERAMICS TECH SINOTOP HOLDING EA HOLDINGS PUC FOUNDER MSC TALAM TRANSFORM XINGHE HOLDINGS AT SYSTEMATIZATI LONDON BISCUITS RGB INTERNATIONA UEM SUNRISE BHD INGENUITY CONSOL AE MULTI HOLDING MULTI SPORTS HOL BERJAYA CORP BHD BERJAYA AUTO BHD FRONTKEN CORP SONA PETROLEUM B LEWEKO RESOURCES HIAP HUAT HOLDIN MARCO HOLDINGS B 0.08 0.07 0.22 2.98 0.07 0.16 0.08 0.16 0.09 0.10 0.23 0.07 0.13 0.15 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.65 0.15 1.30 0.06 0.16 0.13 0.41 3.36 0.17 0.43 0.17 0.14 0.18 RSI Bollinger Band Moving Average Lower Middle Upper 14-day 10-day 30-day 50-day 0.05 0.04 0.20 2.91 0.06 0.13 0.07 0.13 0.06 0.09 0.18 0.05 0.11 0.12 0.07 0.06 0.08 0.59 0.13 1.22 0.05 0.14 0.11 0.39 3.29 0.15 0.41 0.14 0.12 0.16 0.07 0.05 0.21 2.97 0.06 0.15 0.08 0.15 0.08 0.10 0.22 0.06 0.12 0.13 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.64 0.15 1.29 0.06 0.15 0.13 0.40 3.36 0.16 0.42 0.16 0.13 0.17 0.08 0.07 0.23 3.03 0.07 0.17 0.08 0.17 0.10 0.11 0.26 0.07 0.14 0.15 0.09 0.11 0.10 0.69 0.16 1.37 0.06 0.16 0.14 0.42 3.42 0.17 0.43 0.17 0.14 0.18 58.74 58.82 48.33 47.70 50.43 61.41 55.92 55.38 60.54 49.80 55.85 57.13 55.74 55.42 58.25 58.96 59.82 53.92 57.10 42.33 55.98 52.33 54.61 46.77 51.49 63.26 54.14 56.56 53.90 58.15 0.07 0.06 0.22 2.95 0.07 0.16 0.08 0.16 0.09 0.10 0.23 0.06 0.13 0.14 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.64 0.15 1.31 0.06 0.15 0.13 0.41 3.37 0.16 0.43 0.16 0.13 0.17 0.07 0.05 0.21 3.00 0.06 0.14 0.07 0.15 0.07 0.10 0.21 0.06 0.12 0.14 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.63 0.14 1.35 0.05 0.15 0.12 0.40 3.34 0.15 0.42 0.15 0.13 0.16 0.07 0.06 0.22 3.10 0.07 0.14 0.07 0.15 0.07 0.10 0.21 0.06 0.12 0.15 0.08 0.08 0.09 0.64 0.14 1.47 0.06 0.16 0.12 0.42 3.32 0.15 0.41 0.15 0.13 0.16 Vol 49,704,900 34,567,200 19,168,800 11,489,600 7,332,300 6,957,500 5,313,400 4,924,600 4,828,900 4,657,000 4,569,200 3,457,600 3,331,200 3,329,700 3,299,400 3,169,000 3,096,000 3,071,600 3,026,500 3,009,400 2,691,300 2,373,000 2,270,600 2,090,500 2,047,700 2,019,200 1,935,900 1,810,800 1,710,000 1,610,000 20-day avg vol 10,737,510 19,239,260 38,396,580 5,997,950 583,700 4,676,520 7,955,385 16,129,340 9,566,060 574,680 5,640,430 1,238,560 4,920,175 7,992,595 8,784,080 4,625,865 3,563,440 994,685 4,806,575 4,946,200 4,189,800 2,767,540 3,160,495 8,112,130 1,248,090 4,847,430 7,386,365 375,940 1,837,205 3,974,775 Raw data sourced from Bloomberg *Note: To qualify in this list above, the first sorting criteria is stock price must have just climbed or stayed ABOVE the middle Bollinger Band, followed by a second criteria that trading volume for the day must be significantly strong. This is a good watch list for momentum traders looking for short-term BUY ideas, as they are laggards with good upside potential towards the upper Bollinger band or higher to TAKE PROFIT/SELL. Caveat: Some stocks may continue to stay range bound and trade sideways, hence traders should refer to their respective charts to spot accumulation (volume growth) or breakout patterns. INTERPRETATION OF TECHNICAL INDICATORS: Moving Averages: A stock’s short-term trend is bullish if share price stays above the 10-day moving average, and bearish if it stays below. The mediumterm trend is positive if share price stays above the 30-day, and negative if it remains below this average. 14-day RSI: A reading below 30 is considered oversold, above 70 is overbought. A rise above 50 with a corresponding share price surge above the 30-day SMA should be taken as a bullish move with good short-term upside potential. A fall below 50 and a simultaneous dip below the 30-day SMA is bearish and imply further near-term downside risk. Bollinger Bands: Variable width bands that narrow during less volatile periods and widen during more volatile periods. As a general rule, in a bearish trend, traders should buy when share price touches the lower band and exit when price touches the middle band. The reverse is true in a bullish trend, ie. Buy when price touches the middle band and sell when price touches the upper band. Momentum traders will buy on price breaks above the upper band, and sell when price breaks below the lower band. Alternatively, a sharp move that originates at one band tends to go all the way to the other band, a useful observation when projecting price targets. Page 1 of 2 TA Securities A Member of the TA Group *Note: To qualify in the breakout list below, the first sorting criteria is stock price must close ABOVE the upper Bollinger Band, followed by a second criteria that trading volume for the day must be significantly higher than the 20-day average volume, which signal a bullish breakout. Caveat: We would caution momentum traders that a highly overbought 14-day RSI reading (> 80) and share price pullback BELOW the upper Bollinger Band are early warning signals to exit buy breakout trades. [UPPER BOLLINGER BREAKOUT] Top 20 Breakout Stocks (Generally BULLISH, but can be short-term TAKE PROFIT/SELL guide) No Stock Name Price 19 KANGER INTERNATI MK LAND HLDGS UMS-NEIKEN GRP PROTASCO BHD IDEAL JACOBS MAL TRANSOCEAN HLDGS ECM LIBRA FINANC SUNSURIA BHD PENTAMASTER CORP SUPER ENT HLDGS COMINTEL CORP BH ECOFIRST CONSOLI HOVID BHD MALPAC HLDG MUDAJAYA GROUP KUMPULAN JETSON UNISEM (M) BHD KAF SEAGROATT IGB REIT 20 TASEK CORP BHD 0.46 0.47 0.98 1.72 0.36 0.51 1.05 1.51 0.52 1.48 0.24 0.33 0.42 1.82 1.74 0.46 2.10 1.74 1.36 15.60 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 RSI Bollinger Band Moving Average Lower Middle Upper 14-day 10-day 30-day 50-day 0.34 0.38 0.64 1.42 0.26 0.37 0.95 1.29 0.37 1.16 0.18 0.29 0.35 1.73 1.40 0.42 1.86 1.62 1.24 15.19 0.39 0.42 0.77 1.53 0.30 0.43 0.99 1.37 0.43 1.31 0.21 0.31 0.38 1.77 1.55 0.44 1.98 1.67 1.30 15.34 0.44 0.45 0.90 1.65 0.34 0.49 1.02 1.46 0.49 1.46 0.24 0.33 0.41 1.81 1.71 0.46 2.10 1.72 1.36 15.50 65.44 75.57 84.03 68.81 64.07 58.89 68.07 79.77 71.40 67.37 67.36 64.94 69.58 56.87 70.13 61.81 66.68 58.68 70.50 61.54 0.39 0.42 0.78 1.53 0.30 0.43 0.99 1.39 0.44 1.33 0.21 0.31 0.38 1.78 1.59 0.44 2.01 1.66 1.31 15.32 0.38 0.41 0.75 1.51 0.30 0.44 0.98 1.35 0.41 1.32 0.20 0.30 0.37 1.78 1.51 0.44 1.91 1.71 1.29 15.39 0.38 0.41 0.75 1.52 0.32 0.44 0.98 1.33 0.41 1.33 0.20 0.31 0.37 1.80 1.59 0.45 1.88 1.76 1.29 15.52 Vol 9,293,000 18,468,100 2,325,100 10,033,100 3,992,300 38,600 765,900 478,800 15,921,000 42,400 1,571,800 4,062,200 11,556,500 21,700 834,100 2,192,500 7,129,800 132,500 3,009,000 26,700 20-day avg vol 259,245 914,140 117,020 791,715 400,265 4,780 106,635 81,520 2,738,440 8,190 344,880 980,490 2,941,080 5,815 310,725 837,210 2,745,745 51,835 1,235,455 11,230 Raw data sourced from Bloomberg *Note: As for the top 20 breakdown list below, the sole sorting criteria is stock price must close significantly BELOW the lower Bollinger Band, with the largest distance from the lower band at the top of the table, signaling a severe sell-off which is bearish. Caveat: A stock should bottom out if share price moves ABOVE the falling lower Bollinger Band, which can be a good buy signal for technical rebound upside after the sharp sell-off. [LOWER BOLLINGER BREAKDOWN] Top 20 Breakdown Stocks (Generally BEARISH, but can be short-term BUY guide) No 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Stock Name Price METROD TEO GUAN LEE COR MICROLINK SOLUT AUTOAIR HLDGS IRM GROUP BHD KWANTAS CORP BHD MELEWAR INDUSTRI Y&G CORP BHD YLI HLDGS BHD CARING PHARMACY MASTERSKILL EDUC YINSON HLDGS BHD PINEAPPLE RESOUR SMTRACK BHD TIGER SYNERGY BH MALAYSIAN GENOMI NETX HOLDINGS BH COMPUGATES HOLDI DPS RESOURCES BH ANN JOO RESOURCE 1.79 1.42 0.50 0.02 0.02 1.95 0.28 0.76 0.73 1.11 0.62 2.78 0.27 0.08 0.13 0.39 0.06 0.05 0.08 1.05 Bollinger Band RSI Moving Average Lower Middle Upper 14-day 10-day 30-day 50-day 1.85 1.48 0.54 0.05 0.03 1.96 0.29 0.77 0.73 1.12 0.62 2.78 0.27 0.08 0.13 0.39 0.06 0.05 0.08 1.05 1.99 1.58 