1. No category

PP
lPartido_s
Crecimiento % votos
(4)
(5)
(1)
(2)
(3)
-0.3400***
(0.092)
-0.3444***
(0.093)
-0.3377***
(0.093)
-0.3989***
(0.091)
-0.4049***
(0.092)
(6)
(7)
-0.4018***
(0.092)
-0.3706***
(0.089)
lPartido
NT
BAN
S_Agr
TasadeParo
EQI2010
L.GDPg
l_media_festejos
-2.4876
(4.502)
-11.1507***
(3.781)
0.0270
(0.233)
0.0063
(0.105)
-5.4834*
(2.765)
-3.2227
(2.263)
-0.2974
(0.947)
l_media_festejos_2012_15
-1.7320
(4.217)
-10.9215**
(4.571)
0.0378
(0.233)
-0.0004
(0.103)
-5.3983*
(2.768)
-3.4987
(2.231)
-2.4141
(4.022)
-11.6503**
(4.515)
0.0275
(0.231)
0.0014
(0.102)
-5.5010*
(2.764)
-3.1713
(2.258)
-0.5463
(2.610)
-9.8868***
(3.173)
-0.0063
(0.222)
0.0161
(0.099)
-4.7695*
(2.675)
-3.9346**
(1.752)
-0.6155
(2.594)
-9.7656***
(3.174)
0.0008
(0.221)
0.0328
(0.101)
-4.5797*
(2.685)
-3.8982**
(1.746)
-0.6724
(2.602)
-9.7546***
(3.191)
0.0153
(0.221)
0.0333
(0.101)
-4.5338
(2.705)
-3.8668**
(1.751)
-0.9863
(2.614)
-10.5053***
(3.189)
-0.0152
(0.228)
-0.0075
(0.100)
-5.4205*
(2.687)
-3.8451**
(1.774)
(8)
(9)
0.0647*
(0.036)
-3,817.1763
(16,004.370)
-19,626.9979
(18,860.476)
-2,541.7360**
(1,236.568)
8.1759
(577.422)
-18,134.1500
(15,648.514)
-5,210.9986
(10,422.378)
0.0680*
(0.036)
-4,337.4234
(15,867.221)
-20,399.6258
(19,239.351)
-2,512.1076**
(1,239.074)
-0.6547
(584.228)
-18,361.3552
(15,654.015)
-4,974.6217
(10,431.712)
0.0618***
(0.022)
-6,915.3434
(15,515.174)
-23,610.0859
(18,404.235)
-2,274.4042*
(1,240.653)
-50.6758
(576.526)
-19,941.7463
(15,536.233)
-4,492.2715
(10,172.192)
0.0614***
(0.022)
-6,839.4377
(15,432.479)
-24,274.6480
(18,502.514)
-2,273.7405*
(1,234.922)
-102.7334
(584.645)
-20,547.8140
(15,600.526)
-4,610.1765
(10,147.844)
(14)
0.0613***
(0.022)
-6,905.8707
(15,406.941)
-24,642.4069
(18,538.722)
-2,301.4585*
(1,224.865)
-115.7521
(586.069)
-20,939.3063
(15,642.225)
-4,647.8314
(10,135.385)
0.0643***
(0.022)
-4,622.9831
(15,375.168)
-20,251.0893
(18,033.271)
-2,418.7489*
(1,262.724)
15.3764
(577.035)
-18,074.0279
(15,513.002)
-4,909.9426
(10,248.112)
-0.3420
(0.968)
media_festejos_pc
6.8634
(4.264)
media_festejos_2012_15_pc
-20,057.8251
(23,544.885)
10.6512
(6.388)
L.festejos_pc
-31,745.6069
(34,999.628)
11.1881
(7.145)
L.crec_festejos_2012_15_pc
-36,822.2236
(38,940.357)
-20.3079
(16.898)
media_festejos
31,693.1932
(95,711.646)
2.3876
(147.301)
media_festejos_2012_15
-23.8443
(239.548)
L.festejos
Observations
R-squared
df_m
df_r
F
r2
rmse
