1. No category

03 de febrero de 2016
www.monex.com.mx
Kaleidoscopio
@monexanalisis
Elaborado por: Juan Francisco Caudillo
IPyC 43,258 puntos (+0.4%)
IPC (43,092.49, 43,306.38, 42,916.01, 43,257.54, +165.051)
465
460
455
450
445
440
435
430
425
420
415
410
405
400
395
390
D)
88.6%
"Triángulo"
88.6%
E)
C)
Relative Strength Index (56.7530)
x100
C)
"Plano"
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
MACD (139.795)
50
40
30
20
10
-10
-20
-30
-40
-50
-60
-70
x10
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016
Feb
Mar
Apr
FEMSA UBD 169.5 (-1.6%)
FEMSAUBD (172.240, 172.920, 168.800, 169.480, -2.74001)
180
175
170
165
160
155
150
145
140
135
130
125
Relative Strength Index (62.8130)
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
5
MACD (2.68268)
4
3
2
1
0
-1
-2
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016
Feb
Mar
Apr
AMX L 12.9 (+1.6%)
AMXL (12.7300, 12.9800, 12.6300, 12.8900, +0.20000)
16.0
15.5
15.0
14.5
14.0
13.5
13.0
12.5
12.0
11.5
11.0
10.5
Relative Strength Index (58.5297)
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
MACD (0.12780)
Feb
Mar
Apr
Fuente: Metastock
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.1
-0.1
-0.2
-0.2
-0.3
-0.3
Nov
Dec
2016
Feb
Mar
Apr
MONEX Grupo Financiero / Kaleidoscopio
1
WALMEX * 45.8 pesos (+0.6%)
WALMEX* (45.8400, 46.0900, 44.3700, 45.8000, +0.29000)
49
48
47
46
45
44
43
42
41
40
39
38
37
36
35
34
33
32
31
30
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
Relative Strength Index (58.6435)
MACD (0.49562)
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016
Feb
Mar
Apr
GFNORTE O 91.2 pesos (+1.2%)
GFNORTEO (90.1100, 91.3900, 89.6700, 91.1600, +1.11000)
161.8%
105
100
127.2%
95
100.0%
90
85
80
75
0.0%
Relative Strength Index (53.1110)
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
MACD (-0.18755)
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
3.0
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
-1.5
-2.0
Nov
Dec
2016
Feb
Mar
Apr
GMEXICO B 34.1 pesos (+1.7%)
GMEXICOB (33.9700, 34.8900, 33.1000, 34.0900, +0.56000)
51
50
49
48
47
46
45
44
43
42
41
40
39
38
37
36
35
34
33
32
Relative Strength Index (42.6091)
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
MACD (-0.48180)
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
Mar
Apr
Fuente: Metastock
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016
Feb
Mar
Apr
MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
2
Kaleidoscopio Internacional
BOVESPA 39,589 puntos (+2.6%)
600
IBV (38,596.53, 39,725.69, 38,596.53, 39,588.82, +992.648)
B)
550
500
A)
450
400
8%
C)?