0.62 0.12 0.05 2.00 0.31 0.89 0.78 1.19 0.68 2.86 0.34 0.08 0.13 0.45 0.06 0.05 0.09 1.10 2.13 1.68 0.71 0.19 0.07 2.04 0.33 1.02 0.83 1.27 0.73 2.93 0.42 0.09 0.14 0.50 0.06 0.06 0.10 1.15 32.61 25.48 29.38 25.86 24.45 38.54 39.03 40.19 30.26 32.32 39.22 46.02 41.13 29.76 40.57 41.25 41.73 43.76 39.68 37.68 1.97 1.55 0.61 0.11 0.05 1.98 0.31 0.92 0.77 1.20 0.67 2.87 0.32 0.08 0.14 0.44 0.06 0.05 0.09 1.11 1.99 1.59 0.63 0.14 0.06 2.00 0.31 0.88 0.79 1.19 0.67 2.81 0.35 0.09 0.13 0.45 0.06 0.05 0.09 1.09 1.95 1.61 0.66 0.14 0.07 2.02 0.31 0.86 0.79 1.21 0.68 2.75 0.35 0.09 0.13 0.43 0.06 0.05 0.10 1.10 Vol 400 3,200 5,000 323,700 3,178,200 2,100 36,700 100 55,000 240,400 3,283,800 3,224,200 5,000 205,000 17,916,000 1,000 50,000 632,100 1,814,100 305,400 20-day avg vol 8,020 410 90 630 132,700 9,925 47,345 120 62,710 51,485 6,524,490 2,653,380 310 118,945 20,112,660 65 1,211,225 1,554,315 3,476,040 98,180 Raw data sourced from Bloomberg Disclaimer The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein. for TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD (14948-M) MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Kaladher Govindan – Head of Research Page 2 of 2 Friday, 06 February, 2015 For Internal Circulation Only TA RESEARCH’S ‘DAILY COMPILED FOREIGN TECHNICAL REPORTS’ Asian Technical Reports a. Foreign Technical Stock Watch (AUS) b. Foreign Technical Stock Watch (HK) c. Foreign Technical Stock Watch (FSSTI) Disclaimer The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein. for TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD (14948-M) MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Kaladher Govindan – Head of Research T e c h n i c a l TA Securities V i e w Friday, February 06, 2015 A Member of the TA Group MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 Foreign Technical Stock Watch Australia ASX: 5,810.98 (+33.64, +0.58%) THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* Chartist: Stephen Soo Stock Name ASX 200 BHP BILLITON RIO TINTO COMMONW BK AUSTR WESTPAC BANKING AUST AND NZ BANK NATL AUST BANK SINGAP TELEC-CDI WESFARMERS WOODSIDE PETRO NEWCREST MINING WESTFIELD GROUP FORTESCUE METALS QBE INSURANCE ORIGIN ENERGY AMP SANTOS MACQUARIE GROUP SUNCORP GROUP ORICA OIL SEARCH COCA-COLA AMATIL AMCOR STOCKLAND ALUMINA COMPUTERSHARE ASCIANO QANTAS AIRWAYS SIMS METAL MGMT CENTAURUS METALS CITIGOLD CORP DRILLSEARCH ENERGY GINDALBIE METALS KANGAROO RESOURCES LYNAS CORP SOVEREIGN GOLD TIARO COAL Tel: +603-2167 9607 [email protected] Close Bollinger Bands RSI Moving Averages DMI Change High Low 5-Feb Lower Mid Upper 14d 10d 30d 50d DI + DI ADX Diff 5810.98 33.64 5819.10 5757.90 5185.48 5488.47 5791.45 78.55 5610.06 5463.10 5392.58 51.27 13.56 28.28 37.71 31.36 60.20 93.27 36.44 34.98 36.97 3.91 44.71 35.26 14.39 10.22 2.51 11.20 11.86 6.05 8.09 65.43 14.78 19.45 8.23 9.84 13.04 4.60 2.03 11.60 6.06 2.50 10.67 0.05 0.02 0.96 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.01 0.00 -0.63 -0.53 2.48 0.21 0.36 0.47 0.00 0.18 -0.61 0.51 0.14 -0.07 0.15 -0.24 0.11 -0.27 0.68 -0.01 0.11 -0.24 0.02 0.08 0.07 -0.03 0.04 -0.03 0.12 -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.50 60.42 93.30 36.54 35.08 37.03 3.93 45.07 35.34 14.42 10.28 2.55 11.26 12.00 6.07 8.19 65.59 14.92 19.57 8.28 9.89 13.10 4.60 2.09 11.68 6.12 2.52 10.85 0.05 0.02 0.97 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.01 0.00 31.18 59.63 90.92 35.93 34.43 36.09 3.89 44.54 34.71 13.98 10.10 2.45 10.97 11.66 5.95 7.95 64.19 14.71 19.21 8.13 9.79 12.92 4.50 2.02 11.42 6.06 2.42 10.55 0.05 0.02 0.92 0.02 0.01 0.04 0.01 0.00 26.16 52.94 81.02 31.77 30.39 32.47 3.43 41.62 32.38 11.79 8.89 1.97 10.23 9.99 5.15 7.00 54.09 13.62 16.92 6.81 8.93 12.36 4.00 1.76 11.29 5.77 2.22 10.51 0.04 0.01 0.62 0.02 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 28.82 56.96 86.67 33.99 32.49 34.66 3.70 43.20 34.75 13.25 9.62 2.37 10.75 10.95 5.59 7.65 59.93 14.28 18.13 7.62 9.43 12.89 4.30 1.91 11.80 5.97 2.42 11.05 0.06 0.02 0.78 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.01 0.01 31.47 60.99 92.32 36.21 34.59 36.85 3.98 44.78 37.11 14.70 10.34 2.77 11.26 11.91 6.02 8.30 65.76 14.94 19.33 8.42 9.93 13.42 4.59 2.05 12.31 6.16 2.62 11.58 0.08 0.02 0.93 0.02 0.01 0.07 0.01 0.01 64.36 64.07 84.14 79.32 81.14 83.47 72.45 69.73 49.93 72.38 69.13 53.41 60.38 60.52 73.21 52.18 78.79 68.55 64.15 60.06 74.50 53.41 73.31 64.47 46.96 56.88 56.70 40.34 39.38 54.63 69.74 45.58 34.20 40.46 45.15 31.08 29.79 57.87 88.90 34.93 33.22 35.59 3.82 43.86 34.61 13.83 9.89 2.28 10.69 11.09 5.76 7.90 62.37 14.55 18.39 7.95 9.65 12.76 4.42 1.95 11.64 6.02 2.45 10.97 0.05 0.02 0.83 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.01 0.01 28.92 57.16 86.27 33.67 32.33 34.25 3.67 42.75 35.78 12.52 9.49 2.48 10.88 11.18 5.57 7.82 59.34 14.19 18.40 7.68 9.37 13.11 4.26 1.88 11.80 5.99 2.43 11.32 0.06 0.02 0.79 0.02 0.01 0.06 0.01 0.01 29.31 56.86 84.34 33.21 32.06 33.46 3.63 42.27 35.92 11.66 9.12 2.54 10.89 11.39 5.55 8.26 59.07 14.15 18.20 7.69 9.24 12.93 4.21 1.80 11.61 5.91 2.31 11.14 0.06 0.02 0.81 0.02 0.01 0.06 0.01 0.03 43.95 39.33 47.60 45.74 46.20 45.95 33.01 31.26 31.24 38.90 37.82 28.26 29.90 37.82 38.32 33.06 43.46 30.41 34.85 36.61 32.74 18.91 35.11 31.86 16.71 30.84 34.26 11.82 33.16 40.14 40.10 21.52 38.65 21.26 27.65 27.73 24.55 24.54 9.31 10.21 10.15 11.96 11.82 9.99 30.44 19.86 7.63 25.40 24.29 26.33 12.44 24.87 13.64 19.80 16.23 25.66 12.04 20.88 7.06 16.21 21.67 20.68 22.90 28.68 45.73 18.17 17.95 15.92 42.20 27.85 48.92 62.30 20.88 13.06 35.37 28.59 26.96 30.05 28.21 27.86 19.96 34.68 42.58 24.01 17.52 26.98 24.55 22.92 29.80 16.63 19.02 15.86 28.11 18.97 31.43 16.94 14.22 17.60 25.04 25.51 17.70 34.26 24.24 27.42 15.76 20.63 40.15 41.08 19.40 14.79 38.29 35.53 36.05 33.99 21.19 21.27 0.79 19.04 30.19 2.86 5.60 11.49 25.88 8.19 29.82 10.61 18.61 10.95 20.70 (1.97) 28.05 15.65 (4.96) 10.15 11.36 (16.87) (12.56) 21.98 22.14 5.60 (3.55) (6.58) (21.27) (34.57) www.taonline.com.my MACD Line Signal Diff 98.74 59.87 38.867 0.46 0.64 1.98 0.76 0.64 0.86 0.09 0.62 -0.36 0.74 0.29 -0.06 -0.03 0.02 0.11 -0.05 1.64 0.19 0.16 0.16 0.17 -0.03 0.10 0.06 -0.04 0.03 0.04 -0.13 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.01 0.12 1.34 0.49 0.32 0.63 0.06 0.47 -0.62 0.73 0.24 -0.10 -0.09 -0.17 0.06 -0.20 0.97 0.12 -0.04 0.05 0.12 -0.05 0.06 0.04 -0.01 0.02 0.05 -0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 0.453 0.521 0.642 0.271 0.321 0.230 0.027 0.146 0.257 0.004 0.051 0.044 0.063 0.198 0.059 0.151 0.668 0.075 0.201 0.108 0.045 0.018 0.035 0.012 (0.037) 0.013 (0.004) (0.040) (0.002) 0.000 0.030 0.000 (0.000) (0.001) 0.001 0.002 DMI MACD Recent Signal BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY SELL SELL BUY BUY BUY SELL SELL SELL SELL BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY SELL BUY SELL SELL SELL BUY BUY BUY SELL SELL BUY BUY DMI MACD Signal Change BUY - The table below consists of the top 30 ASX 200 Index component stocks, weighted by market capitalization in descending order, with some popular technical indicators. Some other popularly traded stocks are included at the bottom section. The technical BUY/SELL signals on the last four columns are auto generated; the first two being existing or recent signals while the last two represent a signal change from BUY to SELL or the reverse, otherwise no change is indicated by a dash. Page 1 of 3 TA Securities A Member of the TA Group Daily Money Flow of Foreign Technical Stock Picks Australia THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* Chartist: Stephen Soo Tel: +603-2167 9607 www.taonline.com.my 30-Jan 2-Feb 3-Feb 4-Feb 5-Feb Total 5D MF (A) Prv. Chg (B) Cur. Chg ASX 200 20.6 30.2 14.9 2.9 19.6 88.2 (12.0) 16.6 5,588.3 5,625.3 5,707.4 5,777.3 5,811.0 1 BHP BILLITON (1.6) 0.9 2.5 1.4 (2.1) 1.1 (0.5) 3.4 4.0 2.3 1.6 4.5 (4.7) 5.4 4.8 (2.2) 2.4 (7.0) (2.5) 