1. Art and Diseño

ENSO Workshop Australia 2015
ENSO Extremes and Diversity: Dynamics, Teleconnection, and Impacts
PROGRAM
Wednesday, 4th Feb 2015
Thursday, 5th Feb 2015
Friday, 6th Feb 2015
intro, 3 talks, 6 flash
3 talks, 6 (+1) flash
4 talks
presentations
presentations
10.25-10.55
poster viewing (targeted)
poster viewing (targeted)
Keynote
10.55-11.20
Tea break
Tea break
Tea break
11.20-12.50
Keynote + 3 talks
Keynote + 3 talks
4 talks
12.50-1.45
Lunch
Lunch
Lunch
1.45-3.05
3 talks, 6 flash
3 talks, 6 flash
3 talks, final discussion
presentations
presentations
3.05-3.35
poster viewing (targeted)
poster viewing (targeted)
Final discussion cont’d
3.35-4.00
Tea break
Tea break
Final discussion cont’d
4.00-5.50
4 talks and 30-minute
3 talks, and 30-minute
Refreshment (optional)
wrap-up discussion
wrap-up discussion
9.00-10.25
6.00
Dinner at workshop venue Dinner in the city (depart
5.30)
Oral: 12 minutes (15 min. max) + 5 min. Q&A
Flash presentation: 2-3 minutes (1-2 slides) of poster key results
Keynote: 22 minutes (25 min. max) + 5 min. Q&A
Dinner (optional)
WEDNESDAY 4/2 | Evolution and Predictability
9.00-10.25 | Chair & Intro: Agus Santoso & Wenju Cai
Mike McPhaden | Who Killed the Big 2014 El Nino?
Harry Hendon | Weakened ENSO Predictability in the Early 21st Century
Ken Takahashi | Eastern Pacific feedbacks and the forecast of extreme El Niño events
Flash presentations:
Xuebin Zhang | Role of western boundary reflection in evolution of ENSO events
Shijian Hu | Variability of SST structure in the western Pacific warm pool and its
relationship to El Niño
Benjamin Henley | A Tripole Index for the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
Arnold Sullivan | Two types of El Niño events under decadal climate shift
Shamal Marathe | Revisiting El Niño Modokis
Esteban Abellan Villardon | The role of the southward wind shift in the seasonal phase
locking of ENSO
10.25-10.55: Poster viewing
10.55-11.20: Tea break
11.20-12.50 | Chair: Gabriel Vecchi
Fei-Fei Jin (keynote) | Towards Understanding the Dynamics of El Niño Complexity
Axel Timmermann | Dynamics of annual cycle/ENSO interactions
Dietmar Dommenget | Some thoughts on atmospheric feedbacks for the ENSO seasonal
phase locking
Gaby Raedel | The central role of clouds in enhancing ENSO variability
12.50-1.45: Lunch
1.45-3.05 | Chair: Dietmar Dommenget
Pascal Terray | Impacts of Indian and Atlantic oceans on ENSO in a comprehensive
modelling framework
Sang-Wook Yeh | Strong and weak connections of El Nino and mid-latitudes in the CMIP5
CGCMs
WonMoo Kim | The final push to extreme El Niño: Why is ENSO asymmetry
underestimated in climate model simulations?
Flash presentations:
Jules Kajtar | Tropical Climate Variability: Interactions across the Pacific, Indian, and
Atlantic Oceans
Yanshan Yu | Effects of air-sea thermodynamic coupling over various ocean areas on ENSO
variability
Soumi Chakravorty | The Mechanism of onset of Warm Water discharge related to El Niño
Malte Stuecker | New insights in the genesis and persistence of the anomalous low-level
North-West Pacific Anticyclone
Irenea L. Corporal-Lodangco | Impacts of ENSO on Philippine Tropical Cyclone Activity
Michiya Hayashi | A Coupled Air-Sea Response to Westerly Wind Events
3.05-3.35: Poster viewing
3.35-4.00: Tea break
4.00-5.20 | Chair: Mike McPhaden & Mat Collins
Soon-Il An | Searching for pre-conditions of extreme El Nino
Shayne McGregor | Is an equatorial Pacific Warm Water Volume buildup really a
precondition for El Niño?
Matthieu Lengaigne | About the role of Westerly Wind Events in the possible development
of an El Niño in 2014
Sarah Ineson | Simulation and prediction of extreme ENSO events in Hadley Centre models
and impacts on the Philippines
5.20-5.50: Discussion
6.00: Dinner
THURSDAY 5/2 | Characteristics, Mean Climate Interactions, Implications
9.00-10.25 | Chair: Wenju Cai & Guojian Wang
Tim Li | Factors Controlling El Niño and La Niña Evolution Asymmetry and ENSO
amplitude changes in the current and future warming climate
Neil Holbrook | A (specific) characterisation of ENSO nonlinearity in CMIP5 models
Yongqiang Yu | The Asymmetry of Subsurface Temperature Anomalies Associated with
ENSO in the Equatorial Western Pacific
Flash presentations:
Harun Rashid | A mechanism for ENSO intensity changes under global warming in CMIP5
models
Asha Vijayeta | ENSO-dynamics in CMIP simulations and future change scenarios in the
framework of the linear recharge oscillator model
Samantha Ferrett | ENSO stability under climate change.