x100
Relative Strength Index (42.3177)
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
MACD (-1,146.59)
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
x100
2015
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016
Feb
Mar
Apr
EDC* 165.6 pesos (+5.8%)
B)
EDC* (157.500, 166.600, 153.400, 165.640, +9.14999)
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
C)
Relative Strength Index (45.3349)
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
MACD (-8.12553)
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
25
20
15
10
5
0
-5
-10
-15
-20
-25
-30
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016
Feb
Mar
Apr
EDZ* 989.8 pesos (-9.1%)
140
135
130
125
120
115
110
105
100
95
90
85
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
EDZ* (1,090.00, 1,110.00, 980.110, 989.840, -99.0101)
x10
85
80
75
70
65
60
55
50
45
40
35
Relative Strength Index (51.0302)
MACD (46.1807)
100
50
0
-50
Feb
Mar
Apr
Fuente: Metastock
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2016 Feb
Mar
Apr
MONEX Grupo Financiero / Kaleidoscopio
3
Indicadores Técnicos
Ultimo
Precio
Soporte
Resistencia
43,258
108.5
32.0
63.0
12.9
240.9
51.4
8.4
346.9
169.5
149.3
70.2
31.6
29.5
91.2
86.3
34.1
268.0
4.4
53.2
75.4
42.3
126.2
12.2
16.2
43.3
209.1
36.5
23.2
18.4
85.6
184.5
211.9
27.6
38.2
10.9
96.1
45.8
41,300
98.0
30.0
58.0
11.0
220.0
45.0
7.0
320.0
150.0
140.0
62.0
28.5
27.0
82.0
80.0
33.0
240.0
3.0
52.0
68.0
38.0
115.0
12.0
15.0
39.0
190.0
35.0
22.0
16.0
75.0
155.0
185.0
26.0
36.0
10.4
90.0
42.5
43,800
115.0
34.0
65.0
13.3
250.0
52.0
8.5
380.0
175.0
155.0
75.0
33.0
30.0
97.0
90.0
37.5
280.0
6.0
60.0
78.0
44.0
130.0
14.0
17.5
44.0
220.0
40.0
25.0
19.0
88.0
205.0
220.0
30.0
40.0
12.4
105.0
47.0
-4.5%
-9.7%
-6.3%
-8.0%
-14.7%
-8.7%
-12.5%
-16.7%
-7.8%
-11.5%
-6.2%
-11.7%
-9.8%
-8.4%
-10.0%
-7.2%
-3.2%
-10.5%
-31.7%
-2.2%
-9.9%
-10.1%
-8.8%
-1.8%
-7.6%
-9.8%
-9.1%
-4.2%
-5.1%
-13.0%
-12.4%
-16.0%
-12.7%
-5.9%
-5.7%
-4.9%
-6.3%
-7.2%
Dow Jones (EUA)
S&P (EUA)
Nasdaq Comp (EUA)
UKX (RU)
DAX (Alemania)
CAC (Francia)
IBEX (España)
FTSEMIB (Italia)
NKY (Japón)
HSI (China)
IBOV (Brasil)
IPSA (Chile)
Principales Divisas
16,337
1,913
4,172
5,837
9,435
4,227
8,315
17,412
17,191
18,992
39,589
3,590
15,800
1,830
4,000
5,500
9,000
4,000
8,300
17,200
15,800
18,000
37,500
3,300
17,000
2,000
4,500
6,500
10,700
4,700
9,600
21,500
18,800
21,800
44,000
3,900
MXN (Peso-Dólar)
EUR (Euro-Dólar)
GBP (Libra-Dólar)
JPY (Yen-Dólar)
BRL (Real B.-Dólar)
ETFs (pesos)
18.18
1.11
1.46
117.88
3.90
17.80
1.05
1.40
115.00
3.85
NAFTRAC (IPyC)
43.3
ANGEL (200% IPyC)
23.5
DIABLO (-100% IPyC)
14.0
EDC* (300% Emergentes)
165.6
EDZ* (-300% Emergentes)
989.8
FAS* (300% Financ. EUA)
370.2
FAZ* (-300 Financ. EUA)
997.0
GLD* (Oro)
1,991.0
SLV* (Plata)
254.2
DIA* (Dow Jones)
2,972.0
SPY* (S&P)
3,485.8
QQQ* (Nasdaq)
1,850.1
EWZ* (Brasil)
358.0
EWJ* (Japón)
203.1
EWG* (Alemania)
439.2
EWU* (Inglaterra)
274.6
EWP* (España)
462.9
Fuente: Monex con base en Bloomberg
ERUS* (Rusia)
188.8
38.0
20.0
14.0
140.0
800.0
360.0
800.0
1,700.0
230.0
2,500.0
3,000.0
1,500.0
320.0
175.0
380.0
245.0
450.0
168.0
Emisoras (IPyC)
IPyC
AC*
ALFAA
ALSEA*
AMXL
ASURB
BIMBOA
CEMEXCPO
ELEKTRA*
FEMSAUBD
GAPB
GCARSOA1
GENTERA*
GFINBURO
GFNORTEO
GFREGIO
GMEXICOB
GRUMAB
ICA*
ICHB
IENOVA*
KIMBERA
KOFL
LABB
LACOMUBC
LALAB
LIVERPOLC
MEXCHEM*
NEMAKA
OHLMEX*
OMAB
PE&OLES
PINFRA*
SANMEXB
SIMECB
SITESL
TLEVICPO
WALMEX*
Principales Indices
Var vs Var % vs
Soporte
Resist.