mss
rss
r2_a
ll
ll_0
rank
Standard errors in parentheses
*** p<0.01, ** p<0.05, * p<0.1
0.0684*
(0.037)
-4,327.2369
(15,752.268)
-20,460.8468
(19,257.069)
-2,511.3507**
(1,236.510)
-5.4765
(591.229)
-18,413.3675
(15,699.207)
-4,968.6866
(10,412.296)
(13)
-0.1187
(0.999)
L.l_festejos
Constant
Crecimiento Número de votos
(10)
(11)
(12)
28.2690***
(7.153)
50
0.371
8
41
3.025
0.371
4.232
433.3
734.2
0.248
-138.1
-149.7
9
28.6616***
(7.172)
50
0.370
8
41
3.008
0.370
4.236
431.8
735.7
0.247
-138.2
-149.7
9
28.0745***
(7.250)
50
0.372
8
41
3.030
0.372
4.230
433.8
733.7
0.249
-138.1
-149.7
9
30.1564*** 29.8532***
(6.703)
(6.668)
50
50
0.407
0.410
8
8
41
41
3.519
3.556
0.407
0.410
4.109
4.100
475.3
478.3
692.2
689.2
0.291
0.294
-136.6
-136.5
-149.7
-149.7
9
9
29.6593***
(6.686)
50
0.405
8
41
3.491
0.405
4.116
473.1
694.4
0.289
-136.7
-149.7
9
30.1232***
(6.823)
50
0.391
8
41
3.291
0.391
4.164
456.6
710.9
0.272
-137.3
-149.7
9
39,871.4490
(34,405.454)
50
0.357
8
41
2.844
0.357
24001
1.310e+10
2.360e+10
0.231
-570.3
-581.3
9
39,425.9862
(34,210.104)
50
0.357
8
41
2.846
0.357
23998
1.310e+10
2.360e+10
0.232
-570.3
-581.3
9
-28.0693
(260.638)
39,473.7247
(34,140.423)
50
0.357
8
41
2.846
0.357
23998
1.310e+10
2.360e+10
0.232
-570.3
-581.3
9
41,725.4208
(33,799.553)
50
0.368
8
41
2.985
0.368
23792
1.350e+10
2.320e+10
0.245
-569.8
-581.3
9
43,348.2368
(33,911.755)
50
0.370
8
41
3.004
0.370
23764
1.360e+10
2.320e+10
0.246
-569.8
-581.3
9
43,967.3339
(33,944.050)
50
0.371
8
41
3.017
0.371
23744
1.360e+10
2.310e+10
0.248
-569.7
-581.3
9
39,220.2067
(34,017.996)
50
0.359
8
41
2.865
0.359
23969
1.320e+10
2.360e+10
0.233
-570.2
-581.3
9
PSOE
lPartido_s
Crecimiento % votos
(4)
(5)
(1)
(2)
(3)
-0.5634***
(0.085)
-0.5829***
(0.083)
-0.5827***
(0.082)
-0.5910***
(0.081)
-0.5923***
(0.081)
(6)
(7)
-0.5916***
(0.081)
-0.5881***
(0.080)
lPartido
NT
BAN
S_Agr
TasadeParo
EQI2010
L.GDPg
l_media_festejos
0.2906
(2.647)
4.7094**
(2.312)
0.2002
(0.124)
0.1975**
(0.073)
1.0634
(1.566)
0.4666
(1.288)
0.3430
(0.550)
-1.1915
(2.410)
3.6854
(2.755)
0.2047
(0.124)
0.2157***
(0.070)
0.9302
(1.574)
1.0078
(1.244)
-1.1999
(2.283)
3.6698
(2.683)
0.2047
(0.124)
0.2154***
(0.069)
0.9274
(1.575)
1.0169
(1.253)
-1.2953
(1.531)
3.4893*
(1.874)
0.2383*
(0.133)
0.2132***
(0.068)
0.8281
(1.561)
1.0086
(1.015)
-1.2857
(1.524)
3.4339*
(1.886)
0.2397*
(0.132)
0.2095***
(0.068)
0.7829
(1.566)
0.9979
(1.014)
-1.2704
