COS RNoAF Air Power Conference 2015

COS RNoAF
Air Power Conference 2015
A new Russia?
Consequences for Norway
and the Royal Norwegian Air Force?
Royal Norwegian Air Force Academy
3 February - 5 February 2015
RNoAF Academy
1
Welcome to the Air Power Conference 2015!
On behalf of the Chief of Staff of the Royal Norwegian Air Force, the
Air Force Academy once again welcomes you to the Air Power
Conference here at Kuhaugen in Trondheim.
The focus of this year’s Conference is Russia and how a more
aggressive Russian foreign and defence policy will affect the
West, Norway, and the Norwegian Air Force. Russia demonstrates
an ability and a willingness to use its military power in order
to promote its interests beyond its own borders. The Russian
annexation of Crimea, and the subsequent conflict in Eastern
Ukraine, has unsettled a significant segment of the Western world. It
has severely affected the relationship between Russia and NATO/EU,
both in terms of security policy and economy. Meanwhile, we see an unprecedented renewal
and modernisation of the Russian military capacity, with new platforms and weapons
systems introduced, which gives our neighbour in the East new opportunities and alters
operational procedures.
This year’s Conference sets out to illuminate the background for these choices in Russian
politics, and to explore what this means, in terms of the political and the military, for NATO,
the EU and, ultimately, for the Norwegian Air Force.
The Royal Norwegian Air Force Academy educates officers for the future Air Force and
Defence Force. The Academy considers it crucial that these officers understand the political
context and the framework within which air power is exercised. As a consequence, the Air
Power Conferences at the Air Force Academy set out to illuminate their chosen topic, initially
from a political and strategic level, moving down to the operational and tactical level as the
Conference progresses. This year’s Conference follows the same pattern. I would claim that
this year we have again managed to achieve this with a highly topical and interesting subject,
and the interest around this year’s Conference would seem to confirm this.
A Conference at the Air Force Academy should not be limited to the professional; it should
also be a social arena in which good experiences are created. The traditional Wednesday cod
dinner is the pinnacle of this social interaction, but there should definitely be room for both
social and cultural arenas beyond this.
I wish every one of you the best of luck with this year’s Conference, and I hope you will pass
some rewarding days at the Air Force Academy!
Morten Henriksen
Colonel
Commandant, The Royal Norwegian Air Force Academy
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Program
Tuesday 3 February
Do We See a New Russia?
Welcome speech by the Commandant of the
RNoAF Academy, Colonel Morten Henriksen.
Opening remarks by the Chief of Staff of the Royal
Norwegian Air Force, Major General Per Egil Rygg.
Conference introduction and administrative
information by project officer for the Air Power
Conference 2015, Captain Marianne Eidem.
12:00 - 12:30 Seminar Opening
The Royal Norwegian Air
Force Band
Welcome speech by the
COM RNoAF Academy
Colonel Morten Henriksen
Dr. Timofey Bordachev is the Director of
Center for Comprehensive International and
European Studies at the Higher School of
Economics in Moscow. He is one of the leading
experts in Russian foreign policy, and an author
of several books and publications. He is also a
senior academic advisor of Valdai International
Discussion Club and Director of Studies in Council
for Foreign and Defence Policy.
Opening remarks by the CoS
RNoAF
Major General Per Egil Rygg
Conference introduction
Captain Marianne Eidem
12:30 - 13:00 What are Russia’s Foreign
Policy Ambitions?
Dr. Timofey Bordachev
13:00 - 13:30 How to Explain the
Dynamics of Russia’s
Foreign Policy?
Dr. Julie Wilhelmsen
13:30 - 14:00 Coffee
14:00 - 14:30 Russia seen from the EU
Carl Bildt
14:30 - 15:00 Neighbourhood with Russia
- a Norwegian Perspective
Jonas Gahr Støre
15:00 - 15:30 Panel discussion:
Is Russia on the offensive or
on the defensive? Do we see a
new Russia?
15:30 - 15:50 Epilogue
Siri Lill Mannes
19:00
Informal gathering in the
Officers’ Mess.
