Supplementary appendix This appendix formed part of the original submission and has been peer reviewed. We post it as supplied by the authors. Supplement to: Kunkler IH, Williams LJ, Jack WJL, Cameron DA, Dixon JM, on behalf of the PRIME II investigators. Breast-conserving surgery with or without irradiation in women aged 65 years or older with early breast cancer (PRIME II): a randomised controlled trial. Lancet Oncol 2015; published online Jan 28. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/ S1470-2045(14)71221-5. Breast conserving surgery with or without irradiation in women aged 65 years or older with early breast cancer: the PRIME II randomised controlled trial (supplementary web material) Table 1: Contribution of variables of interest by multivariate analysis Variable HR (95% CI) p-value Tumour size (ref 0-10mm) 10·1-20mm 20·1-30mm 1 0·53 (0·23, 1·22) 1·17 (0·43, 3·20) 0·14 0·76 Margins (ref >5mm) <1mm 1-5mm Re-excision 1 2·11 (0·26, 17·13) 0·97 (0·43, 2·21) 1·14 (0·41, 3·17) 0·49 0·94 0·81 Grade (ref G1) G2 G3 1 1·24 (0·56, 2·78) 3·64 (0·93, 14·26) 0·60 0·06 Age (ref 65-69) 70+ 1 1·99 (0·90, 4·40) 0·09 LVI (ref No) Yes 1 1·35 (0·31, 5·94) 0·69 ER status (ref High) Low 1 2·40 (0·97, 5·93) 0·06 Radiotherapy (ref Yes) No 1 4·87 (1·86, 12·74) 0·0013 Analysis by Cox proportional hazard model. PgR not included due to high levels of missing data. 1 Figure 1: Survival 2 Table 2: Cause of death by trial arm Cause No RT (n=668) RT (n=658) Total (n=1326) Breast cancer BC present but not cause 8 2 Unknown (2) 35 Cardiac (3) Cerebrovascular (1) Diabetes mellitus (1) Renal failure (1) Respiratory (5) Septicemia (1) Suicide (1) Vascular (3) Unknown (5) 4 1 Pancreatic cancer (1) 30 Cardiac (6) Cerebrovascular (0) Diabetes mellitus (0) Renal failure (1) Respiratory (5) Septicemia (0) Suicide (0) Vascular (3) Unknown (5) 12 3 Secondary cancers: Ampulla (0) Bowel (0) Colon (3) Endometrial (0) Liver (1) Lung (3) Lymphoma (1) Melanoma (1) Ovary (2) Pancreas (0) Vulva (1) Unknown (2) 4 49 (7·3%) Secondary cancers: Ampulla (1) Bowel (2) Colon (1) Endometrial (2) Liver (0) Lung (4) Lymphoma (1) Melanoma (1) Ovary (1) Pancreas (1) Vulva (0) Unknown (1) 5 40 (6·1%) No breast cancer Cause unknown Total 3 65 9 89 (6·7%) Table 3: Other trials assessing the role of whole breast irradiation after breast conserving surgery Study No of Patients Period of recruitment Median Follow-Up (years) Age (years) Tumor Size (cm) Fisher et al10 1,009 1989-1989 8 Any age <1 Fyles et al2 Blamey et al3 Potter et al4 Forrest et al8 Winzer et al14 Hughes et al17 18 Tinterri et al Kunkler et al Treatment after surgery Tamoxifen RT + tamoxifen RT + placebo 769 1992-2000 5·6 >50 ≤5 Tamoxifen RT + tamoxifen 1135 1992-2000 13·9 <70 <2 None RT Tamoxifen RT + tamoxifen 869 1996-2004 4·5 Postmenopausal ≤3 