12.5 30.65 58.58 31.36 7.7 13.5 28.95 57.05 31.99 0.9 10.3 30.65 58.58 90.40 88.76 90.40 60.73 90.79 60.20 93.27 5.0 2.2 2.9 3.0 5.1 0.5 1.0 (1.0) (0.2) 13.8 (4.1) (1.2) 4.9 2.3 (3.1) 35.26 34.11 (0.3) (1.5) 5.2 34.64 32.95 (1.6) 6.0 5.4 35.26 34.11 0.5 1.3 1.9 36.23 35.50 36.23 0.1 2.2 (0.0) 1.3 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 1.5 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (2.7) (1.1) 1.5 1.5 0.5 (2.9) 3.92 44.17 (3.2) 6.9 (14.6) 3.79 43.70 (3.5) 2.0 (4.1) 3.92 44.17 35.69 33.74 35.69 2.2 3.0 2.3 3.1 0.3 1.8 (1.7) (0.7) 0.4 3.5 (2.0) 2.1 1.8 0.8 (2.2) 14.00 10.23 (0.9) (2.5) 2.8 13.70 9.88 (0.9) 7.4 (3.0) 14.00 10.23 (2.7) 0.2 (0.4) 1.4 (0.1) 0.9 2.1 0.2 1.8 1.6 0.5 0.8 5.0 1.4 (0.8) 3.2 0.6 0.0 (0.5) 0.8 (3.3) 5.1 0.0 (1.3) (0.6) 0.3 (2.7) 4.2 3.7 2.1 3.9 0.9 4.4 0.3 (2.1) 1.3 8.8 (0.6) 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.3 (0.6) 3.1 2.2 13.1 3.5 (6.5) (0.9) 5.1 2.8 0.3 0.3 (0.4) 0.7 0.1 (0.8) (0.1) (0.2) 0.9 1.0 (0.2) 1.0 (5.5) (1.5) (2.8) 0.4 0.4 (1.1) 0.4 (10.4) 0.6 3.1 0.5 (1.5) 2.8 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 (0.7) 1.3 1.0 0.0 (0.5) 1.1 2.7 0.3 1.3 0.1 1.1 (0.0) 0.4 (0.0) (0.0) No Name 2 RIO TINTO 3 COMMONW BK AUSTR 4 WESTPAC BANKING 5 AUST AND NZ BANK 6 NATL AUST BANK 7 SINGAP TELEC-CDI 8 WESFARMERS 9 WOODSIDE PETRO 10 NEWCREST MINING 11 WESTFIELD GROUP 12 FORTESCUE METALS 13 QBE INSURANCE 14 ORIGIN ENERGY 15 AMP 16 SANTOS 17 MACQUARIE GROUP 18 SUNCORP GROUP 19 ORICA 20 OIL SEARCH 22 AMCOR 23 STOCKLAND 24 ALUMINA 25 COMPUTERSHARE 26 ASCIANO 27 QANTAS AIRWAYS 28 SIMS METAL MGMT 29 CENTAURUS METALS 30 CITIGOLD CORP 31 DRILLSEARCH ENERGY 32 GINDALBIE METALS 33 KANGAROO RESOURCES 34 LYNAS CORP 35 SOVEREIGN GOLD 36 TIARO COAL Total Money Flow (AUD' mn) [email protected] (0.5) 4.7 (0.6) (0.7) (0.6) 0.3 0.9 2.2 (1.2) (0.5) 0.2 0.7 (0.4) (1.0) (0.5) 0.5 (0.5) (0.1) 0.8 5.0 (2.1) 1.8 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.4) 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.0 (1.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 (0.0) (0.1) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.2) (0.0) (0.2) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 (0.2) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 CLOSING PRICE 30-Jan 2-Feb 3-Feb 2.37 2.23 2.37 10.68 11.70 10.53 10.60 10.68 11.70 5.85 5.80 5.85 8.21 63.87 7.73 61.75 8.21 63.87 14.68 14.58 14.68 18.85 8.33 17.82 7.70 18.85 8.33 12.86 12.75 12.86 4.57 1.98 4.34 1.95 4.57 1.98 11.48 11.64 11.48 6.00 2.41 6.05 2.57 10.71 4-Feb 5-Feb (A+B) DMF Chg 33.64 IN (0.63) IN (0.53) OUT 2.48 IN 36.23 36.44 34.62 36.50 34.98 36.97 3.91 3.91 44.53 35.87 44.71 35.26 IN 0.00 OUT 0.18 IN (0.61) OUT 13.88 14.39 0.51 10.08 2.58 10.22 2.51 11.05 11.20 12.10 5.94 11.86 6.05 8.36 8.09 64.75 14.79 65.43 14.78 19.34 19.45 8.47 12.96 8.23 13.04 4.53 4.60 2.06 11.56 2.03 11.60 6.00 2.41 6.09 6.06 2.38 2.50 11.14 10.71 0.05 0.02 0.05 0.02 0.05 0.02 10.90 0.05 10.67 0.05 0.90 0.78 0.90 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.98 0.02 0.96 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.01 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.21 OUT IN 0.36 0.47 IN 0.14 OUT (0.07) IN 0.15 IN (0.24) OUT 0.11 OUT (0.27) IN 0.68 OUT (0.01) IN 0.11 IN (0.24) IN 0.08 IN 0.07 OUT (0.03) OUT 0.04 IN (0.03) OUT 0.12 OUT (0.23) OUT 0.00 IN (0.00) IN (0.02) OUT (0.00) OUT 0.00 OUT (0.00) IN (0.00) OUT 0.00 OUT Sources: Bloomberg, TA Securities Daily Money Flow (DMF) Formulation If previous change (A) + current change (B) > 0, then DMF = “IN”; AND if (A) + (B) < 0, then DMF = “OUT”. Money Flow (MF) Calculation The value of money flow is set to zero at the start of the trading day. When a trade is performed, its price is compared to the price of the previous trade (the first trade of the day is compared to the previous day's close). If the prices differ, the money associated with the trade (price times number of shares) is added to or subtracted from the money flow. Additions (inflows, buys) are done on upticks; subtractions (outflows, sells) are done on downticks. Daily Money Flow (DMF) Interpretation In general, money flow trends confirm price trends. As prices rise, money flows are usually positive. As prices fall, money flows are usually negative. A divergence, however, between money flow and price trend can be a signal of a future price trend change. For example, a falling stock price with a positive money flow (IN) can indicate a future rally in the price of the stock. Conversely, a rising stock price with a negative money flow (OUT) implies potential correction in the stock price. Page 2 of 3 TA Securities A Member of the TA Group INTERPRETATION OF TECHNICAL INDICATORS: Bollinger Bands: Variable width bands that narrow during less volatile periods and widen during more volatile periods. As a general rule, in a bearish trend, traders should buy when share price touches the lower band and exit when price touches the middle band. The reverse is true in a bullish trend, ie. Buy when price touches the middle band and sell when price touches the upper band. Momentum traders tend to buy on price breakouts above the upper band, and sell when price breaks down below the lower band. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI): A reading below 30 is considered oversold, above 70 is overbought. A rise above 50 with a corresponding share price surge above the 30-day moving average should be taken as a bullish move with good short-term upside potential. A fall below 50 and a simultaneous dip below the 30-day average is bearish and imply further near-term downside risk. Moving Averages: A stock’s short-term trend is bullish if share price stays above the 10-day moving average, and bearish if it stays below. The medium-term trend is positive if share price stays above the 30-day average and negative if it remains below. A longer-term uptrend is intact if share price sustain above the 50-day average, and is deemed broken if it breaches below this level. Directional Movement Indicator (DMI): The DMI is an indicator of trend strength. A positive DMI difference (DMI diff) value is bullish and indicate a higher DI+ vs. DI-, while a negative DMI diff is bearish due to a lower DI+ vs. DI- (DMI diff = DI+ minus DI-). A crossover of DI+ above DI- triggers a BUY signal, while a SELL signal is flashed when the DI+ crosses below the DI-. The Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) indicates the strength of a trend, whether it is up or down. The higher the value of ADX, the stronger the trend. An ADX value above 25 suggests a trending market or stock, while a value below 20 signal congestion or absence of trend. Daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD diff value is derived from the difference between the MACD line (the 12-day EMA minus the 26-day EMA) and the MACD signal line (the 9-day EMA of the MACD). A positive MACD diff value is bullish, while a negative MACD diff is bearish. A BUY signal is generated when the MACD diff rises above zero, and SELL signal sparked when the MACD diff value falls below zero. Fundamentals of Foreign Technical Picks Bloomberg Ticker Stock Name BHP AU BHP BILLITON LTD RIO AU RIO TINTO LTD CBA AU COMMONW BK AUSTR WBC AU WESTPAC BANKING ANZ AU AUST AND NZ BANK NAB AU NATL AUST BANK SGT AU SINGAP TELEC-CDI WES AU WESFARMERS LTD WPL AU WOODSIDE PETRO NCM AU NEWCREST MINING WFD AU WESTFIELD GROUP FMG AU FORTESCUE METALS QBE AU QBE INSURANCE ORG AU ORIGIN ENERGY AMP AU AMP LTD STO AU SANTOS LTD MQG AU MACQUARIE GROUP SUN AU SUNCORP GROUP LT ORI AU ORICA LTD OSH AU OIL SEARCH LTD CCL AU COCA-COLA AMATIL AMC AU AMCOR LTD SGP AU STOCKLAND AWC AU ALUMINA LTD CPU AU COMPUTERSHARE LT AIO AU ASCIANO LTD QAN AU QANTAS AIRWAYS SGM AU SIMS METAL MGMT CTM AU CENTAURUS METALS LTD CTO AU CITIGOLD CORP LTD DLS AU DRILLSEARCH ENERGY LTD GBG AU GINDALBIE METALS LTD KRL AU KANGAROO RESOURCES