Dr. Julie Wilhelmsen is a Senior researcher at
the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs
(NUPI). She speaks Russian and delivered her
PhD on the Chechen–Russian conflict (When
Global Conflict fuels local war) at the University
in Oslo. She has edited the book (2011) “Russia’s
Encounter with Globalization. Actors, Processes
and Critical Moments”.
Carl Bildt was Sweden’s Prime Minister (19911994) and the Swedish Minister of Foreign Affairs
(2006-2014). He was the European Union’s
Special Envoy to the Former Yugoslavia (1995)
and the United Nations Secretary-General’s
Special Envoy for the Balkans (1999-2001).
Jonas Gahr Støre was the Norwegian Minister
of Foreign Affairs (2005-2012) and Minister of
Health and Care Services (2012-2013). He is
currently the leader of the Norwegian Labour
Party and a member of the Parliament’s Foreign
Affairs and Defense Committee.
Siri Lill Mannes is a journalist and former news
anchor (TV2) and news correspondent in Russia
and Chechnya. She speaks Russian and has spent
a substantial amount of time in Russia and the
surrounding nations of the former Soviet Union.
She has won national awards for her journalism,
and in 2003 she published the book: Bodyguard in
hell – Aleksandr and the war in Chechnya.
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Program
Wednesday 4 February
Russian Military Strategy
– Perspectives on Russia seen from
the outside
Dr. Peter Mattson works at the Swedish National
Defence College in Stockholm. He is an expert
in Russian military strategy and doctrines for a
sustained period of time.
08:30 - 08:40 The RNoAF Band
08:40 - 08:45 Opening remarks
Associate professor Øistein
Espenes
08:45 - 09:10 Russian Military
Strategy and Doctrine
Dr. Peter Mattson
09:10 - 09:35 Russian Airpower
Dr. Lars Peder Haga
09:35 - 09:55 Coffee
09:55 - 10:20 Russia, Norway, and the High
North
Assistant Professor
Ann Karin Larssen
10:20 - 10:45 Panel discussion: Is the new
Russian military doctrine
a doctrine for increased
influence in the High North?
10:45 - 10:50 Information parallel lunchsession
10:50 - 13:00 Lunch & parallel sessions
Dr. Lars Peder Haga works at the Airpower
Department at the Royal Norwegian Air Force
Academy in Trondheim. Haga speaks Russian
and has studied Russian culture and history for a
sustained period of time.
Assistant Professor Ann Karin Larssen works
at the Airpower Department at the RNoAF
Academy in Trondheim. Larssen has studied
political science and teaches Russian defence and
foreign policy at the RNoAF Academy.
Colonel Gerhard Larsen is the Executive Officer
of the operations section at the Norwegian
Defence Operational Headquarter. He has a broad
national and international experience within the
Air Force.
Major General Michael Bydén is the Chief of
Staff of the Swedish Air Force. He spent most of
his early career as a fighter pilot, before taking on
positions as Commanding officer, Air Attaché at
the Swedish Embassy Washington D.C and Chief
of Staff at ISAF Regional Command North HQ.
Lecture A: Russian Military Air
Activity in the North.
Colonel Gerhard Larsen
Colonel Jaak Tarien is Chief of Staff of the
Estonian Air Force. He is a graduate of the United
States Air Force Academy, earned his Master’s
degree from the Air Command and Staff College
of the USAF Air University, and graduated from
the Higher Command Studies Course at the Baltic
Defence College. He has been serving as Chief of
Staff of the Estonian Air Force since 2009.
Lecture B: Russian Military
Activity in the Baltic Sea.
Major General Michael Bydén
Lecture C: Russia Seen from
the Baltics.
Colonel Jaak Tarien
Lieutenant General (r) David Tevzadze was
Minister of Defence in Georgia from April 1998 to
February 2004. He has a Ph.D. from the Georgian
Academy of Sciences Institute of Philosophy, and
has education from NATO Defence College in
Rome.
Captain Helge Øglænd is a Cadet at the RNoAF
Academy. He is a Norwegian fighter pilot, and
participated in Operation Unified Protector in
Libya (2011).
Lecture D: The RussianGeorgian War in 2008, why
Russia went to War.