(1.524)
3.4412*
(1.892)
0.2348*
(0.131)
0.2091***
(0.068)
0.7691
(1.572)
0.9914
(1.014)
-1.2164
(1.509)
3.6932**
(1.821)
0.2394*
(0.132)
0.2186***
(0.068)
0.9852
(1.552)
1.0153
(1.015)
(9)
(10)
-0.1245
(0.137)
5,481.9192
(37,096.536)
134,890.7312***
(44,361.387)
-2,724.8779
(3,046.858)
-417.4359
(1,475.729)
-4,812.6451
(36,557.690)
-1,960.1919
(24,311.407)
-0.0966
(0.141)
2,281.4237
(37,144.226)
135,089.8724***
(44,910.449)
-2,550.4514
(3,081.132)
-372.3114
(1,548.571)
-5,536.2172
(36,809.982)
-768.8048
(24,492.731)
-0.1005
(0.146)
1,408.8823
(36,964.546)
134,686.5422***
(44,856.218)
-2,551.6536
(3,085.058)
-300.6277
(1,591.314)
-5,161.7916
(36,859.956)
-544.0300
(24,456.741)
-0.0217
(0.101)
-2,683.2928
(38,004.439)
130,434.0050***
(47,425.201)
-2,002.4081
(3,047.149)
-778.4304
(1,463.970)
-7,385.0606
(37,682.004)
2,249.4831
(24,386.408)
(14)
-0.0223
(0.101)
-2,888.4378
(37,951.475)
130,083.7223***
(47,543.925)
-1,994.0329
(3,033.326)
-782.7338
(1,467.010)
-7,562.2764
(37,829.544)
2,290.7982
(24,371.221)
-0.0190
(0.099)
-1,788.2843
(37,310.730)
131,305.2176***
(45,160.778)
-2,098.1739
(3,087.716)
-796.7905
(1,460.399)
-7,372.0457
(36,952.172)
1,926.2810
(24,404.844)
-0.0400
(0.532)
L.l_festejos
-1.6543
(2.368)
media_festejos_pc
1,035.0244
(57,826.995)
-2.6066
(3.523)
media_festejos_2012_15_pc
-225.0854
(86,076.184)
-2.7494
(3.926)
L.festejos_pc
-2,330.8743
(95,701.778)
7.0789
(9.560)
L.crec_festejos_2012_15_pc
-30,922.0923
(230,047.796)
311.8808
(297.984)
media_festejos
358.8753
(493.261)
media_festejos_2012_15
L.festejos
Observations
R-squared
df_m
df_r
F
r2
rmse
mss
rss
r2_a
ll
ll_0
rank
-0.0211
(0.101)
-2,471.9493
(38,195.085)
130,735.5479***
(47,052.839)
-2,013.2430
(3,054.268)
-777.2458
(1,454.582)
-7,258.5032
(37,443.739)
2,198.3706
(24,428.652)
(13)
-0.0356
(0.555)
l_media_festejos_2012_15
Constant
Crecimiento Número de votos
(11)
(12)
(8)
6.8373*
(3.513)
50
0.680
8
41
10.91
0.680
2.401
503.2
236.3
0.618
-109.8
-138.3
9
6.6106*
(3.528)
50
0.677
8
41
10.76
0.677
2.412
500.9
238.5
0.615
-110.0
-138.3
9
6.5898*
(3.556)
50
0.677
8
41
10.76
0.677
2.412
501.0
238.5
0.615
-110.0
-138.3
9
6.8870*
(3.513)
50
0.681
8
41
10.95
0.681
2.398
503.7
235.7
0.619
-109.7
-138.3
9
7.0326*
(3.533)
50
0.682
8
41
10.97
0.682
2.396
504.1
235.4
0.620
-109.7
-138.3
9
7.0452*
(3.543)
50
0.681
8
41
10.95
0.681
2.398
503.7
235.7
0.619
-109.7
-138.3
9
6.5710*
(3.492)
50
0.682
8
41