Hiroaki Tatebe | Control of decadal and bidecadal climate variability in the tropical Pacific
by the off-equatorial South Pacific Ocean
Jin-Soo Kim | Interannual variability of atmospheric CO2 growth rate associated with ENSO
simulated by CMIP5 ESM
Marion Saint-Lu | Changes in the ENSO/SPCZ relationship from past to future climates;
further questioning about links between hydrological cycle and ENSO
Felicity Graham | Effectiveness of the Bjerknes stability index in representing ocean
dynamics (Time permitting)
10.25 – 10.55: Poster viewing
10.55 – 11.20: Tea Break
11.20 – 12.50 | Chair: Fei-Fei Jin
Wenju Cai & Guojian Wang (keynote) | ENSO Extremes response to greenhouse forcing
Xiaotong Zheng | The response of El Niño to global warming and its uncertainty in future
projections
SeonTae Kim | Time-dependent response of ENSO SST variability to greenhouse warming
Helen McGregor | Central Pacific coral evidence for increased ENSO variance over the past
6,000 years
12.50 – 1.45: Lunch
1.45 – 3.05 | Chair: Mat Collins
Jing-Jia Luo | Why did CMIP5 models fail to reproduce the recent La Niña-like climate
shift?
Ian Goodwin | Multidecadal ENSO variability and teleconnections over the past millennium
Lixin Wu | Pacific Decadal Oscillation and low frequency variability of the Subtropical Cell:
A coupled perspective
Flash presentations:
Kit-Yan Choi | Nonlinear Wind Response to ENSO: Role of the zonal and meridional shift of
the ITCZ/SPCZ and the climatological precipitation
Josephine Brown | ENSO teleconnections with Australian rainfall over the last 1000 years in
CMIP5/PMIP3 models
Renata Tedeschi | The Influence of ENSO on South American Precipitation: simulation and
projection in CMIP5 models
Gerry Giliant Salamena | Investigation of Climate Modes Influencing Flood Risk in Jakarta
Jaci Brown | The search for an ENSO metric
Agus Santoso | ENSO and the Indonesian Throughflow
3.05 – 3.35: Poster viewing
3.35 – 4.00: Tea break
4.00 – 5.00 | Chair: Wenju Cai & Agus Santoso
Gabriel Vecchi | Impact of resolution and mean-state changes on ENSO
Jaci Brown | How does increasing ocean resolution improve ENSO dynamics?
Felicity Graham | How coupled models alter El Niño ocean dynamics: A case study using
the ACCESS coupled model
5.00-5.30: Discussion
5.30: Depart to city for dinner
FRIDAY 6/2 | ENSO Teleconnections
9.00-10.55 | Chair: Gabriel Vecchi
David Halpern | Walker Circulation and El Niño/La Niña Sea Surface Temperature and
Rainfall
Andréa S. Taschetto | Pacific-tropical Atlantic sensitivity to El Niño patterns
Yukiko Imada | Impacts of ENSO on the boreal winter climate in mid-latitudes via the
stratosphere
Ashok Karumuri | Influence of the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation on ENSO:
implications of the biennial relationship between Indian and Australian summer monsoons
Jong-Seong Kug (keynote) | Relative roles of the Central Pacific and Western North Pacific
precipitation anomalies in El Nino teleconnection
10.55 – 11.20 Tea break
11.20-12.50 | Chair: Mike McPhaden
Jens Zinke | Coral record of southeast Indian Ocean heat waves with intensified Western
Pacific temperature gradient during ENSO
Ming Feng | Decadal increase in Ningaloo Niño since the late 1990s
Clothilde Langlais | The contribution of ENSO to the Southern Ocean circulation
Julien Boucharel | Eastern Pacific Tropical Cyclones Intensified by El Niño Delivery of
Subsurface Ocean Heat
12.50 – 1.45: Lunch
1.45-4.00 | Chair: Wenju Cai & Mat Collins
Eun-Pa Lim | The role of SST trend during La Nina on the Australian rainfall in spring 2010
Christine Chung | Modelled ENSO-driven precipitation changes in the tropical Pacific
Mat Collins | ENSOMIP: Plans for CMIP6 Experiments
Final discussions
4.00 – 6.00: Refreshment (Optional)
6.00: Dinner (Optional)