Lieutenant General (r) David
Tevzadze
Lecture E: The Russian Nuclear
Factor.
Captain Helge Øglænd
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Program
Wednesday 4 February
Magnus Nordenman is the Deputy Director of the
Brent Scowcroft Center on International Security at
the Atlantic Council in Washington, DC. He writes
and speaks on transatlantic security, Nordic-Baltic
defense, and US military affairs. He is the author of,
among other things, the recent Council policy report
NATO in an Era of Global Competition.
13:00 - 13:30 Russia Seen from USA
Magnus Nordenman
13:30 - 14:00 Lessons from
Ukraine 2013-2014
Colonel Ihor Kosiak
14:00 - 14:25 Coffee
14:25 - 14:55 Russia Seen from NATO
Dr. Stefanie Babst
14:55 - 15:40 Panel discussion:
Russian Expansion - Is there
a “Red line” for USA and
NATO?
15:40 - 16:00 Epilogue
Tor Bukkvoll
18:30 - 24:00 Mess Dinner in the Officers’
Mess.
Colonel Ihor Kosiak has been appointed at several
positions in Main Operational Directorate of General
staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces since 2007. At
the moment he is Chief of the Ukrainian Territorial
Defence Directorate of J3 Main Directorate.
Dr. Stefanie Babst is the Head of the Strategic
Analysis Capability Team of the NATO Secretary
General and Chairman of the Military Committee.
She was NATOs Acting Assistant Secretary General
for Public Diplomacy from 2006-2012. She holds a
Ph.D. in Political Science.
Dr. Tor Bukkvoll is a researcher at the Norwegian
Defence Research Establishment (FFI). He is an expert in political and military development in Russia
and Ukraine. He speaks fluent Russian and Ukrainian, and has spent long periods in both countries.
5
Program
Thursday 5 February
Consequences for
Norwegian Air Power?
Lieutenant General (r) Freek Meulman is
leading the project Future Vector Programme,
focusing on the development of European
airpower towards 2040. During his long career
he has held a number of important positions,
including Deputy Commander Air at ISAF
Headquarters, Netherlands Deputy Chief of
Defense, Netherlands Permanent Military
Representative to NATO and the EU Military
Committee in Brussels.
08:30 – 08:35 Opening remarks
Major Freddy Moland
08:35 – 09:05 Russia, NATO, and the Air
Power Challenges toward
2040
Lieutenant General (r) Freek
Meulman
09:05 – 09:30 Airpower in the High North
– the Way Ahead?
Brigadier Lars Christian
Aamodt
09:30 – 10:00 Coffee
10:00 – 10:25 Russia, Norwegian Crisis
Management and the
Establishment of the New
National Air Operations
Centre (NAOC) – Norwegian
Airpower in a National
Perspective
Brigadier General Jan Ove
Rygg
10:25 – 10:50 Norwegian Air Power –
Are We Debating the Right
Issues in the Right Manner?
Lieutenant Colonel John Olav
Birkeland
10:50 – 12:00 Lunch
12:00 – 12:45 Panel Debate:
Norwegian Air Power:
a multi-tool for Crisis
Management in the High
North?
12:45 – 13:15 Seminar Epilogue: Russia,
Ukraine and the West – Do
We Understand Each Other?
Peter Normann Waage
13:15 - 13:30 Closing remarks
Representative of COS
RNoAF
Brigadier Øyvind Strandman
Brigadier Lars Christian Aamodt is the Chief of
Air Operations in the Royal Norwegian Air Force.
He started his career as a fighter pilot, and has
acquired a broad military and civilian experience,
including civilian and military air operations.
He holds a master of science in Resource and
Security Strategy.
Brigadier General Jan Ove Rygg assumed
responsibility as Head of the Norwegian National
Air Operations Centre (NAOC) 1. August 2014.
He started his career as an fighter pilot. He has
a broad operational background, amongst other
assignments, six years in NATO CAOCs, and he
served in OUP CFACC at CAOC Poggio Renatico as
Director Operations (2011).