Tamoxifen or Al (mean, 66) Tamoxifen or Al +RT 585 1985-1991 5·7 <70 ≤4 Tamoxifen RT + tamoxifen 361† 1991-1998 10 45-75 ≤2 None RT Tamoxifen RT + tamoxifen 636 1994-1999 10·5 ≥70 ≤2·0 Tamoxifen RT + tamoxifen 749 2001-2005 5·0 55-75 <2·5 None RT 1326 2004-2009 5·0 ≥65 ≤3 Tamoxifen or AI RT + Tamoxifen or AI Abbreviations: LR Local recurrence AI, aromatase inhibitor; RT, radiation therapy; pa, per annum †347 analyzed ‡ calculated by LW from data in the paper 4 LR (%) p-value for RT vs no RT 17 3 9 8 1 1·9% pa 0·7% pa 0·8% pa 0% pa 6 2 24·5 5·8 34 10 8 9 9 2 3 1 4·1 1·3 < 0·001 0·001 <0·001 < 0·001 <0·001‡ <0·001 < 0·001 0·07 <0·001 Table 4: Recruiting sites and investigators Site Investigators Aberdeen Royal Infirmary University Hospital Aintree Bishop Auckland Hospital Basildon Hospital Belfast City Hospital Serbia Oncology & Radiology Institute, Belgrade Bristol Haematology and Oncology Centre Royal Sussex County Hospital, Brighton Queen's Hospital, Burton upon Trent Burnley General Hospital Blackpool Victoria Hospital Charing Cross Hospital, London Christie Hospital, Manchester North Cumbria Hospitals Clatterbridge Centre for Oncology Walsgrave Hospital, Coventry Conquest Hospital, St Leonards-on-Sea Derbyshire Royal Infirmary Dumfries & Galloway Royal Infirmary Derriford Hospital, Plymouth Darlington Memorial Hospital Eastbourne District General Hospital Essex County Hospital, Colchester Western General Hospital, Edinburgh Royal Devon & Exeter NHS Trust Frenchay Hospital, Bristol Furness General Hospital George Eliot Hospital, Nuneaton Geelong Hospital, Australia Hope Hospital, Salford University Hospital of Hartlepool Wycombe General Hospital Raigmore Hospital, Inverness James Cook University Hospital, Middlesbrough Kent Oncology Centre Leicester Royal infirmary Leighton Hospital, Crewe Macclesfield General Hospital Manor Hospital, Walsall Milton Keynes General Hospital Maidstone Hospital Mount Vernon Centre for Cancer Treatment, Northwood North Devon District Hospital University Hospital of North Tees Dr D Bissett, Dr G Plataniotis, Dr T Sarkar, Dr R Sharma Dr S O’Reilly, Dr P Schofield Dr J Hardman, Dr Wadd Dr C Trask Dr J Clarke Dr J Mladenovic, Dr S Šušnjar Churchill Hospital, Oxford St Mary's Hospital, Portsmouth Queen Elizabeth, Gateshead Queen Margaret Hospital, Dunfermline Royal Berkshire Hospital, Reading Queen Mary's Hospital, Roehampton Royal Lancaster Infirmary Pennine Acute Hospitals NHS Trust Royal Shrewsbury Hospital Sandwell Hospital & City Hospital, West Bromwich St Bartholomew's Hospital, London Southend Hospital Solihull Hospital St John's at Howden Institute of Oncology Sremska Kamenica, Yugoslavia Stoke Mandeville Hospital, Aylesbury Stepping Hill, Stockport Dr A Bahl, Dr M Beresford, Dr S Goodman, Dr A Kumar Dr D Bloomfield, Dr A Robinson, Dr R