10.98
0.682
2.396
504.1
235.4
0.620
-109.7
-138.3
9
28,613.6297
(79,884.762)
50
0.343
8
41
2.677
0.343
56090
6.740e+10
1.290e+11
0.215
-612.7
-623.2
9
24,187.2654
(80,219.297)
50
0.334
8
41
2.572
0.334
56471
6.560e+10
1.310e+11
0.204
-613.1
-623.2
9
387.3459
(540.858)
22,930.8767
(80,172.574)
50
0.334
8
41
2.569
0.334
56482
6.560e+10
1.310e+11
0.204
-613.1
-623.2
9
21,334.8775
(80,769.525)
50
0.326
8
41
2.474
0.326
56834
6.390e+10
1.320e+11
0.194
-613.4
-623.2
9
21,437.7766
(81,096.150)
50
0.326
8
41
2.474
0.326
56835
6.390e+10
1.320e+11
0.194
-613.4
-623.2
9
21,653.6445
(81,234.776)
50
0.326
8
41
2.474
0.326
56834
6.390e+10
1.320e+11
0.194
-613.4
-623.2
9
22,068.5644
(80,772.904)
50
0.326
8
41
2.477
0.326
56822
6.400e+10
1.320e+11
0.194
-613.4
-623.2
9
Unidos Podemos
lPartido_s
(1)
(2)
-0.0973
(0.075)
-0.0850
(0.077)
Crecimiento % votos
(3)
(4)
(5)
-0.0787
(0.076)
-0.0949
(0.081)
-0.0983
(0.081)
(6)
(7)
-0.1006
(0.080)
-0.0922
(0.077)
lPartido
NT
BAN
S_Agr
TasadeParo
EQI2010
L.GDPg
l_media_festejos
2.2549
(3.259)
3.9943
(2.851)
0.1089
(0.180)
-0.0531
(0.079)
2.0138
(2.079)
-0.0870
(1.633)
0.3415
(0.683)
l_media_festejos_2012_15
3.0252
(3.031)
5.3091
(3.345)
0.1268
(0.180)
-0.0484
(0.077)
2.0475
(2.062)
-0.4311
(1.603)
3.4784
(2.881)
5.8861*
(3.288)
0.1346
(0.178)
-0.0450
(0.076)
2.0923
(2.047)
-0.7425
(1.616)
1.0447
(1.986)
3.3407
(2.495)
0.0873
(0.177)
-0.0401
(0.080)
1.9265
(2.074)
0.3616
(1.323)
1.0037
(1.981)
3.3369
(2.501)
0.0890
(0.177)
-0.0407
(0.083)
1.9364
(2.078)
0.3792
(1.321)
0.9862
(1.981)
3.3291
(2.505)
0.0902
(0.177)
-0.0425
(0.083)
1.9355
(2.082)
0.3865
(1.321)
1.0445
(1.965)
3.2265
(2.488)
0.0766
(0.178)
-0.0438
(0.078)
1.7959
(2.078)
0.3330
(1.319)
(8)
(9)
-0.1489***
(0.012)
-8,898.6986
(5,953.925)
18,495.5376**
(7,388.394)
433.5084
(480.193)
-223.9882
(215.870)
3,618.2601
(5,855.648)
1,760.5661
(3,896.228)
-0.1481***
(0.011)
-8,510.2427
(5,794.787)
16,459.8533**
(7,378.003)
447.9253
(470.692)
-351.4090
(211.240)
3,432.2743
(5,740.581)
1,946.5559
(3,821.016)
-0.1454***
-0.1830***
(0.011)
(0.011)
-8,191.2007
-682.3345
(5,597.708)
(7,221.479)
15,545.8113** 33,508.8021***
(7,182.498)
(8,404.560)
441.9021
107.9488
(456.864)
(601.761)
-403.7637*
-302.2776
(205.989)
(268.755)
2,824.6709
6,900.1014
(5,590.433)
(7,259.053)
1,926.7232
-1,550.2564
(3,707.484)
(4,757.169)
(13)
-0.1830***
-0.1830***
(0.011)
(0.011)
-652.0648
-694.6558
(7,189.637)
(7,183.581)