Rend. /
Riesgo
RSI (9)
PMS % Precio
10 Días
vs PM
PMS 30 % Precio PMS 100 % Precio PMS 200 % Precio
Días
vs PM
Días
vs PM
Días
vs PM
1.3%
6.0%
6.2%
3.1%
3.2%
3.8%
1.1%
1.2%
9.5%
3.3%
3.8%
6.8%
4.5%
1.7%
6.4%
4.3%
10.0%
4.5%
36.7%
12.9%
3.4%
4.0%
3.1%
14.6%
7.8%
1.7%
5.2%
9.5%
7.8%
3.3%
2.8%
11.1%
3.8%
8.6%
4.7%
13.3%
9.3%
2.6%
0.3
0.6
1.0
0.4
0.2
0.4
0.1
0.1
1.2
0.3
0.6
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.6
0.6
3.1
0.4
1.2
5.9
0.3
0.4
0.3
8.1
1.0
0.2
0.6
2.3
1.5
0.3
0.2
0.7
0.3
1.5
0.8
2.7
1.5
0.4
66
68
51
64
69
64
87
51
49
86
48
52
56
59
55
61
38
86
65
41
67
63
59
41
60
74
64
46
47
60
63
72
69
51
44
42
57
62
41,908
105.8
31.6
61.9
12.0
236.7
48.3
7.8
338.5
164.6
147.9
67.7
30.7
28.3
87.3
83.7
34.5
257.6
3.6
53.8
71.0
41.4
121.8
12.7
15.9
41.2
204.1
36.3
22.9
16.7
81.8
161.9
200.9
27.3
38.5
11.0
96.0
44.8
-3.3%
-4.3%
-4.1%
-5.8%
-4.6%
-5.4%
-0.2%
-1.2%
-8.1%
-5.2%
-5.3%
-8.1%
4.1%
4.6%
7.9%
11.4%
13.4%
11.2%
15.5%
23.5%
9.4%
14.8%
11.1%
8.6%
1.2
1.1
1.9
2.0
2.9
2.1
88.7
19.3
1.2
2.8
2.1
1.1
45
45
43
48
40
43
40
33
46
39
42
59
16,088
1,897
4,204
5,912
9,695
4,313
8,617
18,539
17,133
19,179
38,553
3,572
1.5%
0.8%
-0.8%
-1.3%
-2.8%
-2.0%
-3.6%
-6.5%
0.3%
-1.0%
2.6%
0.5%
16,654
1,958
4,363
5,998
10,040
4,419
8,986
19,828
17,760
20,214
40,774
3,581
-1.9%
-2.4%
-4.6%
-2.8%
-6.4%
-4.6%
-8.1%
-13.9%
-3.3%
-6.4%
-3.0%
0.3%
17,063
2,008
4,462
6,167
10,328
4,633
9,741
21,320
18,474
21,608
44,895
3,702
-4.4%
-5.0%
-7.0%
-5.7%
-9.5%
-9.6%
-17.2%
-22.4%
-7.5%
-13.8%
-13.4%
-3.1%
17,364
2,044
4,462
6,429
10,762
4,783
10,365
22,150
19,285
23,628
48,630
3,811
-6.3%
-6.9%
-7.0%
-10.1%
-14.1%
-13.1%
-24.7%
-27.2%
-12.2%
-24.4%
-22.8%
-6.2%
18.80
1.15
1.52
123.50
4.05
-2.1%
-5.5%
-4.1%
-2.4%
-1.2%
3.4%
3.5%
4.1%
4.8%
4.0%
1.6
0.7
1.0
2.0
3.3
49
71
64
42
33
18.40
1.09
1.43
119.07
4.04
-1.2%
1.9%
1.8%
-1.0%
-3.7%
17.92
1.09
1.45
118.85
4.01
1.4%
1.9%
0.7%
-0.8%
-3.0%
17.10
1.10