LTD LYC AU LYNAS CORP LTD SOC AU SOVEREIGN GOLD CO LTD TCM AU TIARO COAL LTD EPS ($) PER(x) Div Yield(%) 52week Price 6% 8% -13% -6% -1% 0% 1% 0% 4% -18% -9% 11% 6% 10% -2% 27% 1% -2% 3% 9% -6% 0% -7% -1% 9% 12% 18% 17% 2015 1.64 4.83 5.55 2.51 2.66 2.76 0.23 2.17 3.03 0.55 0.45 0.24 0.67 0.64 0.35 0.53 4.42 1.05 1.58 0.34 0.50 0.70 0.26 0.02 0.62 0.41 0.22 0.63 2016 1.58 3.76 5.74 2.60 2.79 2.88 0.24 2.43 1.29 0.90 0.46 0.21 0.86 0.79 0.37 0.30 4.69 1.10 1.69 0.27 0.52 0.75 0.28 0.10 0.67 0.47 0.36 0.89 2015 14.9 9.7 16.8 14.5 13.1 13.4 18.0 20.6 9.0 26.3 22.5 8.3 13.0 18.5 17.5 15.1 14.8 14.0 12.3 19.0 19.7 18.6 17.8 N/A 14.6 14.7 N/A 17.0 2016 15.4 12.5 16.3 14.0 12.5 12.9 16.9 18.4 21.3 16.0 22.3 9.5 10.1 15.0 16.3 26.8 13.9 13.5 11.5 23.6 19.0 17.4 16.7 N/A 13.5 12.8 N/A 12.0 2015 4.059 3.530 4.518 5.206 5.297 5.561 4.297 4.959 7.025 0.014 2.808 2.629 2.938 4.224 4.314 4.450 4.687 6.644 4.781 1.361 4.421 3.865 5.217 0.985 2.466 3.086 0.000 2.746 2016 4.190 3.701 4.711 5.409 5.535 5.751 4.552 5.073 2.915 0.570 2.984 2.869 3.821 4.486 4.694 4.438 5.031 6.177 5.111 1.495 4.512 4.110 5.283 4.236 2.647 4.340 0.000 3.852 High 39.79 71.30 93.30 36.54 35.08 37.03 3.94 45.48 44.23 14.42 10.66 6.23 13.23 16.21 6.07 15.32 65.59 15.08 24.63 9.88 11.93 13.78 4.70 2.10 13.17 6.61 2.65 12.30 Low 26.50 51.99 72.14 30.00 28.84 31.33 3.00 39.38 31.97 8.51 6.23 1.92 10.13 10.28 4.11 6.96 52.92 11.55 16.87 6.87 8.19 9.88 3.59 1.14 10.78 5.13 1.03 9.15 % Chg YTD 6.78 3.79 8.90 9.89 9.01 10.03 8.01 7.17 -7.23 32.14 13.30 -8.39 -0.09 1.63 10.00 -1.94 12.25 5.12 2.64 4.31 5.58 -3.98 11.65 13.09 -1.69 0.17 4.17 -11.31 N/A N/A 17% N/A N/A 31% N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.11 N/A N/A -0.02 N/A N/A 0.00 N/A 0.09 N/A N/A 0.00 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 54.8 N/A N/A N/A N/A 10.4 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.000 N/A N/A 0.000 N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.000 N/A N/A 0.20 0.05 1.74 0.11 0.02 0.32 0.15 0.17 0.05 0.01 0.65 0.02 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.00 -1.96 26.67 18.52 0.00 -16.67 -32.35 14.29 -40.00 Close Target Price % upside 31.36 60.20 93.27 36.44 34.98 36.97 3.91 44.71 35.26 14.39 10.22 2.51 11.20 11.86 6.05 8.09 65.43 14.78 19.45 8.23 9.84 13.04 4.60 2.03 11.60 6.06 2.50 10.67 33.22 65.43 82.67 34.36 34.51 36.95 3.96 44.90 36.54 12.23 9.35 2.82 11.90 13.20 5.94 11.10 66.11 14.47 19.96 9.05 9.26 13.01 4.31 2.02 12.69 6.85 3.03 12.79 0.05 0.02 0.96 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.01 0.00 N/A N/A 1.16 N/A N/A 0.07 N/A N/A Note : The above data is based on Bloomberg consensus. Disclaimer The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein. for TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD (14948-M) MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Kaladher Govindan – Head of Research Page 3 of 3 T e c h n i c a l TA Securities V i e w Friday, February 06, 2015 A Member of the TA Group MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 Foreign Technical Stock Watch Hong Kong HSI: 24,765.49 (+85.73, +0.35%) THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* Chartist: Stephen Soo Stock Close Name 5-Feb HANG SENG 24,765.49 HSBC CH MOBILE CCONB ICBC CNOOC CH LIFE BOC SHK PROP PETRO CH TENCENT HKSE CH KONG HUTCHISON PING AN SINOPEC CORP CH SHENHUA CLP LI & FUNG BOC HK HS BANK HK&CH GAS SWIRE HL PROP WHARF CH OV LAND POWER ASSETS BELLE HENDERSON BOCOMM CH COAL CH UNICOM BK EASIA ESPRIT MTR SINO LAND CH RES NEW WORLD CH RES LAND CH MERCHANT CH RES POWER ALCORP CATHAY CITIC COSCO FIH MOBILE LTD GENHK 72.20 108.30 6.39 5.67 10.86 31.05 4.40 124.40 8.56 135.20 178.00 146.50 102.50 83.00 6.19 20.90 67.50 7.40 26.95 144.90 17.48 104.70 22.35 61.95 23.70 80.70 8.82 55.00 6.46 4.28 12.88 32.20 8.21 34.35 12.70 16.54 9.36 20.40 28.20 20.00 3.51 17.44 13.32 11.16 3.51 2.81 Change Tel: +603-2167 9607 High Lower 85.73 (0.20) 2.70 0.12 0.10 (0.24) 0.30 0.07 (0.20) (0.20) 1.30 (0.30) (0.90) (0.50) 0.00 (0.09) (0.50) (0.75) (0.10) (0.35) 1.40 (0.14) 0.40 (0.25) 0.25 0.25 (1.30) 0.00 0.05 (0.10) (0.01) 0.42 (0.15) (0.44) 0.15 0.02 (0.12) 0.01 0.68 0.10 (1.35) (0.01) 0.06 0.08 0.06 0.01 0.00 RSI Bollinger Bands Low Mid [email protected] Upper 14d Moving Averages 10d 30d www.taonline.com.my DMI 50d DI + DMI MACD DI - ADX Diff Line Signal Diff MACD Recent Signal DMI MACD Signal Change 25,048.26 24,642.81 23,728.10 24,415.57 25,103.04 61.39 24,701.71 24,148.50 23,878.99 33.02 18.16 19.60 14.86 254.06 258.73 (4.668) BUY SELL - - 72.40 108.50 6.50 5.75 11.12 31.95 4.57 125.90 8.85 137.00 180.00 148.90 103.80 86.05 6.33 21.70 69.00 7.62 27.50 148.40 17.72 105.80 22.75 62.75 24.60 82.80 9.07 55.75 6.87 4.35 13.00 32.60 8.75 34.50 12.84 16.92 9.43 21.10 28.40 21.10 3.69 17.66 13.42 11.52 3.53 2.81 71.65 106.40 6.36 5.63 10.72 30.85 4.37 124.10 8.51 133.00 176.50 145.80 101.60 82.70 6.14 20.70 67.40 7.28 26.80 143.00 17.42 104.00 22.15 61.70 23.60 80.50 8.69 54.85 6.46 4.24 12.62 31.90 8.20 34.10 12.66 16.48 9.30 20.30 27.85 19.70 3.48 17.28 13.22 10.98 3.47 2.80 69.58 93.56 6.14 5.47 10.12 29.55 4.23 117.98 8.36 121.10 175.48 133.22 92.42 80.03 6.06 20.57 66.92 7.07 25.80 124.56 17.47 100.59 20.59 58.95 22.57 74.89 8.65 52.16 6.32 4.07 11.05 30.45 8.12 32.51 12.10 15.07 8.91 19.31 25.52 19.30 3.41 16.86 13.14 10.90 3.42 2.77 71.60 101.11 6.34 5.67 10.53 31.10 4.39 123.62 8.66 130.68 178.33 143.39 99.72 84.24 6.20 21.69 68.35 7.45 26.66 133.53 17.71 103.07 21.88 61.15 23.96 79.34 8.97 54.45 6.66 4.42 11.83 31.51 8.72 33.60 12.69 16.56 9.17 20.74 27.52 20.88 3.74 17.62 13.50 11.20 3.58 2.83 73.61 108.67 6.54 5.87 10.94 32.64 4.56 129.26 8.96 140.25 181.17 153.56 107.02 88.45 6.34 22.81 69.78 7.82 27.51 142.49 17.95 105.55 23.16 63.36 25.34 83.80 9.29 56.74 7.00 4.77 12.61 32.57 9.32 34.68 13.27 18.04 9.42 22.17 29.51 22.46 4.08 18.38 13.86 11.50 3.75 2.89 48.70 72.09 54.89 53.08 56.77 53.99 53.86 56.55 48.09 62.64 51.74 61.99 65.41 52.56 48.86 36.02 44.72 44.98 55.70 89.99 42.50 62.04 56.16 61.62 51.03 60.61 47.35 55.08 43.28 36.24 77.00 61.39 34.31 66.06 50.47 49.33 64.87 49.45 59.24 41.13 40.32 50.24 45.55 51.50 42.67 51.18 72.41 104.21 6.31 5.66 10.54 31.25 4.40 126.05 8.62 134.92 179.16 146.69 102.44 84.11 6.21 21.27 68.76 7.60 27.03 136.96 17.74 104.01 22.46 62.04 23.53 81.35 8.86 55.50 6.61 4.28 12.05 32.00 8.61 34.02 12.95 17.16 9.25 20.36 28.40 21.44 3.62 17.85 13.37 11.26 3.53 2.83 72.14 97.82 6.35 5.66 10.52 30.69 4.38 121.65 8.66 125.87 177.01 138.68 96.16 82.66 6.22 22.19 67.79 7.37 26.35 131.76 17.68 102.02 21.76 59.66 23.80 77.70 8.90 54.20 6.80 4.60 11.40 31.33 8.84 33.01 12.59 16.42 9.08 20.87 27.00 20.53 3.75 17.33 13.48 11.14 3.56 2.79 73.55 95.59 6.21 5.52 10.57 29.25 4.26 118.28 8.54 122.26 175.24 137.37 94.64 77.96 6.22 22.30 67.07 7.65 26.43 130.02 17.73 102.33 21.90 57.88 23.38 76.00 8.78 53.21 6.71 4.73 11.23 31.18 9.05 32.29 12.54 16.18 9.05 20.30 26.72 20.69 3.61 17.22 13.47 10.93 3.66 2.75 31.65 12.51 23.64 23.93 27.15 21.15 20.20 15.03 27.22 15.49 16.46 15.49 15.79 22.78 23.27 24.43 15.13 20.72 13.58 5.25 18.03 11.26 15.53 16.50 20.20 8.35 18.38 13.25 23.84 27.77 12.21 8.91 31.73 11.59 12.52 17.79 12.04 19.72 18.26 23.91 24.25 27.97 20.04 18.05 22.36 34.03 18.48 33.80 19.30 18.26 14.04 21.91 23.91 34.09 14.23 26.16 10.64 40.40 40.62 20.13 10.73 20.77 26.74 30.28 25.74 43.03 12.82 25.59 25.43 46.44 19.81 38.71 15.83 26.03 18.57 32.37 30.72 24.86 25.49 44.07 16.96 27.07 26.01 22.73 22.01 27.52 16.47 18.36 12.86 21.18 13.97 19.38 2.32 22.94 6.72 2.55 3.63 5.09 6.96 7.89 1.57 8.75 (0.04) 24.74 17.72 5.32 (1.48) (9.17) (1.12) 3.72 8.95 50.80 (4.66) 14.13 6.92 12.24 6.64 15.91 2.94 12.43 1.75 (12.11) 26.85 16.20 (14.57) 13.15 2.95 8.83 12.22 4.38 10.69 (2.46) (1.88) (2.07) (0.92) 6.53 (4.20) (9.54) -0.30 3.16 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.50 0.02 2.22 -0.01 4.01 0.91 3.56 2.81 