33,515.7771*** 33,447.2963***
(8,449.123)
(8,470.379)
105.8445
107.5585
(600.166)
(596.530)
-303.6464
-305.8760
(273.169)
(274.093)
6,893.8934
6,842.3013
(7,297.154)
(7,322.503)
-1,561.1305
-1,555.0721
(4,750.948)
(4,748.825)
(14)
-0.1826***
(0.011)
-407.6961
(7,099.297)
33,725.5939***
(8,231.989)
75.0198
(609.120)
-300.5178
(266.570)
6,961.4437
(7,194.166)
-1,634.3628
(4,755.236)
0.8241
(0.697)
media_festejos_pc
1.0138
(3.312)
media_festejos_2012_15_pc
-918.5493
(11,050.347)
0.9877
(4.933)
L.festejos_pc
-1,168.0648
(16,433.872)
0.7337
(5.461)
L.crec_festejos_2012_15_pc
-1,852.4184
(18,299.764)
-7.2510
(12.895)
media_festejos
-6,146.9686
(44,417.907)
-200.1694***
(42.832)
media_festejos_2012_15
-332.5346***
(67.290)
L.festejos
Observations
R-squared
df_m
df_r
F
r2
rmse
mss
rss
r2_a
ll
ll_0
rank
Crecimiento Número de votos
(11)
(12)
0.6434
(0.721)
L.l_festejos
Constant
(10)
-2.4565
(5.009)
50
0.109
8
41
0.625
0.109
3.114
48.51
397.6
-0.0652
-122.8
-125.7
9
-2.6323
(4.967)
50
0.120
8
41
0.701
0.120
3.094
53.70
392.5
-0.0513
-122.5
-125.7
9
-2.3644
(4.936)
50
0.133
8
41
0.785
0.133
3.072
59.28
386.9
-0.0363
-122.1
-125.7
9
-3.0214
(5.186)
50
0.105
8
41
0.603
0.105
3.120
47.00
399.2
-0.0692
-122.9
-125.7
9
-2.9282
(5.258)
50
0.104
8
41
0.596
0.104
3.122
46.47
399.7
-0.0706
-122.9
-125.7
9
-2.8270
(5.266)
50
0.104
8
41
0.593
0.104
3.123
46.26
399.9
-0.0712
-122.9
-125.7
9
-2.8808
(5.018)
50
0.110
8
41
0.634
0.110
3.112
49.15
397.0
-0.0635
-122.7
-125.7
9
-157.2522
(12,866.741)
50
0.937
8
41
75.81
0.937
8989
4.900e+10
3.310e+09
0.924
-521.2
-590.2
9
1,736.0579
(12,557.131)
50
0.939
8
41
79.14
0.939
8810
4.910e+10
3.180e+09
0.927
-520.2
-590.2
9
-371.7713***
(69.936)
2,521.0254
(12,185.299)
50
0.943
8
41
84.08
0.943
8563
4.930e+10
3.010e+09
0.931
-518.7
-590.2
9
8,195.7349
(15,818.779)
50
0.903
8
41
47.69
0.903
11128
4.720e+10
5.080e+09
0.884
-531.8
-590.2
9
8,237.1576
(15,894.470)
50
0.903
8
41
47.69
0.903
11128
4.720e+10
5.080e+09
0.884
-531.8
-590.2
9
8,318.8402
(15,923.448)
50
0.903
8
41
47.69
0.903
11127
4.720e+10
5.080e+09
0.884
-531.8
-590.2
9
8,203.9524
(15,792.481)
50
0.903
8
41
47.71
0.903
11126
4.720e+10
5.080e+09
0.884
-531.8
-590.2
9
Cs
lPartido_s
Crecimiento % votos
(4)
(5)
(1)
(2)
(3)
-0.5544***
(0.100)
-0.5665***
(0.099)
-0.5672***
(0.097)
-0.5511***
(0.100)
-0.5534***
(0.099)
(6)
(7)
-0.5566***
(0.098)
-0.5481***
(0.100)
lPartido
NT
BAN
S_Agr
TasadeParo