Simcock Dr P Chakraborti, Dr AD Chetiyawardana, Dr M Persic Dr W Appel, Dr M Hogg, Dr Young Dr A Hindley, Dr S Susnerwala Dr C Lowdell Dr J Loncaster, Dr Magee, Dr V Misra, Dr Stewart, Dr Welsh Dr P Dyson Dr N Thorp, Dr Syndikus Prof R Grieve, Dr C Irwin, Dr D Jones, Dr A Stockdale Dr G Sadler Dr P Chakraborti, Dr Otim-Oyet, Dr Vijayan, Dr P Woodings Dr T Evans Dr N Dorey, Dr Dubey, Dr S Kelly, Dr P Macleod, Dr C Tyrrell Dr J Hardiman Dr A Robinson, Dr S Westwell Dr P Murray Dr T Evans, Prof I Kunkler Dr A Goodman, Dr A Hong, Dr D Hwang Mr Cawthorn, Mr Sahu, Dr Shea, Dr M Shere Dr G Skailes Dr L Fresco, Prof R Grieve, Dr Reinecke Dr M Francis, Dr I Porter Dr Magee, Miss Z Saad Dr A Rathmell Dr B Lavery, Dr S Oliveros Mr I Daltrey, Dr K Kelly, Mr P Walsh Dr J Hardman, Dr Vandervolt Dr O Al-Saliki, Dr S Coltart, Dr N Mithal, Dr H Smedley Dr I Boiangiu, Dr I Peat Dr P Burt Dr L Barraclough, Dr R Hunter, Dr Jain, Dr Lee Dr I Fernando Prof Eldeeb, Dr A Taylor Dr C Abson, Dr R Burcombe, Dr R Jyothirmayi, Dr G Sadler, Dr A Visioli Dr M Ah-See, Dr R Ashford, Dr E Maher, Dr A Makris, Dr D Miles, Dr P Ostler Dr A Hong, Dr D Hwang Dr N Storey Dr Hill, Dr Jacobs, Dr A Jones, Dr B Lavery, Dr S Oliveros, Dr A Sabharwal, Dr A Salisbury, Dr K Shah, Dr E Sugden, Dr K Vallis, Dr Yeoh Dr Dubois, Dr A Suovouri Dr H Lucraft, Dr Mazdai Dr V Cowie, Dr T Evans, Mr G Neades, Dr S Peoples, Mr I Young Dr J Barrett, Dr C Charlton, Mr S Courtney Dr C Lowdell Dr A Birtle, Dr G Skailes Dr J Loncaster, Dr V Misra Dr R Agrawal Dr D Spooner Dr C Cottrill, Dr V Wolstenholme Dr A Robinson, Dr C Trask Dr A Stockdale Dr F Yuille Dr J Trifunović Dr C Alcock, Dr A Allcock, Dr E Chadwick, Dr B Lavery, Dr S Oliveros, Dr A Salisbury Dr A Chittalia 5 Site Investigators Sunderland NHS Trust St Thomas's Hospital, London Tameside General Hospital, Ashton under Lyne Torbay Hospital, Torquay Dr S Chatterjee Dr Ahmad, Dr L Brazil, Dr H Dobbs, Dr Harris, Dr Putt, Dr A Tutt Dr A Sykes Taunton & Somerset University of Patras Medical School Victoria Infirmary, Glasgow William Buckland, The Alfred Whipps Cross University Hospital, London Weston General Hospital Western Infirmary, Glasgow Warwick Hospital Sheffield and area hospitals West Suffolk Hospital, Bury St Edmunds Worthing & Southlands NHS Trust Dr P Bliss, Dr A Goodman Dr H Barlow, Dr Barthakur, Dr M Beresford, Dr O Frim, Dr J Graham, Dr A Robinson Prof D Kardamakis Mr D Smith, Miss S Stallard Dr K Taylor Dr C Cottrill Dr M Tomlinson Dr A Alhasso, Dr P Canney, Dr G Fraser, Dr J Hicks, Dr Kodikara, Dr D Ritchie, Mr M Rizwanullah Prof R Grieve, Dr D Jones, Dr Stockdale, Dr Teoh Dr C Bridgewater, Dr K Dunn, Dr B Foran, Dr M Hatton, Dr I Manifold, Dr Ram Dr M Moody, Dr C Woodward Dr F Castell, Mr A Johri, Dr S Mitra 6
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