1.35 -0.01 -0.37 0.42 -0.02 0.29 3.22 -0.01 0.81 0.26 1.25 -0.04 1.77 -0.02 0.67 -0.07 -0.15 0.34 0.32 -0.16 0.59 0.11 0.19 0.08 -0.14 0.57 0.23 -0.05 0.18 -0.06 0.06 -0.04 0.01 -0.50 2.79 0.03 0.04 -0.04 0.74 0.05 2.45 0.00 3.96 1.13 3.29 2.56 2.17 -0.02 -0.32 0.58 -0.04 0.23 2.09 0.01 0.64 0.16 1.35 0.10 1.72 0.02 0.67 -0.03 -0.14 0.28 0.24 -0.16 0.58 0.12 0.23 0.05 0.04 0.56 0.28 0.00 0.25 -0.03 0.10 -0.04 0.02 0.198 0.371 (0.018) (0.025) 0.063 (0.238) (0.021) (0.228) (0.010) 0.046 (0.226) 0.268 0.246 (0.821) 0.003 (0.053) (0.166) 0.021 0.058 1.136 (0.018) 0.161 0.099 (0.097) (0.140) 0.055 (0.039) (0.001) (0.035) (0.006) 0.064 0.090 0.001 0.018 (0.007) (0.039) 0.029 (0.175) 0.011 (0.047) (0.050) (0.068) (0.034) (0.040) (0.000) (0.008) BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY BUY SELL SELL SELL BUY BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY SELL SELL SELL SELL BUY SELL SELL BUY BUY SELL SELL BUY SELL SELL SELL SELL BUY SELL BUY BUY SELL BUY SELL SELL BUY BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY SELL SELL BUY SELL SELL SELL SELL BUY BUY BUY BUY SELL SELL BUY SELL BUY SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL BUY BUY BUY SELL SELL BUY BUY BUY BUY SELL BUY - SELL SELL SELL - 33.97 35.45 30.36 26.48 30.78 26.23 27.16 22.93 28.79 24.24 16.42 40.23 33.51 28.10 21.79 15.25 14.01 24.44 22.53 56.04 13.37 25.40 22.45 28.74 26.84 24.26 21.32 25.68 25.59 15.66 39.06 25.12 17.16 24.74 15.47 26.62 24.26 24.10 28.95 21.44 22.37 25.90 19.12 24.58 18.16 24.49 The table above consists of the 45 HKSE Hang Seng Index component stocks, sorted by market capitalization in descending order, with some popular technical indicators. Some other popularly traded stocks are included at the bottom section. The technical BUY/SELL signals on the last four columns are auto generated; the first two being existing or recent signals while the last two represent a signal change from BUY to SELL or the reverse, otherwise no change is indicated by a dash. Page 1 of 4 TA Securities A Member of the TA Group Company News: FIH Mobile trades at 22x consensus forward P/E, the highest among Asia-Pacific electronics assemblers. Its profit probably rose 78% in the second half of last year and may climb 91% in the first half of this year, based on consensus, aided by a focus on phone customers in emerging markets, such as China, Indonesia and India. – Bloomberg. Technical Comments: FIH Mobile needs to overcome the 50-day moving average (HKD3.66) to enhance upside momentum towards the upper Bollinger band (HKD3.75) or the 23.6%FR (HKD3.77), with a confirmed breakout to challenge the 38.2%FR (HKD4.01) and 50%FR (HKD4.20) levels, respectively. Crucial support is spotted at the low of 23/12/14 (HKD3.40). FIH MOBILE LTD HKD3.51 (+0.01) \\ Upper Middle Lower Recent Signal Signal Change BOLLINGER BANDS HKD HKD HKD DMI 3.75 3.58 3.42 10-day 30-day 50-day SELL Recent Signal Signal Change Page 2 of 4 SIMPLE MOVING AVERAGES HKD 3.53 HKD 3.56 HKD 3.66 DAILY MACD SELL TA Securities A Member of the TA Group Daily Money Flow of Foreign Technical Stock Picks Hong Kong THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* Chartist: Stephen Soo No Name HANG SENG Tel: +603-2167 9607 Total Money Flow (HKD' mn) 30-Jan 2-Feb [email protected] (B) 4-Feb 5-Feb Total 5D MF (A) 3-Feb Prv. Chg Cur. Chg www.taonline.com.my CLOSING PRICE 30-Jan 2-Feb 3-Feb 4-Feb 5-Feb (A+B) DMF Chg (5.7) 35.2 36.5 (97.5) 141.9 110.3 (134.0) 239.3 24,507.1 24,484.7 24,554.8 24,679.8 24,765.5 85.73 IN 1 HSBC (6.1) (10.6) (18.7) (0.1) (8.3) (43.8) 18.5 (8.1) 71.50 72.30 71.50 72.40 72.20 (0.20) IN 2 CH MOBILE 3 CCONB 4 ICBC 7.4 9.1 6.0 11.5 (6.6) 19.8 (25.1) 9.6 105.60 6.27 33.6 29.9 (23.3) (6.2) 4.0 6.1 5.57 11.10 11.5 31.8 27.7 (56.9) 5.58 10.64 6.6 (7.6) (100.3) 11.3 5.60 10.20 2.70 0.12 0.10 (4.6) (17.2) 5.58 10.64 108.30 6.39 5.67 IN IN (80.7) (8.6) 81.5 24.8 145.7 103.00 6.24 (8.6) (36.3) (18.5) (10.2) (72.1) 104.30 6.25 (13.9) (24.8) 38.2 84.4 (91.0) 103.00 6.24 (52.8) (26.0) 56.4 34.4 65.0 30.75 4.33 2.6 (2.5) 6.9 (14.1) 1.7 31.25 4.32 (1.6) (6.6) 53.8 (36.1) 4.2 30.75 4.35 6.6 (12.4) 106.0 27.5 3.6 31.25 4.32 (8.2) (8.4) 181.6 (20.3) 4.3 (33.5) (15.6) (63.4) 332.7 4.0 (47.0) (31.0) (22.5) 125.00 8.60 135.10 128.20 8.42 134.60 125.00 8.60 135.10 124.60 8.76 133.90 1.9 6.5 4.0 (9.0) 0.7 (4.3) (9.3) (12.2) 178.30 147.40 1.6 17.6 10.1 15.4 (1.2) 178.70 148.80 (1.8) (18.2) (10.0) (7.9) 3.4 178.30 145.40 (15.5) (52.1) (1.8) (15.7) (13.3) 178.70 148.80 2.0 (63.9) 0.8 3.2 0.4 103.00 83.00 (36.9) 8.9 0.3 63.6 28.5 104.10 83.40 (8.4) 6.8 0.3 35.8 (28.5) 101.90 82.95 (13.2) 8.8 2.5 (35.2) (90.8) 104.10 83.40 (23.8) 11.0 1.9 81.2 (8.5) 14.3 (5.0) 49.8 0.1 2.1 (0.0) 5.4 (5.2) 6.18 21.20 68.25 6.17 21.15 69.50 6.18 21.20 68.25 6.28 21.40 68.25 (0.0) (9.9) (2.6) (4.3) 1.1 (4.4) 1.6 (7.4) 7.50 27.30 20.5 7.6 (3.1) (1.5) (22.2) 7.45 27.20 2.6 1.5 0.6 (3.0) 17.9 7.61 26.70 0.2 (2.0) (1.4) (34.9) 29.7 7.45 27.20 8.1 (10.8) (1.5) (8.9) (1.7) 143.50 17.62 7.2 0.7 0.6 (9.1) (7.3) 136.40 17.66 (4.1) (2.8) (1.4) 6.0 11.3 135.90 17.88 3.0 (4.2) (3.3) (5.2) 9.7 136.40 17.66 3.6 (3.6) (11.4) (1.6) (0.0) 1.3 1.1 (8.6) (14.4) 3.4 2.0 0.7 0.6 103.80 22.50 61.25 104.40 22.75 62.70 103.80 22.50 61.25 104.30 22.60 61.70 (3.8) (0.3) 2.5 2.4 0.3 2.6 6.0 7.2 23.45 82.00 1.7 1.2 (7.1) (1.0) (1.2) 23.25 82.00 0.9 0.8 5.7 4.6 0.8 22.90 82.25 4.8 3.2 3.8 18.1 10.1 23.25 82.00 2.3 (1.3) (1.1) 6.2 0.4 8.82 54.95 30 CH COAL 31 CH UNICOM 0.1 (0.3) 17.1 1.4 (4.8) 8.66 55.50 4.9 (2.3) 0.2 0.4 (4.8) 8.84 55.50 0.8 (6.0) 2.9 6.7 5.6 8.66 55.50 4.6 (6.2) 9.6 2.6 (4.7) (0.8) 13.0 (15.6) 42.8 2.0 16.8 (0.5) (4.1) 6.50 4.19 11.94 6.45 4.24 11.74 6.50 4.19 11.94 6.56 4.29 12.46 4.28 12.88 32 BK EASIA 33 ESPRIT 0.5 0.2 (0.2) (0.5) 0.7 (0.4) 0.4 (0.4) 0.8 (2.2) 2.2 (3.4) (0.2) 0.0 0.4 (1.8) 31.90 8.74 32.25 8.75 31.90 8.74 32.35 8.65 32.20 8.21 34 MTR 35 SINO LAND 36 CH RES (4.5) (4.3) (2.8) 0.6 0.7 (0.0) (2.0) (0.1) 34.20 12.68 (1.5) (2.1) 4.7 (1.0) (0.3) 34.20 12.74 2.4 1.2 (2.7) (0.1) (4.0) 34.60 13.08 3.1 (0.1) (5.8) (4.9) 7.6 34.20 12.74 5.4 2.1 2.7 (1.1) (1.8) 2.2 (1.0) 2.8 (0.5) (7.4) 16.66 9.35 7.5 (2.0) (0.3) (3.3) (5.3) 16.62 9.36 13.8 (3.0) (0.1) (1.4) 29.4 17.40 9.12 11.2 (4.6) (4.3) (2.5) (5.2) 16.62 9.36 34.35 12.70 16.54 (0.2) 0.6 (10.8) (1.3) 1.0 3.1 0.8 (2.2) 19.60 28.00 21.40 20.20 28.55 21.85 19.60 28.00 21.40 19.72 28.10 21.35 (4.3) (5.4) (3.5) (6.8) (1.3) (6.1) 0.3 0.0 3.52 17.38 (0.8) 0.1 (1.8) 0.0 (1.8) 0.7 (0.7) 3.46 17.32 0.7 (0.7) 0.2 0.0 1.6 6.2 (1.5) 3.62 18.00 1.0 (1.5) 0.4 (0.0) (10.2) (17.5) (5.5) 3.46 17.32 (4.9) (3.3) (1.6) (0.0) (1.4) 0.7 (1.5) 2.1 (0.6) (0.0) (3.3) (3.3) (0.1) 0.8 (1.9) 0.0 1.9 1.2 (0.0) 13.22 11.04 3.51 2.78 13.36 11.26 3.55 2.82 13.22 11.04 3.51 2.78 13.24 11.10 3.50 2.81 5 CNOOC 6 CH LIFE 7 BOC 8 SHK PROP 9 PETRO CH 10 TENCENT 11 HKSE 12 CH KONG 13 HUTCHISON 14 PING AN 15 SINOPEC CORP 16 CH SHENHUA 17 CLP 18 LI & FUNG 19 BOC HK 20 HS BANK 21 HK&CH GAS 22 SWIRE 23 HL PROP 24 WHARF 25 CH OV LAND 26 POWER ASSETS 27 BELLE 28 HENDERSON 29 BOCOMM 37 NEW WORLD 38 CH RES LAND 39 CH MERCHANT 40 CH RES POWER 41 ALCORP 42 CATHAY 43 CITIC 44 COSCO 45 FIH MOBILE 46 GENHK 10.86 31.05 4.40 124.40 8.56 135.20 178.00 146.50 102.50 83.00 6.19 20.90 67.50 7.40 26.95 144.90 17.48 104.70 22.35 61.95 23.70 80.70 8.82 55.00 6.46 IN (0.24) IN 0.30 OUT 0.07 OUT (0.20) IN (0.20) OUT 1.30 OUT (0.30) IN (0.90) IN (0.50) IN 0.00 IN (0.09) OUT (0.50) IN (0.75) OUT (0.10) OUT (0.35) OUT 1.40 OUT (0.14) OUT 0.40 IN (0.25) IN 0.25 IN 0.25 OUT (1.30) IN 0.00 OUT 0.05 IN (0.10) OUT (0.01) IN 0.42 IN (0.15) IN (0.44) OUT 9.36 20.40 0.15 IN 0.02 OUT (0.12) OUT 0.01 OUT 0.68 OUT 28.20 20.00 0.10 (1.35) 3.51 17.44 13.32 (0.01) OUT 0.06 IN 0.08 OUT 0.06 IN 0.01 OUT 0.00 OUT 11.16 3.51 2.81 IN IN Sources: Bloomberg, TA Securities Daily Money Flow (DMF) Formulation If previous change (A) + current change (B) > 0, then DMF = “IN”; AND if (A) + (B) < 0, then DMF = “OUT”. Money Flow (MF) Calculation The value of money flow is set to zero at the start of the trading day. When a trade is performed, its price is compared to the price of the previous trade (the first trade of the day is compared to the previous day's close). If the prices differ, the money associated with the trade (price times number of shares) is added to or subtracted from the money flow. Additions (inflows, buys) are done on upticks; subtractions (outflows, sells) are done on downticks. Daily Money Flow (DMF) Interpretation In general, money flow trends confirm price trends. As prices rise, money flows are usually positive. As prices fall, money flows are usually negative. A divergence, however, between money flow and price trend can be a signal of a future price trend change. For example, a falling stock price with a positive money flow (IN) can indicate a future rally in the price of the stock. Conversely, a rising stock price with a negative money flow (OUT) implies potential correction in the stock price. Page 3 of 4 TA Securities A Member of the TA Group INTERPRETATION OF TECHNICAL INDICATORS: Bollinger Bands: Variable width bands that narrow during less volatile periods and widen during more volatile periods. As a general rule, in a bearish trend, traders should buy when share price touches the lower band and exit when price touches the middle band. The reverse is true in a bullish trend, ie. Buy when price touches the middle band and sell when price touches the upper band. Momentum traders tend to buy on price breakouts above the upper band, and sell when price breaks down below the lower band. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI): A reading below 30 is considered oversold, above 70 is overbought. A rise above 50 with a corresponding share price surge above the 30day moving average should be taken as a bullish move with good short-term upside potential. A fall below 50 and a simultaneous dip below the 30-day average is bearish and imply further near-term downside risk. Moving Averages: A stock’s short-term trend is bullish if share price stays above the 10-day moving average, and bearish if it stays below. The medium-term trend is positive if share price stays above the 30-day average and negative if it remains below. A longer-term uptrend is intact if share price sustain above the 50-day average, and is deemed broken if it breaches below this level. Directional Movement Indicator (DMI): The DMI is an indicator of trend strength. A positive DMI difference (DMI diff) value is bullish and indicate a higher DI+ vs. DI-, while a negative DMI diff is bearish due to a lower DI+ vs. DI- (DMI diff = DI+ minus DI-). A crossover of DI+ above DI- triggers a BUY signal, while a SELL signal is flashed when the DI+ crosses below the DI-. The Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) indicates the strength of a trend, whether it is up or down. The higher the value of ADX, the stronger the trend. An ADX value above 25 suggests a trending market or stock, while a value below 20 signal congestion or absence of trend. Daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD diff value is derived from the difference between the MACD line (the 12-day EMA minus the 26-day EMA) and the MACD signal line (the 9-day EMA of the MACD). A positive MACD diff value is bullish, while a negative MACD diff is bearish. A BUY signal is generated when the MACD diff rises above zero, and SELL signal sparked when the MACD diff value falls below zero. Fundamentals of Foreign Technical Picks Bloomberg Ticker 5 HK 941 HK 939 HK 1398 HK 883 HK 2628 HK 3988 HK 16 HK 857 HK 700 HK 388 HK 1 HK 13 HK 2318 HK 386 HK 1088 HK 2 HK 494 HK 2388 HK 11 HK 3 HK 19 HK 101 HK 4 HK 688 HK 6 HK 1880 HK 12 HK 3328 HK 1898 HK 762 HK 23 HK 330 HK 66 HK 83 HK 291 HK 17 HK 1109 HK 144 HK 836 HK 2600 HK 293 HK 267 HK 1199 HK 2038 HK 678 HK Stock Name HSBC CH MOBILE CCONB ICBC CNOOC CH LIFE BOC SHK PROP PETRO CH TENCENT HKSE CH KONG HUTCHISON PING AN SINOPEC CORP CH SHENHUA CLP LI & FUNG BOC HK HS BANK HK&CH GAS SWIRE HL PROP WHARF CH OV LAND POWER ASSETS BELLE HENDERSON BOCOMM CH COAL CH UNICOM BK EASIA ESPRIT MTR SINO LAND CH RES NEW WORLD CH RES LAND CH MERCHANT CH RES POWER ALCORP CATHAY CITIC COSCO FIH MOBILE LTD GENHK Close Target Price % upside 72.20 108.30 6.39 5.67 10.86 31.05 4.40 124.40 8.56 135.20 178.00 146.50 102.50 83.00 6.19 20.90 67.50 7.40 26.95 144.90 17.48 104.70 22.35 61.95 23.70 80.70 8.82 55.00 6.46 4.28 12.88 32.20 8.21 34.35 12.70 16.54 9.36 20.40 28.20 20.00 3.51 17.44 13.32 11.16 3.51 2.81 81.75 105.78 7.70 6.74 10.86 33.80 4.92 129.10 8.84 149.64 188.08 165.14 118.55 96.10 6.29 24.61 62.80 8.86 29.42 138.22 17.45 109.33 25.21 67.07 27.89 79.17 9.57 54.62 6.95 4.22 13.38 33.02 9.71 33.05 14.34 18.18 10.91 24.55 32.10 25.06 3.33 18.97 13.76 12.68 4.85 3.11 12% -2% 17% 16% 0% 8% 11% 4% 3% 10% 5% 11% 14% 14% 2% 15% -7% 17% 8% -5% 0% 4% 11% 8% 15% -2% 8% -1% 7% -1% 4% 2% 15% -4% 11% 9% 14% 17% 12% 20% -5% 8% 3% 12% 28% 10% EPS ($) 2015 0.9 5.4 0.9 0.8 1.2 1.3 0.6 7.8 0.7 2.6 4.4 15.4 8.4 4.8 0.5 2.0 4.2 0.1 2.3 8.7 0.7 6.8 1.4 3.9 2.8 4.1 0.5 3.1 0.9 0.1 0.5 2.7 0.1 1.8 0.9 0.2 0.8 1.9 1.7 2.5 -0.5 0.9 1.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 2016 0.9 5.6 1.0 0.8 0.6 1.5 0.6 8.4 0.4 3.4 5.9 14.5 8.1 5.2 0.4 2.0 4.3 0.1 2.6 9.7 0.8 7.5 1.4 4.4 3.2 4.2 0.6 3.2 0.9 0.1 0.6 2.8 0.3 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.9 2.3 1.9 2.7 -0.2 1.5 2.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 PER(x) 2015 10.7 16.1 5.6 5.8 7.5 19.9 6.0 15.9 10.6 42.3 40.4 9.5 12.1 14.0 9.5 8.6 16.1 16.2 11.6 16.6 25.0 15.4 15.5 16.0 8.5 19.6 13.2 17.6 6.0 55.7 19.1 11.7 N/A 18.9 14.5 103.4 11.3 10.6 16.7 8.0 N/A 19.8 7.6 12.7 N/A 19.1 2016 10.1 15.6 5.3 5.5 14.6 17.1 5.6 14.8 15.9 31.8 30.1 10.1 12.7 13.0 13.6 8.6 15.8 13.8 10.6 15.0 23.2 14.0 16.1 14.2 7.4 19.2 12.7 17.2 5.7 39.7 16.9 11.6 31.9 18.6 14.0 53.9 10.3 9.0 15.2 7.3 N/A 11.6 6.2 11.2 N/A 14.5 Div Yield(%) 2015 0.7 2.2 5.0 4.9 3.6 1.2 4.7 2.7 3.4 0.2 2.2 2.5 2.6 0.8 3.3 3.7 3.9 0.6 4.1 3.8 2.0 3.6 3.5 3.0 2.2 3.2 4.5 1.9 3.9 0.6 1.5 3.5 0.7 2.8 4.0 0.8 4.5 2.5 2.5 4.0 0.0 1.7 2.7 0.4 0.0 N/A 2016 0.8 2.2 5.3 5.1 2.1 1.4 5.0 2.8 2.3 0.3 3.0 2.6 2.6 1.0 2.5 3.8 4.0 0.7 4.4 3.7 2.2 3.8 3.5 3.2 2.6 3.3 3.6 2.0 4.1 0.9 1.7 3.5 1.9 2.9 4.0 1.0 4.5 2.8 2.8 4.5 0.0 3.0 3.1 0.5 0.0 N/A 52week Price High 84.90 108.50 6.62 5.90 15.88 32.80 4.57 129.40 11.70 138.00 189.00 152.00 108.50 88.70 8.23 24.40 69.60 10.70 27.95 148.40 18.90 108.00 26.45 63.90 26.70 82.80 10.00 57.20 7.36 5.44 14.22 34.45 15.24 34.70 14.16 24.55 10.48 23.60 29.70 24.90 4.28 18.30 16.88 11.92 5.00 4.22 Low 69.75 63.65 4.89 4.33 9.72 19.72 3.03 90.35 7.32 93.00 112.80 105.95 85.90 55.60 5.74 19.12 56.00 7.06 21.50 117.60 13.91 80.55 19.80 46.35 17.52 57.85 7.00 36.46 4.53 3.72 9.03 28.50 8.10 26.55 9.83 15.12 7.15 13.62 22.75 17.56 2.54 13.56 9.35 9.40 3.40 2.22 % Chg YTD -2.43 19.67 0.31 0.18 4.02 1.97 0.69 5.16 -0.47 20.18 3.67 12.43 14.85 4.93 -0.96 -8.93 0.37 1.93 3.85 12.15 -1.58 3.66 2.76 10.63 2.82 7.24 1.15 1.29 -10.77 -11.93 23.85 3.04 -11.53 8.02 1.44 1.85 4.93 -0.24 8.05 0.00 -2.23 3.20 0.76 1.27 0.57 2.93 Note : The above data is based on Bloomberg consensus. Disclaimer The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein. for TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD (14948-M) MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Kaladher Govindan – Head of Research Page 4 of 4 T e c h n i c a l TA Securities V i e w Friday, February 06, 2015 A Member of the TA Group MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 • Foreign Technical Stock Watch FSSTI: 3,406.58 (-10.99, -0.32%) Singapore THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* Chartist: Stephen Soo Stock Name FSSTI SINGTEL DBS OCBC UOB JARDINE M. WILMAR HK LAND CAPLAND