EQI2010
L.GDPg
l_media_festejos
-0.9340
(2.181)
-1.8532
(1.880)
0.0628
(0.109)
-0.0081
(0.052)
-0.6522
(1.590)
2.4883**
(1.076)
-0.1452
(0.461)
l_media_festejos_2012_15
-0.1161
(2.015)
-1.2180
(2.273)
0.0609
(0.109)
-0.0136
(0.050)
-0.6632
(1.591)
2.1886**
(1.048)
0.0553
(1.922)
-1.0091
(2.227)
0.0608
(0.109)
-0.0137
(0.050)
-0.6434
(1.591)
2.1033*
(1.059)
-0.4784
(1.311)
-1.6713
(1.570)
0.0830
(0.119)
-0.0147
(0.050)
-0.6292
(1.590)
2.3059**
(0.869)
-0.4598
(1.307)
-1.6697
(1.579)
0.0799
(0.118)
-0.0165
(0.051)
-0.6615
(1.588)
2.2979**
(0.869)
-0.4402
(1.308)
-1.6335
(1.583)
0.0738
(0.116)
-0.0158
(0.051)
-0.6788
(1.590)
2.2941**
(0.869)
-0.4494
(1.295)
-1.5824
(1.527)
0.0898
(0.120)
-0.0108
(0.050)
-0.5101
(1.610)
2.3159**
(0.868)
(9)
(10)
-0.1264***
(0.014)
2,812.9596
(3,741.039)
-16,844.0385***
(4,614.583)
-94.0551
(297.564)
127.7361
(135.451)
1,331.3623
(3,676.235)
2,033.7726
(2,442.309)
-0.1305***
(0.013)
3,116.4773
(3,654.844)
-15,611.3308***
(4,639.694)
-120.9953
(292.853)
154.0205
(133.015)
1,426.1777
(3,621.712)
1,849.5624
(2,407.162)
-0.1340***
(0.013)
3,209.6890
(3,584.665)
-14,933.2377***
(4,589.814)
-132.9323
(288.453)
169.9870
(131.909)
1,586.7094
(3,578.884)
1,787.5677
(2,372.649)
-0.1166***
(0.009)
548.8990
(3,636.349)
-20,599.8420***
(4,260.540)
73.9894
(296.522)
100.2831
(137.369)
257.8802
(3,704.775)
2,671.6948
(2,401.132)
(14)
-0.1164***
(0.009)
669.0651
(3,650.600)
-20,506.2465***
(4,291.679)
51.8751
(295.706)
102.0882
(138.469)
258.1651
(3,735.392)
2,633.5683
(2,411.196)
-0.1156***
(0.009)
892.5005
(3,587.277)
-19,560.9357***
(4,132.632)
101.8180
(300.834)
147.6297
(133.815)
1,228.8722
(3,643.787)
2,721.0183
(2,400.422)
0.1387
(0.453)
media_festejos_pc
-0.8998
(2.087)
media_festejos_2012_15_pc
-8,420.2895
(5,483.526)
-1.2138
(3.076)
L.festejos_pc
-11,301.6705
(8,207.825)
-1.0184
(3.403)
L.crec_festejos_2012_15_pc
-11,289.1585
(9,187.206)
4.6835
(8.476)
media_festejos
31,435.7786
(22,238.920)
36.8793
(32.208)
media_festejos_2012_15
81.2675
(50.295)
L.festejos
Observations
R-squared
df_m
df_r
F
r2
rmse
mss
rss
r2_a
ll
ll_0
rank
-0.1166***
(0.009)
335.4774
(3,631.006)
-20,600.2741***
(4,213.270)
91.4652
(296.052)
114.8560
(134.408)
361.4084
(3,664.365)
2,754.5245
(2,391.073)
(13)
0.0807
(0.472)
L.l_festejos
Constant
Crecimiento Número de votos
(11)
(12)
(8)
-0.2104
(3.611)
50
0.644
8
41
9.267
0.644
2.064
315.7
174.6
0.574
-102.2
-128.0
9