1.50
120.59
3.91
6.0%
1.3%
-2.7%
-2.3%
-0.3%
16.51
1.11
1.53
121.49
3.58
9.2%
0.5%
-4.5%
-3.1%
8.2%
44.0
25.0
16.0
200.0
1,250.0
460.0
1,100.0
2,200.0
280.0
3,050.0
3,600.0
1,900.0
400.0
220.0
500.0
300.0
580.0
210.0
-12.2%
-15.0%
-0.1%
-15.5%
-19.2%
-2.8%
-19.8%
-14.6%
-9.5%
-15.9%
-13.9%
-18.9%
-10.6%
-13.8%
-13.5%
-10.8%
-2.8%
-11.0%
1.7%
6.2%
14.2%
20.7%
26.3%
24.3%
10.3%
10.5%
10.1%
2.6%
3.3%
2.7%
11.7%
8.3%
13.8%
9.2%
25.3%
11.2%
0.1
0.4
199.0
1.3
1.4
8.8
0.5
0.7
1.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
1.1
0.6
1.0
0.9
9.1
1.0
67
64
33
46
51
39
57
65
51
56
60
54
57
58
43
57
42
46
41.9
22.3
14.5
154.3
1,124.0
377.7
1,034.8
1,953.1
249.1
2,952.8
3,488.4
1,882.9
336.1
206.0
442.5
272.8
472.1
186.5
3.1%
5.2%
-3.2%
6.8%
-13.6%
-2.0%
-3.8%
1.9%
2.0%
0.6%
-0.1%
-1.8%
6.1%
-1.4%
-0.8%
0.7%
-2.0%
1.2%
42.0
22.6
14.4
173.0
993.4
438.9
870.7
1,856.3
238.4
2,971.0
3,489.6
1,893.5
348.2
207.3
445.6
273.9
487.1
204.4
3.1%
42,024
2.9%
43,229
0.1%
43,912
-1.5%
2.5%
103.8
4.3%
101.1
6.8%
97.7
9.9%
1.3%
32.5
-1.3%
33.8
-5.5%
32.9
-2.6%
1.8%
59.8
5.1%
56.4
10.5%
52.7
16.5%
6.6%
11.9
7.4%
12.9
-0.2%
13.9
-7.6%
1.7%
237.2
1.5%
251.6
-4.5%
241.9
-0.4%
6.1%
47.1
8.5%
45.8
10.9%
43.8
14.8%
7.7%
8.4
0.1%
10.4
-23.3%
12.3
-46.0%
2.4%
349.9
-0.8%
330.8
4.6%
343.6
1.0%
2.9%
160.5
5.3%
158.8
6.3%
151.0
10.9%
0.9%
149.7
-0.3%
150.5
-0.8%
134.1
10.2%
3.5%
69.4
1.1%
73.2
-4.3%
70.7
-0.6%
2.8%
31.3
0.9%
30.4
3.7%
28.8
8.9%
4.0%
29.5
0.0%
32.3
-9.4%
34.2
-15.9%
4.2%
90.0
1.3%
87.9
3.6%
86.7
4.9%
3.0%
85.9
0.4%
88.9
-3.1%
89.0
-3.2%
-1.3%
35.5
-4.3%
38.6
-13.1%
41.9
-23.0%
3.9%
248.1
7.4%
245.4
8.4%
224.8
16.1%
17.4%
3.4
21.5%
5.8
-32.5%
8.7
-97.1%
-1.2%
54.1
-1.8%
57.4
-7.9%
59.2
-11.3%
5.9%
71.4
5.4%
73.5
2.5%
77.3
-2.5%
2.1%
40.1
5.1%
39.5
6.7%
37.0
12.4%
3.4%
121.7
3.5%
122.3
3.0%
123.1
2.4%
-3.6%
13.1
-7.0%
13.0
-6.6%
14.5
-18.5%
1.9% #N/A N/A #¡VALOR! #N/A N/A #¡VALOR! #N/A N/A #¡VALOR!