GENSP KEPPEL SGX SIA NOBLE CITY DEV JARDINE S. SG PRESS JARDINE C&C GOLDEN AGRI SG TECH OLAM INT CAP TRUST SEMBCORP SEMCORP M. CMFT DELGRO NOL STARHUB SMRT SIA ENG IFOOD AGRI YZJ ASIASONS BLUMONT LIONGOLD Close Change 5-Feb 3,406.58 (10.99) 4.09 19.42 10.49 23.40 64.09 3.21 7.85 3.55 1.06 8.86 7.95 12.16 1.09 10.10 35.06 4.10 41.95 0.43 3.44 1.98 2.17 4.26 3.05 2.97 1.01 4.26 1.80 4.15 0.71 1.26 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.00 (0.18) (0.09) 0.00 0.36 (0.02) 0.00 0.03 (0.02) (0.08) (0.01) 0.05 (0.02) (0.12) 0.28 0.01 (0.26) 0.00 (0.01) 0.00 0.03 (0.11) (0.08) 0.05 (0.01) (0.01) 0.03 (0.02) 0.00 (0.02) 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tel: +603-2167 9607 [email protected] www.taonline.com.my 3,415.14 3,394.95 Bollinger Bands Lower Mid Upper 3,292.12 3,373.19 3,454.25 RSI 14d 57.66 Moving Averages 10d 30d 50d DI + 3,410.71 3,362.88 3,339.95 25.45 DI 18.27 ADX 20.36 Diff 7.18 MACD Line Signal Diff 24.13 21.67 2.461 DMI MACD Recent Signal BUY BUY DMI MACD Signal Change - 4.11 19.50 10.60 23.45 64.16 3.25 7.92 3.55 1.07 8.86 7.97 12.30 1.10 10.20 35.06 4.10 42.38 0.43 3.46 1.98 2.18 4.32 3.08 3.00 1.04 4.29 1.80 4.15 0.72 1.28 0.03 0.02 0.02 3.83 19.50 10.22 23.01 61.15 3.16 7.30 3.14 0.99 7.84 7.69 11.93 0.97 9.91 33.96 4.06 38.05 0.41 3.34 1.95 2.05 4.08 2.90 2.43 0.91 4.04 1.51 4.04 0.69 1.23 0.03 0.02 0.02 66.07 37.13 54.16 48.50 55.22 48.60 69.51 67.16 51.16 62.24 56.96 49.64 52.54 48.53 50.25 45.80 56.63 41.95 59.81 44.64 58.35 47.58 48.65 65.44 61.67 68.93 76.38 41.21 46.30 52.90 43.74 48.67 35.45 4.06 19.82 10.48 23.36 64.86 3.24 7.65 3.53 1.06 8.55 7.87 12.48 1.06 10.20 35.59 4.11 42.07 0.43 3.40 1.98 2.15 4.31 3.04 2.87 1.02 4.22 1.73 4.34 0.72 1.26 0.03 0.02 0.02 13.10 34.37 14.92 18.13 18.64 20.92 12.50 12.70 25.11 25.46 17.99 27.86 26.43 19.92 16.76 14.79 20.36 23.54 19.11 21.37 19.47 24.03 30.64 4.28 16.13 12.41 9.70 34.21 18.57 11.84 22.40 9.58 23.88 25.15 11.57 11.49 7.02 33.83 10.85 43.62 36.08 18.53 27.30 11.66 26.26 22.55 18.03 31.82 11.70 22.32 23.42 18.39 10.59 32.55 18.57 15.35 39.52 43.39 25.26 42.99 25.44 16.07 20.29 26.22 20.77 17.26 10.72 (14.26) 7.20 (0.76) 10.25 (8.26) 23.27 20.13 (1.88) 13.32 1.34 (5.37) (4.31) 4.53 7.98 0.63 6.32 (5.35) 2.84 (3.71) 7.67 1.58 0.29 25.01 16.44 16.81 30.04 (14.64) 1.06 4.03 4.36 8.60 (0.92) 0.05 -0.09 0.05 -0.11 0.93 0.01 0.18 0.08 0.00 0.07 0.06 0.17 0.00 0.02 0.19 -0.01 0.38 -0.01 0.01 -0.02 0.02 0.00 -0.01 0.10 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 BUY SELL BUY SELL BUY SELL BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY SELL SELL BUY BUY BUY BUY SELL BUY SELL BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY BUY BUY SELL SELL - High Low 4.07 19.32 10.49 23.31 63.13 3.19 7.81 3.52 1.05 8.75 7.89 12.06 1.07 10.08 34.50 4.08 41.69 0.42 3.41 1.97 2.13 4.23 3.03 2.94 1.00 4.24 1.76 4.08 0.71 1.25 0.03 0.02 0.02 3.99 19.89 10.41 23.33 63.83 3.22 7.57 3.41 1.04 8.39 7.86 12.39 1.05 10.16 35.24 4.11 40.79 0.44 3.39 1.98 2.15 4.24 3.02 2.74 0.99 4.17 1.67 4.27 0.72 1.26 0.03 0.02 0.02 4.14 20.28 10.61 23.65 66.52 3.28 7.85 3.68 1.09 8.95 8.03 12.85 1.13 10.40 36.53 4.15 43.54 0.46 3.43 2.01 2.25 4.40 3.13 3.05 1.08 4.29 1.83 4.50 0.75 1.29 0.03 0.02 0.02 3.96 20.01 10.41 23.61 62.63 3.22 7.33 3.36 1.05 8.53 7.83 12.16 1.07 10.17 34.81 4.13 41.00 0.44 3.39 2.00 2.11 4.28 3.09 2.69 0.94 4.15 1.64 4.24 0.72 1.25 0.03 0.02 0.02 3.94 19.88 10.38 23.78 61.56 3.21 7.12 3.32 1.06 8.53 7.69 11.77 1.10 10.09 34.71 4.16 41.42 0.45 3.37 2.03 2.06 4.29 3.07 2.64 0.89 4.13 1.62 4.14 0.72 1.23 0.03 0.02 0.02 23.82 20.11 22.12 17.38 28.89 12.65 35.77 32.83 23.23 38.78 19.33 22.49 22.12 24.46 24.74 15.42 26.68 18.19 21.95 17.66 27.14 25.61 30.93 29.29 32.58 29.22 39.74 19.57 19.63 15.87 26.77 18.18 22.96 DMI 0.04 -0.02 0.04 -0.13 1.10 0.01 0.17 0.07 0.00 -0.03 0.06 0.25 -0.02 0.04 0.28 -0.02 0.18 -0.01 0.00 -0.02 0.03 -0.01 -0.03 0.07 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.011 (0.069) 0.012 0.021 (0.165) (0.001) 0.005 0.008 0.005 0.094 (0.004) (0.080) 0.011 (0.015) (0.089) 0.002 0.193 (0.001) 0.007 0.004 (0.008) 0.015 0.015 0.027 (0.007) 0.011 0.015 (0.023) (0.001) (0.003) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) BUY SELL BUY BUY SELL SELL BUY BUY BUY BUY SELL SELL BUY SELL SELL BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY BUY SELL BUY BUY SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL BUY - The table above consists of the revamped 30 SGX FTSE Straits Times Index component stocks, sorted by market capitalization in descending order, with some popular technical indicators. Some other popularly traded stocks are included at the bottom section. The technical BUY/SELL signals on the last four columns are auto generated; the first two being existing or recent signals while the last two represent a signal change from BUY to SELL or the reverse, otherwise no change is indicated by a dash. Page 1 of 3 Daily Money Flow of Foreign Technical Stock Picks Singapore THIS REPORT IS STRICTLY FOR INTERNAL CIRCULATION ONLY* Chartist: Stephen Soo Tel: +603-2167 9607 Total Money Flow (SGD' mn) [email protected] (7.3) (A) Prv. Chg (4.8) (B) Cur. Chg 17.9 3.0 6.3 (4.4) 6.5 (2.6) 2.0 1.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.1) 1.2 0.1 4.9 0.7 1.3 (0.3) 0.4 (1.6) (0.4) 0.4 (0.1) 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.5 2.2 (0.1) 0.1 0.3 (0.2) (0.4) 0.8 (0.1) (0.2) 1.4 (0.2) 0.2 1.2 (0.1) (0.3) 0.3 (0.1) 15 JARDINE S. 16 SG PRESS 17 JARDINE C&C 0.0 (1.0) 0.1 0.2 (0.2) 0.1 18 GOLDEN AGRI 19 SG TECH 20 OLAM INT (2.0) 0.3 (0.0) 21 CAP TRUST 22 SEMBCORP 23 SEMCORP M. 30-Jan 2-Feb 3-Feb 4-Feb 5-Feb Total 5D MF FSSTI (12.9) 2.4 (1.7) (6.5) 11.4 1 SINGTEL 2 DBS (6.1) (0.5) (1.1) 0.3 1.1 (0.8) (1.4) 1.2 3 OCBC 4 UOB 5 JARDINE M. 1.6 0.2 0.7 1.4 0.5 0.5 1.1 (1.2) (0.0) 6 WILMAR 7 HK LAND 8 CAPLAND (0.4) 0.2 (6.5) (0.5) 0.7 (2.2) 9 GENSP 10 KEPPEL 11 SGX 0.2 2.3 (0.1) 12 SIA 13 NOBLE 14 CITY DEV No Name 24 CMFT DELGRO 25 NOL 26 STARHUB 27 SMRT 28 SIA ENG 29 IFOOD AGRI 30 YZJ 31 ASIASONS 32 BLUMONT 33 LIONGOLD www.taonline.com.my CLOSING PRICE 30-Jan 2-Feb 3-Feb 4-Feb 5-Feb (A+B) DMF Chg (10.99) IN 3,391.2 3,423.4 3,408.0 3,417.6 3,406.6 4.4 5.1 4.05 20.02 4.12 19.72 4.07 19.54 4.09 19.60 4.09 19.42 0.00 (0.18) (0.0) 1.2 0.0 (1.1) 1.1 0.2 10.50 23.40 65.44 10.51 23.50 64.80 10.52 23.16 64.18 10.58 23.40 63.73 10.49 23.40 64.09 (1.6) 1.8 (9.4) (0.1) 0.1 1.6 0.4 (0.4) 1.1 3.26 7.59 3.55 3.25 7.60 3.52 3.21 7.70 3.54 3.23 7.85 3.52 3.21 7.85 3.55 (0.09) OUT 0.00 IN 0.36 IN (0.02) IN 0.00 OUT 0.03 IN 0.1 0.5 (0.3) 0.5 6.1 (0.8) (0.4) 0.6 0.1 0.4 (0.3) (0.2) 1.06 8.38 7.85 1.06 8.72 7.89 1.07 8.85 7.82 1.07 8.94 7.96 1.06 8.86 7.95 (0.2) (1.0) (0.1) 0.1 0.2 0.1 (0.4) 2.1 (0.3) 0.1 (1.3) (0.0) 0.4 1.2 0.2 12.56 1.05 10.25 12.61 1.10 10.12 12.25 1.08 10.16 12.11 1.10 10.22 12.16 1.09 10.10 0.1 (0.3) (0.0) (0.1) (0.1) (0.0) 0.3 (0.1) (0.2) 0.6 (1.5) (0.1) (0.2) 0.2 (0.0) 0.3 0.0 (0.1) 36.29 4.14 42.35 35.59 4.11 42.35 34.78 4.10 41.89 34.78 4.09 42.21 35.06 4.10 41.95 (1.2) 0.6 (0.0) (0.3) 0.4 (0.0) (1.0) (0.3) 0.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 (3.6) 1.2 0.0 (0.8) (0.7) 0.1 1.9 0.6 (0.1) 0.44 3.40 2.00 0.42 3.39 1.97 0.42 3.40 1.99 0.43 3.45 1.98 0.43 3.44 1.98 0.6 (0.6) (1.9) 1.0 0.2 0.4 (2.2) 1.0 (0.3) (0.3) (0.7) 0.5 (1.8) (0.0) (1.6) (0.8) (3.2) 0.6 (0.3) (4.5) 0.0 (6.6) (1.5) 0.3 (0.8) (1.4) 0.6 1.3 2.14 4.37 3.13 2.17 4.26 3.05 (0.0) (1.8) (0.6) 0.3 (0.9) (0.2) (0.1) (0.0) 0.2 (0.4) (1.0) 0.1 2.2 (0.3) (3.9) (1.3) (0.3) (1.0) 1.2 0.3 0.8 2.10 4.35 3.06 2.96 2.12 4.34 3.10 0.4 (0.1) (0.2) 2.15 4.30 3.00 2.78 2.92 1.02 4.27 2.97 1.01 4.26 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 (0.4) 0.0 1.0 (0.4) (0.1) 0.2 (0.1) (0.4) (0.0) 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.99 4.23 1.80 3.02 0.99 4.27 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.03 4.20 1.72 1.77 4.17 0.71 1.80 4.15 0.71 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) 0.0 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) 2.