0.2624
(3.562)
50
0.643
8
41
9.243
0.643
2.065
315.4
174.9
0.574
-102.3
-128.0
9
0.3808
(3.563)
50
0.644
8
41
9.265
0.644
2.064
315.7
174.6
0.574
-102.2
-128.0
9
-0.0204
(3.469)
50
0.645
8
41
9.298
0.645
2.061
316.1
174.2
0.575
-102.2
-128.0
9
0.0722
(3.457)
50
0.644
8
41
9.287
0.644
2.062
316.0
174.4
0.575
-102.2
-128.0
9
0.1144
(3.458)
50
0.644
8
41
9.264
0.644
2.064
315.7
174.6
0.574
-102.2
-128.0
9
-0.2493
(3.513)
50
0.646
8
41
9.339
0.646
2.058
316.6
173.7
0.577
-102.1
-128.0
9
-7,224.9560
(8,058.440)
50
0.881
8
41
37.87
0.881
5635
9.620e+09
1.300e+09
0.858
-497.8
-551.0
9
-7,297.0775
(7,899.510)
50
0.884
8
41
39.20
0.884
5550
9.660e+09
1.260e+09
0.862
-497.1
-551.0
9
103.2529*
(53.394)
-7,392.5889
(7,786.580)
50
0.887
8
41
40.34
0.887
5480
9.690e+09
1.230e+09
0.865
-496.4
-551.0
9
-7,646.1400
(7,907.484)
50
0.884
8
41
38.94
0.884
5566
9.650e+09
1.270e+09
0.861
-497.2
-551.0
9
-7,191.8768
(7,984.938)
50
0.882
8
41
38.47
0.882
5596
9.640e+09
1.280e+09
0.859
-497.5
-551.0
9
-7,177.2246
(8,035.450)
50
0.881
8
41
38.08
0.881
5622
9.630e+09
1.300e+09
0.858
-497.7
-551.0
9
-9,016.9242
(7,933.271)
50
0.883
8
41
38.57
0.883
5590
9.640e+09
1.280e+09
0.860
-497.4
-551.0
9
PACMA
lPartido_s
(1)
(2)
-0.0755
(0.073)
-0.0664
(0.075)
Crecimiento % votos
(3)
(4)
(5)
-0.0588
(0.076)
-0.1332*
(0.075)
-0.1352*
(0.076)
(6)
(7)
-0.1341*
(0.077)
-0.0895
(0.072)
lPartido
NT
BAN
S_Agr
TasadeParo
EQI2010
L.GDPg
l_media_festejos
l_media_festejos_2012_15
L.l_festejos
0.0428
0.0965
0.1177
(0.116)
(0.108)
(0.104)
0.4531*** 0.4721*** 0.4916***
(0.119)
(0.131)
(0.129)
-0.0163*** -0.0156** -0.0151**
(0.006)
(0.006)
(0.006)
0.0092*** 0.0087*** 0.0086***
(0.003)
(0.003)
(0.003)
-0.0061
0.0016
0.0059
(0.072)
(0.072)
(0.073)
0.0264
0.0063
-0.0033
(0.056)
(0.055)
(0.056)
-0.0187
(0.024)
-0.0040
(0.026)
0.0039
(0.025)
media_festejos_pc
0.1196
(0.077)
0.5195***
(0.109)
-0.0142**
(0.006)
0.0081***
(0.003)
-0.0243
(0.069)
0.0010
(0.044)
0.1251
0.1255
(0.078)
(0.078)
0.5188*** 0.5165***
(0.110)
(0.110)
-0.0146** -0.0151**
(0.006)
(0.006)
0.0076*** 0.0075***
(0.003)
(0.003)
-0.0293
-0.0318
(0.070)
(0.070)
-0.0013
-0.0018
(0.044)
(0.044)
(8)
0.3806***
(0.010)
0.1118
-174.2821
(0.079)
(190.402)
0.5040*** 246.9623
(0.112)
(244.758)
-0.0137** 29.2348*
(0.006)
(15.029)
0.0089*** -14.5960**
(0.003)
(6.922)
0.0033
-170.0625
(0.069)
(186.884)
0.0035
-73.9260
(0.045)
(124.349)
0.3791***
(0.010)
-160.0473