4.7%
40.6
6.1%
41.0
5.3%
37.7
12.9%
2.4%
206.1
1.4%
218.5
-4.5%
200.7
4.0%
0.7%
37.5
-2.6%
40.8
-11.6%
42.9
-17.5%
1.1%
23.0
0.8%
22.5
2.9% #N/A N/A #¡VALOR!
9.4%
17.5
5.2%
20.0
-8.6%
21.8
-18.3%
4.5%
81.2
5.1%
83.6
2.4%
81.9
4.4%
12.3%
168.2
8.8%
205.4
-11.3%
230.8
-25.1%
5.2%
200.2
5.6%
198.8
6.2%
187.4
11.6%
1.4%
28.4
-2.8%
28.5
-3.2%
28.8
-4.2%
-0.9%
37.9
0.8%
40.9
-7.0%
43.4
-13.5%
-0.5% #N/A N/A #¡VALOR! #N/A N/A #¡VALOR! #N/A N/A #¡VALOR!
0.1%
95.1
1.0%
94.2
2.0%
103.0
-7.3%
2.1%
43.8
4.4%
43.1
5.9%
40.6
11.4%
2.8%
43.3
0.0%
44.0
-1.6%
3.8%
24.4
-3.7%
25.9
-10.0%
-3.1%
14.5
-3.3%
14.5
-3.5%
-4.5%
211.0
-27.4%
277.2
-67.4%
-0.4%
806.7
18.5%
684.9
30.8%
-18.6%
468.3
-26.5%
489.5
-32.2%
12.7%
784.1
21.4%
749.3
24.8%
6.8%
1,812.9
8.9%
1,775.7
10.8%
6.2%
237.9
6.4%
237.5
6.6%
0.0%
2,883.4
3.0%
2,833.0
4.7%
-0.1%
3,419.8
1.9%
3,356.1
3.7%
-2.3%
1,851.4
-0.1%
1,786.5
3.4%
2.7%
378.0
-5.6%
440.1
-22.9%
-2.1%
203.9
-0.4%
203.4
-0.2%
-1.5%
440.7
-0.3%
447.4
-1.9%
0.3%
281.0
-2.3%
287.3
-4.6%
-5.2%
516.0
-11.5%
526.4
-13.7%
-8.3% Grupo
207.0
-9.6%/Kaleidoscopio
#N/A N/A #¡VALOR!
MONEX
Financiero
4
Análisis Técnico
MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
5
Directorio
Dirección de Análisis y Estrategia Bursátil
Carlos A. González Tabares
Director de Análisis y Estrategia Bursátil
T. 5231-4521
[email protected]
Daniela Ruíz Zárate
Analista Económico
T. 5231-0200 Ext. 0019
[email protected]
Fernando E. Bolaños S.
Gerente de Análisis / Industrial, Petroquímico, Telcos
T. 5230-0200 Ext. 0720
[email protected]
J. Roberto Solano Pérez
Analista Bursátil / Construcción, Vivienda y Fibras
T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4451
[email protected]
Verónica Uribe Boyzo
Analista Bursátil / Alimentos y Bebidas
T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4782
[email protected]
Giselle N. Mojica Plascencia
Analista Bursátil
T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4287
[email protected]
Laura Villanueva Ramírez
Analista Bursátil
T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4768
[email protected]
Stephany Ramírez Rojas
Analista Deuda Corporativa
T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4262
[email protected]
J. Francisco Caudillo Lira
Analista Técnico Sr.
T. 5231-0016
[email protected]
Astianax Cuanalo Dorantes
Analista Sr. de Sistemas de Información
T. 5230-0200 Ext. 4790
[email protected]
MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
6
Disclaimer
MONEX Grupo Financiero /Kaleidoscopio
7