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 (0.0) (0.0) (0.7) 0.0 0.0 4.33 0.72 1.26 1.80 4.32 0.71 0.3 (0.0) 0.0 4.43 0.73 1.25 1.28 0.03 0.02 1.26 0.03 0.02 (0.0) (0.0) 0.0 0.03 0.03 0.02 1.25 0.03 0.02 (0.0) 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.02 IN (0.02) IN 0.00 OUT (0.01) OUT (0.00) OUT 0.00 OUT 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 IN IN (0.02) OUT (0.08) IN (0.01) OUT 0.05 IN (0.02) OUT (0.12) IN 0.28 IN 0.01 IN (0.26) OUT 0.00 IN (0.01) OUT 0.00 IN 0.03 OUT (0.11) IN (0.08) IN 0.05 OUT (0.00) IN (0.01) OUT IN Sources: Bloomberg, TA Securities Daily Money Flow (DMF) Formulation If previous change (A) + current change (B) > 0, then DMF = “IN”; AND if (A) + (B) < 0, then DMF = “OUT”. Money Flow (MF) Calculation The value of money flow is set to zero at the start of the trading day. When a trade is performed, its price is compared to the price of the previous trade (the first trade of the day is compared to the previous day's close). If the prices differ, the money associated with the trade (price times number of shares) is added to or subtracted from the money flow. Additions (inflows, buys) are done on upticks; subtractions (outflows, sells) are done on downticks. Daily Money Flow (DMF) Interpretation In general, money flow trends confirm price trends. As prices rise, money flows are usually positive. As prices fall, money flows are usually negative. A divergence, however, between money flow and price trend can be a signal of a future price trend change. For example, a falling stock price with a positive money flow (IN) can indicate a future rally in the price of the stock. Conversely, a rising stock price with a negative money flow (OUT) implies potential correction in the stock price. Page 2 of 3 INTERPRETATION OF TECHNICAL INDICATORS: Bollinger Bands: Variable width bands that narrow during less volatile periods and widen during more volatile periods. As a general rule, in a bearish trend, traders should buy when share price touches the lower band and exit when price touches the middle band. The reverse is true in a bullish trend, ie. Buy when price touches the middle band and sell when price touches the upper band. Momentum traders tend to buy on price breakouts above the upper band, and sell when price breaks down below the lower band. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI): A reading below 30 is considered oversold, above 70 is overbought. A rise above 50 with a corresponding share price surge above the 30day moving average should be taken as a bullish move with good short-term upside potential. A fall below 50 and a simultaneous dip below the 30-day average is bearish and imply further near-term downside risk. Moving Averages: A stock’s short-term trend is bullish if share price stays above the 10-day moving average, and bearish if it stays below. The medium-term trend is positive if share price stays above the 30-day average and negative if it remains below. A longer-term uptrend is intact if share price sustain above the 50-day average, and is deemed broken if it breaches below this level. Directional Movement Indicator (DMI): The DMI is an indicator of trend strength. A positive DMI difference (DMI diff) value is bullish and indicate a higher DI+ vs. DI-, while a negative DMI diff is bearish due to a lower DI+ vs. DI- (DMI diff = DI+ minus DI-). A crossover of DI+ above DI- triggers a BUY signal, while a SELL signal is flashed when the DI+ crosses below the DI-. The Average Directional Movement Index (ADX) indicates the strength of a trend, whether it is up or down. The higher the value of ADX, the stronger the trend. An ADX value above 25 suggests a trending market or stock, while a value below 20 signal congestion or absence of trend. Daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD): The MACD diff value is derived from the difference between the MACD line (the 12-day EMA minus the 26-day EMA) and the MACD signal line (the 9-day EMA of the MACD). A positive MACD diff value is bullish, while a negative MACD diff is bearish. A BUY signal is generated when the MACD diff rises above zero, and SELL signal sparked when the MACD diff value falls below zero. Fundamentals of Foreign Technical Picks Bloomberg Ticker ST SP DBS SP OCBC SP UOB SP JM SP WIL SP HKL SP CAPL SP GENS SP KEP SP SGX SP SIA SP NOBL SP CIT SP JS SP SPH SP JCNC SP GGR SP STE SP OLAM SP CT SP SCI SP SMM SP CD SP NOL SP STH SP MRT SP SIE SP IFAR SP YZJSGD SP ACAP SP BLUM SP LIGO SP Stock Name Close Target Price % upside SINGTEL DBS OCBC UOB JARDINE M. WILMAR HK LAND CAPLAND GENSP KEPPEL SGX SIA NOBLE CITY DEV JARDINE S. SG PRESS JARDINE C&C GOLDEN AGRI SG TECH OLAM INT CAP TRUST SEMBCORP SEMCORP M. CMFT DELGRO NOL STARHUB SMRT SIA ENG IFOOD AGRI YZJ ASIASONS BLUMONT LIONGOLD 4.09 19.42 10.49 23.40 64.09 3.21 7.85 3.55 1.06 8.86 7.95 12.16 1.09 10.10 35.06 4.10 41.95 0.43 3.44 1.98 2.17 4.26 3.05 2.97 1.01 4.26 1.80 4.15 0.71 1.26 0.03 0.02 0.02 4.17 22.36 11.55 24.86 65.70 3.53 7.89 3.91 1.24 9.18 7.86 11.96 1.44 10.13 38.00 3.90 49.00 0.48 3.65 2.40 2.18 4.85 3.12 2.99 0.99 4.08 1.81 3.92 0.82 1.43 NA NA NA 2% 13% 9% 6% 2% 9% 0% 9% 15% 3% -1% -2% 24% 0% 8% -5% 14% 12% 6% 18% 0% 12% 2% 1% -2% -4% 1% -6% 14% 12% NA NA NA EPS ($) 2015 0.2 1.613 0.9 2.0 4.2 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.6 2.7 0.2 2.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 601.9 0.9 NA NA NA PER(x) 2016 0.3 1.746 1.0 2.1 4.6 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.9 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.7 3.0 0.2 2.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 677.6 0.8 NA NA NA 2015 17.3 12.0 11.1 11.9 15.2 13.4 20.9 22.5 21.5 10.1 25.0 36.3 11.0 15.6 12.8 21.7 12.5 15.8 19.8 11.8 19.4 9.8 11.6 22.0 N/A 20.1 29.0 24.3 11.0 6.7 NA NA NA Div Yield(%) 2016 16.2 11.1 10.8 11.4 14.1 11.2 20.5 20.6 19.2 10.1 22.1 19.8 8.5 14.3 11.9 21.0 11.1 12.1 18.2 9.7 19.2 9.4 11.4 20.3 30.0 19.1 23.9 22.4 9.8 7.4 NA NA NA 2015 4.2 3.1 3.4 3.2 2.2 1.5 2.3 2.2 0.9 5.1 3.7 2.0 2.6 1.3 0.8 5.2 2.4 1.4 4.2 2.6 5.2 3.8 4.4 2.6 0.0 4.8 1.8 3.9 9273.0 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2016 4.5 3.3 3.6 3.4 2.3 1.9 2.3 2.3 1.0 4.9 4.2 3.3 2.1 1.3 0.8 5.2 2.7 2.4 4.4 3.0 5.3 3.9 4.5 2.8 0.9 4.8 1.9 4.2 11472.4 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 52week Price High 4.12 20.67 10.63 24.72 67.88 3.56 8.30 3.64 1.44 11.20 8.05 12.91 1.43 11.14 38.10 4.29 49.01 0.62 3.95 2.66 2.26 5.57 4.16 3.10 1.06 4.32 1.82 5.10 1.11 1.30 0.10 0.08 0.16 Low 3.42 15.65 8.85 19.43 51.99 2.92 5.97 2.68 0.99 7.91 6.66 9.18 0.90 8.66 31.05 3.89 33.47 0.41 3.14 1.41 1.80 4.05 2.85 1.89 0.74 4.00 1.01 3.91 0.66 1.00 0.02 0.02 0.02 % Chg YTD 4.87 -5.73 0.29 -4.61 5.15 -0.93 16.12 7.25 -2.31 0.11 1.79 4.83 -4.82 -1.66 2.51 -2.61 -1.53 -7.61 1.18 -1.98 6.37 -4.27 -6.44 14.23 20.24 2.65 13.61 -1.66 -2.07 4.56 7.69 5.56 -10.00 Note : The above data based on Bloomberg consensus. Disclaimer The information in this report has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed and opinions are subject to change without notice. This report is for information only and not to be construed as a solicitation for contracts. We accept no liability for any direct or indirect loss arising from the use of this document. We, our associates, directors, employees may have an interest in the securities and/or companies mentioned herein. for TA SECURITIES HOLDINGS BERHAD (14948-M) MENARA TA ONE, 22 JALAN P. RAMLEE, 50250 KUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA TEL: +603-20721277 / FAX: +603-20325048 (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) Kaladher Govindan – Head of Research Page 3 of 3
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