(187.288)
284.6892
(247.611)
29.0308*
(14.969)
-14.1067**
(6.959)
-163.0181
(186.720)
-81.1766
(123.888)
0.3837***
(0.008)
-135.8887
(180.500)
274.0170
(215.284)
24.9632
(15.078)
-13.5219*
(6.827)
-140.6582
(183.980)
-80.0580
(119.561)
0.3839***
(0.008)
-135.7060
(178.862)
286.7532
(215.182)
24.7628
(14.961)
-12.4875*
(6.895)
-127.7312
(184.071)
-78.1047
(118.841)
(13)
(14)
0.3839***
(0.008)
-137.8835
(178.970)
288.4298
(215.934)
25.5846*
(14.882)
-12.3906*
(6.926)
-123.6066
(184.975)
-76.8259
(118.956)
0.3828***
(0.008)
-158.6752
(178.333)
234.3671
(212.596)
24.4383
(15.304)
-14.8775**
(6.808)
-177.6903
(182.821)
-79.2648
(119.937)
366.7939
(278.303)
-0.3529**
(0.169)
L.festejos_pc
604.5217
(411.911)
-0.3859**
(0.189)
L.crec_festejos_2012_15_pc
656.7157
(459.441)
0.6436
(0.438)
media_festejos
-1,364.9308
(1,124.680)
0.2691
(1.269)
media_festejos_2012_15
0.9069
(2.011)
L.festejos
Observations
R-squared
df_m
df_r
F
r2
rmse
mss
rss
r2_a
ll
ll_0
rank
0.3794***
(0.010)
-161.4005
(188.588)
277.4553
(247.588)
28.9999*
(14.992)
-14.2889**
(6.933)
-165.3607
(186.582)
-80.1961
(124.182)
Crecimiento Número de votos
(10)
(11)
(12)
-0.2461**
(0.112)
media_festejos_2012_15_pc
Constant
(9)
0.1473
(0.177)
50
0.608
8
41
7.957
0.608
0.109
0.753
0.485
0.532
44.93
21.51
9
0.1537
(0.178)
50
0.603
8
41
7.775
0.603
0.110
0.746
0.492
0.525
44.58
21.51
9
0.1532
(0.178)
50
0.603
8
41
7.774
0.603
0.110
0.746
0.492
0.525
44.58
21.51
9
0.2631
(0.176)
50
0.645
8
41
9.296
0.645
0.104
0.798
0.440
0.575
47.37
21.51
9
0.2812
(0.180)
50
0.641
8
41
9.134
0.641
0.104
0.793
0.445
0.570
47.09
21.51
9
0.2842
(0.182)
50
0.639
8
41
9.075
0.639
0.104
0.792
0.447
0.569
46.98
21.51
9
0.1743
(0.174)
50
0.622
8
41
8.446
0.622
0.107
0.771
0.468
0.549
45.85
21.51
9
36.8440
(409.865)
50
0.988
8
41
419.5
0.988
286.9
2.760e+08
3.374e+06
0.986
-348.9
-459.4
9
42.7008
(407.584)
50
0.988
8
41
421.1
0.988
286.3
2.760e+08
3.361e+06
0.986
-348.8
-459.4
9
1.0871
(2.135)
41.5356
(406.772)
50
0.988
8
41
421.7
0.988
286.1
2.760e+08
3.356e+06
0.986
-348.8
-459.4
9
-11.6616
(399.585)
50
0.988
8
41
437.0
0.988
281.1
2.760e+08
3.240e+06
0.986
-347.9
-459.4
9
-44.3440
(399.520)
50
0.989
8
41
441.3
0.989
279.8
2.760e+08
3.209e+06
0.986
-347.7
-459.4
9
-51.0228
(400.784)
50
0.988
8
41
440.1
0.988
280.1
2.760e+08
3.217e+06
0.986
-347.7
-459.4
9
49.2712
(400.254)
50
0.988
8
41
434.2
0.988
282.0
2.760e+08
3.260e+06
0.986
-348.1
-459.4
9