Lieutenant Colonel John Olav Birkeland
works at the NATO Allied Maritime Command at
Northwood. His operational background is from
the MPA (Orion). He has three Master degrees: in
Political Science, Military Science and History, and
Military Operational Art & Science.
Peter Normann Waage is a writer, translator,
journalist, cultural historian and a specialist on
Russian culture. He has published several books
on historical and political topics. He is honored
with several awards, and is appointed state
stipendiary as of 2013.
6
Administrative information
Duty Officer LKSK
Main Gate LKSK
Telefax LKSK
Secretariat
Taxi
IMPORTANT PHONE NUMBERS:
930 04 046 (cell phone) 73 99 54 90 (civ)
930 04 044 (cell phone) 73 99 54 44 (civ)
73 99 54 99 (civ)
73 99 54 96 (civ)
0550 5490 (mil)
0550 5444 (mil)
0550 5499 (mil)
0550 5496 (mil)
07373 (Trøndertaxi)
08000 (Norgestaxi)
Country code Norway: +47
Project officer: Captain Marianne Eidem, cell phone 99 22 96 71
Breakfast:
Lunch:
Dinner:
Breakfast:
Lunch:
Dinner:
Breakfast:
Lunch:
Dinner:
Breakfast:
Lunch:
Dinner:
Breakfast:
Lunch:
Dinner:
OPENING HOURS IN THE MESS HALL:
(Note: Seminar attendees do not pay for meals during the seminar.)
Monday 2 February
07:00 – 08:00
11:00 – 12:00
15:30 – 16:30
Tuesday 3 February
07:00 – 08:00
11:00 – 12:00
15:00 – 17:00
Wednesday 4 February
07:00 – 08:30
10:50 – 13:00
15:00 – 16:30
(for those not attending the Seminar Dinner)
Thursday 5 February
07:00 – 08:30
10:50 – 12:30
15:00 – 16:30
Friday 6 February
07:00 – 08:00
11:00 – 12:00
15:00 – 16:30
Seminar Dinner Wednesday 4 February
Aperitif at 19:00
Dinner at 19:30
Attire: Mess Dress Uniform for military personnel and dark suit/dress or equivalent for civilians
Bar opening hours:
Tuesday the 3 February: Wednesday the 4 February: 19:00 – 24:00
18:30 – 24:00
Note: The bar does not accept cash payment. All purchases in the bar must be paid by credit/debit
card.
7
Administrative information
Secretariat
The secretariat opens Tuesday 3 February at 09:00. All inquiries regarding transportation, accommodation, finances and other administrative matters should be addressed to the secretariat.
Academic inquiries about the seminar should be addressed to Cpt. Eidem.
Transport
The following section lists all major transport arrangements. Other transportation requirements
should be addressed to the secretariat. The Academy will as far as possible carry out transportation
to/from the airport and hotels. Transportation to other destinations beyond this should primarily be
arranged by the individuals.
TIME
FROM
10:15
10:30
10:45
11:00
17:00
18:45
23:30 - 00:30
Værnes
Værnes
Værnes
Hotel
Air Force Academy
Hotel
Air Force Academy
Air Force Academy
07:45
13:45
14:00
Hotel
Air Force Academy
Air Force Academy
07:45
16:45
18:00
23:30 - 00:30
Hotel
Air Force Academy
Hotell
Air Force Academy
Air Force Academy
TO
REMARKS
Tuesday 3rd of February
Air Force Academy Bus
Air Force Academy Bus
Air Force Academy Bus
Air Force Academy Minibus
Hotel
Bus to Scandic Solsiden and Scandic Nidelven
Air Force Academy Bus from Scandic Solsiden and Scandic Nidelven
Hotel
Shuttling by minibus
Hotel
Shuttling by minibus
Wednesday 4th of February
Air Force Academy Bus from Scandic Solsiden and Scandic Nidelven
Hotel
Bus to Scandic Solsiden and Scandic Nidelven
Air Force Academy Bus from Scandic Solsiden and Scandic Nidelven
Hotel
Shuttling by minibus
Hotel
Shuttling by minibus
Thursday 5th of February
Air Force Academy Bus from Scandic Solsiden and Scandic Nidelven
Værnes
Bus
Værnes
Bus
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